chiefs only a 3 point fave against skins. what am I missing?

[seaborneq]

Chiefs should win this one by double digits. Andy Reid rights the ship this weekend. Follow me to the promise land.

[ChrisInTheMist]

What do u expect the line to be? All of the chiefs games are close

[Big Bear]

vegas is way off on this one

[Easy-Rider 66]

This line does look suspicious. Would think it would more like -4.5/5. Deadskins were finished weeks ago. Like KC at that short number.

[Joey Blaze]

Honestly I only get a feeling like I have on this game every few weeks.. if the Chiefs lose this game I would strongly consider walking away from football for the rest of the reason.. clearly if the Chiefs lose here I have no business betting on football..

This game is not even about money to me.. this is validation I can spot a weak line when I see one.. BETTING CHIEFS HEAVY HERE

[inTomWeTrust]

youre are gonnna be SO SQUASHED you have no idea hahahahhahhahahaa

[Joey Blaze]

youre are gonnna be SO SQUASHED you have no idea hahahahhahhahahaa

I cant even take you serious..

[2daBank]

Honestly I only get a feeling like I have on this game every few weeks.. if the Chiefs lose this game I would strongly consider walking away from football for the rest of the reason.. clearly if the Chiefs lose here I have no business betting on football..

This game is not even about money to me.. this is validation I can spot a weak line when I see one.. BETTING CHIEFS HEAVY HERE

how is line weak? lets say skins home field is worth 2.5ish..that makes kc-5.5/6 on a neutral field, -9 maybe 10 at home considering they have a strong home field..so how is line weak? kc aint built to beat big spreads, they were -4.5 to nyg at home when they were reeling and nyg isnt 6 points better than skins.. i think kc prob wins but the whole "team has quit" theory rarely holds water as it doesnt happen often,,ppl were saying phins were going in the tank just a few weeks ago after tampa beat them..

[jjgold]

The more I watch Washington and RG they're not that good

Kansas City is primed for a big win

[Tommy Blingshyne]

youre are gonnna be SO SQUASHED you have no idea hahahahhahhahahaa

coming from the guy that said chiefs should be -8.5 on the road vs washington and that theyd only be -11.5 at home based on that number...CMON...HA!

[StackinGreen]

All ratings say KC is ~9 points better after taking home field into consideration ...

just sayin'

[frostno98]

First road game for Alex Smith where Mike Shanahan should be able to take advantage of that D. The Chefs are playing with little confidence right now after thinking they were invincible. RG3 has the game of his life

[pavyracer]

Chiefs should win this one by double digits. Andy Reid rights the ship this weekend. Follow me to the promise land.

How many teams have won games on the road this year by double digits?

[Joey Blaze]

rg3 has the game of his life

highly unlikely given the fact Andy reid knows the skins very well given all the years he was behind the wheel in philly

[seaborneq]

How many teams have won games on the road this year by double digits?

St Louis took it to indy a few weeks ago. San Francisco took it to Washington last week, and philly routed Oakland in foles 7 td game to name a few off the top of my head

[pavyracer]

St Louis took it to indy a few weeks ago. San Francisco took it to Washington last week, and philly routed Oakland in foles 7 td game to name a few off the top of my head

So out of 200 games that have been played so far this year you only remember 3 big road wins.

[seaborneq]

So out of 200 games that have been played so far this year you only remember 3 big road wins.

You act as if it hasnt happened all year. Im sure it is at least 10 more. Play the skins pavy and let it ride.

[pavyracer]

You asked in the thread title what are you missing? What you are missing is statistics.

[dnwjdl]

how is line weak? lets say skins home field is worth 2.5ish..that makes kc-5.5/6 on a neutral field, -9 maybe 10 at home considering they have a strong home field..so how is line weak? kc aint built to beat big spreads, they were -4.5 to nyg at home when they were reeling and nyg isnt 6 points better than skins.. i think kc prob wins but the whole "team has quit" theory rarely holds water as it doesnt happen often,,ppl were saying phins were going in the tank just a few weeks ago after tampa beat them..

