Spurs favored now? Does this seem right?

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    Spurs favored now? Does this seem right?
    At Pinnacle:
    Spurs -125
    Heat +113

    Spurs closed +195 before Game 1. Is this line to be expected? I was thinking more -110/-110 but maybe I'm just off here. Guess I'm just surprised to see the reigning champs as a dog after one game.
  • DJ Dalamar
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-08-10
    • 745

    #2
    I'll most likely be on the Heat at that price.
    Comment
    • Marigold HD
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-03-07
      • 5053

      #3
      Let's hope San Antonio keeps winning.
      Comment
      • Smoke
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-09-09
        • 48111

        #4
        Heat win game 2 so if you like the heat for series pound it now
        Comment
        • tanner40
          SBR MVP
          • 03-24-10
          • 2129

          #5
          I'm pounding Spurs series after Heat win game 2...
          Comment
          • secret007
            SBR MVP
            • 01-12-09
            • 1786

            #6
            Heat needs to win 4 out of the next 6 basically and Heat in the last 2-3 weeks did not show anything to imply that they are much better team than Spurs. Better talent maybe, but Spurs played better collectively. -125 +113 sounds about right
            Comment
            • saints1856
              SBR MVP
              • 11-12-10
              • 1189

              #7
              At my shop, its: Spurs -130 Heat Even

              Verrryyy tempting to pound the Heat here. However, after seeing the game last night, I can see Spurs winning the Series, especially with Games 3,4,5 in SA
              Comment
              • JR007
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-21-10
                • 5279

                #8
                maybe it's the 2-3-2 format.......that's my guess
                Comment
                • Smoke
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-09-09
                  • 48111

                  #9
                  Originally posted by JR007
                  maybe it's the 2-3-2 format.......that's my guess
                  Has been for years
                  Comment
                  • tony_come
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-31-10
                    • 21695

                    #10
                    Smokie ben dover
                    Comment
                    • Sport_Fish
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-06-10
                      • 4079

                      #11
                      I'm surprised as well...I thought it would be about Heat -110 as well. This seems a bit strange that they're underdogs.

                      Value city or trap city, can't tell.
                      Comment
                      • lakerboy
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-02-09
                        • 94379

                        #12
                        Originally posted by JR007
                        maybe it's the 2-3-2 format.......that's my guess

                        that favors the road team usually. not last year but usually
                        Comment
                        • amrit
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-30-12
                          • 1307

                          #13
                          2-3-2 normally favors the HOME team (with the exception of last year). If you look at the history of the NBA Finals, it's very rare that the team without HCA wins all 3 of their home games. So the home team normally has a 3-2 lead going into Game 6, or is down 3-2 but still has 2 home games to close it out.
                          Comment
                          • nvrlose37
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-01-12
                            • 2730

                            #14
                            Heat just making it look interesting. They won all series 4-1 when they dropped G1. Tony Parker expected to make circus shots in every game? Please +108 now is a gift, jump aboard while still above even money.
                            Comment
                            • rocky16
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-22-12
                              • 1905

                              #15
                              Heat will win series so of course its not right.
                              Comment
                              • Sport_Fish
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-06-10
                                • 4079

                                #16
                                Books are over-reacting IMO. If you think about it, all Miami has to do is win game 2. And then there's just no way they lose 3 in a row on the road, where they've played fairly well. So even if they come to game 6 down 2-3, its not a big deal at all. On the other hand, they can even come into game 6 up 3-2, in which case the series is obv. over.

                                And also keep in mind where Miami is a team that responds well after a win, SAS not so much. Still remember how after OKC won 1 and broke their streak last year, these guys lost 4 in a row. So once Miami wins game 2, we have no idea how Spurs are gonna respond, they could very well lose the next 2 or even 3 after that (although unlikely considering Miami has issues playing at a high level consistently).
                                Comment
                                • Gonz312
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-22-11
                                  • 1467

                                  #17
                                  Don't think they should be favored at this point...but am I the only one that thought it was flat out crazy how many open corner 3s the spurs were getting. Heat rotations were definitely off the entire game and lackluster shooting was to blame for the close game more so than defensive intensity. You can give those shots to Indy and Chicago, but SA thrives off of them much like the heat themselves do, should be interesting going forward as that was the one glaring hole I saw last night.
                                  Comment
                                  • Speedy88
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-19-11
                                    • 11717

                                    #18
                                    Gotta think this series splits in Miami and then splits back in SA. I think it comes back to Miami in gm 5 tied 2-2.
                                    Comment
                                    • TheMoneyShot
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 02-14-07
                                      • 28672

