Going into the wild card weekend we all think we have a pretty good picture of what to expect and how the NFL playoffs for the 2013-14 season should pan out. I myself admit that I have somewhat of my own idea of what to expect as I have already picked what to expect this wild card weekend and next weekend as weekend as a result.
But here is some information I read regarding what the past post season play off since the late -90's till last season has shown us. I thought sharing this with SBR would be helpful.
(1) In the last 8 postseasons, Tom Brady, Peyton Manning and Drew Brees are a combined 19-16 win-loss record and have two total Superbowl rings between the three.
In the last 8 postseasons, Joe Flacco, Eli Manning and Mark Sanchez are 21-9 win-loss record with a combined three Superbowl rings between the three.
(2) From 2000-2006, there were only three times total when an NFL team faced off against another NFL team in the playoffs, where one of the teams were 4 games or more worse in the regular season than their opponent: Viking vs. Eagles in 2004, Steelers vs. Jets in 2004 and Bears vs. Seahawks in 2006. In all three meetings the team with the better regular season record won.
From 2007- 2011, this same type of scenario occurred in the playoffs 14 times! The outcome? 7 games were won by the vastly superior team and 7 games won by the vastly inferior team....including two teams who won in the postseason who finished under .500 in the regular season but still won their division and those games (2010 Seahawks and 2011 Broncos).
(3) In the last 8 NFL playoffs, three teams have won the Superbowl without ever hosting a playoff game in that year they won the Superbowl (2007 Giants, 2005 Steelers & 2010 Packers). From 1966-2004 in the NFL playoffs, this only happened twice.
(4) Since the 2005-2006 NFL season, the team with the best AFC record has only faced off with the team with the best NFC record in the Superbowl once (2009 Saints vs. 2009 Colts).
(5) Since 2006, underdogs have covered six of the last seven Superbowls match ups and have won four of them outright. From 1990-2006, only four underdogs total had ever won the Superbowl outright.
(6) From 1998 -2004,teams that had a first-round bye in the NFL playoffs won the Superbowl 6 out of those 7 years. From 2006-2012, teams that have had a first round bye in the NFL playoffs have won the Superbowl only 2 of those 7 years.
(7) Since 1966, dome teams are 3-22 when playing an NFL play off game outdoors and the weather is 35 degrees or colder.
(8) From 2005-06 season till 2012-13 NFL season, we have had one monster upset in round 2 of the NFL postseason every year: (2005 Steelers +9.5 at Colts; 2006 Patriots +4.5 at San Diego, 2007 Chargers +11.5 at Colts, 2008 Cardinals +10.5 at Panthers, 2009 Jets +9.5 at San Diego, 2010 Jets +10 at Patriots, 2011 NY Giants +8.5 at Packers and the 2012 Ravens +9 at Broncos).
Final Conclusion: The NFL has been a parody league where it doesn't matter what record you finish or what seeding you have in the post season as long as you make it in somehow. Home field advantage has meant nothing the past seven NFL seasons after meaning a lot the past 30 seasons. In gambling, road dogs are hitting in the NFL playoffs a ton over the past seven years as well. Wild card teams seem to have a better shot off making the Super Bowl than the top 3 seeds from either conference. The "No One Believes In Us" teams like Green bay or San Diego have a combined 55% liklihood of one of those two teams making it to the Big Dance (yikes!)
Do we continue on this path to mayhem and total randomness when betting and trying to predict Superbowl bound teams for the 2013-14 NFL playoffs or do we "buck the trend" this year and return back to the good old days of the 1985-2005 playoff seasons?
But here is some information I read regarding what the past post season play off since the late -90's till last season has shown us. I thought sharing this with SBR would be helpful.
(1) In the last 8 postseasons, Tom Brady, Peyton Manning and Drew Brees are a combined 19-16 win-loss record and have two total Superbowl rings between the three.
In the last 8 postseasons, Joe Flacco, Eli Manning and Mark Sanchez are 21-9 win-loss record with a combined three Superbowl rings between the three.
(2) From 2000-2006, there were only three times total when an NFL team faced off against another NFL team in the playoffs, where one of the teams were 4 games or more worse in the regular season than their opponent: Viking vs. Eagles in 2004, Steelers vs. Jets in 2004 and Bears vs. Seahawks in 2006. In all three meetings the team with the better regular season record won.
From 2007- 2011, this same type of scenario occurred in the playoffs 14 times! The outcome? 7 games were won by the vastly superior team and 7 games won by the vastly inferior team....including two teams who won in the postseason who finished under .500 in the regular season but still won their division and those games (2010 Seahawks and 2011 Broncos).
(3) In the last 8 NFL playoffs, three teams have won the Superbowl without ever hosting a playoff game in that year they won the Superbowl (2007 Giants, 2005 Steelers & 2010 Packers). From 1966-2004 in the NFL playoffs, this only happened twice.
(4) Since the 2005-2006 NFL season, the team with the best AFC record has only faced off with the team with the best NFC record in the Superbowl once (2009 Saints vs. 2009 Colts).
(5) Since 2006, underdogs have covered six of the last seven Superbowls match ups and have won four of them outright. From 1990-2006, only four underdogs total had ever won the Superbowl outright.
(6) From 1998 -2004,teams that had a first-round bye in the NFL playoffs won the Superbowl 6 out of those 7 years. From 2006-2012, teams that have had a first round bye in the NFL playoffs have won the Superbowl only 2 of those 7 years.
(7) Since 1966, dome teams are 3-22 when playing an NFL play off game outdoors and the weather is 35 degrees or colder.
(8) From 2005-06 season till 2012-13 NFL season, we have had one monster upset in round 2 of the NFL postseason every year: (2005 Steelers +9.5 at Colts; 2006 Patriots +4.5 at San Diego, 2007 Chargers +11.5 at Colts, 2008 Cardinals +10.5 at Panthers, 2009 Jets +9.5 at San Diego, 2010 Jets +10 at Patriots, 2011 NY Giants +8.5 at Packers and the 2012 Ravens +9 at Broncos).
Final Conclusion: The NFL has been a parody league where it doesn't matter what record you finish or what seeding you have in the post season as long as you make it in somehow. Home field advantage has meant nothing the past seven NFL seasons after meaning a lot the past 30 seasons. In gambling, road dogs are hitting in the NFL playoffs a ton over the past seven years as well. Wild card teams seem to have a better shot off making the Super Bowl than the top 3 seeds from either conference. The "No One Believes In Us" teams like Green bay or San Diego have a combined 55% liklihood of one of those two teams making it to the Big Dance (yikes!)
Do we continue on this path to mayhem and total randomness when betting and trying to predict Superbowl bound teams for the 2013-14 NFL playoffs or do we "buck the trend" this year and return back to the good old days of the 1985-2005 playoff seasons?