Agreed! I don't understand why so many people think this line is off. Seems reasonable to me. I would NEVER bet on KC on this spot.

[frostno98]

The key things here is the Chiefs are on a 3 game skid. The Chiefs should of easily lost in Buffalo to a 3rd string QB in Jeff Tuel if it weren't for 14 points scored by the defense! The oddsmaker are not sold on Alex Smith or that Chiefs defense getting it done on the road. Plus, the Chiefs hasn't really done anything so far to prove they are capable of winning on the road.

[ck7]

Chiefs are a joke.

[EaglesPhan36]

Injuries hurting a defense that was already sliding in the wrong direction. Skins can hurt KC where its most vulnerable - against the pass. If the weather isn't terrible, I think this is a shootout with both passing games putting up numbers ... you find out a lot about a team when they start playing with pressure which is what KC has on them now. It's easy to play well when expectations are low as they were to start the season and you racked up wins on a bunch of fairly rotten teams ... I think playing a side is this one is not a good idea.

[2daBank]

Injuries hurting a defense that was already sliding in the wrong direction. Skins can hurt KC where its most vulnerable - against the pass. If the weather isn't terrible, I think this is a shootout with both passing games putting up numbers ... you find out a lot about a team when they start playing with pressure which is what KC has on them now. It's easy to play well when expectations are low as they were to start the season and you racked up wins on a bunch of fairly rotten teams ... I think playing a side is this one is not a good idea.

is kc more vulnerable against the pass than run? i guess i think run cause even when the pass d was playing well you could run on them.. either way skins can hurt them with both, i suspect you right and both offenses have their way by ground or by air..

[seaborneq]

Rg3 is playing horrible right now. No way I would play thd skins.

[Joey Blaze]

"Kansas City head coach Andy Reid knows more about the NFC East than most outside the division, having waddled the sidelines in Philadelphia for 13 seasons. That inside info has shown in the Chiefs record versus NFC East teams this season, with Kansas City going 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS against Dallas, New York and Philadelphia.

Washington has fallen far from the class of the NFC East in just one season, lugging a 3-9 record into Week 14. Quarterback Robert Griffin III is no longer a dual-threat dynamo, having been put on a short leash as a pocket passer to protect his wonky knees. The Redskins have done a terrible job protecting him and have allowed RG3 to be sacked 15 times in the past three games - all loses SU and ATS. The Chiefs pass rush isn’t as potent as earlier in the season but still has teeth, especially with Reid exploiting Washington’s weakness."

[jt315]

For those who follow trends here is some support for Washington.
Teams with a win percentage of .250 or less, from game 8 on, that have lost 3 or more consecutive games but allowed 30 points or less in their most recent game are 65-26-2 ATS as home underdogs against teams with a winning record, including 44-10-2 ATS since 1993 and 1-0 this year with Houston +7 over New England last week.
That angle plays on Washington +3 over Kansas City.

[Sledge187]

The line is weak - Your weak!

[SportsMushroom]

chiefs win by defence, they are not a blowout team, hence the low line

and i think you underestimate the importance of home field advantage



also you have to remember, chiefs are worst than what their record suggest and wash is better than theirs, line is perfect imo

[Joey Blaze]

also you have to remember, chiefs are worst than what their record suggest and wash is better than theirs, line is perfect imo

thats where we disagree I think the skins are exactly as good as their record suggests

[k13]

Line should be -1

[ck7]

thats where we disagree I think the skins are exactly as good as their record suggests

No unfortunately this is far from the truth.

[Joey Blaze]

No unfortunately this is far from the truth.

thats your opinion.. lets see if you really leave this site for good if the hawks beat the 49'ers

[ck7]

thats your opinion.. lets see if you really leave this site for good if the hawks beat the 49'ers

Its not going to happen but if it did yes I will.

[YOUNG MONKEY]

damn we got some betting competiton hahaha i would go with skins just because seems like everyone think kc will blow them out.but redskins at home rg3 might have his best game of the season . I would take skins because i "think"they will win outright.

[YOUNG MONKEY]

and oh yeah ive been betting the redskins the last two weeks -.- losses