Just put half my bankroll on Ukraine to Qualify at -225

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  • easyliving
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-25-12
    • 8876

    #1
    Just put half my bankroll on Ukraine to Qualify at -225
    been on a good run lately and opportunities like this don't come along too often. This line is way off. Ukraine should be between -450 to -500. France is getting a ton of respect by books here simply due to name recognition and nothing more. They have been average throughout qualifications. Was on Ukraine in the first game as well and they didn't disappoint and won 2-0. If Ukraine scores 1 goal France would need to score 4 to qualify. As long as France doesn't score within the first 15-20 minutes they will be under a ton of pressure and Ukraine will likely score 1 on the counterattack and finish them off.
  • jayc88
    Restricted User
    • 12-30-07
    • 6785

    #2
    Not a good idea
    Comment
    • Giz
      SBR MVP
      • 11-06-13
      • 1703

      #3
      That is very risky, books don't often get it wrong although I see your point, France can realistically win this game 2-0 to force extra time, I mean if you have a player like Frank Ribery it can happen...we'll see but very risky to put half your BR Ukraine are good but its different kettle of fish when they go to France you will be sure of that.

      Nasri, Remy, Benzema, Ribery, Pogba players like this you can never rule out Les Bleu.

      Just to add Didier Deschamps is a very clever coach players have a lot of time for him, I see France going to the world cup via extra time.
      Comment
      • ChrisInTheMist
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-03-13
        • 537

        #4
        So a whooping 50$ bet? Nice
        Comment
        • easyliving
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 06-25-12
          • 8876

          #5
          Originally posted by Giz
          That is very risky, books don't often get it wrong although I see your point, France can realistically win this game 2-0 to force extra time, I mean if you have a player like Frank Ribery it can happen...we'll see but very risky to put half your BR Ukraine are good but its different kettle of fish when they go to France you will be sure of that.

          Nasri, Remy, Benzema, Ribery, Pogba players like this you can never rule out Les Bleu.

          Just to add Didier Deschamps is a very clever coach players have a lot of time for him, I see France going to the world cup via extra time.
          Nasri not fully healthy, Benzema hasn't looked impressive, Ribery is my only worry. As long as Ukraine keeps him in check they will be fine. and like I said I expect Ukraine to score at least once here.
          Comment
          • Giz
            SBR MVP
            • 11-06-13
            • 1703

            #6
            Originally posted by easyliving
            Benzema hasn't looked impressive,
            Thats what I mean, players of his class will strike when you least expect it.
            Comment
            • warbux
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-17-13
              • 896

              #7
              I don't follow futbol but if you can convince me this is easy money I'll follow suit and put up half my bank roll ($54.25)
              Comment
              • whareouttogetme
                SBR MVP
                • 09-26-10
                • 2721

                #8
                Would rather play the under 2.5 @8/11

                90 mins of France attempting to score against an ultra-defensive Ukraine. The old France maybe, but not this one.
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94463

                  #9
                  First of ukraine should not be -400 or whatever you noted. Second off fifa can "help" the outcomes of games like these. Remember how france got by ireland last time around. Third off I do agree that france will most likely not qualify but its not worth half your bankroll.
                  Comment
                  • JayLA
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-11-12
                    • 7806

                    #10
                    Shame if France doesn't make it
                    Comment
                    • Seaweed
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 01-19-12
                      • 26320

                      #11
                      Platini will get France through on PKs
                      Comment
                      • O
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-21-12
                        • 1980

                        #12
                        I have to disagree here with both the Ukraine and Under. I see Blue coming out quick and hard, scoring one in the first 15 and a second just shy of half. I think this opens up the Ukraine second half and France finishes them off 3-0, 4-0. Pound for pound, France is the better team. Playing in front of 80,000 fans to qualify for the WC, I don't see them letting off the gas at all. They can't rely on any counters because the Ukraine will park the bus. France has some unbelievable strikers and will be firing away. I see Ribery getting one, possible two. Giroud should be good for one too I would think.

                        All that said, I admit the over is risky. I could also see it being 2-0 at end of reg.

                        Not sure what I am playing yet, but I have locked in France -1 (-140) to win 5U. Looking at correct score 3-0, 4-0. France TT Over. Possibly France to Qualify +2.90.

                        GL whatever you play.
                        Comment
                        • Sarunas
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-04-13
                          • 2151

                          #13
                          have the intrigues. I's make the analisis


                          is good the thread
                          Comment
                          • vasilli07
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-08-11
                            • 3955

                            #14
                            If France can score a goal in the 1st 30 mins, I can see them scoring 2 more in normal time to go through.
                            Comment
                            • Sarunas
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-04-13
                              • 2151

                              #15
                              is truth ukraine not have the allow >1 goal in the 12 match of qualifcations? is truth

                              and is same in the 15 months of most recent. not make allow >1 goal in match? is truth

                              and! ukraine not have flavor of the defeat in mouth for >1 year? is truth

                              ukraine not make the allow of 1 goal in the last 8 match? is truth



                              nows! theys make favor on odds for under? the alignment and the parabola not is of the concurent natures when the qualify of -225 is make on the weighing.

