UL Lafayette +4.5 over Western Kentucky Tuesday

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    UL Lafayette +4.5 over Western Kentucky Tuesday
    This line is available at DSI. These teams are almost mirror images of each other at every position except the most important one...QB. I think the underdog Ragin' Cajuns have the edge there, which should make all the difference ATS with an outright upset not impossible. Although both quarterbacks are juniors, Broadway has more experience after starting last year. He is completing 65.6 percent of his passes while averaging an excellent 8.8 yards per attempt, suggesting that he is not padding that percentage with a bunch of rinky-dinky passes, and he has 10 touchdown passes vs. four interceptions with four more touchdowns on the ground. The Hilltoppers' Doughty is in his first year as a starter, he is a pure pocket passer that is not very nimble and he has an ugly ratio of 10 interceptions vs. seven TD passes. His 7.4 yards per attempt is decent, but still 1.4 yards per pass less than Broadway.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Well, this line WAS available when I started my writeup. ULL hammered to +3 at a ton of places. Try to get +3.5 at -120 or less if you can.
    Comment
    • Louisvillekid1
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-17-07
      • 52143

      #3
      I agree
      Comment
      • ZINISTER
        Restricted User
        • 10-03-12
        • 1651

        #4
        LT you saved me some money this past weekend on some of my NMSU,Wyoming etc. I left em alone and picked other losers. lol The WKU QB the last 3 games has been turning the ball over and acceptable amount. Just feel the Hilltoppers can come up with some stops in this one and I think they are coming off a bye week. The RB for the Tops is a chain mover with this defense that will struggle to stop him once they establish some passing early. Not expecting you to change your mind just maybe proceed with a bit of caution.
        Comment
        • TonyTall
          SBR MVP
          • 08-21-13
          • 3551

          #5
          broadway +29.5 (doughy) at bovada

          juicy but gotta be a winner
          Comment
          • booksbroker
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-19-13
            • 553

            #6
            Ugh line at +3 now...going wait if it will move to +3.5..
            Comment
            • Melda
              SBR MVP
              • 01-27-11
              • 1028

              #7
              wow lined dropped to 3 after being at 4.5 ..... hmmm, after looking at it a little more, I am starting to lean WKU now....

              ...or perhaps the over sounds like the best play..

              Both teams seem fully capable of putting up 30 a piece and the defenses are pretty incapable of stopping that. 2 Great offensive weapons on both sides of the O ball.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                Teams like this are very inconsistent it is hard to handicap them
                Comment
                • hankcream
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-30-10
                  • 2048

                  #9
                  The under hits at about 75% on these Tuesday night games. These teams both appear to have potent offenses but early week games like this put these college kids out of sink. Playing it safe under 63 -105(5Dimes) 1 unit for me
                  Comment
                  • Big Bear
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-01-11
                    • 43253

                    #10
                    you guys told us to bet Navy against WKU too...

                    how much money yall gotta lose before you stop fading the cash train
                    that is Bobby Fukkin Petrino
                    Comment
                    • Brutus84
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-08-11
                      • 5188

                      #11
                      People think these teams are about even. WKU is 5x better. Wtf are people thinking
                      Comment
                      • booksbroker
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-19-13
                        • 553

                        #12
                        Hmm line is +3 now, perfect for a +7 teaser TRAP?? WKU win by 10+??? Look fishy now.
                        Comment
                        • Overbettor
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-08-11
                          • 951

                          #13
                          Originally posted by hankcream
                          The under hits at about 75% on these Tuesday night games. These teams both appear to have potent offenses but early week games like this put these college kids out of sink. Playing it safe under 63 -105(5Dimes) 1 unit for me
                          What about the tuesday night mac games? Those games go over just about every damn time it seems
                          Comment
                          • Renegades
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-12-11
                            • 5290

                            #14
                            RAS put a play out on ULL thats why the line dropped
                            Comment
                            • RavensFan2k3
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-18-12
                              • 17378

                              #15
                              I like WKU here
                              Comment
                              • Big Bear
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 11-01-11
                                • 43253

                                #16
                                Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                I like WKU here
                                smart man.
                                Comment
                                • booksbroker
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-19-13
                                  • 553

                                  #17
                                  WKU -3 and UNDER 63 here.
                                  Comment
                                  • Microbetter
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-12-13
                                    • 589

                                    #18
                                    5 of doughy's picks were in one game vs Tennesee. If you throw out that one freakish day, he's not that bad.
                                    Comment
                                    • Melda
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-27-11
                                      • 1028

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Microbetter
                                      5 of doughy's picks were in one game vs Tennesee. If you throw out that one freakish day, he's not that bad.

