I got a combine quarter pounder on the S.F. game and 1st half money line.
Defense win games, something the Packers doesn't have
BIGDAY
SBR Aristocracy
02-17-10
48245
#2
Not it.
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Dr. Gambler
SBR Sharp
12-13-13
277
#3
On them for a 100 far from pounding
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navyblue81
SBR MVP
11-29-13
4143
#4
I never bet against Aaron Rodgers. Not going anywhere near this game.
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innovation
SBR Hall of Famer
01-27-12
6218
#5
Niners will slap that pack ass today.....won't even be close, Niners by 17 or more
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Uncle Paul
SBR Rookie
12-27-13
41
#6
The packers are going to punch the niners in the oyster with their dick fist.
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Potentate
SBR MVP
03-31-13
1089
#7
It's a trip how the Packers almost have the same record as the Rams. NFC North, lol.
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killacappapilla
SBR Wise Guy
10-01-13
881
#8
Put 200 on them @ -146. Let's go 49'ers!
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You mad bro
SBR Posting Legend
01-15-12
16641
#9
Originally posted by Potentate
It's a trip how the Packers almost have the same record as the Rams. NFC North, lol.
Rodgers missing like 6 games will do that to you
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suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#10
Originally posted by Bet10Heinekens
Defense win games, something the Packers doesn't have
SF is pretty much just an average defensive team this year. Strong in the backfield, but soft in the front. Green bay, shockingly, is one of the best run blocking teams in the league this year, especially between the tackles. SF is great in stopping the outside run but has been hurt inside frequently, so Lacy should have some success. Aaron Rodgers is also one of the best QBs in the league in handling blitz packages, and the Niners are 29th in adjusted sack rate. All of this implies Rodgers could have a decent amount of time to work in the pocket today and the Packers will put up points.
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Potentate
SBR MVP
03-31-13
1089
#11
Originally posted by You mad bro
Rodgers missing like 6 games will do that to you
Pretty much. What's the excuse for the rest of the NFC North? j/k.
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broadway6
SBR Posting Legend
11-14-09
13337
#12
maybe ML
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a4u2fear
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8147
#13
GB.
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Potentate
SBR MVP
03-31-13
1089
#14
Originally posted by suicidekings
SF is pretty much just an average defensive team this year. Strong in the backfield, but soft in the front. Green bay, shockingly, is one of the best run blocking teams in the league this year, especially between the tackles. SF is great in stopping the outside run but has been hurt inside frequently, so Lacy should have some success. Aaron Rodgers is also one of the best QBs in the league in handling blitz packages, and the Niners are 29th in adjusted sack rate. All of this implies Rodgers could have a decent amount of time to work in the pocket today and the Packers will put up points.
Agreed, Lacy will get enough volume to have some success and Rodgers always gets his. But you've got to now do that same level write up for the 49ers.
Packers are kind of a terrible defensive team this year. bad in the secondary not much better in the front. And no Clay Mathews. Gore (and Hunter) should have some success. Kaepernick's best games have come against Green Bay and he's been one of the best in the league over his last few games and he has all his weapons back. etc...
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packerd_00
SBR Posting Legend
05-22-13
17822
#15
Ill just enjoy this game I think. So many things can go wrong in this sort of weather.
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packerd_00
SBR Posting Legend
05-22-13
17822
#16
Originally posted by Potentate
Pretty much. What's the excuse for the rest of the NFC North? j/k.
No excuse for the Lions,they had all of there weapons with a two game lead at one point.
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Ghenghis Kahn
SBR Posting Legend
01-02-12
19734
#17
don't do it pal. i got suckered into betting kc yesterday knowing the books are gonna need indy.
same situation here. books need gb. somehow gb's gonna cover.
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You mad bro
SBR Posting Legend
01-15-12
16641
#18
Originally posted by Potentate
Pretty much. What's the excuse for the rest of the NFC North? j/k.
jay cutler
stafford
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suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#19
Originally posted by Potentate
Agreed, Lacy will get enough volume to have some success and Rodgers always gets his. But you've got to now do that same level write up for the 49ers.
Packers are kind of a terrible defensive team this year. bad in the secondary not much better in the front. And no Clay Mathews. Gore (and Hunter) should have some success. Kaepernick's best games have come against Green Bay and he's been one of the best in the league over his last few games and he has all his weapons back. etc...
For sure. I was pointing out that SF's defense is not the big strength that many think it is.
I don't disagree with most of what you say, however SF has been very poor in run blocking in power situations this year, taking negative plays because their OL gets pushed around. Gore is amazing and succeeds in spite of not getting a lot of help. GB's defense has gotten worse over the course of the year, largely because of three key losses: Casey Hayward, Johnny Jolly, and Clay Matthews. These losses have forced Capers into a more blitz-heavy style of play, which is a huge mistake against Kaepernick, as he is also among the best in picking up yardage against the blitz.
