First post ever and 49ers at Packers is screaming

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  • WhatALoser
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-30-13
    • 278

    #1
    First post ever and 49ers at Packers is screaming
    San Fran 49ers -2.5(-110)

    First post, small time gambler here but indeed, I am a loser. There was -1 and -2 available with juice early on but for the most part this is the number available now. I very much doubt this will stay at 2.5.

    What I saw yesterday was an uneasy, frightened QB in A.Rodgers who quite frankly isn't ready to start a playoff game against a top notch defense. It's one thing to pick apart a poor Bears defense and throw a game winning TD against an incompetent safety in Chris Conte but it's completely another thing to pick apart a defense who, heading into the Cardinal game yesterday, has given up the fifth fewest yards per play this season(4.8). Packers defensive coordinator Dom Capers is just flat out awful and needs to go, pronto. His defense has struggled in their last 3 games against the 49ers and this weekend will be no different, especially with LB Clay Mathews out and Nick Perry struggling with a foot injury. Wide Receiver Michael Crabtree's return makes San Fran that more dangerous and it's unrealistic to expect this Packer defense to hold this 49er offense to under 30 points. The weather is expected to be cold and snowy which is probably part of the reason why it's so low but I don't mind one bit because San Fran can ground and pound with the best of them. I wouldn't waste my hard earned cash on the Packers even at home, this just isn't the spot.
  • mikemca
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-10-10
    • 10047

    #2
    Like it


    Comment
    • Mr KLC
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-19-07
      • 31097

      #3
      Welcome to the board. GL!
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        SF not a good cold weather team

        Be careful
        Comment
        • Dirty Sanchez
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-01-10
          • 16031

          #5
          Get back to the newbie forum and think about your future at SBR before making such rash posts
          Comment
          • WhatALoser
            SBR Sharp
            • 12-30-13
            • 278

            #6
            Quick correction and is exactly why I'm a loser, Clay Matthews has not been ruled out. If he does play, he will obviously play with a cast of some sort which will make tackling in the snow if there is some, that more difficult.
            Comment
            • Dirty Sanchez
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-01-10
              • 16031

              #7
              Originally posted by WhatALoser
              Quick correction and is exactly why I'm a loser, Clay Matthews has not been ruled out. If he does play, he will obviously play with a cast of some sort which will make tackling in the snow if there is some, that more difficult.
              Also makes punching in the nuts more painful
              Comment
              • crustyme
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-29-10
                • 16896

                #8
                refs are on the packers.
                Comment
                • slacker00
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-06-05
                  • 12262

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Dirty Sanchez
                  Also makes punching in the nuts more painful
                  It's made out of NERF. It's not like the old NFL days when players would basically play with a metal pipe in their sleeve.
                  Comment
                  • Madison
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-16-11
                    • 6460

                    #10
                    Am I mistaken or did Arz throw for 400 yds against them yesterday. Little concerning??
                    Comment
                    • coogs08
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 10-30-09
                      • 96

                      #11
                      I'm not sure if I will be making a play on this game, but if was to, my initial lean is on the Packers solely due to their offensive capabilities.

                      Eddie Lacy is a horse back there and I think Rodgers and Cobb were able to shake a lot of rust off against the Bears. Cobb looked great on his first TD catch, his route running was crisp and will only get better in the next game. With Rodgers having two of his top receivers back, the opposing defense can't solely focus on shutting down Jordy Nelson (as we saw against the bears). This will also open up the running game for Lacy as SF can't stack the box. SF's defense is definitely legit, don't get me wrong, but Rodgers gets the ball out of there as quick as any QB in the league, and can create huge plays off simple slant routes should SF blitz.

                      Apologies for rambling on, best of luck on your bet!
                      Comment
                      • InTheDrink
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-23-09
                        • 23983

                        #12
                        Welcome Loser!
                        Comment
                        • BigdaddyQH
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-13-09
                          • 19530

                          #13
                          This is easy. The 49ers are the second best team in the NFC. Green Bay's defense is just terrible. -2 1/2 is a gift.
                          Comment
                          • stevenash
                            Moderator
                            • 01-17-11
                            • 65675

                            #14
                            Welcome aboard
                            Comment
                            • WhatALoser
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-30-13
                              • 278

                              #15
                              In this day in age, stats are overrated. Back in the days, a 1,000 yard rusher was considered great, now not so much. We can go back and forth with stats all day but from a handicapping perspective, I don't see how anybody can feel great betting the Packers here. I see no edge because well, there is none. I still have concerns over that injured ankle of Lacy's and Cobb was only targeted a few times against that very poor Bears defense. If home field and weather is enough to make a bet on Green Bay +2.5, I respect that but don't agree with it. I know I would probably need a full touchdown.
                              Comment
                              • indio
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 06-03-11
                                • 751

                                #16
                                I agree with you that San Fran will beat Green Bay rather handily, but was it really necessary to use all bold letters? Gave up reading it after 2 sentences cause I was getting a headache.
                                Comment
                                • slacker00
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-06-05
                                  • 12262

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by coogs08
                                  I'm not sure if I will be making a play on this game, but if was to, my initial lean is on the Packers solely due to their offensive capabilities.
                                  There are 3 sides to a football team: offense, defense & special teams. Think of a 3 legged stool.
                                  Comment
                                  • stevenash
                                    Moderator
                                    • 01-17-11
                                    • 65675

