Broncos -8 1/2 vs Cowboys

frogsrangers · 10-03-13, 12:34 PM

As awful as the Cowboys are, I never like laying that much on a road team in the NFL. I don't care who they are playing.

wildcorndog · 10-03-13, 12:46 PM

Tease it with the over on
GB and DETROIT.

Bad news is you have to let me penetrate your old lady for sharing this with you.

mikefromsd · 10-03-13, 01:04 PM

I'm pounding Denver until further notice. Manning will pick apart that crappy zone Defense.

Noleafclover · 10-03-13, 01:11 PM

Tease it with Atlanta.

TwoWays · 10-03-13, 01:58 PM

line a bit high for an away game against dallas, who's good at home.

ChalkyDog · 10-03-13, 02:02 PM

Very good spot for Dallas here. Backdoor city.

Speedy88 · 10-03-13, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by ChalkyDog

Very good spot for Dallas here. Backdoor city.

Agreed. Don't think Cowboys are really gonna clamp down on Broncos offense, but Romo and offense should stay within a TD.

frostno98 · 10-03-13, 05:28 PM

I wouldn't bet it because of the backdoor scenario. Denver would have to be up 20 in 4th for you to feel very comfortable. I expect Dallas to bring their best game because they need to make a statement that they're for real. At the end of the day though, the better team Broncos will always prevail with a win if they don't beat themselves(turnovers, Penalties).

ChalkyDog · 10-03-13, 05:30 PM

Originally posted by frostno98

I wouldn't bet it because of the backdoor scenario. Denver would have to be up 20 in 4th for you to feel very comfortable. I expect Dallas to bring their best game because they need to make a statement that they're for real. At the end of the day though, the better team Broncos will always prevail with a win if they don't beat themselves(turnovers, Penalties).

Don't disagree, but as I read your post I winced at the idea of guys like Brock laying Denver ML.

Phanteezy · 10-03-13, 05:32 PM

Good point frog

Big Bang Clock · 10-03-13, 06:46 PM

-8.5 is a shitty line. Still -7 at my book. With that said, I would still place your standard size wager on it. Dallas is a average team and Denver has been lights out with no signs of slowing down. Go for it.

jjgold · 10-03-13, 09:19 PM

Dallas is a simple play

also small on ML

DrStale · 10-03-13, 09:33 PM

It's never safe to bet a lot on a terrible number. Where are you getting 8.5? Should still be able to hit 7 at -120

jjgold · 10-03-13, 09:40 PM

If you bet Denver -8 1/2 points you should not be gambling and get another hobby like golf or tennis or possibly collecting stamps

R.P. McMurphy · 10-03-13, 09:43 PM

Not touching this game unless I tease Donkeys (which I'm sure I will). Denver seems to be spread proof and I'm pretty certain they win here but laying 8.5 in Dallas seems a bit much! Just cannot fade Peyton in the zone he's in and have very little confidence in Romeo. Even if Girls have a late minimal lead which is doubtful Tony will find a way to fukk it up!

AJ21 · 10-03-13, 11:11 PM

Take Denver and back it up with the over 56. If Dallas is going to cover, they are going to have to score some big points. Denver is an offensive machine right now and every game has gone over. You might as well ride the train until it derails. Denver and Manning are on a mission

R.P. McMurphy · 10-03-13, 11:20 PM

Yeah I said the same to Fakerboy last week when he picked Eagles. Gonna have to keep up if ur gonna cover vs Denver cause they will get their pts.

ipickwinners · 10-03-13, 11:26 PM

take the over, manning throw for 5 TDS and moreno rushing for 1, cowboys get 38 points

42-38 broncos

Mocknroll · 10-03-13, 11:31 PM

I'm not on this game, but I find it funny how people perceive the good and bad numbers. If this was 9.5 everyone would call it a good number because it's under 10. It depends on how confident you are in the play. I'm sure we'd all agree that -6.5 was the number to get on this play, but they continually move the number to get action on Dallas. If you take Dallas because the books are hanging a 'good' number, you're doing what the books want. Usually giving money to books where they tempt you to give it is not the way to profit in the end.

I'm not for a second saying I'd prefer -8.5 over the 7 you can still get, but at the end of the day if Denver win by 17 odd points people will be kicking themselves for passing on Denver because the books were luring you to Dallas because of the number they hung.

