Terrelle Pryor UNDER 18.5 pass completions.

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  • wagerjunkie
    SBR MVP
    • 08-24-13
    • 4105

    #1
    Terrelle Pryor UNDER 18.5 pass completions.
    I really love this play tonight.

    First, Pryor has only completed over 18 passes all year and that was 19 against the Colts. I highly doubt any of these weak Oakland receivers are going to get space in coverage off these Denver DBs especially now with Champ Bailey back. Rodgers Cromartie gets to shift over too, they should have a field day.

    I expect one of Pryors worst games he's had. now under the big lights on the road in a ruckus atmosphere as he puts pressure on himself, coming in big headed after getting all the media attention after last weeks big game against all mighty Jacksonville, now facing Peyton.

    Whats even more important is Denver LT Ryan Clady being out. You ask what does that have to do with this bet? A TON. Believe it or not Oakland has the fourth best defense in the league and they have already racked up 9 sacks this year. now you take away Peytons blind side, he is going to have pressure in his face all night long, which means the Denver offense won't be the well oiled machine they normally are.

    Which in turn leads to them not being able to get out to double digits leads, so it doesn't force Pryor to have to sit back in the pocket and go one dimensional pass game, playing catch up. They can pound the football with McFadden and Pryor and stick to their game plan and as they try to eat up yardage on the ground and burn clock, keeping the Broncos offense on the sideline.

    Which means very limited pass attempts and when you do see any pass attempts they are going to be into very tight coverage, like I said. Champ Bailey and Rodgers Cromartie should have no problem shutting down this below average receiving core
  • TonyTall
    SBR MVP
    • 08-21-13
    • 3551

    #2
    good prop. nice angle

    might take it
    Comment
    • MoneyLineDawg
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-01-09
      • 13253

      #3
      If you believe all this, why don't you just take Raiders +15 or whatever it is

      If there is a big lead in the 2H this play loses by default IMO with hurry ups and checkdowns
      Comment
      • seaborneq
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-08-06
        • 22556

        #4
        I wouldn't take Pryor over 18.5 completions versus air or invisible defense.
        Comment
        • Wilfred
          SBR MVP
          • 08-19-12
          • 1908

          #5
          Don't Underestimate TP. Not great, but a better passer than most people think, and loves the checkdown to the RB and little 4 yard passes. But I do expect his legs to frustrate Denver, which hopefully for your bet will limit his throws. Game should be closer than most think, but keep in mind the only reason TP didn't have many completions last week is because Oakland played ultra conservative when they realized the Jags weren't going to be able to score on them.

          I really like Pryor Over 53.5 Rushing Yards though. I think he's the best running QB in the league, If he gashes them for 30 once as I expect can't see him not getting 24 more throughout the game. I think he will get it even without a big run.
          Comment
          • TonyTall
            SBR MVP
            • 08-21-13
            • 3551

            #6
            Originally posted by seaborneq
            I wouldn't take Pryor over 18.5 completions versus air or invisible defense.
            Comment
            • MUHerd37
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-23-09
              • 12816

              #7
              They're gonna have to throw it a lot when they get behind early.
              Comment
              • Wilfred
                SBR MVP
                • 08-19-12
                • 1908

                #8
                Originally posted by seaborneq
                I wouldn't take Pryor over 18.5 completions versus air or invisible defense.
                Originally posted by TonyTall


                How dare you disrespect him like this.
                Comment
                • wagerjunkie
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-24-13
                  • 4105

                  #9
                  Originally posted by MUHerd37
                  They're gonna have to throw it a lot when they get behind early.
                  did you read the write up?

                  smh..
                  Comment
                  • wagerjunkie
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-24-13
                    • 4105

                    #10
                    Originally posted by seaborneq
                    I wouldn't take Pryor over 18.5 completions versus air or invisible defense.
                    Tis why I am playing UNDER...
                    Comment
                    • wagerjunkie
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-24-13
                      • 4105

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Wilfred
                      Don't Underestimate TP. Not great, but a better passer than most people think, and loves the checkdown to the RB and little 4 yard passes. But I do expect his legs to frustrate Denver, which hopefully for your bet will limit his throws. Game should be closer than most think, but keep in mind the only reason TP didn't have many completions last week is because Oakland played ultra conservative when they realized the Jags weren't going to be able to score on them.

