Are all touts a scam?

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  • eyeball
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-14-07
    • 988

    #1
    Are all touts a scam?
    Are any of these guys legit? I hear some are honest and ok,but are the others just manipulating their results?

    Its a huge industry, I am not speaking of the phone guys but about the online sites, there are a ton of them

    Besides the well known scammers, do some of the smaller guys as a whole do they provide a useful service?
    How about free picks?
  • TheMoneyShot
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-07
    • 28672

    #2
    If any service was legit... we'd all be living in 500k homes.
    Comment
    • Smoke
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-09-09
      • 48111

      #3
      Fade the touts you will win $$$$
      Comment
      • eyeball
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 08-14-07
        • 988

        #4
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388179

          #5
          98% are scammers and frauds
          Comment
          • SamDiamond
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-19-12
            • 6107

            #6
            Paying a tout is the dumbest thing a gambler can do.

            There isn't a single angle you can come up with that would make it smart.
            Comment
            • manny24
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-22-07
              • 20046

              #7
              west coast gets the favorite

              east coast gets the dog

              next day switch

              a few guys hit 3 or 4 winners in a row offer them $premium plays

              rinse repeat
              Comment
              • Smoke
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-09-09
                • 48111

                #8
                Manny gets it
                Comment
                • byronbb
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-13-08
                  • 3067

                  #9
                  Most touts are con-men who are just playing mugs both sides of the same game. There ARE guys who are legit who would rather sell picks with a long term win-rate than have to suffer the emotional and financial swings associated with gambling. If you have 100k roll and can win at 55% ATS you are limited to wagering about $5k a game with an ev of $250 a game. If you can make even half that selling your picks then you should do so. The only issue is guys who buy picks want to win at 75% and have no discipline actually getting a good #.



                  Checkout picksmonitor.com for a tout tracking site.
                  Comment
                  • manny24
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-22-07
                    • 20046

                    #10
                    99% of us are undisciplined sick action junkies

                    most of us broke couldn't finance the steam off a hot dog
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388179

                      #11
                      many make good money because so many suckers across the globe

                      I was always ahead of the curve....I said to myself..why they giving games?? How come they do not just bet themselves
                      Comment
                      • Reload
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-23-08
                        • 12250

                        #12
                        With football coming up, I think it's time for JJ to do one of his tout calls
                        Comment
                        • Big Bear
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 11-01-11
                          • 43253

                          #13
                          Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                          If any service was legit... we'd all be living in 500k homes.
                          not true. There "are" some handicappers out there for hire that hit at a 65% and higher clip.

                          However , this is obviously cant be guaranteed but it happens.

                          My point of view though is that these expert cappers are very pricey and i personally would rather have the money that i'm paying the tout to put on a wager my self.

                          The other issue i have is the # of plays these touts promote...

                          if i was paying a tout i would want a tout that maybe only gave 2 to 3 plays a month that hit at 80% or higher.

                          no capper out there can pick winners daily but if you are a spot bettor and just go big on 1 or 2 plays a month you can be a bookies worst nightmare.
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #14
                            Reload I have one or two

                            Bear with me

                            They are con pros and sound so convincing and trap so many guys
                            Comment
                            • flyingillini
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 41219

                              #15
                              Originally posted by manny24
                              west coast gets the favorite

                              east coast gets the dog

                              next day switch

                              a few guys hit 3 or 4 winners in a row offer them $premium plays

                              rinse repeat
                              Ese Manny knows the deal!
                              המוסד‎
                              המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                              Comment
                              • manny24
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-22-07
                                • 20046

                                #16
                                Originally posted by flyingillini
                                Ese Manny knows the deal!
                                flyer not rocket surgery here

                                same as the games at the carnival guey
                                Comment
                                • flyingillini
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 41219

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by manny24
                                  flyer not rocket surgery here

                                  same as the games at the carnival guey
                                  Thin Mint Cookies and Sherbert are the real deal! Makes Girl Scout cookies look like Amature hour.
                                  המוסד‎
                                  המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                  Comment
                                  • JayLA
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-11-12
                                    • 7806

                                    #18
                                    Paying someone to tell me what they THINK might happen in something as dynamic as sports betting just seems like a complete waste of money to me.
                                    Comment
                                    • manny24
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-22-07
                                      • 20046

                                      #19
                                      still getting any platinum pink lemonade?

