The SEAHAWKS are practically a lock to win the NFC -- But are +100 some places

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  • LeahMichele
    Restricted User
    • 12-30-11
    • 857

    #1
    The SEAHAWKS are practically a lock to win the NFC -- But are +100 some places
    The SEAHAWKS are practically a lock to win the NFC. Several sportsbooks have them to win the NFC anywhere from +100 to -140. sportsbook.com has them -110, a few lesser known books have +100. I think this is absurd. They have HFA locked up, they would have to lose 3 games to not get HFA and even if they lost 3 of their last 4 they would get HFA with a Saints + panthers loss somewhere. Saints and Panthers split home and home, and the Seahawks go 1-3 in their last 4 and the Hawks still get HFA. So really the HAWKS have HFA locked up. They have to win 2 home games to win the NFC. They will do this easily, in fact they will likely win those 2 games by 20 +. Tell me who in the NFC can win in Seattle ?
  • innovation
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-27-12
    • 6218

    #2
    I already said the Saints will win the next matchup @ Seattle.....hard for people to get their heads around that.
    Comment
    • LordVodka
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-17-09
      • 5206

      #3
      I don't believe they can win it. They are a good team, very good but the Saints can beat them if they actually try.
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65728

        #4
        On any given Sunday........
        Comment
        • LeahMichele
          Restricted User
          • 12-30-11
          • 857

          #5
          Originally posted by LordVodka
          I don't believe they can win it. They are a good team, very good but the Saints can beat them if they actually try.
          You don't believe the Saints were trying to win and get in the drivers seat for HFA the other night when they got demolished ?
          Comment
          • LeahMichele
            Restricted User
            • 12-30-11
            • 857

            #6
            Originally posted by stevenash
            On any given Sunday........
            Sure its true anything can happen, but since we are betting im saying that +100 is crazy +EV, even the -140 is + EV.
            Comment
            • LeahMichele
              Restricted User
              • 12-30-11
              • 857

              #7
              Originally posted by LordVodka
              I don't believe they can win it. They are a good team, very good but the Saints can beat them if they actually try.
              Honestly I don't think the Saints, 49ers, or Panthers can even stay close at Seattle. None of them have been able to and that crowd will just get louder as SB gets closer. If the Seahawks have a bad game, they may only win by 6 or 7, otherwise they will roll whoever they play in the NFC. Every playoff team in the NFC needed to pray that the Seahawaks did not get HFA. If you get the Hawks at your place, you might beat them. But you gotta go to Seattle, you gonna lose. Russell Wilson has never lost a home game. Even the year the Hawks sucked and finished 7-9 and made the playoffs, they still kicked the Saints butt in the playoffs because the game was in Seattle. That year Saints were like 12-4 and seahawks were 7-9. it didn't matter because the game was in Seattle.
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              • cankid
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-22-08
                • 7239

                #8
                I think the playoffs are a diff beast, I agree Seattle are monsters but I also think we have not seen the best game from the Saints or the 49 ers. On any given day turnovers are a great equalizer.
                Comment
                • Mike Huntertz
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-19-09
                  • 11207

                  #9
                  Originally posted by LordVodka
                  I don't believe they can win it. They are a good team, very good but the Saints can beat them if they actually try.
                  So the Saints don't actually try sometimes???
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    funny that everyone thinks sea cant be beat at home..just takes the right team.. and no it aint the punk ass saints.. panthers on the other hand bring a gm that travels well and Cam likes the big stage..
                    Comment
                    • Big Bear
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 11-01-11
                      • 43253

                      #11
                      wait til SF 49ers whoop they ass and then bet them at a better #
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #12
                        Considering Tampa, Tennessee & Carolina all had legit shots to win @ Seattle - any of the playoff teams will have a shot with the correct game plan and also not turning it over.
                        Comment
                        • daneblazer
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 09-14-08
                          • 27861

                          #13
                          Decent chance they'll match up against two of Carolina/SF/New Orleans in their games. Any of those teams can beat them... they're going to be a tough out though.
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                            Considering Tampa, Tennessee & Carolina all had legit shots to win @ Seattle - any of the playoff teams will have a shot with the correct game plan and also not turning it over.
                            panthers havnt been to sea lately.. last 2 years sea played carolina in carolina and escaped with narrow victories.. i dont think it matters to panthers where the gm is played tho, they wont be rattled by the environment plus defense and cam travel..only team i think can do it, niners get shook in that building, saints aint beating any of the physical teams in the playoffs,, i guess you could give det a punchers chance with their front 4 and that offense but they too stupid to win a gm like that.. panthers gotta be the team to go to sea and knock them off..
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #15
                              Originally posted by daneblazer
                              Decent chance they'll match up against two of Carolina/SF/New Orleans in their games. Any of those teams can beat them... they're going to be a tough out though.
                              saints have no chance outside the drunken dome where they get every call..
                              Comment
                              • stevenash
                                Moderator
                                • 01-17-11
                                • 65728

                                #16
                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                funny that everyone thinks sea cant be beat at home..just takes the right team.. and no it aint the punk ass saints.. panthers on the other hand bring a gm that travels well and Cam likes the big stage..
                                This is not directed at 2dabank

                                Packers were supposed to be unbeatable at home in 2007, how'd that work out?

