Auburn's +10 is starting to feel like Notre Dame's +10.5

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  • seaborneq
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-08-06
    • 22556

    #1
    Auburn's +10 is starting to feel like Notre Dame's +10.5
    What is the play tonight? I feel good about the +10, but I felt just as good about +10.5 with Notre Dame last year, and that game was never close. Tell me what I'm missing. Over and under feedback too.
  • DOM-Ganador
    SBR MVP
    • 05-30-12
    • 4479

    #2
    I had ND + 20 last year. For bigger games I like to set up a teaser, usually on the dog.
    I have Fl.St -2.5 on last leg of 3 team 6 pointer. 2x for 3.6 units.
    Comment
    • Sam Odom
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-30-05
      • 58063

      #3
      AU's offense is 5x better than last yr ND's

      Not saying that is enough to win tonight tho
      Comment
      • suicidekings
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-23-09
        • 9962

        #4
        Pinny 7.5 point teaser for -120. FSU -2.5 & Over 59.5, booked yesterday. It would be -3 and 60.5 currently.
        Comment
        • Ghenghis Kahn
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 19734

          #5
          florida st, in my mind, is the better team all around but people question their strength of schedule.

          will they win? probably. will they cover? don't know.

          one thing i wanna know is why is bovada hanging florida st -9 with juice when everyone else has them at 10.5?

          even the donks are going nuts with sec team at plus money.
          Comment
          • InTheDrink
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-23-09
            • 23983

            #6
            comparing auburn to last year's nd team is a joke

            nd's best win was a robbery against a mediocre stanford team

            auburn's rolled through the best of the sec

            notre dame knew they were overmatched from the first snap...that part definitely wont happen tonight
            Comment
            • suicidekings
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-23-09
              • 9962

              #7
              Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
              florida st, in my mind, is the better team all around but people question their strength of schedule.

              will they win? probably. will they cover? don't know.

              one thing i wanna know is why is bovada hanging florida st -9 with juice when everyone else has them at 10.5?

              even the donks are going nuts with sec team at plus money.
              Bovada has lower limits, correct? And a distaste for longterm winners? Even if the lines are largely similar across the board, there will be a lot of variation among books in how much money is on each side. Or perhaps they're feeling very top-heavy with Auburn BCS futures and/or Auburn teasers.
              Comment
              • firedawg
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 10-08-08
                • 39219

                #8
                Originally posted by InTheDrink
                comparing auburn to last year's nd team is a joke

                nd's best win was a robbery against a mediocre stanford team

                auburn's rolled through the best of the sec

                notre dame knew they were overmatched from the first snap...that part definitely wont happen tonight
                Comment
                • MTek
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-18-08
                  • 1381

                  #9
                  Originally posted by InTheDrink
                  comparing auburn to last year's nd team is a joke

                  nd's best win was a robbery against a mediocre stanford team

                  auburn's rolled through the best of the sec

                  notre dame knew they were overmatched from the first snap...that part definitely wont happen tonight

                  ND had several quality wins last year, Oklahoma, USC, Stanford, Michigan, you don't get to the #1 spot in the rankings playing Chattanooga and Coastal Carolina (unless your in the SEC of course )

                  Auburn gets smoked tonight
                  Comment
                  • Ghenghis Kahn
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 19734

                    #10
                    rolled through? they could easily have been 9-4 this year.

                    one thing they can do though is run the ball.

                    if the weather was a factor i'd be all over auburn but it's a perfect day for football.
                    Comment
                    • Greg242
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-07-11
                      • 551

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                      florida st, in my mind, is the better team all around but people question their strength of schedule.

                      will they win? probably. will they cover? don't know.

                      one thing i wanna know is why is bovada hanging florida st -9 with juice when everyone else has them at 10.5?

                      even the donks are going nuts with sec team at plus money.
                      Ya was wondering about this as well
                      Comment
                      • t-wizzle
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-18-09
                        • 38099

                        #12
                        I can't really argue with you from a line movement perspective but on the field, this game is worlds apart from last year's.
                        Comment
                        • navyblue81
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-29-13
                          • 4143

                          #13
                          A lot can happen with a layoff of over a month. Look at Ohio State-Miami 10 years ago or the surprisingly low scoring Auburn-Oregon game 3 years ago.

