Texas vs OU

[Huckleberry Pig]

Who you like here? Spread is -13.5 and I'm very tempted to go large on OU (though given my recent bets I should prob hold off). If there is one team OU wants to pound every year, it's Texas. Texas should have lost to Iowa State. With David Ash out, I think this game is over at half. OU offense should have a field day against the Texas D and I think OU's D really holds UT to less than 20pts here.

Very tempted to go large on this one, would like to hear ya'lls thoughts (esp if you like UT in this one).

[Louisvillekid1]

weird feeling Mack Brown's unit comes up big.

I think the standings get really shook up this week.

Lots on teams on upset alert

[Huckleberry Pig]

weird feeling Mack Brown's unit comes up big.

I think the standings get really shook up this week.

Lots on teams on upset alert

I hear ya, never know how they'll show up for a rivalry. That said, I just think Texas offense is extremely inept/1 dimensional. Case can't hit a moving target. What's to keep OU from stacking the box?

My biggest question is how UT expects to stop OU's offense

Mack Brown knows he's gone, will he outperform for one last chance to beat OU?

[Huckleberry Pig]

public all over OU

[luckyutah]

Was OU's offense in complete look-ahead mode when they played TCU last week or was that typical? When OU plays decent competition, their offense sputters - 16 points against WVU, 20 against TCU, and only 21 against Notre Dame (if you don't count the pick-6 and the 30 yard drive set up by another interception).

That being said, how will Texas ever score more than 10 points here? OU's defense is outstanding (6th overall in points against). Against OU, TCU didn't get a first down until midway through the 3rd quarter. If you think OU can score at least 24, you have to take them -13.5.

Personally, I'm liking the under at 56.5.

[Huckleberry Pig]

Was OU's offense in complete look-ahead mode when they played TCU last week or was that typical? When OU plays decent competition, their offense sputters - 16 points against WVU, 20 against TCU, and only 21 against Notre Dame (if you don't count the pick-6 and the 30 yard drive set up by another interception).

That being said, how will Texas ever score more than 10 points here? OU's defense is outstanding (6th overall in points against). Against OU, TCU didn't get a first down until midway through the 3rd quarter. If you think OU can score at least 24, you have to take them -13.5.

Personally, I'm liking the under at 56.5.

great write up utah, thanks for the inpu. Very good question, and I do think OU puts up more than 24. UT's D is THAT bad. TCU's D is pretty solid, they haven't given up more than 20pts in any game this season beside the opener against LSU and they had several guys out for that game. But you do bring up a good point, OU D has sputtered on O against decent competition.

[Huckleberry Pig]

Reason I like OU is you are taking a top 20 rushing offense and going against a bottom 20 rushing D. You're also taking a Texas team that likes to run and putting it up against a solid OU run D.

your under is starting to look better and better

[Da Manster!]

Another "x" factor to consider in this game is the fact that Mack Brown's job might be in jeopardy (the rumors are still swirling) and the consensus is that he must absolutely, positively, beat Oklahoma to have any chance of retaining his job and/or not getting fired...I fully expect the Longhorns to rise up once again and play their asses off for Brown and don't be surprised to see Texas win this thing outright let alone cover the spread...

[King000]

Who you like here? Spread is -13.5 and I'm very tempted to go large on OU (though given my recent bets I should prob hold off). If there is one team OU wants to pound every year, it's Texas. Texas should have lost to Iowa State. With David Ash out, I think this game is over at half. OU offense should have a field day against the Texas D and I think OU's D really holds UT to less than 20pts here.

Very tempted to go large on this one, would like to hear ya'lls thoughts (esp if you like UT in this one).

Id hold off or take Texas +14 here. I have a hunch Texas scares OU pretty good this week

[JabooFootball]

Wonder if the public on OU is all the public that lost their ass on Texas to cover against ISU Thur Night all of a sudden fading longhorns. I know past performance is no indicator of future results but the only members of the texas team that have defeated OU are redshirt seniors and I just havent seen any indicator that this years team has the fight in them necessary to put points up on a stoops. I like OU, and the under.
bol

[Renegades]

Texas

[jayc88]

Value is on under at 56.5 and osu -13.5; although im not sure if that number is still available somewhere.

[Da Manster!]

^^^....I wasn't aware OSU was playing in this game!...






































Just bustin' your balls man!....

[ChalkyDog]

Rivalry, at home, conference, career on the line.

That's a lot of points, in my opinion.

[JabooFootball]

Rivalry, at home, conference, career on the line.

That's a lot of points, in my opinion.

its a neutral site.

[ChalkyDog]

its a neutral site.

Right.

[Huckleberry Pig]

looked up some stats on some situations I think will be pretty important in this one. The biggest question I have is will Texas be able to convert on 3rd down and keep their D off the field. They are currently ranked 69th in the nation in 3rd down conversion pct at 40%. OU has the 10th best 3rd down defense, holding opponents on 3rd down 73% of the time.

Really don't think this bodes well for UT, esp with Case at QB. If OU can consistently keep UT to 3rd and 5+ they will win this game easily.

[buckeyesooner]

Tejas has no heart and may be the most inept tackling team in the Big 12. OU dominates the line of scrimmage and wins by 21-24.

[bubblebuttluv]

I love some of the angles on here like the team will play up for Brown to save him his job or this shit Texas team will play up against their big rival.

How about some angles that probably make more sense like Stoops wanting to be the man who BURIES Brown and causes him to lose his job that night, or Oklahoma doesn't want to let their hated rival be the one who knocks them down in the rankings and ends their perfect record, or Oklahoma will play up for their huge rivalry game like every year...

Stats say that Oklahoma is the better team and while there can always be surprises in sports, the stats is the best thing to go off of in my opinion.