Remember how many people last week didn't want to touch Denver because they were getting a 'bad' number laying just over 10. Did it matter in the end? If you take the hook because you think Dallas are going to lose this by 7 it's a recipe for disaster. If you think Denver wins by a minimum of 10-13 then you should play Denver. If you think Dallas lose by no more than 3 or win straight up then play Dallas. If you play a side because you think they're going to cover by a half point then you don't have a great enough edge on the play and you should be laying off.

TwoWays · 10-04-13, 12:00 AM

still too many points to lay on the road against a good home team.

Big Bang Clock · 10-04-13, 12:56 AM

Originally posted by Mocknroll

I'm not on this game, but I find it funny how people perceive the good and bad numbers. If this was 9.5 everyone would call it a good number because it's under 10. It depends on how confident you are in the play. I'm sure we'd all agree that -6.5 was the number to get on this play, but they continually move the number to get action on Dallas. If you take Dallas because the books are hanging a 'good' number, you're doing what the books want. Usually giving money to books where they tempt you to give it is not the way to profit in the end.

I'm not for a second saying I'd prefer -8.5 over the 7 you can still get, but at the end of the day if Denver win by 17 odd points people will be kicking themselves for passing on Denver because the books were luring you to Dallas because of the number they hung.

Remember how many people last week didn't want to touch Denver because they were getting a 'bad' number laying just over 10. Did it matter in the end? If you take the hook because you think Dallas are going to lose this by 7 it's a recipe for disaster. If you think Denver wins by a minimum of 10-13 then you should play Denver. If you think Dallas lose by no more than 3 or win straight up then play Dallas. If you play a side because you think they're going to cover by a half point then you don't have a great enough edge on the play and you should be laying off.

Completely agree with this. Denver is just too hot right now to pass on IMO. I personally jumped on -7 when the line came out and feel comfortable with it. Peyton is on fire right now, they just have too many weapons and the girls wont be able to keep up.

DarkNite · 10-04-13, 01:25 AM

P Manning and his soldiers will put this game on big show. I am riding Denver until they lose. Remember, Who is the Giants QB? I think he will do something nice on Sunday like he did with his little brother.

DrStale · 10-04-13, 08:43 PM

Originally posted by Mocknroll

I'm not on this game, but I find it funny how people perceive the good and bad numbers. If this was 9.5 everyone would call it a good number because it's under 10. It depends on how confident you are in the play. I'm sure we'd all agree that -6.5 was the number to get on this play, but they continually move the number to get action on Dallas. If you take Dallas because the books are hanging a 'good' number, you're doing what the books want. Usually giving money to books where they tempt you to give it is not the way to profit in the end.

I'm not for a second saying I'd prefer -8.5 over the 7 you can still get, but at the end of the day if Denver win by 17 odd points people will be kicking themselves for passing on Denver because the books were luring you to Dallas because of the number they hung.

Remember how many people last week didn't want to touch Denver because they were getting a 'bad' number laying just over 10. Did it matter in the end? If you take the hook because you think Dallas are going to lose this by 7 it's a recipe for disaster. If you think Denver wins by a minimum of 10-13 then you should play Denver. If you think Dallas lose by no more than 3 or win straight up then play Dallas. If you play a side because you think they're going to cover by a half point then you don't have a great enough edge on the play and you should be laying off.

It's not a bad number because it's over 8 it's a bad number because you can get a better one. If you bet a team -8.5 at -110 when you can bet them -7 at -120 you are betting a bad line, and you will lose money doing so over time.

Buford1 · 10-04-13, 08:59 PM

Really just a lurker here.

But I've been reading how Dallas is a strong home team......over and over.....so I wanted to find out.

Went over this season, and the last three as well.

For regular season home games, the Boys are a whopping 8-17 against the spread.

Not really impressive.

Leaning Denver.

k13 · 10-04-13, 09:10 PM

Anything over -3 is a bad number.

TwoWays · 10-06-13, 06:19 PM

Originally posted by Buford1

Really just a lurker here.

But I've been reading how Dallas is a strong home team......over and over.....so I wanted to find out.

Went over this season, and the last three as well.

For regular season home games, the Boys are a whopping 8-17 against the spread.

Not really impressive.

Leaning Denver.

no doubt.

k13 · 10-06-13, 08:33 PM

Originally posted by k13

Anything over -3 is a bad number.

Original number always the sharpest.

lakerboy · 10-06-13, 08:38 PM

Originally posted by k13

Original number always the sharpest.