3 Early College looks for Sat 9/14

Vinnie Paz · 09-10-13, 11:08 AM

Thanks for the input wiz

zooom · 09-10-13, 11:19 AM

like the bama play.

ChalkyDog · 09-10-13, 11:36 AM

This bama game is setting up into a classic vegas game.

Bama wins, TAMU covers, public wonders what happened.

frogsrangers · 09-10-13, 12:32 PM

gojetsgomoxies · 09-10-13, 01:21 PM

i like the bama play. huge revenge/focus spot and i think johnny manziel has had way too many distractions..........

these "omg, he's coming back for another season. imagine how much better he'll be" spots never seem to work out. see clowney too. too much hype/pressure/distraction i think.

psu/cf i'd probably play UNDER rather than either team.

washington and illinois are both such wildcards as rapidly improved teams. i'd say take the home team and washington might have some letdown after boise win. plus washington is big HFA team and thus might get too much general credit for being a good team in general. probably NO PLAY for me though

innovation · 09-10-13, 01:33 PM

one of the few genuine posts lately on this site

Smoke · 09-10-13, 01:43 PM

Pass

BigdaddyQH · 09-10-13, 01:44 PM

Again, people should learn where games are being played. Washington-Illinois is being played in Chicago, NOT Champaign. A neutral site game. Sure Illinois will have a majority of the crowd pulling for them, but there will be a lot more Husky fans at that game than people think.

artyfudgepacker · 09-10-13, 01:51 PM

well bama gm is revange for me .had bama at tail end of a big parley for 1500 . and johnny football fukked me . so idk .line is going up in illini gm so thats a very possible play. no play on psu . like ucla +4.5

tatddy · 09-10-13, 02:17 PM

Be sure to let the board know, when you do make "official" plays, if you have a play that's being pounded more than the others. Don't want be past posting like you did last week. And if you, for some inexplicable reason do so, try not to be so defensive this time.

I'm sure if you reread this thread, with new eyes, you'll see why it looked so bad. You're better than that.

Good luck this week! Crush it.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/2566140-two-4-30-college-plays.html

t-wizzle · 09-10-13, 03:15 PM

Tatddy. Passive aggressive as ever. Good to have you back as well.

t-wizzle · 09-10-13, 03:16 PM

Originally posted by innovation

one of the few genuine posts lately on this site

Thanks. Hard to find I know but gotta look closely sometimes.

detroitlionsfan · 09-10-13, 05:02 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

1) Alabama -7.5 @ Texas A&M: You're crazy if you don't think the Tide will be ready for this one. Bama has been waiting a very long time for this game. I'm not saying A&M won't be able to put up any points but they will most certainly have trouble against this great defense. The bigger issue will be stopping Bama. Big day for TJ Yeldon. Tide win 38-20.

2) UCF +5 @ Penn State: The Nittany Lions are going through some growing pains with a freshman quarterback at the helm. They struggled against a lousy Syracuse team and it took a while to get going against Eastern Michigan before pulling away. UCF is solid year in and year out and I expect them to give PSU a test here and even have a shot at pulling off the upset.

3) Washington @ Illinois +10: Washington was extremely impressive in their rout of Boise State but I think Illinois is a good team or at least much better than their 2012 record would indicate. Won a nice bet on them outright last week over Cincy and going to ride them again here. Scheelhasse is a versatile quarterback and the Illini are beginning to build some momentum under the second year coach Beckman.

I'll post official plays closer to gameday but these three look awfully good to me.

good stuff here wizz

Eric22174 · 09-10-13, 05:15 PM

Love every pick

Louisvillekid1 · 09-10-13, 05:21 PM

Louisville & Alabama lines look awfully low this week...

Edit

t-wizzle · 09-10-13, 07:59 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Edit

Gee wonder what this said...

Louisvillekid1 · 09-10-13, 08:03 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Gee wonder what this said...

I thought I was making a new thread but it got posted in there.

You can see the title of the post is the same as the thread title I made...

Good luck with these

REally love UCF +180

NYSportsGuy210 · 09-10-13, 08:27 PM

Like the OVER 62.5 in the Texas Tech vs. TCU game.

t-wizzle · 09-10-13, 08:35 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

I thought I was making a new thread but it got posted in there.

You can see the title of the post is the same as the thread title I made...

Good luck with these

REally love UCF +180

Thanks yea I think they can win that game.

beerman2619 · 09-11-13, 12:58 AM

Huskies Coming Off A Bye Week Also. An They Get Back There Top Offensive Threat The Tight End Think His Name Is Jenkins. One Of The Best Tight Ends In College Football. Should Be A High Scoring Game Wash Runs The Up Tempo Offense And Illinois Can Put Up Points

No coincidences · 09-11-13, 01:08 AM

I like the first two a lot.

