Going into MLB, who can you tail with confidence?

pokernut9999 · 03-03-09, 10:33 PM

Me

Fiasco · 03-03-09, 10:36 PM

Me

or so I hope

I'll be keeping truly accurate records on my spreadsheet of only baseball plays this year. First sport that I'll be keeping records for the whole season...

time to get a true gauge of how much I suck

buztah · 03-03-09, 10:37 PM

AAO is a bases sharp.

SlickFazzer · 03-03-09, 10:37 PM

LIsten to everyone, follow no one.

RogueScholar · 03-03-09, 10:38 PM

I'm very flattered by the vote of confidence. Personally, I take Smitch's leans on bases most seriously.

InTheHole · 03-03-09, 10:40 PM

I say no one for the first couple of weeks/months

fiveteamer · 03-03-09, 10:41 PM

pokernut change your damn avatar every time I see it I think it's Justin.

god bless.

SBR Lou · 03-03-09, 11:35 PM

Originally posted by InTheHole

I say no one for the first couple of weeks/months

Why's that?

THEGREAT30 · 03-03-09, 11:39 PM

No one should even be betting MLB until after the first 2 weeks or so(minimum). How can u get a good handle on what's going on if you start betting from day one with only the previous seasons trends? Ill start betting MLB around NBA playoff time. Finally, if you tail anyone your a desperate asslicker.

ryanXL977 · 03-03-09, 11:42 PM

well, at least im good at one sport! thanks

. i cant wait to fade the yanks when theyre -250 every other game

nothing matters more than pens, nothing. i am to the point where i almost always ignore the starter, unless he is a top 5 guy, it almost doesnt matter to me.

i dotn care if its cc vs jamie moyer, if i can get a better pen at +200, i will do it every time

MonkeyF0cker · 03-03-09, 11:46 PM

Uhh. That's a ridiculous comment.

ryanXL977 · 03-03-09, 11:48 PM

says the guy who thinks gallardo sept 08 is an ace.
ill have a contest for any amount, anyday with you, in mlb

you keep taking duke-13. i eagerly await the day you post a winner. i mean that.
eagerly.

SlickFazzer · 03-03-09, 11:49 PM

NOthing better than sweating out the 8th and 9th innings all summer long.

Sports betting stress at its finest.

ryanXL977 · 03-03-09, 11:50 PM

exactly fazzer, exactly
how many games did the mets blow last yr when johan was -200?
how many did the phils blow? i cant remember the phils blowing one. not one.

tullamore · 03-03-09, 11:51 PM

anyone bet 1st 5 innings, so you dont have to deal with bullpens?

MonkeyF0cker · 03-03-09, 11:56 PM

Huh? I do it all the time. And really? That's all you've got? You keep bringing up a conversation from LAST YEAR in which you were CLEARLY WRONG. An opening day pitcher is an ace. Get it through your thick skull. And I put my NCAAB plays on my spreadsheet for a couple of weeks. Feel free to take a look. I use probability models to determine my plays, not the ryan "suck-o-meter." Although, your "they suck" system is far more advanced.

ryanXL977 · 03-03-09, 11:58 PM

you took duke, they didnt cover. duke sucks.

yovani coming off injury, not pitching for most of the yr, isnt an ace. i guess millwood is the rangers ace right?

fine, i suck at mlb, you are good. case closed.

Iwinyourmoney · 03-03-09, 11:59 PM

My underdog system

j0hnnyv · 03-04-09, 12:01 AM

whats good on laying a big number on a team with an ace and when they get to the pen the game is blown???

and about phils pen, they were lights out last year!!!

ryanXL977 · 03-04-09, 12:03 AM

johnny is dead on. dead on i say.

MonkeyF0cker · 03-04-09, 12:04 AM

Yes. Millwood is the Ranger's ace. The team that you said was "better than average" (if you'd like to bring up year old conversations, dipshit) has a pathetic rotation, so yes, he is THEIR ace. You just can't get over the word ace, can you? It's a shame you don't know the meaning.

rjt721 · 03-04-09, 12:05 AM

Gallardo's an ace.

SBR Lou · 03-04-09, 12:06 AM

Originally posted by Iwinyourmoney

My underdog system

Details?

ryanXL977 · 03-04-09, 12:06 AM

gallardo was not the ace of a team with sabathia and sheets, number one
number 2, mr cooltimes, is that gallardo had not pitched all year, was on a 50-60 pitch limit, and HAD THE WORST BULLPEN IN BASEBALL BEHIND HIM

how can you sit here debating something that i nailed and you did not. i told you phils vs rays ws, you said brewers would beat phils. you sat home and lost cash ( or in the sportsbook at wynn) ,i used my cash to buy a sweet new tv.

check mate

MonkeyF0cker · 03-04-09, 12:07 AM

Originally posted by j0hnnyv

whats good on laying a big number on a team with an ace and when they get to the pen the game is blown???

and about phils pen, they were lights out last year!!!

If a team has an available bullpen disadvantage, you bet the five inning line. Don't expect ryan to ever figure that out though.

rjt721 · 03-04-09, 12:08 AM

Originally posted by ryanXL977

dead on i say.

You say too much.

MonkeyF0cker · 03-04-09, 12:17 AM

Originally posted by ryanXL977

gallardo was not the ace of a team with sabathia and sheets, number one
number 2, mr cooltimes, is that gallardo had not pitched all year, was on a 50-60 pitch limit, and HAD THE WORST BULLPEN IN BASEBALL BEHIND HIM

how can you sit here debating something that i nailed and you did not. i told you phils vs rays ws, you said brewers would beat phils. you sat home and lost cash ( or in the sportsbook at wynn) ,i used my cash to buy a sweet new tv.

check mate

Really? I lost money? On what? THAT game. Oh no. I don't bet series. FYI, I bet value. I don't "pick winners." You will NEVER comprehend that concept since you can't even comprehend the simple idea that there can be more than one or two aces on a pitching staff. Congrats on the "sweet" TV (the books had already paid for my three).

tacomax · 03-04-09, 12:20 AM

Originally posted by ryanXL977

i used my cash to buy a sweet new tv.

Where did you buy her/him from?

VegasDave · 03-04-09, 12:21 AM

I think my name will end up on this list.

Chi_archie · 03-04-09, 12:25 AM

maybe any of the top 10-20 or so guys on this list......

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/104404-baseball-stretch-run-contest-final-standings.html

Chi_archie · 03-04-09, 12:27 AM

I like this part

HedgeHog 65 48 0 -10.16

ryanXL977 · 03-04-09, 12:33 AM

Originally posted by tacomax

Where did you buy her/him from?

best buy

thank you to monkey for letting me take phils and cole and lidge vs yovanni and gagne and bush

thanks buddy!

13th Inning · 03-04-09, 12:38 AM

Originally posted by ryanXL977

exactly fazzer, exactly
how many games did the mets blow last yr when johan was -200?
how many did the phils blow? i cant remember the phils blowing one. not one.

Yep... Lidge was money last year. He was awesome.

If the Mets had any kind of bullpen, Santana would have won 20-22 games and the CY... I feel bad for him...

It figures, now he's the one who is hurt and the Met bullpen looks to be much stronger... Hopefully it all works out.

TheLock · 03-04-09, 12:45 AM

To get this thread back on track:

1) Machine Choice

2) rjt

3) Pair of 5s Sir

4) ryan

honorable mention

smitch

All have very different styles but they know their shit.

Good luck fellas