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what time you list plays d2d?Comment -
Hey guys, went on a couple of day leave down to Washington State to piss around, drink and gamble my face off. Let's just say that Tulalip Casino was quite happy to see me leave for the great white north.
Plays will be posted tomorrow am for the NFL card. I should be sharp as tonight I am watching the start of the Breaking Bad series and getting some sleep.
Cheers!!Comment -
Here we are guys....GL everyone and enjoy the games!!
218930188-1 12/29/13 7:18am $119.00 $100.00 Pending 12/29/13 8:30pm Reduced Football 316 Dallas Cowboys +7 -119* <small>vs</small> Philadelphia Eagles 218930188-2 12/29/13 7:18am $50.00 $65.50 Pending 12/29/13 1:00pm Reduced Football 319 Detroit Lions +131* <small>vs</small> Minnesota Vikings 218930188-3 12/29/13 7:18am $50.00 $50.00 Pending 12/29/13 4:25pm Reduced Football 322 New England Patriots -7½ +100* <small>vs</small> Buffalo Bills 218930188-4 12/29/13 7:18am $102.00 $100.00 Pending 12/29/13 4:25pm Reduced Football 325 Denver Broncos/Oakland Raiders Over 53½ -102* 218930188-5 12/29/13 7:18am $50.00 $51.50 Pending 12/29/13 4:25pm Reduced Football 328 Arizona Cardinals +103* <small>vs</small> San Francisco 49ers 218930188-6 12/29/13 7:18am $162.00 $150.00 Pending 12/29/13 4:25pm Reduced Football 329 Kansas City Chiefs/San Diego Chargers Over 44½ -108* 218930188-7 12/29/13 7:18am $105.00 $100.00 Pending 12/29/13 4:25pm Reduced Football 331 St. Louis Rams +12 -105* <small>vs</small> Seattle Seahawks 218930051-1 12/29/13 7:09am $100.00 $109.00 Pending 12/29/13 1:00pm Reduced Football 311 Baltimore Ravens +6½ +109* <small>vs</small> Cincinnati Bengals 218930051-2 12/29/13 7:09am $101.00 $100.00 Pending 12/29/13 1:00pm Reduced Football 318 Miami Dolphins -6 -101* <small>vs</small> New York Jets 218930051-3 12/29/13 7:09am $100.00 $111.00 Pending 12/29/13 1:00pm Reduced Football 319 Detroit Lions +2½ +111* <small>vs</small> Minnesota Vikings Comment -
Adding our NHL plays for the day.....and yes, three road teams.....lol.
218931706-1 12/29/13 8:21am $130.00 $100.00 Pending 12/29/13 5:05pm Reduced Hockey 3 Washington Capitals -130* <small>vs</small> Buffalo Sabres 218931706-2 12/29/13 8:21am $100.00 $120.00 Pending 12/29/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 11 Carolina Hurricanes +120* <small>vs</small> Toronto Maple Leafs 218931706-3 12/29/13 8:21am $100.00 $150.00 Pending 12/29/13 10:35pm Reduced Hockey 19 Anaheim Ducks +150* <small>vs</small> San Jose Sharks Comment -
LoL all ur plays for NFL are almost same as mine, i hope we have a good weekend
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Like your plays D2D. I have a question about your POD. It is obvious these guys play high scoring FB now, but what you think about KC pulling their starters out, because they have a spot in playoff so don't want to rush em. That could lead them playing poor.
Another thing, there is no line for this yet, but I would think a MIA/NYJ Sacks over whatever is the number. Do you consider this a good bet? NYJ defense line is terrific, Wilkerson could get 2 maybe, otherside Wake and Co. gets the job done.
Thank you for your reply.Comment -
Taking starters out means taking starters out on defense as well as offense, and frankly I think they play their big guns the first 3 series, maybe even more. I don't think this game will mean anything to either team, as by the time the game rolls around San Diego should be eliminated. That means that they will be playing for stats, Rivers wants to reclaim his position as one of the best and with a good game he could make this into his best year as a starter stats-wise, Matthews wants to show that he will be a stud next year, Woodhead wants to break 1000 yards from scrimmage for the first time in his career.....KC can and will run the ball very well in this game whether Charles plays or not (and I believe he will) and even with Davis starting he will be looking to make up for the two fumbles last week.....there are a lot of reasons that I see this game going over.
The result of the game may be very dependant on whether or not SD has a shot to get in....but the total should be solid either way.
As for the sacks bet, I VERY rarely play any props and therefor do not give out advice on them.Comment -
I have seen several people in the sbr forums picking cowboys +7 today and I can't figure it out as I am on the Eagles money line. What is the thought process here? The Dallas defense is the worst in the league and now without Romo… I just don't see it. Cowboys get blown out by the Bears, lose to GB by a point and then barely squeak one out against Washington in a game they needed. They're facing a hot Eagles team in a win or go home situation with the highest rated passer…and we all know how bad the Dallas defense is against the pass. I see a 10 point or larger victory for the Eagles but wanted to hear from D2D and others who might have more in depth analysis.
Also, I'm getting horrific odds in comparison to what you got D2D. For example, on the Lions, sports book.com has them at -115. WTF? It is the same for most of the other plays as well. Could it be that the book modifies individual's odds after they have won a certain amount?Last edited by l3randonf; 12-29-13, 11:39 AM.Comment -
Yep, all valid points. The problem is that the Eagles will take Dallas, without Romo, lightly. The Cowboys should be able to run the ball enough to score and at the very least keep this game close.
The Eagles have a ton of holes, their defence is hit and miss, their QB has never played a game of this importance and there is a good chance that they will play tight.Comment -
No book would ever do that. It would be entirely too easy for you to call a friend or log out of your account and find their true odds.
