Do you chase with the Vikings and Rams?

[No coincidences]

Doubt both cover, but I can almost guarantee you're not going to get a sweep backing the Packers and Seahawks ATS.

Might be worth taking the Vikings for a unit or two tonight, and if it doesn't hit, going 2-4U on St. Louis tomorrow.

Thoughts?

[killawookie]

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has had more success in prime time, with a 14-7 SU and 15-6 ATS record since 2009. When he faces an NFC North opponent in prime time, he's even better: 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS record with 23 touchdowns and six interceptions.

[face]

why can't packers and seahawks both cover?
any reason you almost guarantee it?

[jjgold]

I never bet against hall of fame qbs

[ksnooksk]

I hate laying big points in the NFL, but, I dont see how the Rams score and the Vikes were defeated weeks ago. Looks like they gave up.

[ChiLLx]

Vikings have a white QB back in with his back against the wall at home. Usually a good chance for success.

[Big Bear]

Doubt both cover, but I can almost guarantee you're not going to get a sweep backing the Packers and Seahawks ATS.

Might be worth taking the Vikings for a unit or two tonight, and if it doesn't hit, going 2-4U on St. Louis tomorrow.

Thoughts?

i dont understand your thought process..?

please explain.

You sound paranoid. Dont over think it.

[The Giant]

why can't packers and seahawks both cover?
any reason you almost guarantee it?

This was my first reaction, too.

[Sam Odom]

Dont over think it.

[ksnooksk]

Over thinking it burned me too many times.

[ThaTopMoron]

why are you chasing NC??? been an easy day

might just lay off both football and baseball tonight, tune in for more baseball compared to watching the Vikings on tv again wtf

[No coincidences]

i dont understand your thought process..?

please explain.

You sound paranoid. Dont over think it.

This was my first reaction, too.

Come on, guys. It's the NFL. Do you honestly think two favorites by more than a TD will cover on the road in prime time? In back to back games?

[No coincidences]

why are you chasing NC??? been an easy day

might just lay off both football and baseball tonight, tune in for more baseball compared to watching the Vikings on tv again wtf

I meant a two-team chase with these two. I'm not chasing anything after today. I didn't lose a single game.

[ChrisInTheMist]

I bet you're the same guy who was on JAX +17 LOL

[ThaTopMoron]

I meant a two-team chase with these two. I'm not chasing anything after today. I didn't lose a single game.

two team chase on vikings and rams. lol both can lose by 30. seahawks like to win by a lot so vikings have a better shot to lose by 7 pts or under.

[TwoWays]

vikings suck with christian ponder. vikings suck without christian ponder. i'm trying to come to a winning conclusion. and rodgers has no one to throw to. best to just skip

[No coincidences]

I bet you're the same guy who was on JAX +17 LOL

I was actually 6-0 for nearly 15 units today, and no, I wasn't on the Jags.

[lakerboy]

Why not just do a chase with the 2 faves?

[lakerboy]

Why not just do a chase with the 2 faves?

See coin if u took gb the chase was over. Now if u took the vikes u are sitting here with the rams praying.

[Big Bear]

Come on, guys. It's the NFL. Do you honestly think two favorites by more than a TD will cover on the road in prime time? In back to back games?

yes. I no longer live in paranoia that the NFL is fixed.

If its fixed so be it. My handicapping is all about breaking down
matchups now. Fukk who da public is on and how the line has moved.

For all i know books just adjust that shit to fukk with us.


No more getting mind fukked. I can see clearly now

[Sam Odom]

See coin if u took gb the chase was over. Now if u took the vikes u are sitting here with the rams praying.

But he could get +14 or more today

[Big Bear]

Seattle covers tonight. That Seattle defense will totally shut down Clemens and co

The Seahawks will grind away points and be covering by the
time that clock expires in the 4th quarter.

24-6 type game

[lakerboy]

But he could get +14 or more today

Good point .

[No coincidences]

See coin if u took gb the chase was over. Now if u took the vikes u are sitting here with the rams praying.

You're right in theory, but I'd never lay more than a TD on the road in the NFL. Ever. So on to StL we go. I am making the bet and covering my balls, but I can honestly see a 24-13 type game tonight.

[TwoWays]

You're right in theory, but I'd never lay more than a TD on the road in the NFL. Ever. So on to StL we go. I am making the bet and covering my balls, but I can honestly see a 24-13 type game tonight.

this is the right read on this game.

[t-wizzle]

See coin if u took gb the chase was over. Now if u took the vikes u are sitting here with the rams praying.

Yea but GB was a public play

[lakerboy]

Coin laying the td thing on the road can't be a never thing. It has to be a game by game thing. The vikings are a joke. Look back at the line and see how books dropped from +9.5 to 7. It was a 6 point teaser move. On most of these big lines books are teaser protecting. They don't care about the game spread. Anyways good luck with the rams.

[No coincidences]

Coin laying the td thing on the road can't be a never thing. It has to be a game by game thing. The vikings are a joke. Look back at the line and see how books dropped from +9.5 to 7. It was a 6 point teaser move. On most of these big lines books are teaser protecting. They don't care about the game spread. Anyways good luck with the rams.

I would agree with you re: teaser protection, but the juice wasn't a factor and there was a pretty big ML drop as well. GB opened at -450 and closed at -305 at Pinny. They were -10 (+103) at open and -7 (-105) at close. That looks like a pretty legit drop to me vs. books just playing mind games.

Then again, it seems like these days, if you see a huge spread swing or ML drop, it's typically best to just fade it more often than not. That's what I'm hoping for tonight.

[Big Bear]

look gueys here is the problem with the fade the public theory....

Do yall think the public just quits after they lose???

After the so called square lose do yall think they just quitt???


No.

Over time these public minded /squares start to buy into the idea
that they lost b/c they were on the public side....


They become paranoid as shit and start trying to interpret line movement
they start going on vegasinsider to see who the public is on and basically
throw all handicapping out the window and replace it with

"i'm getting home dog on monday night "

"haha they can't fool me , the public is going to get burried by this trap"


c'mon fellas. Get back to the basics. Seattle is better in
every aspect of the game and this stadium might as well be considered
a neutral site with the world series in town and the Rams having
no playoff hopes.

[ChrisInTheMist]

look gueys here is the problem with the fade the public theory....

Do yall think the public just quits after they lose???

After the so called square lose do yall think they just quitt???


No.

Over time these public minded /squares start to buy into the idea
that they lost b/c they were on the public side....


They become paranoid as shit and start trying to interpret line movement
they start going on vegasinsider to see who the public is on and basically
throw all handicapping out the window and replace it with

"i'm getting home dog on monday night "

"haha they can't fool me , the public is going to get burried by this trap"


c'mon fellas. Get back to the basics. Seattle is better in
every aspect of the game and this stadium might as well be considered
a neutral site with the world series in town and the Rams having
no playoff hopes.

Exactly it's every week ppl betting on the shitiest of teams just cause they're at home

[Big Bear]

Exactly it's every week ppl betting on the shitiest of teams just cause they're at home

that used to be me too. Ive been burned on quite a few of those.
The key to being a good handicapper is to make adjustments and
look at each game on a game by game basis.

I love home dogs as much as the next guy .. but just be sure
that home dog is a decent team who realisticly has a chance of winning outright
and make sure its a QB you trust.