                          I think the x-factor that no one is looking at is how good Florida State's defense is. Duke....the team that just went up and down the field at will on an SEC team......couldn't get past midfield until the 3rd quarter on Florida State! Clemson only got 7 points against the Noles. This is the best defense in college football. The key for Auburn is keeping this close because if they can't, Florida State will shred them because Auburn doesn't have a passing game to catch up.
                          Comment
                          • VegasInsider
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-12-10
                            • 14593

                            #14
                            ND and Auburn aren't even close to each other in terms of talent. ND was a total fraud last season and didn't even deserve to be in that game. Auburn has done everything right, especially late in the season, and earned this chance. There won't be a repeat of last season's NC game.
                            Comment
                            • InTheDrink
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-23-09
                              • 23983

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                              rolled through? they could easily have been 9-4 this year.

                              one thing they can do though is run the ball.

                              if the weather was a factor i'd be all over auburn but it's a perfect day for football.
                              poor choice of words...got through or won out...whatever, they beat two of the best teams in cfb to get here

                              my feeling on this game is that we have a pretty good idea of how good auburn is....we dont really know how good fla state is...they might be better than i think they are but they also might get punched in the mouth and this game goes completely different than the rest of their schedule...i think fsu wins a close game
                              Comment
                              • InTheDrink
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-23-09
                                • 23983

                                #16
                                Originally posted by MTek
                                ND had several quality wins last year, Oklahoma, USC, Stanford, Michigan, you don't get to the #1 spot in the rankings playing Chattanooga and Coastal Carolina (unless your in the SEC of course )

                                Auburn gets smoked tonight
                                no youre right apparently you get to #1 by playing bethune cookman and idaho

                                every school plays some shit games dumbass
                                Comment
                                • Ghenghis Kahn
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 19734

                                  #17
                                  drinker you bet on auburn?
                                  Comment
                                  • ridims
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-15-10
                                    • 3863

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by VegasInsider
                                    Auburn has done everything right, especially late in the season, and earned this chance. There won't be a repeat of last season's NC game.
                                    Auburn returned a missed fg to win against bama.

                                    Sure they won but that play had huge implications to tonight's game whether you believe it or not.

                                    They barely beat some teams that they should have blown out.

                                    Played some good football late but let's face it, they haven't faced a team like Florida state.

                                    The line opened where it should have. Now it's even higher even with publics perception that auburn has legit shot after beating Alabama.

                                    Bloodbath to ensue.
                                    Comment
                                    • STAX
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-01-13
                                      • 3718

                                      #19
                                      2013 Auburn/FSU = 2006 Florida/Ohio St on so many levels... Anyone remember the closing line on OSU/FLORIDA championship game? Im thinking OSU was 13 pt favs.
                                      Comment
                                      • Buckeye
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 05-18-07
                                        • 302

                                        #20
                                        OSU was 7 to 7 1/2 point favorite in that game.
                                        Comment
                                        • TheDane
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 02-09-11
                                          • 642

                                          #21
                                          Rolling with Winston with my Trivia winnings heh...
                                          Comment
                                          • OTL
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-08-10
                                            • 2433

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by navyblue81
                                            I think the x-factor that no one is looking at is how good Florida State's defense is. Duke....the team that just went up and down the field at will on an SEC team......couldn't get past midfield until the 3rd quarter on Florida State!
                                            Duke is not a very good team.... So what that they scored at will on the worst defensive team in the SEC.

