Do you chase with the Vikings and Rams?

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Do you chase with the Vikings and Rams?
    Doubt both cover, but I can almost guarantee you're not going to get a sweep backing the Packers and Seahawks ATS.

    Might be worth taking the Vikings for a unit or two tonight, and if it doesn't hit, going 2-4U on St. Louis tomorrow.

    Thoughts?
  • killawookie
    SBR MVP
    • 12-25-09
    • 3457

    #2
    Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has had more success in prime time, with a 14-7 SU and 15-6 ATS record since 2009. When he faces an NFC North opponent in prime time, he's even better: 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS record with 23 touchdowns and six interceptions.
    Comment
    • face
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-31-11
      • 14740

      #3
      why can't packers and seahawks both cover?
      any reason you almost guarantee it?
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        I never bet against hall of fame qbs
        Comment
        • ksnooksk
          SBR MVP
          • 11-18-11
          • 2890

          #5
          I hate laying big points in the NFL, but, I dont see how the Rams score and the Vikes were defeated weeks ago. Looks like they gave up.
          Comment
          • ChiLLx
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-24-11
            • 5412

            #6
            Vikings have a white QB back in with his back against the wall at home. Usually a good chance for success.
            Comment
            • Big Bear
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 11-01-11
              • 43253

              #7
              Originally posted by No coincidences
              Doubt both cover, but I can almost guarantee you're not going to get a sweep backing the Packers and Seahawks ATS.

              Might be worth taking the Vikings for a unit or two tonight, and if it doesn't hit, going 2-4U on St. Louis tomorrow.

              Thoughts?
              i dont understand your thought process..?

              please explain.

              You sound paranoid. Dont over think it.
              Comment
              • The Giant
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-21-12
                • 21480

                #8
                Originally posted by face
                why can't packers and seahawks both cover?
                any reason you almost guarantee it?
                This was my first reaction, too.
                Comment
                • Sam Odom
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-30-05
                  • 58063

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Big Bear

                  Dont over think it.

                  Comment
                  • ksnooksk
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-18-11
                    • 2890

                    #10
                    Over thinking it burned me too many times.
                    Comment
                    • ThaTopMoron
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 04-30-10
                      • 27020

                      #11
                      why are you chasing NC??? been an easy day

                      might just lay off both football and baseball tonight, tune in for more baseball compared to watching the Vikings on tv again wtf
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Big Bear
                        i dont understand your thought process..?

                        please explain.

                        You sound paranoid. Dont over think it.
                        Originally posted by The Giant
                        This was my first reaction, too.
                        Come on, guys. It's the NFL. Do you honestly think two favorites by more than a TD will cover on the road in prime time? In back to back games?
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                          why are you chasing NC??? been an easy day

                          might just lay off both football and baseball tonight, tune in for more baseball compared to watching the Vikings on tv again wtf
                          I meant a two-team chase with these two. I'm not chasing anything after today. I didn't lose a single game.
                          Comment
                          • ChrisInTheMist
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-03-13
                            • 537

                            #14
                            I bet you're the same guy who was on JAX +17 LOL
                            Comment
                            • ThaTopMoron
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 04-30-10
                              • 27020

                              #15
                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                              I meant a two-team chase with these two. I'm not chasing anything after today. I didn't lose a single game.
                              two team chase on vikings and rams. lol both can lose by 30. seahawks like to win by a lot so vikings have a better shot to lose by 7 pts or under.
                              Comment
                              • TwoWays
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-24-10
                                • 13145

                                #16
                                vikings suck with christian ponder. vikings suck without christian ponder. i'm trying to come to a winning conclusion. and rodgers has no one to throw to. best to just skip
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by ChrisInTheMist
                                  I bet you're the same guy who was on JAX +17 LOL
                                  I was actually 6-0 for nearly 15 units today, and no, I wasn't on the Jags.
                                  Comment
                                  • lakerboy
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 94379

                                    #18
                                    Why not just do a chase with the 2 faves?
                                    Comment
                                    • lakerboy
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 04-02-09
                                      • 94379

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                      Why not just do a chase with the 2 faves?
                                      See coin if u took gb the chase was over. Now if u took the vikes u are sitting here with the rams praying.
                                      Comment
                                      • Big Bear
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 11-01-11
                                        • 43253

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        Come on, guys. It's the NFL. Do you honestly think two favorites by more than a TD will cover on the road in prime time? In back to back games?
                                        yes. I no longer live in paranoia that the NFL is fixed.

                                        If its fixed so be it. My handicapping is all about breaking down
                                        matchups now. Fukk who da public is on and how the line has moved.

                                        For all i know books just adjust that shit to fukk with us.


                                        No more getting mind fukked. I can see clearly now
                                        Comment
                                        • Sam Odom
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-30-05
                                          • 58063

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by lakerboy

                                          See coin if u took gb the chase was over. Now if u took the vikes u are sitting here with the rams praying.