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by slacker00
                                    There are 3 sides to a football team: offense, defense & special teams. Think of a 3 legged stool.
                                    Exactly.
                                    My pee-wee coach told us that a long time ago, if you win 2 out of the 3 or better, you will win the game. (most times)
                                    Comment
                                    • WhatALoser
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 12-30-13
                                      • 278

                                      #19
                                      Going off of Packers head coach McCarthy's press conference, he sure had a tone of a guy who thought Clay Matthews was going to be out. 49ers cornerback Carlos Rogers is dealing with a hamstring issue but should be ready to play. A lot of 3's at ev are popping up for SF and 2.5's at -120. Pinny -117.
                                      Comment
                                      • RickyRoma
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-24-13
                                        • 624

                                        #20
                                        49ers are the play here or nothing imo, but if rodgers plays well packers could pull it off
                                        Comment
                                        • thechaoz
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-23-09
                                          • 12154

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by jjgold
                                          SF not a good cold weather team
                                          Be careful
                                          Wrong. They are built for the cold weather. Great defense, great special teams, 3 headed monster at rb, great kicker and an offense with a lot of weapons.

                                          They rolled up into new England last year in similar conditions and dropped massive points
                                          Comment
                                          • Big Bear
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 11-01-11
                                            • 43253

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                            This is easy. The 49ers are the second best team in the NFC. Green Bay's defense is just terrible. -2 1/2 is a gift.
                                            Comment
                                            • Big Bear
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 11-01-11
                                              • 43253

                                              #23
                                              Taking a team that is traveling 3,000 miles to play in -4 degree temperatures in a hostile enviorment
                                              laying points with an eratic QB with an akward throwing motion is NOT a gift.

                                              Take the revenge minded home dog with the best QB in the NFL
                                              Comment
                                              • slacker00
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-06-05
                                                • 12262

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                Taking a team that is traveling 3,000 miles to play in -4 degree temperatures in a hostile enviorment
                                                laying points with an eratic QB with an akward throwing motion is NOT a gift.

                                                Take the revenge minded home dog with the best QB in the NFL
                                                Revenge? SF has rolled GB 3 times straight. Do you know what happens to 0-3 teams in this spot? They go 0-4.

                                                Also, GB is a losing team when the temp gets below freezing. Cold is about defense and GB's D flat out sucks.
                                                Comment
                                                • lakerboy
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-02-09
                                                  • 94379

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by slacker00
                                                  Revenge? SF has rolled GB 3 times straight. Do you know what happens to 0-3 teams in this spot? They go 0-4.

                                                  Also, GB is a losing team when the temp gets below freezing. Cold is about defense and GB's D flat out sucks.

                                                  to be fair the last two meetings were in sf- back to back games for gb. gb defense cant stop this sf team. the big factor might be the weather. it could help gb somewhat if its really cold like they say its gonna be.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • slacker00
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-06-05
                                                    • 12262

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                    to be fair the last two meetings were in sf- back to back games for gb. gb defense cant stop this sf team. the big factor might be the weather. it could help gb somewhat if its really cold like they say its gonna be.
                                                    Colder weather only favors defense and special teams, which ironically favors SF.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • packerd_00
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 05-22-13
                                                      • 17812

                                                      #27
                                                      Ill take the Packers in this one thanks. If you think he will be tentative in this game your kidding yourself.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • slacker00
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-06-05
                                                        • 12262

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by packerd_00
                                                        Ill take the Packers in this one thanks. If you think he will be tentative in this game your kidding yourself.
                                                        Even if Rodgers hangs 35 on SF, which is unlikely, it probably won't be enough.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • packerd_00
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 05-22-13
                                                          • 17812

                                                          #29
                                                          Well see man I can see this being a tight game,would sooner just sit back and enjoy.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • face
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-31-11
                                                            • 14740

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by slacker00
                                                            Colder weather only favors defense and special teams, which ironically favors SF.
                                                            such a good point
                                                            glad we have slacker posts
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lakerboy
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 04-02-09
                                                              • 94379

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by slacker00
                                                              Colder weather only favors defense and special teams, which ironically favors SF.

                                                              this statement is incorrect and you know that.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Snowball
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 11-15-09
                                                                • 30058

                                                                #32
                                                                No way I would bet against Green Bay at sub-freezing temps in Lambeau.
                                                                San Fran is walking into a trap.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • slacker00
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-06-05
                                                                  • 12262

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                  this statement is incorrect and you know that.
                                                                  Look up the data. Look at games below 16 degrees, most scores look like 20-17 or 23-20.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • slacker00
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-06-05
                                                                    • 12262

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Snowball
                                                                    No way I would bet against Green Bay at sub-freezing temps in Lambeau.
                                                                    San Fran is walking into a trap.
                                                                    GB is 2-5 ATS and 3-4 straight up in the last 7 home playoff games below freezing. Nothing impressive about that.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • thunderous
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-05-12
                                                                      • 1870

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by slacker00
                                                                      GB is 2-5 ATS and 3-4 straight up in the last 7 home playoff games below freezing. Nothing impressive about that.
                                                                      Anyone can make up stats like these....they don't mean anything.
                                                                      Comment
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