I got my games in very early and lines may have moved considerably. Detroit changed when Peterson was ruled out and again when Calvin Johnson was ruled out.Comment -
Why do you have Lions to win with straight up and another one with +2,5 handicap?Comment -
12/29/13 4:25pm Reduced Football 328 Arizona Cardinals +103* <small>vs</small> San Francisco 49ers
This seems to be changed to -148 now. Can this be possible or is one of them a bad line?Comment -
12/29 10:25 AM +128 -138 12/29 10:25 AM +130 -140 12/29 10:20 AM +117 -127 12/29 10:20 AM +110 -120 12/29 10:12 AM -105 -105 12/29 09:47 AM -108 -102 12/29 09:10 AM -115 +105 12/29 08:50 AM -120 +110 12/29 05:00 AM -113 +103 12/28 11:47 AM -115 +105 Comment -
Thanks HE. I didn't even think to check Vegas odds and look at the line movements. D2D sure got some serious value there. Pretty obvious he is on the right side of the football.
I forgot to check before 1pm (sneaked up on me), but got the rest of the games in except that one. Good luck everyone!! Lets cash.Last edited by bald_guy; 12-29-13, 01:54 PM.Comment -
Tough to watch the Detroit, Miami and Baltimore defenses right now....very tough.
Detroit will not win this game.....not a big surprise I guess....I really thought that they could take advantage of a few things on offense, and truly thought that Minny's offense was going to take a big step back. Wrong on both accounts....Detroit just wants to get out of here and go home.
If Detroit is smart they will take the time to take a real look at Stafford....without Calvin Johnson he would not be a starter in the NFL. I almost feel bad for him out there.Comment -
One thing that I find absolutely hilarious....every single time I post my picks and I get a lot of 'those picks are just like mine' and 'oh boy, I love your picks today' I get killed. Lol.
I don't mean to make light of anyone or anything, but I swear it is the truth.....when I see statements like those I ALWAYS cringe....and just know I am in for a rough one.
What a rough run this has been.Comment -
I never set myself up to be middled, but I have no choice here. I have set up a possible 2 point middle, but it is worth the risk. Detroit cannot do anything, and frankly Minny should be up 17-20 points here but for a few poor plays.
I hate to do it, but:
218998038-1 12/29/13 2:39pm $52.50 $50.00 Pending 12/29/13 1:00pm NFL Football 310 New York Giants 2nd Half pk -105* <small>vs</small> Washington Redskins 218991786-1 12/29/13 2:23pm $275.00 $250.00 Pending 12/29/13 1:00pm NFL Football 320 Minnesota Vikings 2nd Half +2½ -110* <small>vs</small> Detroit Lions Comment -
Lotsa time left man.I am up on all 3 bets now, but still have no confidance until the whistle blows.
GL with the big Minny bet.Comment -
Minnesota offside on a 52 yard FG that missed. I don't know how the NFL employs guys that do this.....and how, as a coach, can you look at yourself in the mirror if your players make such bad plays. That is SICKENING.Comment -
Well, now I want Detroit to win this game and kill the possible middle I set up (a Minny 3 or 4 point win). Another halftime adjustment that was not only unnecessary and dangerous, but just plain stupid. That is probably the first case of me 'reaching' in the last 6 weeks....just dumb.Comment -
Lol.....the early games....a nightmare for me. I am going to go for a run.....enjoy your day guys.Comment -
Well. That adjustment was bad. I know you said you was going to start doing
more adjustments but in the past it seemed to hurt you more then help.
On other side it seemed the game was well in the 3rd quarter before it was posted. I got the post right away and there was already a score in the 3rd.
So should it really count against/for your official record? It would be like posting after game started or after half started in this case.
Now in game is a bit different.
Just a thought.
Update: adjustment might come in!! But same thought either way.Comment -
Well I guess I cannot go until I see Minnesota middle me. It is setting up perfectly to be a nightmare for me.
I am glad I posted that halftime play after the 3rd Quarter had started, just in case somebody would have jumped on. What a terrible mistake...I give up, I learned my lesson.....wow.Comment -
I would imagine that it will not count in my official record, but frankly I don't care.....I am about to be middled on that game....
I do take some serious offense to your 'in game adjustments haven't worked for you in the past'.....if you will remember BG, last year I made thousands, and I mean thousands of dollars off of in game (live) action betting. Yes, this has been tough....I haven't made a good move in 10 days.....but to say 'in the past' is just a silly thing to say.Comment -
Lol, and Baltimore gets the ball at the 50 and doesn't move it an inch.....game over there. Yikes.
Well, at least I didn't get middled in the Minny game....still gross halftime bet.Comment -
BALDIE.WTF does it matter.The $ still get added/deducted from the account.Let it go.Comment -
Lol, the Patriots up 24-10 and then 27-17 are just playing the softest prevent defense and of course it looks like a half point loss. Yikes.
At least we covered on the POD, and at half time I should have, 100% bet the under in the second half of the Oakland game and bought my way out of that bet. Oakland wasn`t even there and with the backups coming in up 31-0 it was an obvious bet.Comment -
As you all know I rarely (maybe 5 times in 2000 wagers) bet props....but this is one I am feeling much better about now....lol.
216096371-1 12/14/13 1:43am $15.00 $1,050.00 Pending 12/15/13 1:00pm Football NFL Super Bowl XLVIII - Green Bay Packers +7000* 216059140-1 12/13/13 10:36pm $40.00 $2,800.00 Pending 12/15/13 1:00pm Football NFL Super Bowl XLVIII - Green Bay Packers +7000* Comment
Welcome back, D2D. Good luck on all three of your careers (day job, new business, sports maven) in 2014. 