                              the only probables for france is the 2-0. the odds on the goal for early strike is not of the assuring. and! remembers france is weak of the natures. if not have 1-0 advantage for commencing the 2nd half, is certain the defeat

                              ribery is only the bitch of frenchness of current quality. fedetskiy make the sitting but not is of the maximum importants for the ukraine. france is team of past, not of futures.



                              nows! wes make the betting!


                              525.15 $233.40 Pending 11/19/13 3:00pm International Soccer 114 Ukraine advances to World Cup -225* <small>vs</small> France advances to World Cup

                              Comment
                              • tipsadontlikehim
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-14-13
                                • 2569

                                #16
                                If Ukraine score 1 goal, France need 4 goals.

                                Ukraine will qualify, I put 20% of my bank.

                                France is overrated, really overrated.

                                I am french living in France and after that pathetic match friday, specialists on french TV said France had 10% of chance to qualify after what happened in Ukraine
                                Comment
                                • tipsadontlikehim
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-14-13
                                  • 2569

                                  #17
                                  No team in Europe has EVER qualified after losing the 1st match 0-2
                                  Comment
                                  • new era
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-28-13
                                    • 1470

                                    #18
                                    2 Handball Goals by France. Followed by a 3rd Handball Goal in ET!
                                    Comment
                                    • aggieshawn
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-24-07
                                      • 4378

                                      #19
                                      I was drinking with a few of the Ukraine team members after the last victory in Kiev. They have no idea what will happen in France. We had a good time though. D lux disco was rocking all night.
                                      Comment
                                      • tipsadontlikehim
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-14-13
                                        • 2569

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by new era
                                        2 Handball Goals by France. Followed by a 3rd Handball Goal in ET!
                                        Hahaha
                                        Comment
                                        • thirtytwo
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-07-10
                                          • 1784

                                          #21
                                          Platini will be the best player for France
                                          Comment
                                          • Vaughany
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 03-07-10
                                            • 45563

                                            #22
                                            Ukraine could go and have a player sent off in opening 25 mins or something! half your bankroll is never smart!
                                            Comment
                                            • El Nino
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-03-12
                                              • 18426

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Vaughany
                                              Ukraine could go and have a player sent off in opening 25 mins or something! half your bankroll is never smart!
                                              Vaughany, give me a winner, pal!
                                              Comment
                                              • jjgold
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 07-20-05
                                                • 388208

                                                #24
                                                Why do guys never post when the game is?????????????????
                                                Comment
                                                • smitch124
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 05-19-08
                                                  • 12566

                                                  #25
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RubberKettle
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-28-09
                                                    • 6421

                                                    #26
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RubberKettle
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-28-09
                                                      • 6421

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                                      Why do guys never post when the game is?????????????????
                                                      3pm prick
                                                      Comment
                                                      • aggieshawn
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-24-07
                                                        • 4378

                                                        #28
                                                        I think I will watch at the Arena sports bar. No activity on Khreschatyk yet. Thinking about betting Ukraine draw. Will post party updates. GO UKRAINE
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Merkel
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-30-13
                                                          • 1473

                                                          #29
                                                          Half your bankroll on 1 play. That makes you:

                                                          A. A liar
                                                          B. Stupid
                                                          C. An addict with no impulse control and a serious problem.

                                                          Which one is it bud?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • tipsadontlikehim
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-14-13
                                                            • 2569

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Merkel
                                                            Half your bankroll on 1 play. That makes you:

                                                            A. A liar
                                                            B. Stupid
                                                            C. An addict with no impulse control and a serious problem.

                                                            Which one is it bud?
                                                            come on man... honestly who never did that ? if the bank is 100, i don't see the problem in betting 50 on Ukraine to qualify
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tipsadontlikehim
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-14-13
                                                              • 2569

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                                              Why do guys never post when the game is?????????????????
                                                              well, the point is to share our bets before the match, i thought.. no?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Merkel
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-30-13
                                                                • 1473

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                                                                come on man... honestly who never did that ? if the bank is 100, i don't see the problem in betting 50 on Ukraine to qualify
                                                                I don't. Ever. I did when I started and I lost all the time. Couple of basic rules, most people here don't follow any of them. That's ok, I should give up trying to change what doesn't need changing.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • tipsadontlikehim
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-14-13
                                                                  • 2569

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Merkel
                                                                  I don't. Ever. I did when I started and I lost all the time. Couple of basic rules, most people here don't follow any of them. That's ok, I should give up trying to change what doesn't need changing.
                                                                  you are perfectly right with those rules, we know no one should put half of the bank, i'm just saying, if the bank is 100 that's not like a huge deal
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RubberKettle
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-28-09
                                                                    • 6421

                                                                    #34
                                                                    That line doe -225 lots of juice when UEFA could have the fix in

                                                                    2-0 Win for France is very possible and extra time/ pens is crapshoot. If France get an early goal you'll be sweatin.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • tipsadontlikehim
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-14-13
                                                                      • 2569

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I heard on French TV this morning, they said France got 19% chances to qualify. Don't know how this figure was calculated though
                                                                      But if it's right, the value is definitely on Ukraine.
                                                                      Comment
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