                                Even if you get even money on Seattle getting to the Super Bowl, several things must happen.
                                1) They have to earn home field through out. It looks good right now, but it's not locked up yet.
                                They still have to beat SF at their place, then jet coast to coast and beat the Giants at the Meadowlands.
                                Do that, Seattle gets home field through out.
                                2) Win back to back playoff teams at home, providing Seattle wins those two road games, Niners are tough at home, and don't think Giants are going to roll over and play dead either.
                                3) Let's say Seattle needs to win their last two games at home to earn the #1 overall seed, for you to collect your even money prop bet, you would pretty much need to win a 4 team, Seattle/Seattle/Seattle/Seattle parlay.

                                That's a lot of 'moving parts' for an even money wager
                                Comment
                                • StackinGreen
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-09-10
                                  • 12140

                                  #17
                                  Is it me or was Nash's post above nonsensical?

                                  Giants? Seriously? That's what your tough argument is predicated on?
                                  Comment
                                  • lakerboy
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 94379

                                    #18
                                    There is ZERO chance seattle loses at home in the playoffs if wilson is the qb. ZERO. Books love to play the field. It gives them the advantage. Carolina is the only team in the nfl that can beat seattle in a playoff game in seattle. The only reason is because they have a great defense.
                                    Comment
                                    • stevenash
                                      Moderator
                                      • 01-17-11
                                      • 65728

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                      Is it me or was Nash's post above nonsensical?

                                      Giants? Seriously? That's what your tough argument is predicated on?
                                      No, that's a part of multi part scenario.
                                      Reading comprehension is not your strong suit, is it?

                                      And even if it was, and it was not, I'll slow down this time so you can understand it.

                                      You think it's going to be a walk in the park for the Seahawks to fly coast to coast, waltz into the Meadowlands, in that wind tunnel, in the dead of winter, and expect the Giants to roll over and play dead?
                                      What do you think, the bookies are making the Giants a double digit home dog or something?

                                      I'll repeat, beating the Giants, on the road, is one part of a multi part scenario.

                                      Does that clear things up Corky?





                                      '
                                      Comment
                                      • d2bets
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-10-05
                                        • 39995

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by LeahMichele
                                        The SEAHAWKS are practically a lock to win the NFC. Several sportsbooks have them to win the NFC anywhere from +100 to -140. sportsbook.com has them -110, a few lesser known books have +100. I think this is absurd. They have HFA locked up, they would have to lose 3 games to not get HFA and even if they lost 3 of their last 4 they would get HFA with a Saints + panthers loss somewhere. Saints and Panthers split home and home, and the Seahawks go 1-3 in their last 4 and the Hawks still get HFA. So really the HAWKS have HFA locked up. They have to win 2 home games to win the NFC. They will do this easily, in fact they will likely win those 2 games by 20 +. Tell me who in the NFC can win in Seattle ?
                                        Let's assume they get HFA. What do you think the line might be in each of the two playoff games? And this is assuming they don't suffer injuries.
                                        Comment
                                        • Slimpickens
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-28-12
                                          • 2030

                                          #21
                                          Seattle wil probably have to face the 49ers in the divisional round and then whoever wins the south Panthers or Saints in the title game. Hopefully the Panthers for those wishing to view a competitive game. Even money is a fair price.
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by d2bets
                                            Let's assume they get HFA. What do you think the line might be in each of the two playoff games? And this is assuming they don't suffer injuries.
                                            no clue who they would play the 1st gm but nfc champ gm panthers/seachickens sea-4.5
                                            Comment
                                            • StackinGreen
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-09-10
                                              • 12140

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by stevenash

                                              And even if it was, and it was not, I'll slow down this time so you can understand it.

                                              You think it's going to be a walk in the park for the Seahawks to fly coast to coast, waltz into the Meadowlands, in that wind tunnel, in the dead of winter, and expect the Giants to roll over and play dead?
                                              What do you think, the bookies are making the Giants a double digit home dog or something?

                                              '
                                              Putting all ad hominem aside, the answer to your Giants question is YES it will be a walk in the park.