                      I really like Pryor Over 53.5 Rushing Yards though. I think he's the best running QB in the league, If he gashes them for 30 once as I expect can't see him not getting 24 more throughout the game. I think he will get it even without a big run.
                      not under estimating him but it fits the proper game plan. if you read my write up you'll understand the play. the whole reason I like the UNDER on the completions is cause I fully expect him to tuck it and run and them feed McFadden all night to keep the Denver offense on the side line as they eat clock
                      Comment
                      • wagerjunkie
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-24-13
                        • 4105

                        #12
                        Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
                        If you believe all this, why don't you just take Raiders +15 or whatever it is

                        If there is a big lead in the 2H this play loses by default IMO with hurry ups and checkdowns
                        because I believe that is a coin toss. do you guys read the write up before commenting or just half ass skim it...
                        Comment
                        • TonyTall
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-21-13
                          • 3551

                          #13
                          denver very well could stack the box somewhat because they have such an advantage at cb.........taking away the dink and dunk, making pryor make some medium/deep throws. i could see pryor going like 6-10 for 55 yards in the first half
                          Comment
                          • MUHerd37
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-23-09
                            • 12816

                            #14
                            Originally posted by wagerjunkie
                            did you read the write up?

                            smh..
                            They can't stop Denver. Who cares if they have the 4th ranked defense? They have a whopping 2 game so far. 1 of which was Jacksonville. Not saying its not gonna hit but I think they are gonna have to throw a lot when they get behind.
                            Comment
                            • wagerjunkie
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-24-13
                              • 4105

                              #15
                              Originally posted by MUHerd37
                              They can't stop Denver. Who cares if they have the 4th ranked defense? They have a whopping 2 game so far. 1 of which was Jacksonville. Not saying its not gonna hit but I think they are gonna have to throw a lot when they get behind.
                              THINK BEYOND THE 4th RANKED DEFENSE.

                              they have 9 sacks in 2 games and Peyton Mannings Pro Bowl starting left tackle is out ..his blind side..ya know that is going to have a huge affect...come on dude pay attention here..i've said this stuff already

                              im not trying to beef or be a dick...but sheesh
                              Comment
                              • wagerjunkie
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-24-13
                                • 4105

                                #16
                                Originally posted by TonyTall
                                denver very well could stack the box somewhat because they have such an advantage at cb.........taking away the dink and dunk, making pryor make some medium/deep throws. i could see pryor going like 6-10 for 55 yards in the first half
                                true

                                but this is where I am counting on the Denver DBs to win their match ups.

                                BTW I appreciate all the responses. I like when people bring in opposite opinions, so I can see where I stand and evaluate but some of ya are saying some things that have already been addressed in the write up.

                                (not you in this case Tony)
                                Comment
                                • wagerjunkie
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-24-13
                                  • 4105

                                  #17
                                  grandma tellss Terrelle he needs to be David and beat Goliath and his first two passes he throws at his receivers feet looking like a 50 year old Donovan McNabb.

                                  lets hope he keeps that trend going.
                                  Comment
                                  • nvrlose37
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-01-12
                                    • 2730

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
                                    If you believe all this, why don't you just take Raiders +15 or whatever it is

                                    If there is a big lead in the 2H this play loses by default IMO with hurry ups and checkdowns
                                    Took TP o19 completions for this reason. Broncos ahead by 20-24 and garbage drives push this over and may cause a backdoor cover.
                                    Comment
                                    • wagerjunkie
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-24-13
                                      • 4105

                                      #19
                                      pressure in his face every play.

                                      just need to bring him down.