Might want to look into Bowling Green as well t-wizz.

t-wizzle · 09-11-13, 06:45 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I like the first two a lot.

Might want to look into Bowling Green as well t-wizz.

Don't know too much about them but know Indiana is coming off a loss to Navy when they were a double digit fave I believe.

Big Bear · 09-11-13, 07:30 AM

"

jjgold · 09-11-13, 07:48 AM

Forget that public stuff
It means nothing
Line is accurate on every game

Nobody knows who is going to win nfl or college games even so called experts

Big Bear · 09-11-13, 07:54 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Forget that public stuff
It means nothing
Line is accurate on every game

Nobody knows who is going to win nfl or college games even so called experts

i cant agree with that. A line is not accurate if the spread is 7.5 and the underdog wins by 10.

and what i mean by the public percentage stuff is that if say 80% of bets were on Texas A&M then the +7.5 would appear to be bait for the trap..

jjgold · 09-11-13, 08:15 AM

Bear if it was that easy we would win weekly

I guess a tool that's all

Big Bear · 09-11-13, 08:48 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Bear if it was that easy we would win weekly

I guess a tool that's all

yeah your right. its just a tool.

but for a really huge game that gets a ton of action and hype i am not comfortable being with the majority

Big Bear · 09-11-13, 10:28 AM

Yall think Saban will be aggressive with his offensive play calling?

t-wizzle · 09-11-13, 11:46 AM

Saban won't need to be aggressive. The Bama running game won't be stopped and it will set up big plays downfield.

BigdaddyQH · 09-11-13, 12:41 PM

Originally posted by Big Bear

i cant agree with that. A line is not accurate if the spread is 7.5 and the underdog wins by 10.

and what i mean by the public percentage stuff is that if say 80% of bets were on Texas A&M then the +7.5 would appear to be bait for the trap..

Obviously you have no idea about how the line works. First, it does NOT matter how many people wager on a game. What matters is how much money is wagered on the game. Obviously many of you people simply cannot get that through your heads. Forget about Joe Pub. You guys are so easily played by this information.

Next. There is no such thing as a non-accurate line. All the line reflects is the public's opinion about a certain game. A line is set because the linesmakers think that the number they set will get the most action. They could care less about who is playing who.

Next, NO ONE in here can find a trap game. If you could, it would NOT be a trap game. Give it up people. You do not have the necessary information to deceipher a trap game. According to some of you, every other game is either a trap game, or a game that is rigged, one way or another. Now we know why the vast majority of you people continually lose money year after year.

Try actually figuring out who has the best team and who is going to win the game and forget about everythihng else. You guys get so involved in the lines that you completely forget about the game itself. you forget about the players, injuries, the chaches, etc... Again this is why 85% of people who wager on football lose. You guys can be led astray so easily by any sharp who wants to set up a "bait and switch" and other tricks used to take your money from you.

Big Bear · 09-11-13, 12:55 PM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

Obviously you have no idea about how the line works. First, it does NOT matter how many people wager on a game. What matters is how much money is wagered on the game. Obviously many of you people simply cannot get that through your heads. Forget about Joe Pub. You guys are so easily played by this information.

Next. There is no such thing as a non-accurate line. All the line reflects is the public's opinion about a certain game. A line is set because the linesmakers think that the number they set will get the most action. They could care less about who is playing who.

Next, NO ONE in here can find a trap game. If you could, it would NOT be a trap game. Give it up people. You do not have the necessary information to deceipher a trap game. According to some of you, every other game is either a trap game, or a game that is rigged, one way or another. Now we know why the vast majority of you people continually lose money year after year.

Try actually figuring out who has the best team and who is going to win the game and forget about everythihng else. You guys get so involved in the lines that you completely forget about the game itself. you forget about the players, injuries, the chaches, etc... Again this is why 85% of people who wager on football lose. You guys can be led astray so easily by any sharp who wants to set up a "bait and switch" and other tricks used to take your money from you.

to each his own. there is some truth to what you say.. however like
JJ said knowing who the public is on is just one of many tools

And as far as a trap game i mean sometimes vegas has a pretty good
idea of what the result is going to be and sometimes they throw a number
out there to steer you in a certain direction...

Vegas knows that adding the hook to the 7 points will scare many bettors off Alabama...

i got a lot more work to do on this game but i'm starting to lean Bama

t-wizzle · 09-13-13, 02:03 PM

Curious to see where this line closes. I think it goes up.

Big Bear · 09-13-13, 02:09 PM

No play on Bama for me.

I dont want to get Landered.

teaserpleaser · 09-13-13, 02:23 PM

Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210

Like the OVER 62.5 in the Texas Tech vs. TCU game.

Boy oh boy was this guy disappointed