                                      illinois we are in week 8 halfway home ese
                                      Comment
                                      • the_situation
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-22-10
                                        • 2735

                                        #20
                                        yep, if they were so good wouldn't need to charge
                                        plenty of free legit cappers
                                        Comment
                                        • BennyBigNuts
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-16-12
                                          • 8700

                                          #21
                                          No reason to ever pay money for something you are favored to lose with betting to begin with (Unless you're betting MLB which you can consistently beat every year).
                                          You can find guys like Brock Landers to fade and profit, or tail Benny in MLB hahahahahahaha.
                                          Internet has ruined that whole scam.
                                          Those guys used to make a ton back in the day though. It was the most wonderful pyramid scheme ever for football.
                                          I know guys who have worked for the companies, pretty funny stuff how they did it.
                                          Comment
                                          • Dickie Greenleaf
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 07-30-13
                                            • 13

                                            #22
                                            I have a friend who got destroyed on ATS consultants picks...consistently destroyed
                                            Comment
                                            • sbrhedge
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-18-11
                                              • 1354

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Big Bear
                                              not true. There "are" some handicappers out there for hire that hit at a 65% and higher clip.

                                              However , this is obviously cant be guaranteed but it happens.

                                              My point of view though is that these expert cappers are very pricey and i personally would rather have the money that i'm paying the tout to put on a wager my self.

                                              The other issue i have is the # of plays these touts promote...

                                              if i was paying a tout i would want a tout that maybe only gave 2 to 3 plays a month that hit at 80% or higher.

                                              no capper out there can pick winners daily but if you are a spot bettor and just go big on 1 or 2 plays a month you can be a bookies worst nightmare.
                                              BIG +1 to this post.

                                              same thing in the trading world - avoid the middle like the plague. go extremely high frequency to increase MAR/Sharpe ratios, or bet a couple times a month and HIT IT VERY HARD.

                                              all the guys i know who have really good and consistent performance ratios over a long time are either very high or very low frequency bettors.

                                              one guy i know only waits for the weather pattern to change at Wrigley Field or San Diego's park. Then he bets only the over/under. from all the times we chatted, he has only missed ONCE in the last 3 years i have known him, and he is the ONLY guy i would tail in this situation.

                                              the other guy i know bets almost EVERY game every day in MLB, and his average winning line is above +100 with a 55% win rate. that definitely dampens the drawdowns.
                                              Comment
                                              • ChalkyDog
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-02-11
                                                • 9598

                                                #24
                                                Give a man a fish.... Teach a man to fish....

                                                If you go the tout route, and it left you feeling "ripped off", please don't bitch about it in public.
                                                Comment
                                                • olemissbydamn
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 09-27-12
                                                  • 838

                                                  #25
                                                  hey man ill sell you huge big time winners just 99 payments of $1000 promise you will win some games.. oh man ok I see you are a cool guy ill cut you the friend discount 98 payments of $1000 because I see you are a serious gambler and seem like a good guys. man I just gave you 1000 off for free WINNERS. no better deal than this just go ahead let's do it send me your money and ill go ahead and start making you big time $$$$$$$ allsalesarefinal allall dgfg
                                                  Comment
                                                  • olemissbydamn
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-27-12
                                                    • 838

                                                    #26
                                                    On a serious note, if these guys were so good at capping they wouldn't be trying to make a living charging you for their picks they'd be killing the books and relaxing. I think if you want to follow picks SBR is one of the best places to do so there are some great cappers on here who post their picks and the fact that they are risking their own money as well says a lot.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jjgold
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                      • 388179

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by olemissbydamn
                                                      On a serious note, if these guys were so good at capping they wouldn't be trying to make a living charging you for their picks they'd be killing the books and relaxing. I think if you want to follow picks SBR is one of the best places to do so there are some great cappers on here who post their picks and the fact that they are risking their own money as well says a lot.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Big Bear
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 11-01-11
                                                        • 43253

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by eyeball
                                                        Are any of these guys legit? I hear some are honest and ok,but are the others just manipulating their results?

                                                        Its a huge industry, I am not speaking of the phone guys but about the online sites, there are a ton of them

                                                        Besides the well known scammers, do some of the smaller guys as a whole do they provide a useful service?
                                                        How about free picks?
                                                        yeah some are legit. i mean it is what it is. you pay for someone elses picks. the key is knowing who to trust.

                                                        i spend a lot of time on this site so i know who to listen to and who is full of shit.

                                                        Trace- excellent NFL capper
                                                        Benny Big nuts- best MLB capper
                                                        Louisville kid and T-Wizzle- best NCAA capper
                                                        Comment
                                                        • eidolon
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-02-08
                                                          • 9531

                                                          #29
                                                          Most touts are legit.
                                                          Best way to find out is to buy a year subscription to about 10-20 of them
                                                          Comment
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