                                              Do I think any future is a good bet, though? NO

                                              Relax, bro
                                              Comment
                                              • Kaabee
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-21-06
                                                • 2482

                                                #24
                                                the odds of seattle not having HFA is extremely low. SF needs miracle (win all/SEA lose all). carolina and new orleans play each other twice. if they split seattle needs to lose all 4.
                                                Comment
                                                • BetsandBeer
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-06-13
                                                  • 220

                                                  #25
                                                  seattle didnt get any luck and fried the saints

                                                  they also fried the niners at home

                                                  they played down to some crap teams and still ended up winning



                                                  i go them at +190 NFC a couple weeks ago and i love them here

                                                  newton is not winning a huge game on the road like that no fukin way

                                                  real odds they win NFC is like 59%
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ChiLLx
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-24-11
                                                    • 5412

                                                    #26
                                                    Panthers or niners could win there in January.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by BetsandBeer
                                                      seattle didnt get any luck and fried the saints

                                                      they also fried the niners at home

                                                      they played down to some crap teams and still ended up winning



                                                      i go them at +190 NFC a couple weeks ago and i love them here

                                                      newton is not winning a huge game on the road like that no fukin way

                                                      real odds they win NFC is like 59%
                                                      yea wilson has won much bigger games in his life than cam
                                                      Comment
                                                      • stevenash
                                                        Moderator
                                                        • 01-17-11
                                                        • 65728

                                                        #28
                                                        Some people around here acting like Seahawks are the second coming of the '85 Bears.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cankid
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 08-22-08
                                                          • 7239

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                          There is ZERO chance seattle loses at home in the playoffs if wilson is the qb. ZERO. Books love to play the field. It gives them the advantage. Carolina is the only team in the nfl that can beat seattle in a playoff game in seattle. The only reason is because they have a great defense.

                                                          I agree there is little chance but saying there is zero change is not true
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MoneyLineDawg
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-01-09
                                                            • 13253

                                                            #30
                                                            It's essentially +100 on a 2 game Seahawks parlay at home against 2 of the following: Panthers, Saints, Lions, 49ers, Cowboys
                                                            Comment
                                                            • strictlypaypal
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 12-05-12
                                                              • 471

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by BetsandBeer
                                                              newton is not winning a huge game on the road like that no fukin way
                                                              tell that to alabama, college or not Newton isn't afraid and has been in situations like that and delivered. you either have that gene or you don't. now idk if Carolina is for real but if they get to that spot I'm taking CAR and the points. That Offense will not be shook one bit especially with steve smith leading the pack. and that defense is something else. like said above all it take is a turnover and that crowd will shut the f up. GO NINERS
                                                              Comment
                                                              • droop828
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 09-10-11
                                                                • 175

                                                                #32
                                                                Anything can happen in sports but every smart bettor would take my Hawks to come out of the NFC right now. Seattle will eventually lose at home but it's probably not going to happen this season. Going back to NC State, Wilson has won 26 straight home games. The offensive line has gotten healthy and the starters are now starting to gel and chances are Percy will be full go for the playoffs just adds to the offense. The defense is the defense.

                                                                Carolina is the only team that could come into Seattle in January and pull off the upset. Seattle is in the 49ers head at the CLink. The Saints aren't going to win in the elements. With CJ the Lions always have a punchers chance but I'm good with Sherman on him and Stafford would throw 2 pics minimum in that game. Carolina has the best chance with that defense but Seattle is a horrible match up for Newton.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • easyliving
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 06-25-12
                                                                  • 8876

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Niners will win the NFC
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 2daBank
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 88966

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by droop828
                                                                    Anything can happen in sports but every smart bettor would take my Hawks to come out of the NFC right now. Seattle will eventually lose at home but it's probably not going to happen this season. Going back to NC State, Wilson has won 26 straight home games. The offensive line has gotten healthy and the starters are now starting to gel and chances are Percy will be full go for the playoffs just adds to the offense. The defense is the defense.

                                                                    Carolina is the only team that could come into Seattle in January and pull off the upset. Seattle is in the 49ers head at the CLink. The Saints aren't going to win in the elements. With CJ the Lions always have a punchers chance but I'm good with Sherman on him and Stafford would throw 2 pics minimum in that game. Carolina has the best chance with that defense but Seattle is a horrible match up for Newton.
                                                                    any more so than panthers d is for wilson? would like to know what you mean by that actually? i mean sea d isnt a good matchup for anyone but the fact they play so much man i would think that would give cam the opportunity to get out in the open field more.. just curious what you mean or you just saying they a bad matchup for any qb which is true..
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by easyliving
                                                                      Niners will win the NFC
                                                                      if crabtree continues to make progress and is his old self by playoffs they will be tough but they need to really put it on sea this week i believe if they have any chance of going to sea and beating them cause as of now keap has yet to beat them and has been pistol whipped in both his trips to sea, they gotta establish some confidence that they can play with these guys or i just dont see them doing anything but going back to that mad house and getting whipped again..
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