The line is off by at least 80 cents in this game! JUMP ON IT!!

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  • playersonly69
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-04-08
    • 12827

    #1
    The line is off by at least 80 cents in this game! JUMP ON IT!!
    The Astros are +210 today and shouldn't be ANY HIGHER than +130 in this game.



    Lyles for Houston has been pitching great for his last 4 starts. He actually only has one real bad start all year. In only one start has given up MORE than 3 runs and gave up only1 run in 3 starts. In his last 4 starts has given up 2 runs once and 1 run the remaining three games. He hasn't given up more than 1 homerun in ANY game all season.

    Meanwhile, Kansas City isn't exactly pitching CY Young in this game.

    Houston in on a 6 game road winning streak.


    Houston actually has a much better record on the road than they do at home at a 12-16 clip. Kansas City isn't much better at home with a 12-15 record.



    After hearing all of those facts you can see why I think that this line is WAYYYYYYY off! The correct line in this game should be around -140 and +120
  • Smoke
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-09-09
    • 48111

    #2
    No way would the line ever be +120 the books would never get equal action
    Comment
    • easyliving
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-25-12
      • 8876

      #3
      Houston still getting no respect from books and they will not until public stops betting blindly against them. Agree that the line is waaay off and this is definitely worth a play. Infact at this point I might start blindly betting the Astros every time their over +200.
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #4
        kc-220 vs anyone still breathing is off if ya ask me..
        Comment
        • Kermit
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-27-10
          • 32823

          #5
          I am going to bite on the +200 for $50 and the -1.5 RRL +300 for $25
          Comment
          • Tofudog
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 04-30-12
            • 858

            #6
            I disagree with this one. They have been undervalued but I feel like people learned their lesson chasing the Angels series... Everything points to Houston losing here. In actuality, I feel like its a baiting people to take the Stro's when they don't have much of a chance

            It was a pass game for me but I expect the Royals to win by 3+ runs
            Comment
            • playersonly69
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-04-08
              • 12827

              #7
              I am not sure that the Astros will win, but this line was wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy off! How great is Lyles lately
              Comment
              • ItsMeMrMattE
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-30-10
                • 5294

                #8
                yep perfect example of a dog play or no play at all.
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #9
                  Originally posted by playersonly69
                  I am not sure that the Astros will win, but this line was wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy off! How great is Lyles lately
                  When I saw kc-220 I thought surely oddsmakers must not be screened for crack.
                  Comment
                  • playersonly69
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-04-08
                    • 12827

                    #10
                    The main thing here is that Kansas City should even favored by more than -160 vs a NCAA team. And in this case the pitcher for Houston has been red hot
                    Comment
                    • TheMLBKing
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-20-13
                      • 1129

                      #11
                      Originally posted by playersonly69
                      The Astros are +210 today and shouldn't be ANY HIGHER than +130 in this game.



                      Lyles for Houston has been pitching great for his last 4 starts. He actually only has one real bad start all year. In only one start has given up MORE than 3 runs and gave up only1 run in 3 starts. In his last 4 starts has given up 2 runs once and 1 run the remaining three games. He hasn't given up more than 1 homerun in ANY game all season.

                      Meanwhile, Kansas City isn't exactly pitching CY Young in this game.

                      Houston in on a 6 game road winning streak.


                      Houston actually has a much better record on the road than they do at home at a 12-16 clip. Kansas City isn't much better at home with a 12-15 record.



                      After hearing all of those facts you can see why I think that this line is WAYYYYYYY off! The correct line in this game should be around -140 and +120
                      so what are you trying to say, that Big Game James sucks? lol.
                      Comment
                      • Swarles
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 04-26-13
                        • 102

                        #12
                        Kansas city getting fed the win by Brian Gorman, strike zone has shrunk to the size of a nickel.
                        Comment
                        • TheMoneyShot
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-14-07
                          • 28690

                          #13
                          Doesn't look like the line was off.
                          Comment
                          • TheMLBKing
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-20-13
                            • 1129

                            #14
                            so how did this work out for you OP? Curious to hear the results, let me know brah!!
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #15
                              Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                              Doesn't look like the line was off.
                              really? cause they won a squeaker late -220 was justified? hmm..didnt bet it either way cause line stunk but no way kc should have been -220, you think they win a 2-2 gm late enough times to cover that number?
                              Comment
                              • hurricane1091
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-01-12
                                • 713

                                #16
                                I took Astros. The line was right to be on them regardless of result. Lot of men left on base in this one.
                                Comment
                                • GamblerSpirit
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-18-11
                                  • 4085

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by TheMLBKing
                                  so how did this work out for you OP? Curious to hear the results, le
                                  t me know brah!!
                                  he faded the asstros, don't be so naive. this guy made this thread for a reason; to get a better price.
                                  Comment
                                  • TheMLBKing
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-20-13
                                    • 1129

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by GamblerSpirit
                                    he faded the asstros, don't be so naive. this guy made this thread for a reason; to get a better price.
                                    true. also lol @ guy above who said "b-b-b-but it was a close game late!"

