Might have a large underdog mma wager this weekend.
Waiting for odds to drop.
Comment
Smoke
SBR Aristocracy
10-09-09
48111
#3
I take it your not a cat lover corbin
Comment
Easy-Rider 66
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-14-12
36545
#4
Agreed. Really think the sharpest plays are those teams who you think have a shot to win getting points. One of the worst beats is betting a Fav and watch them celebrate a win but not cover the number.
Comment
ringemup
SBR MVP
11-24-08
2112
#5
Picking underdogs are my specialty but mixing it up with favs keeps u level-headed.
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#6
Had a few shots this past weekend to bet live big tennis dogs and chickened out because of price
It would of bailed me out
Comment
rkelly110
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
10-05-09
39691
#7
Been keeping track of ML faves of the day -222 and lower since the opener of MLB last year.
MLB 139-63 69%
NCAAF 23-12 66%
NFL 26-10 72%
NHL to date 82-42 66%
NBA to date 53-31 63%
NCAAB to date 52-19 73%
Betting only the fave of the day since MLB, I've increased my bank roll 40 units. No martingale or labbies.
Only regular season, no play offs.
So, those of you who doubt betting the faves, should reconsider. -222 (1.45) is my minimum.
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Louisvillekid1
SBR Aristocracy
10-17-07
52143
#8
So the $200 I hit on UVA last night doesn't pay out?
Comment
Rangers901
Restricted User
01-09-12
363
#9
Originally posted by rkelly110
Been keeping track of ML faves of the day -222 and lower since the opener of MLB last year.
MLB 139-63 69%
NCAAF 23-12 66%
NFL 26-10 72%
NHL to date 82-42 66%
NBA to date 53-31 63%
NCAAB to date 52-19 73%
Betting only the fave of the day since MLB, I've increased my bank roll 40 units. No martingale or labbies.
Only regular season, no play offs.
So, those of you who doubt betting the faves, should reconsider. -222 (1.45) is my minimum.
The most common misconception is you can't win wagering strictly on favourites, which is the furthest thing from the truth.
Amateurs become accustomed to attaching value strictly to dogs, which again, has absolutely no merit to it.
Squares bust out because of their volume, lack of knowledge, and their inability to determine value, not the fact they're investing in favourites.
Comment
Louisvillekid1
SBR Aristocracy
10-17-07
52143
#10
Wise beyond your years rangers
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Ghenghis Kahn
SBR Posting Legend
01-02-12
19734
#11
is it a coincidence that this thread was made after stanimal upset the joker?
Comment
tto827
SBR Hall of Famer
10-01-12
9078
#12
JJ's next thread title:
Key to making money is to win your bets
Comment
rkelly110
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
10-05-09
39691
#13
Originally posted by Rangers901
The most common misconception is you can't win wagering strictly on favourites, which is the furthest thing from the truth.
Amateurs become accustomed to attaching value strictly to dogs, which again, has absolutely no merit to it.
Squares bust out because of their volume, lack of knowledge, and their inability to determine value, not the fact they're investing in favourites.
I belong to Morrison and Allen's systems and got tired of losing C bets and my ass. I've kept years of daily odds print outs and noticed the favorite hit way above 50%. I threw out mountains of paper work and hours of handicapping. I decided to put my theory to the test.
If I would labby line, I'm sure the 40 units I won would've turned into 80 or more. Depends on your risk factor.
Everybody and their brother will tell you faves don't win over the long haul. Mostly because the books probably
told them that. The books know what they are doing, make them work for you. It's very simple, no capping.
Look at the odds, pick the lowest one (-222 min) and bet. Multiple games with the same odds? Bet them all.
GL
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ringemup
SBR MVP
11-24-08
2112
#14
Amateurs do not place value on just dogs they simply pick blind-folded out of a hat. Art of betting dogs is to find edges where public doesnt see them takes research n watching many games.
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#15
When your talking about money lines I still think favs will put you in the poor house
Comment
Big Bear
SBR Aristocracy
11-01-11
43253
#16
thats too broad of a statement JJ..
I think each game must be looked at on an individual basis.
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paco
SBR Aristocracy
05-07-09
62873
#17
Woulda been a huge day to take all nhl dogs today! Wow!