Guys QUIT using +\- EV in your posts

[The Kraken]

You have no clue what + and - even really is

It is not a term you use when you feel good about a bet

Its a mathematical concept, more specifically a statistics concept

Ive taken stats, you guys clearly are using it wrong

[Big Bear]

i thought +even meant you liked something.

like zeta psi said hot sandwhiches are +even

[pavyracer]

I started with a $1000 bankroll 3 weeks ago and now I have a $3500 bankroll. 99% of my bets were -EV.

Does it matter when I request a check for $2500 today?

[chilidog]

ain't nobody that regularly posts on sbr even remotely aware of how to determine if a bet has a positive or negative expected value

[Chi_archie]

Durito taught me how to calculate my edge and expected value

[Sam Odom]

ain't nobody that regularly posts on sbr even remotely aware of how to determine if a bet has a positive or negative expected value

+1


Most just parrot shitt they think sounds Sharp (no names)

[downsouth]

Durito taught me how to calculate my edge and expected value

Don't see him around anywhere quite as much but that guy was very intelligent concerning sports wagering.

[Sam Odom]

Durito = rito

[The Kraken]

Archie you're a chosen one. Doritos is sharp.

[tatddy]

Kraker I am guilty of this. Was 1/2 blood and 1/2 alcohol the whole year I took advaned stats in college.

I will pledge to not use the word ev ever again here.

Kraker thanks for the bitchslap.

[jjgold]

Kracker great post

You have a clue

[Deuce]

Every Tom, Dick, and Harry with a bachelors degree has taken stats. That being said kraker is correct.

[Big Bear]

Every Tom, Dick, and Harry with a bachelors degree has taken stats. That being said kraker is correct.

nope not me. i didnt have to take a single math class

[odog11]

No stats geek here and I just think in terms of implied probability. Look at the implied probability of a line and if I think there is a good reason to believe the actual probability is higher I consider the bet. Then look at/think about why this might be the case: ie. trap, public side or non public side, some key factor being overvalued or undervalued. If it looks like there is an edge I will make a big bet.

When I feel like playing a gut feeling, I really like this bet type of play I play for "entertainment purposes only" amount.

[747planes]

You have no clue what + and - even really is

It is not a term you use when you feel good about a bet

Its a mathematical concept, more specifically a statistics concept

Ive taken stats, you guys clearly are using it wrong

Those clueless people are the same people who think that they don't pay juice when they play +100 or better odds

But gotta love it when an idiot thinks he is being a smart ass when he uses +/- even incorrectly.

[dmtrader]

You have no clue what + and - even really is

It is not a term you use when you feel good about a bet

Its a mathematical concept, more specifically a statistics concept

Ive taken stats, you guys clearly are using it wrong

Si

since you are the statistical police, let me ask you;

Is it OK if I use the term 'bell curve' in my posts? how about 'revert to the mean?'

[TheMoneyShot]

As Brock Landers once said... "It Isn't Juice If You Win" So This would be a +EV statement.

[Louisvillekid1]

What exactly did we accomplish here?

This thread is -EV



Fishhead in 3.2.1...

[Sam Odom]

Never bet Fav over -130 . +EV

[Darkside Magick]

Never bet Fav over -130 . +EV

Take it even further Sammy...don't bet nothing over -110

[Louisvillekid1]

Sammy lets go further, always plus $ wagers

[Darkside Magick]

Sammy lets go further, always plus $ wagers

This.

50% @Avg wager of 130 is more profitable than 60% @-110

[Sam Odom]

Sammy lets go further, always plus $ wagers

No Juice = +EV

[jjgold]

Rookies on this thread

If market price is at most books

Yanks -175
Toronto +165


Some rare book has

Yanks -158
foronto +148

Do you bet yanks at -158?

[Darkside Magick]

Rookies on this thread

If market price is at most books

Yanks -175
Toronto +165


Some rare book has

Yanks -158
foronto +148


Do you bet yanks at -158?

You bet bluejays @ 165

[Big Bear]

Rookies on this thread

If market price is at most books

Yanks -175
Toronto +165


Some rare book has

Yanks -158
foronto +148

Do you bet yanks at -158?

if that rare book is pinnacle you take Toronto

[ChalkyDog]

I like using these terms in arbitrary ways that have nothing to do with math.

Misuse, probably. Misunderstood, absolutely. Misguided, never.

[jjgold]

Big Bear your sharp

[mbs4]

You have no clue what + and - even really is

It is not a term you use when you feel good about a bet

Its a mathematical concept, more specifically a statistics concept

Ive taken stats, you guys clearly are using it wrong

Ev != even

[jjgold]

It means take anything. + money

[Sam Odom]

Rookies on this thread

If market price is at most books

Yanks -175
Toronto +165


Some rare book has

Yanks -158
foronto +148

Do you bet yanks at -158?

Sammy would have NYY -125

[BigDeem5]

It is -EV to place parlays, teasers, and get worst price.

I could go into statistics but would take too long.

It is -EV to bet at 10% juice unless you can hit 53%. Simple

[Sam Odom]

Deemer , plenty of Sharps bet 3-team parlays

[billysink]

Ain't a fukkin thing discussed here matters one stikky shit if you can't handicap a game right unless you have a very, very, very large bankroll.

See a lot of guys batting the fukk out of their calculator for 4 bucks and change.

Most fukks in here just talkin about it because they feel like they matter.


They don't

[jjgold]

Guys if you take Detroit +2.5 +105 that is +EV