                                            FSU hasn't proved anything yet. We will see today what they're really made of.
                                            Comment
                                            • shookid
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 11-17-10
                                              • 201

                                              #23
                                              has FSU played anyone the likes of Auburn? FSU is 1-0 vs top 30 teams while Auburn is 5-1.Auburn SOS is 20 FSU is 63. This FSU team reminds me of NE when they went 16-0 blowing everyone out until they faced the giants and we all know what happened there. I can at worse see a backdoor cover by the Tigers.
                                              Comment
                                              • suicidekings
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-23-09
                                                • 9962

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by STAX
                                                2013 Auburn/FSU = 2006 Florida/Ohio St on so many levels... Anyone remember the closing line on OSU/FLORIDA championship game? Im thinking OSU was 13 pt favs.
                                                It does sound similar. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_BC...mpionship_Game
                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388179

                                                  #25
                                                  Auburn better than ND at the same time

                                                  ND played nobody
                                                  Comment
                                                  • OTL
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-08-10
                                                    • 2433

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by shookid
                                                    has FSU played anyone the likes of Auburn? FSU is 1-0 vs top 30 teams while Auburn is 5-1.Auburn SOS is 20 FSU is 63. This FSU team reminds me of NE when they went 16-0 blowing everyone out until they faced the giants and we all know what happened there. I can at worse see a backdoor cover by the Tigers.
                                                    The thing that sticks out to me is that FSU has had their struggles stopping the run. An average Boston College team ran at will on them, and BC's ground game is a joke compared to Auburn's no. 1 rushing attack in the nation. And for all the flack Auburn's defence takes, it will be the best FSU has seen. The size and physicality of AU on both sides of the ball is on another level than what FSU is used to. This game will be won or lost in the trenches, and for me AU has the edge here.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • broadway6
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-14-09
                                                      • 13337

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by shookid
                                                      has FSU played anyone the likes of Auburn? FSU is 1-0 vs top 30 teams while Auburn is 5-1.Auburn SOS is 20 FSU is 63. This FSU team reminds me of NE when they went 16-0 blowing everyone out until they faced the giants and we all know what happened there. I can at worse see a backdoor cover by the Tigers.
                                                      Clemson was ranked # 3 when they played at Clemson.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • InTheDrink
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-23-09
                                                        • 23983

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                                        drinker you bet on auburn?


                                                        was torn til it went to 10.5...just dont think it will be that big of a spread
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dontknowtohedge
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 10-11-13
                                                          • 237

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by navyblue81
                                                          A lot can happen with a layoff of over a month. Look at Ohio State-Miami 10 years ago


                                                          good read. could happen again tonight.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • InTheDrink
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-23-09
                                                            • 23983

                                                            #30
                                                            it's waaaaaay oversimplifying this game to say it will go just like this game or that game

                                                            there are 1000's of games played every year and it will go just like the previous year's or another year's title game of all games? that's silly
                                                            Comment
                                                            • STAX
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-01-13
                                                              • 3718

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by OTL
                                                              The thing that sticks out to me is that FSU has had their struggles stopping the run. An average Boston College team ran at will on them, and BC's ground game is a joke compared to Auburn's no. 1 rushing attack in the nation. And for all the flack Auburn's defence takes, it will be the best FSU has seen. The size and physicality of AU on both sides of the ball is on another level than what FSU is used to. This game will be won or lost in the trenches, and for me AU has the edge here.
                                                              Love this post
                                                              Comment
                                                              • M.W.
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-07-08
                                                                • 1668

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by OTL
                                                                Duke is not a very good team.... So what that they scored at will on the worst defensive team in the SEC.
                                                                Duke did score more points, gain more yards, and have more yards per play against TAMU than Auburn did.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • shookid
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 11-17-10
                                                                  • 201

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by broadway6
                                                                  Clemson was ranked # 3 when they played at Clemson.
                                                                  yes they played ranked teams "during" the year. but end of season stats show they played 1 team that was ranked in the top 30 at end of the year. If Auburn wins they will be the only team in history to win 3 straight games vs top 5 teams. with a long layoff i would think it would be easier to get the ground game going then getting the rust of Winston who hasnt thrown a competitive pass in a month. If auburn can get on top or keep pace they can control the clock w run game and keep Winston on the sidelines.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MUHerd37
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-23-09
                                                                    • 12816

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Cowherd loves Auburn but sharps love FSU.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • InTheDrink
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-23-09
                                                                      • 23983

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by M.W.
                                                                      Duke did score more points, gain more yards, and have more yards per play against TAMU than Auburn did.
                                                                      fsu's defense did look impressive that game but auburn's offense couldnt be more different than duke's....thats why that game has little bearing on tonight
                                                                      Comment
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