Jaguars currently +2200 Moneyline

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  • BennyBigNuts
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-16-12
    • 8700

    #1
    Jaguars currently +2200 Moneyline
    Am I the only idiot throwing a 50 piece on this play for a dime and some change on the comeback?

    Sorry, The Jags can lose 49-3 this Sunday but NO NFL TEAM SHOULD BE 22-1 odds to win one game.
    You telling me if these 2 teams played 22 times the Jags couldn't squeak one low scoring, ugly, defensive, rain-hampered close one out?

    This is the NFL boys, ya never know.
  • Dom177
    SBR MVP
    • 09-11-11
    • 1080

    #2
    Eh, I read that 19+ point dogs were like 1-8ATS the last 10 years or something. Not even gonna bother looking at this game
    Comment
    • BigDofBA
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-30-09
      • 19313

      #3
      Originally posted by Dom177
      Eh, I read that 19+ point dogs were like 1-8ATS the last 10 years or something. Not even gonna bother looking at this game
      Where did you read that?

      I read the opposite.

      I think the link to the article is actually posted in this forum somewhere.
      Comment
      • tacostand
        SBR Hustler
        • 09-16-13
        • 75

        #4
        I might throw a small ammt at it. Got a better chance than the powerball....

        And no, I bet if they played 22 times the Jags wouldn't win. Maybe 1 in 30-35. But hey, it could happen.
        Comment
        • MoneyLineDawg
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-01-09
          • 13253

          #5
          Gunna throw a little on it as well.....All professionals here, gimmie 22/1 odds all day

          Obviously this is a prayer, but a good-valued one IMO

          Think the Jags win one in about 17-18 honestly
          Comment
          • JuicedUp
            SBR MVP
            • 01-20-10
            • 3396

            #6
            jags win.
            Comment
            • Jayvegas420
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-09-11
              • 28213

              #7
              You can't hit -150 lines, how the fukk do you expect to hit +2200?
              Comment
              • BennyBigNuts
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-16-12
                • 8700

                #8
                Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
                Gunna throw a little on it as well.....All professionals here, gimmie 22/1 odds all day

                Obviously this is a prayer, but a good-valued one IMO

                Think the Jags win one in about 17-18 honestly
                Agreed. Anything over +1300 is value IMO
                Comment
                • tony_come
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-31-10
                  • 21695

                  #9
                  This is crazy!
                  Comment
                  • TwoWays
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-24-10
                    • 13145

                    #10
                    how about buying 18 pts and taking Seattle -1?
                    Comment
                    • TwoWays
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-24-10
                      • 13145

                      #11
                      serious though if you want value on ml, just look to the wnba. there is no difference between top seed and last seed in playoffs. fckin seeding doesn't matter. lowest seed can pummel the top seed by dd with ease. that's crazy.
                      Comment
                      • tony_come
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-31-10
                        • 21695

                        #12
                        Seattle will cover 19.5
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by BigDofBA
                          Where did you read that?

                          I read the opposite.

                          I think the link to the article is actually posted in this forum somewhere.
                          I posted that NFL underdogs greater than +20 are 7-0 ATS since 1985. Let me run numbers for +19.5+, give me a couple of minutes.
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                            I posted that NFL underdogs greater than +20 are 7-0 ATS since 1985. Let me run numbers for +19.5+, give me a couple of minutes.
                            Underdogs of +19.5 or more are 9-3 ATS since 1985. Never won straight up.
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              NFL Dogs of +17 or more are 2-40 straight up since 1985, the biggest underdog to win straight up was +18 (other winner was +17).
                              Comment
                              • hockey216
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-20-08
                                • 4583

                                #16
                                shows all the idiots that are laying seattle -20 lol.

                                No NFL team should ever be a 20 point favorite over another nfl team. I don't care if its bad team against super bowl champs. Jacksonville is still an nfl team. an nfl team should never be a 20 point favorite over another nfl team. last year green bay was -16 against jacksonville (without maurice jones drew) and only won by 9. was easy jax cover, even without their star RB.

                                Don't ever lay -20 in the nfl. i dont care who is playing.
                                Comment
                                • uup115
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 09-28-11
                                  • 483

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                  NFL underdogs greater than +20 are 7-0 ATS since 1985. Underdogs of +19.5 or more are 9-3 ATS since 1985. Never won straight up.
                                  so, should we just buy a half point to be safe?
                                  Comment
                                  • Fed_42420
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-12-09
                                    • 976

                                    #18
                                    i don't think the jags even want to win any games this year, no way the win this one
                                    Comment
                                    • BennyBigNuts
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-16-12
                                      • 8700

                                      #19
                                      Jets were 17 pt dogs in a Super Bowl and won.
                                      That was one of them.
                                      Comment
                                      • PAYTON20
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-02-10
                                        • 5217

                                        #20
                                        Mindnumbingly idiotic comments in this thread.