                                      Theyre RB is an absolute beast too. I liked ULL at the beginning of the day but I switched over to WKU


                                      especially with that line movement.
                                      Comment
                                      • El_Zilcho
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 10-07-13
                                        • 74

                                        #20
                                        If Petrino had a hot blonde in the sack this weekend, take WKU.
                                        Comment
                                        • Jaug
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-11-09
                                          • 3087

                                          #21
                                          Took Lafayette +3.5 -114. Counting on ya here LT
                                          Comment
                                          • TonyTall
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-21-13
                                            • 3551

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by El_Zilcho
                                            If Petrino had a hot blonde in the sack this weekend, take WKU.

                                            Comment
                                            • TheMLBKing
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-20-13
                                              • 1129

                                              #23
                                              another easy fade. thanks LT. Fading you has been the easiest betting decision of my life.
                                              Comment
                                              • jayc88
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 12-30-07
                                                • 6785

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by TheMLBKing
                                                another easy fade. thanks LT. Fading you has been the easiest betting decision of my life.
                                                Yes , easy money if you got this at -4.5 and fair line is much closer to 3 lol
                                                Comment
                                                • greenhippo
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-15-12
                                                  • 9091

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by jayc88
                                                  Yes , easy money if you got this at -4.5 and fair line is much closer to 3 lol
                                                  Coming from the guy with the luke warm jab at me when I said Oregon would win by 20+ this past weekend. How much did they win by?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TPowell
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-21-08
                                                    • 18842

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by jayc88
                                                    Yes , easy money if you got this at -4.5 and fair line is much closer to 3 lol
                                                    not sure how you figure that. The CURRENT LINE may be 3 or 3.5 but that doesn't make it the fair line. WKU is obviously the better team IMO. As long as WKU can run the football and take the pressure off Doughty, they win easily. In the losses, he was forced to throw WAY TOO OFTEN. I personally got WKU at -3 (-110)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jayc88
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 12-30-07
                                                      • 6785

                                                      #27
                                                      If you dont understand that its a bad move to blindly fade someone at -4.5 and the line moves to -3 afterwards, then i dont know what to say
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jayc88
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 12-30-07
                                                        • 6785

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by greenhippo
                                                        Coming from the guy with the luke warm jab at me when I said Oregon would win by 20+ this past weekend. How much did they win by?
                                                        Congrats if you won on oregon;
                                                        But dont remember talking to you before
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TPowell
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 02-21-08
                                                          • 18842

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by jayc88
                                                          If you dont understand that its a bad move to blindly fade someone at -4.5 and the line moves to -3 afterwards, then i dont know what to say
                                                          I understand but don't make the CURRENT LINE out to be perfectly efficient
                                                          Comment
                                                          • LT Profits
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-27-06
                                                            • 90963

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by TheMLBKing
                                                            another easy fade. thanks LT. Fading you has been the easiest betting decision of my life.
                                                            Then you have basically lost juice in CFB and gotten killed in NFL so far this year.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pinnacle420
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 10-01-12
                                                              • 6254

                                                              #31
                                                              sorry LT but at -3.. im rolling on the home team here.. good luck though
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Iwinyourmoney
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-18-07
                                                                • 18368

                                                                #32
                                                                Taking Louisiana -6.5 +283
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Louisvillekid1
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-17-07
                                                                  • 52143

                                                                  #33
                                                                  U LA LA and Broadway
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TheMLBKing
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-20-13
                                                                    • 1129

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by jayc88
                                                                    If you dont understand that its a bad move to blindly fade someone at -4.5 and the line moves to -3 afterwards, then i dont know what to say
                                                                    When I saw this thread, it was -3. The more important part is to just fade whatever SIDE LT Profits is on.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheMLBKing
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-20-13
                                                                      • 1129

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                      Then you have basically lost juice in CFB and gotten killed in NFL so far this year.
                                                                      And cleaned outttttttttttt in MLB this year.
                                                                      Comment
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