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suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#20
It's actually really tough to be sure of how SF will play this game on offense. In the last 2 years, they've played three games and every time the Niners showed a very different offensive strategy. Frank Gore won the first game almost single handedly, then Kaep's zone read cut them up in the playoffs, and then this year he sat back and had a monster passing day with Anquan Boldin. It's going to be interesting to see how GB decides to defend and how fast they're able to adjust when Harbaugh throws some wrinkles into the gameplan.
I do think that the team that blitzes the most today (probably GB) will be putting themselves at a big disadvantage from the start. It's going to come down to the respective defensive backfields winning in coverage on the elite receivers today. In terms of overall talent and momentum the Niners have the edge in this game, but that freezing cold Lambeau air is a big equalizer. No matter what SF says about being ready for it, they will not be as well prepared for the cold as the Packers.
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thechaoz
SBR Posting Legend
10-23-09
12154
#21
Originally posted by suicidekings
SF is pretty much just an average defensive team this year. Strong in the backfield, but soft in the front. Green bay, shockingly, is one of the best run blocking teams in the league this year, especially between the tackles. SF is great in stopping the outside run but has been hurt inside frequently, so Lacy should have some success. Aaron Rodgers is also one of the best QBs in the league in handling blitz packages, and the Niners are 29th in adjusted sack rate. All of this implies Rodgers could have a decent amount of time to work in the pocket today and the Packers will put up points.
You have this backwards
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tragicend
SBR Sharp
08-31-11
250
#22
Got them at -3 for 117.00 Bovada. Let's do this!!! Go Niners!
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Aye J Mac
SBR Hall of Famer
07-13-12
5424
#23
Packers looks good with the plus and home field advantage
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#24
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suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#25
Originally posted by thechaoz
You have this backwards
What part? This is all based on DVOA and other advanced stat breakdowns.
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thebestthereis
SBR Posting Legend
03-01-09
11459
#26
might as well, everyone is doing it why not. that is sure to end up well. good luck!
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survivalinstinct
SBR Hustler
03-19-13
94
#27
Let get em boys
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Potentate
SBR MVP
03-31-13
1089
#28
Originally posted by suicidekings
For sure. I was pointing out that SF's defense is not the big strength that many think it is.
I don't disagree with most of what you say, however SF has been very poor in run blocking in power situations this year, taking negative plays because their OL gets pushed around. Gore is amazing and succeeds in spite of not getting a lot of help. GB's defense has gotten worse over the course of the year, largely because of three key losses: Casey Hayward, Johnny Jolly, and Clay Matthews. These losses have forced Capers into a more blitz-heavy style of play, which is a huge mistake against Kaepernick, as he is also among the best in picking up yardage against the blitz.
Good stuff. 49ers O line definitelt not as good as last year. Although theyre actually coming to the playoffs in better shape than they did last year, overall. As usual, a lot will come down to QB play today. Rising Kaepernick, rusty Rodgers?
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Lift2beFit
SBR Wise Guy
12-11-12
616
#29
Originally posted by Bet10Heinekens
I got a combine quarter pounder on the S.F. game and 1st half money line.
Defense win games, something the Packers doesn't have
Unfortunately have to agree here. Aaron might throw 2 picks again, maybe even 3. San fran is a hot team playing in some cold weather but still, the pack d just isnt there this year.
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k13
SBR Posting Legend
07-16-10
18104
#30
Ck7 int. ..-105
Rodgers -150
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NardVa
SBR Hall of Famer
10-02-07
8325
#31
Packers defense was not great but it helps when you have Rodgers who can put some drives together and score some points. Keeps the Packers suspect defense off the field.
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16kredit
SBR Wise Guy
11-16-13
572
#32
Originally posted by Bet10Heinekens
Defense win games, something the Packers doesn't have
Dude watch out, thats what I thought too, but look at Cincy. Kay Sf has better D, but imo Rodgers makes such an impact, cant fade that guy :S.
GB became more balanced since start of the season, SF lacks big time passing plays. But yea everyone knows these so ill shutup.
My book has a GB TDs over 2 for +110. gotta grab it!
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R.P. McMurphy
SBR Hall of Famer
06-15-12
9654
#33
Man I like Sf to win this gm no play on sides for me just ov 45. Food for thought tho teams with the better Qb is 3-0 so far and defense not winning shit!
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Potentate
SBR MVP
03-31-13
1089
#34
Originally posted by 16kredit
Dude watch out, thats what I thought too, but look at Cincy. Kay Sf has better D, but imo Rodgers makes such an impact, cant fade that guy :S.
GB became more balanced since start of the season, SF lacks big time passing plays. But yea everyone knows these so ill shutup.
My book has a GB TDs over 2 for +110. gotta grab it!
Should be me money, GL!
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R.P. McMurphy
SBR Hall of Famer
06-15-12
9654
#35
Gonna hope Sf gets a lead early and would definitely hop on board with Pack at a sweeter price or more pts in live betting. Gl everyone