                                        "Value" - Lmao
                                        Comment
                                        • BennyBigNuts
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-16-12
                                          • 8700

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by PAYTON20

                                          "Value" - Lmao
                                          That's the most important thing in making a wager, in case you aren't aware.
                                          Your avatar excludes you from this thread.
                                          Comment
                                          • konck
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-17-06
                                            • 12554

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                            NFL Dogs of +17 or more are 2-40 straight up since 1985, the biggest underdog to win straight up was +18 (other winner was +17).
                                            So at 22-1 you earn profit if you bet all 40But I think the Jags should be 40-1 here
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                              Jets were 17 pt dogs in a Super Bowl and won.
                                              That was one of them.
                                              That was before 1985 though.
                                              Comment
                                              • Big Bear
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 11-01-11
                                                • 43253

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                                Am I the only idiot throwing a 50 piece on this play for a dime and some change on the comeback?

                                                Sorry, The Jags can lose 49-3 this Sunday but NO NFL TEAM SHOULD BE 22-1 odds to win one game.
                                                You telling me if these 2 teams played 22 times the Jags couldn't squeak one low scoring, ugly, defensive, rain-hampered close one out?

                                                This is the NFL boys, ya never know.
                                                might as well take that $50 and go to Hot N Juicy and get some king crab.

                                                Honestly if they play this game 100 times. The Seahawks win all 100 times.

                                                I know you said you were terrible at football betting but this is the most rediculous bet i've ever heard of.
                                                Comment
                                                • WvGambler
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 04-19-10
                                                  • 11618

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Dom177
                                                  Eh, I read that 19+ point dogs were like 1-8ATS the last 10 years or something. Not even gonna bother looking at this game
                                                  If this is true, it's an auto play
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by uup115
                                                    so, should we just buy a half point to be safe?
                                                    No not saying that at all and would never do that. Never buy points in spreads 14+ because the extra half-point not worth 10 cents.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Big Bear
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 11-01-11
                                                      • 43253

                                                      #27
                                                      i dont think yall get it yet.

                                                      this game is in Seattle.

                                                      There is not a team in the NFL that can beat Seattle in Seattle.

                                                      And the Jaguars are by far the worst of the worst.

                                                      I'm not saying Jags can't keep it within 20 but they dont have any chance whatsoever of winning
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LT Profits
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                        • 90963

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by WvGambler
                                                        If this is true, it's an auto play
                                                        It is not, I already posted dogs 19.5+ are 9-3 ATS since 1985. Dogs of exactly +19 are 2-2 ATS, so that is 11-5 ATS since 85. Thus, can't have 8 losses last 10 years.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jjgold
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-20-05
                                                          • 388179

                                                          #29
                                                          If Benny hits this he is an instant star at SBR

                                                          Anyone can beat anyone in NFL..they are all pros

                                                          I am rooting for him here
                                                          Comment
                                                          • joco
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-24-11
                                                            • 3242

                                                            #30
                                                            Jags are reeeeal bad tho
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Big Bear
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 11-01-11
                                                              • 43253

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                                              If Benny hits this he is an instant star at SBR

                                                              Anyone can beat anyone in NFL..they are all pros

                                                              I am rooting for him here
                                                              if the Jaguars win i will dye my hair blue and get a Jaguars tatoo on my back.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • The Kraken
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-25-11
                                                                • 28918

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                                                Am I the only idiot throwing a 50 piece on this play for a dime and some change on the comeback?

                                                                Sorry, The Jags can lose 49-3 this Sunday but NO NFL TEAM SHOULD BE 22-1 odds to win one game.
                                                                You telling me if these 2 teams played 22 times the Jags couldn't squeak one low scoring, ugly, defensive, rain-hampered close one out?

                                                                This is the NFL boys, ya never know.
                                                                I'm on the Jags ATS, can't play them SU. They're terrible. Seattle secondary is so damn good, the can go single coverage and load the box and still not get burned deep. That's why they were so successful against SF. I don't see this being any different.

                                                                On average at home last year, the Seahawks won by 18.5 points/game. Against much better teams than the Jags.

                                                                However it does seem that when something makes sense or seems too easy, it turns out to be anything but.

                                                                Either way, I hope the Jags win and we both cash it
                                                                Comment
                                                                • opie1988
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 09-12-10
                                                                  • 23429

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                                  if the Jaguars win i will get a Jaguars tatoo on my back.
                                                                  How could we verify that you actually got the Jaguar tattoo.....you know, with you being black and all??
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • yahoonino
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-10-07
                                                                    • 2651

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by uup115
                                                                    so, should we just buy a half point to be safe?
                                                                    lol lol lol lol
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Huckleberry Pig
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-07-13
                                                                      • 2564

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                                      if the Jaguars win i will dye my hair blue and get a Jaguars tatoo on my back.
                                                                      holding you to this BB.
                                                                      Comment
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