[vyomguy]

texas remembers last 2 years big margin defeats...not to mention mccoy and brown's future on line.

Mccoy is actually a decent qb.

There is no value in the line...its 50/50. Oklahoma will win..whether its by 10 points or 21 points is really dependent of which texas team shows up.

Anything can happen in these rivalry game with regard to spreads. There is more value in other games.

[etothep]

Was OU's offense in complete look-ahead mode when they played TCU last week or was that typical?

They were also coming off a solid win @ ND the week before the TCU game. TCU game was a clear trap game for them last week

[BigDofBA]

texas remembers last 2 years big margin defeats...not to mention mccoy and brown's future on line.

I don't think either one of those things matter.

OU won the game 55-17 in 2011 and going into the game last year I was hearing the same crap. People were all over Texas and the line got as low as -3 at kickoff.

OU won the game by an even bigger margin 63-21.

Brown's future has been in limbo for 2-3 seasons now and it hasn't made Texas any better. After getting blown out by BYU, there were all sorts of rumors about Brown being out.

How did Texas respond???? They got blown out at home by Ole Miss.

- Texas has a horrible defense that can't stop the run.
- OU has a good defense and their offense can run the ball.

Those should be you're only two angles.

All in all, the spread seems right on to me. It wouldn't be any higher than two TDs but I think it's either OU or no play.

Last week was a huge trap game for OU. TCU also has the best defense OU will see all season. The outcome wasn't surprised but OU controlled the entire way and never trailed.

[The Kraken]

OU's defense has been stellar but they've also played sub-par offenses, so who knows. The good thing is, Texas is another sub-par offense. The bad news is their starting line backer, Sr. defensive captain, Cory Nelson, is out for the year.

OU's offense is nothing spectacular but they can grind. They've got a big QB that flat out runs guys over. He's a below average passer. Their WR and TE are't as good this year as years past. But their running game is phenomenal with Clay and Williams and Finch. Mix in the Bell-dozer and they should run laps up and down the field Saturday.

Texas couldn't stop the run against a very one dimensional BYU team (they gave up over 500 yards rushing) and OU actually ran the ball well against a pretty good TCU defense.

This should be curtains for mack Brown. Adios Motherfukka

[Huckleberry Pig]

OU's defense has been stellar but they've also played sub-par offenses, so who knows. The good thing is, Texas is another sub-par offense. The bad news is their starting line backer, Sr. defensive captain, Cory Nelson, is out for the year.

OU's offense is nothing spectacular but they can grind. They've got a big QB that flat out runs guys over. He's a below average passer. Their WR and TE are't as good this year as years past. But their running game is phenomenal with Clay and Williams and Finch. Mix in the Bell-dozer and they should run laps up and down the field Saturday.

Texas couldn't stop the run against a very one dimensional BYU team (they gave up over 500 yards rushing) and OU actually ran the ball well against a pretty good TCU defense.

This should be curtains for mack Brown. Adios Motherfukka

agreeing with ya here. and vyom, I have to disagree with you. McCoy is really bad. He can't hit a moving target. Ya he does fine with the 5-10yrd curl routs but he has trouble hitting guys on the run, esp when it's 10+ yards. Really hoping this line drops, may snag OU late.

[wufpakman21]

Rivalry, at home, conference, career on the line.

That's a lot of points, in my opinion.

Did you watch Texas at Iowa State? Texas is a very bad team.

[bubblebuttluv]

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/2606438-texas-looks-dead-water-mack-brown-ropes-losing-iowa-st-lol.html

Just remember to keep the above thread in mind.

The only way I see Texas beating Oklahoma is if he takes all that anger out that he has when he sees himself in the mirror and he actually completes passes. But that is not likely.

[BigDofBA]

Rivalry, at home, conference, career on the line.

That's a lot of points, in my opinion.

If one of your angles is that it's a home game for Texas, you should quit gambling.

This game has been played at a neutral site since 1912.....

I thought everyone that watches CFB knew this.

[Mr. Green]

If one of your angles is that it's a home game for Texas, you should quit gambling.

This game has been played at a neutral site since 1912.....

I thought everyone that watches CFB knew this.

Most people know this but also have a misconception that Texas still has an advantage because it is still in Texas. However, that is wrong as it is held half way between Austin and Norman and there are just as many OU fans in north Texas as there are UT fans. Definitely a true neutral site.

[Huckleberry Pig]

Most people know this but also have a misconception that Texas still has an advantage because it is still in Texas. However, that is wrong as it is held half way between Austin and Norman and there are just as many OU fans in north Texas as there are UT fans. Definitely a true neutral site.

they also split the stadium with tickets. half burnt orange/half sooner red. pretty cool actually (you can see it on TV), even cooler if you're there. If anyone ever gets a chance to go I strongly suggest it, great atmosphere. Plus you have one of the best state fairs in the nation going on right outside the stadium. makes for a good day.

[Devin22]

I would go Oklahoma or no play. Texas had their close game with Iowa st. I wouldn't go big though as too many underlying currents going on here.

[Huckleberry Pig]

Have decided to hold off. Think there are better plays on the board. Agree though, OU or no play here

[Louisvillekid1]

weird feeling Mack Brown's unit comes up big.

I think the standings get really shook up this week.

Lots on teams on upset alert

[Ghenghis Kahn]

oklahoma cost me big today. had them in couple teasers and had a unit on the over.

how can they not score on their last drive?

[The Kraken]

Welp, that hurt.

Just lost my last 88.13 offshore. I have zero outs now.

[Huckleberry Pig]

well i took them, but not as big as i wanted. washed them out with my missouri hit but still frustrated for taking them.

LK nice call there!