                                          But he could get +14 or more today
                                          Comment
                                          • Big Bear
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 11-01-11
                                            • 43253

                                            #22
                                            Seattle covers tonight. That Seattle defense will totally shut down Clemens and co

                                            The Seahawks will grind away points and be covering by the
                                            time that clock expires in the 4th quarter.

                                            24-6 type game
                                            Comment
                                            • lakerboy
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-02-09
                                              • 94379

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Sam Odom
                                              But he could get +14 or more today
                                              Good point .
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                See coin if u took gb the chase was over. Now if u took the vikes u are sitting here with the rams praying.
                                                You're right in theory, but I'd never lay more than a TD on the road in the NFL. Ever. So on to StL we go. I am making the bet and covering my balls, but I can honestly see a 24-13 type game tonight.
                                                Comment
                                                • TwoWays
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 03-24-10
                                                  • 13145

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                  You're right in theory, but I'd never lay more than a TD on the road in the NFL. Ever. So on to StL we go. I am making the bet and covering my balls, but I can honestly see a 24-13 type game tonight.
                                                  this is the right read on this game.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • t-wizzle
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-18-09
                                                    • 38099

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                    See coin if u took gb the chase was over. Now if u took the vikes u are sitting here with the rams praying.
                                                    Yea but GB was a public play
                                                    Comment
                                                    • lakerboy
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                      • 94379

                                                      #27
                                                      Coin laying the td thing on the road can't be a never thing. It has to be a game by game thing. The vikings are a joke. Look back at the line and see how books dropped from +9.5 to 7. It was a 6 point teaser move. On most of these big lines books are teaser protecting. They don't care about the game spread. Anyways good luck with the rams.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                        Coin laying the td thing on the road can't be a never thing. It has to be a game by game thing. The vikings are a joke. Look back at the line and see how books dropped from +9.5 to 7. It was a 6 point teaser move. On most of these big lines books are teaser protecting. They don't care about the game spread. Anyways good luck with the rams.
                                                        I would agree with you re: teaser protection, but the juice wasn't a factor and there was a pretty big ML drop as well. GB opened at -450 and closed at -305 at Pinny. They were -10 (+103) at open and -7 (-105) at close. That looks like a pretty legit drop to me vs. books just playing mind games.

                                                        Then again, it seems like these days, if you see a huge spread swing or ML drop, it's typically best to just fade it more often than not. That's what I'm hoping for tonight.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Big Bear
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 11-01-11
                                                          • 43253

                                                          #29
                                                          look gueys here is the problem with the fade the public theory....

                                                          Do yall think the public just quits after they lose???

                                                          After the so called square lose do yall think they just quitt???


                                                          No.

                                                          Over time these public minded /squares start to buy into the idea
                                                          that they lost b/c they were on the public side....


                                                          They become paranoid as shit and start trying to interpret line movement
                                                          they start going on vegasinsider to see who the public is on and basically
                                                          throw all handicapping out the window and replace it with

                                                          "i'm getting home dog on monday night "

                                                          "haha they can't fool me , the public is going to get burried by this trap"


                                                          c'mon fellas. Get back to the basics. Seattle is better in
                                                          every aspect of the game and this stadium might as well be considered
                                                          a neutral site with the world series in town and the Rams having
                                                          no playoff hopes.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ChrisInTheMist
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 10-03-13
                                                            • 537

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                            look gueys here is the problem with the fade the public theory....

                                                            Do yall think the public just quits after they lose???

                                                            After the so called square lose do yall think they just quitt???


                                                            No.

                                                            Over time these public minded /squares start to buy into the idea
                                                            that they lost b/c they were on the public side....


                                                            They become paranoid as shit and start trying to interpret line movement
                                                            they start going on vegasinsider to see who the public is on and basically
                                                            throw all handicapping out the window and replace it with

                                                            "i'm getting home dog on monday night "

                                                            "haha they can't fool me , the public is going to get burried by this trap"


                                                            c'mon fellas. Get back to the basics. Seattle is better in
                                                            every aspect of the game and this stadium might as well be considered
                                                            a neutral site with the world series in town and the Rams having
                                                            no playoff hopes.
                                                            Exactly it's every week ppl betting on the shitiest of teams just cause they're at home
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Big Bear
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 11-01-11
                                                              • 43253

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by ChrisInTheMist
                                                              Exactly it's every week ppl betting on the shitiest of teams just cause they're at home
                                                              that used to be me too. Ive been burned on quite a few of those.
                                                              The key to being a good handicapper is to make adjustments and
                                                              look at each game on a game by game basis.

                                                              I love home dogs as much as the next guy .. but just be sure
                                                              that home dog is a decent team who realisticly has a chance of winning outright
                                                              and make sure its a QB you trust.
                                                              Comment
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