                                    ...royals still covered the run line. and considering they generally can't hit for shiit and were the home team, that's convincing enough for me. People need to stop being monday morning quarterbacks. I was on Braves last night, they were down 1-0 heading into the bottom of the 8th and give up a grand slam to lose 5-0. It happens. No need to rationalize it with "IT WAS CLOSE LATE AND THE LINE WAS A PICK EM! VALUEEEEEEEEEE"...that's a loser mentality.
                                    Comment
                                    • 19th Hole
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-22-09
                                      • 18381

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by GamblerSpirit
                                      he faded the asstros, don't be so naive. this guy made this thread for a reason; to get a better price.
                                      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
                                      LMFAO....Like this thread moved lines...SBR kills me.
                                      Comment
                                      • TheMoneyShot
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 02-14-07
                                        • 28690

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                        really? cause they won a squeaker late -220 was justified? hmm..didnt bet it either way cause line stunk but no way kc should have been -220, you think they win a 2-2 gm late enough times to cover that number?
                                        Line was perfect. Confused a lot of folk.
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by TheMLBKing
                                          true. also lol @ guy above who said "b-b-b-but it was a close game late!"

                                          ...royals still covered the run line. and considering they generally can't hit for shiit and were the home team, that's convincing enough for me. People need to stop being monday morning quarterbacks. I was on Braves last night, they were down 1-0 heading into the bottom of the 8th and give up a grand slam to lose 5-0. It happens. No need to rationalize it with "IT WAS CLOSE LATE AND THE LINE WAS A PICK EM! VALUEEEEEEEEEE"...that's a loser mentality.
                                          didnt even bet lastros but if you making bets like kc-220 then being a loser isnt just a mentality with you..
                                          Comment
                                          • italianbandit
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-17-11
                                            • 2622

                                            #22
                                            I'm assuming the OP was just having fun, but for those that are new, lines are never more that 20-30 cents off at most. Yesterday Giants +105 was a big mistake and it was only about 20 -25 cents off.
                                            Comment
                                            • TheMLBKing
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-20-13
                                              • 1129

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                              didnt even bet lastros but if you making bets like kc-220 then being a loser isnt just a mentality with you..
                                              or maybe people are making bets like kc -1.5 -110? Exposed as a meth smoking retard once again.
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by TheMLBKing
                                                or maybe people are making bets like kc -1.5 -110? Exposed as a meth smoking retard once again.
                                                Yea paying -110 to lay 1.5 on a team that struggles to score 3 is sharp.. Who's ghost are u? Bramabull? U sound like that idiot. Stop following. Me around, the answer is no I won't penetrate you
                                                Comment
                                                • TheMLBKing
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-20-13
                                                  • 1129

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                  Yea paying -110 to lay 1.5 on a team that struggles to score 3 is sharp.. Who's ghost are u? Bramabull? U sound like that idiot. Stop following. Me around, the answer is no I won't penetrate you
                                                  yeah bro paying -110 to get 1.5 on the worst team in baseball is so much sharper. Stop smoking meth and we have a deal.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • raydog
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-07-07
                                                    • 6984

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by italianbandit
                                                    I'm assuming the OP was just having fun, but for those that are new, lines are never more that 20-30 cents off at most. Yesterday Giants +105 was a big mistake and it was only about 20 -25 cents off.
                                                    dont assume... pos69 is fukktard stupid in a major way... 100% assclown
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Robber
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 10-21-09
                                                      • 6432

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by playersonly69
                                                      The main thing here is that Kansas City should even favored by more than -160 vs a NCAA team. And in this case the pitcher for Houston has been red hot
                                                      You are a dope
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by TheMLBKing
                                                        yeah bro paying -110 to get 1.5 on the worst team in baseball is so much sharper. Stop smoking meth and we have a deal.
                                                        didnt say that either...gm wasnt worth touching imo.. thought line was too high but also thought it kinda screamed kc was gonna win..not sure why you so obsessed w me or meth but meth hasnt been good for a very long time so no reason for me to do it..
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TheMLBKing
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-20-13
                                                          • 1129

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                          didnt say that either...gm wasnt worth touching imo.. thought line was too high but also thought it kinda screamed kc was gonna win..not sure why you so obsessed w me or meth but meth hasnt been good for a very long time so no reason for me to do it..
                                                          I'm sure you know by experience.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • AllOfYouLose
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 06-06-13
                                                            • 164

                                                            #30
                                                            Is today's line off by 100+ cents or wat cuz I would love to play Houston n lose again
                                                            Comment
                                                            • stevenash
                                                              Moderator
                                                              • 01-17-11
                                                              • 66057

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by AllOfYouLose
                                                              Is today's line off by 100+ cents or wat cuz I would love to play Houston n lose again
                                                              Houston won't get more than 5 hits off of the Cy-Young front runner tonight
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 2daBank
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-26-09
                                                                • 88966

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                Houston won't get more than 5 hits off of the Cy-Young front runner tonight
                                                                prob why the tt under 3 is freaking -160, not sure why i even thought i had a chance at a decent number there?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • AllOfYouLose
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 06-06-13
                                                                  • 164

                                                                  #33
                                                                  So Nash u saying -1.5 is good play? I think it is considering the mariners just dropped two to the yanks and now have a chance to sweep n get them bats going again
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • stevenash
                                                                    Moderator
                                                                    • 01-17-11
                                                                    • 66057

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by AllOfYouLose
                                                                    So Nash u saying -1.5 is good play? I think it is considering the mariners just dropped two to the yanks and now have a chance to sweep n get them bats going again
                                                                    Run away from this game.
                                                                    3-2 M's, 2-1 M's, something like that.
                                                                    I don't want any part of this game.
                                                                    Comment
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