                                      check downs mite kill this bet.
                                      Comment
                                      • wagerjunkie
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-24-13
                                        • 4105

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by nvrlose37
                                        Took TP o19 completions for this reason. Broncos ahead by 20-24 and garbage drives push this over and may cause a backdoor cover.
                                        he mite not even survive the whole game the pressure the Broncos are getting, kid is gonna get killed with the wrecklessness he plays with.
                                        Comment
                                        • Wilfred
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-19-12
                                          • 1908

                                          #21
                                          You got 2 lucky breaks there haha
                                          Comment
                                          • nvrlose37
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-01-12
                                            • 2730

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by wagerjunkie
                                            he mite not even survive the whole game the pressure the Broncos are getting, kid is gonna get killed with the wrecklessness he plays with.
                                            Doesn't matter his wrecklessness for this bet at all. He can throw 50 times, complete 20, throw 5 picks. Especially if the Broncos are leading by a ton in garbage time. Flacco and Sheli Manning made their stats then.
                                            Comment
                                            • wagerjunkie
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-24-13
                                              • 4105

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Wilfred
                                              You got 2 lucky breaks there haha
                                              on the drops yeah.

                                              but they are getting the pressure on him I expected.

                                              they will tighten up the coverage and stop letting receivers sit in zones.
                                              Comment
                                              • Wilfred
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-19-12
                                                • 1908

                                                #24
                                                Not saying an Injury isn't possible, but his build is so solid. He never takes a "Huge" shot, usually just knocks down the defender or slowly goes down.
                                                Comment
                                                • wagerjunkie
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-24-13
                                                  • 4105

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by nvrlose37
                                                  Doesn't matter his wrecklessness for this bet at all. He can throw 50 times, complete 20, throw 5 picks. Especially if the Broncos are leading by a ton in garbage time. Flacco and Sheli Manning made their stats then.
                                                  my point about his wrecklesness and the pressure the broncos are getting he could easily get injured and not even be in the game garbage time.

                                                  doesnt matter. guy has only completed over 18 passes once in his career. if he does it tonight. so be it.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • wagerjunkie
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-24-13
                                                    • 4105

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Wilfred
                                                    Not saying an Injury isn't possible, but his build is so solid. He never takes a "Huge" shot, usually just knocks down the defender or slowly goes down.
                                                    yeah. agree. he is a beast at avoiding big hits.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • wagerjunkie
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-24-13
                                                      • 4105

                                                      #27
                                                      3 completions so far.

                                                      couldn't ask for a better start.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Wilfred
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-19-12
                                                        • 1908

                                                        #28
                                                        Funny how Pryor had Hartline, Posey, Sanzenbacher, and Ballard at Ohio State and they are better than these WR's.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • turtlejc
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-18-11
                                                          • 3958

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by wagerjunkie
                                                          guy has only completed over 18 passes once in his career.
                                                          Its the THIRD week, holy christ
                                                          Comment
                                                          • wagerjunkie
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-24-13
                                                            • 4105

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by turtlejc
                                                            Its the THIRD week, holy christ
                                                            yeah, we are talking about EIGHTEEN completions for a starting NFL quarterback. i dont give a penetrate if its the first day of training camp. if the line is set at that you know the guy is terrible.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Wilfred
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-19-12
                                                              • 1908

                                                              #31
                                                              Now you're calling Pryor Terrible? With that OL and those WR's he's played extremely well considering he's pretty much a rookie
                                                              Comment
                                                              • wagerjunkie
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-24-13
                                                                • 4105

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Wilfred
                                                                Now you're calling Pryor Terrible? With that OL and those WR's he's played extremely well considering he's pretty much a rookie
                                                                he's got skills but he is nowhere close to polished.

                                                                he had one good game against Jacksonville.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • wagerjunkie
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-24-13
                                                                  • 4105

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by wagerjunkie
                                                                  pressure in his face every play.

                                                                  just need to bring him down.

                                                                  check downs mite kill this bet.
                                                                  yeah, def gonna kill this. 4 of 5 completed pass all check downs. o wellz
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Wilfred
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-19-12
                                                                    • 1908

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Luckily Peyton is killing a lot of clock
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • wagerjunkie
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-24-13
                                                                      • 4105

                                                                      #35
                                                                      anotha check down.
                                                                      Comment
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