                                      #19
                                      I hate the 2-3-2 format. Worst format in sports.
                                      Comment
                                      • t-wizzle
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-18-09
                                        • 38099

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Speedy88
                                        Gotta think this series splits in Miami and then splits back in SA. I think it comes back to Miami in gm 5 tied 2-2.
                                        Miami would be game 6 speedy.
                                        Comment
                                        • lakerboy
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 04-02-09
                                          • 94379

                                          #21
                                          this is fukking laughable. heat just got a bit tired last night. the KEY here is when miami wanted to run there offense they got ANYTHING they wanted.
                                          Comment
                                          • BigDofBA
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 09-30-09
                                            • 19313

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                            Miami would be game 6 speedy.
                                            Yes. This format most definitely favors the time getting three straight at home, provided they split the first two.

                                            With that said, I'm not getting my hope up on the Spurs winning the series yet. It's only one game.
                                            Comment
                                            • TheMoneyShot
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 02-14-07
                                              • 28672

                                              #23
                                              Yes it does seem right. It may go to -110 -110 at game time. I'm still on Miami for the series.
                                              Comment
                                              • t-wizzle
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 12-18-09
                                                • 38099

                                                #24
                                                For the record I still think Miami wins the series.
                                                Comment
                                                • BigDofBA
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 09-30-09
                                                  • 19313

                                                  #25
                                                  I still think Miami wins too but I'm rooting for the Spurs. I'm not betting this series.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JR007
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-21-10
                                                    • 5279

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Smoke
                                                    Has been for years
                                                    right, but my point is that the series odds would look different in a 2-2-1-1-1 format
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Speedy88
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-19-11
                                                      • 11717

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                      Miami would be game 6 speedy.
                                                      Totally forgot that it is 2-3-2.

                                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                      this is fukking laughable. heat just got a bit tired last night. the KEY here is when miami wanted to run there offense they got ANYTHING they wanted.
                                                      I was thinking the same last night. Miami got everything they wanted and still lost. I guess that can be seen as a negative or positive (got everything they wanted and still lost?).

                                                      Series will probably come down to Wade and Bosh. LeBron is too much of a nice guy to take over. I thought LeBron tried really hard to involve Wade and Bosh rather than taking over. Either Wade and Bosh need to step up and play like All-Stars, or LBJ needs to be greedy and dominate. Miami can't waste time trying to involve both those guys and both end up having sub-par games.

                                                      Going to be a great series. I think we will see Miami make the proper adjustments in game 2 (More LBJ in post, less Bosh 3pters, less Miller/Allen).
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lakerboy
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 04-02-09
                                                        • 94379

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                        Yes. This format most definitely favors the time getting three straight at home, provided they split the first two.

                                                        With that said, I'm not getting my hope up on the Spurs winning the series yet. It's only one game.
                                                        It does not favor the team with three at home. Too much time at home and very hard to beat a team like mia 3 straight.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigDofBA
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 09-30-09
                                                          • 19313

                                                          #29
                                                          Either way, I still think Miami wins in 6.

                                                          Miami wins games 2-3, Spurs win game 4. Miami wins games 5-6.

                                                          But yes, I would love to eat my words. Ginbobliiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • amrit
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-30-12
                                                            • 1307

                                                            #30
                                                            I think its going to be 3-2 Spurs going into game 6 and from there I don't know what will happen. Spurs in 6 or Miami in 7 is what my gut tells me.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • t-wizzle
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-18-09
                                                              • 38099

                                                              #31
                                                              Based on what I saw last night the spurs are in trouble. Purely speaking from a basketball standpoint, not in terms of where the series stands.

                                                              San Antonio will not win if Miami continues to get out on the 3 point shooters like they did last night.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • lakerboy
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 04-02-09
                                                                • 94379

                                                                #32
                                                                Books not interested in handing out any more + money on spurs. Funny how all series the spurs play have so much rest in btwn games.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • frugalgambler
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-30-13
                                                                  • 3418

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                                  Based on what I saw last night the spurs are in trouble. Purely speaking from a basketball standpoint, not in terms of where the series stands.

                                                                  San Antonio will not win if Miami continues to get out on the 3 point shooters like they did last night.
                                                                  Hmm, as far as I remember Spurs did miss quite a few open 3's and they managed to clamp down on the Heat very nicely in the 2nd half, which indicates a coaching advantage. After game 1, this feels like a 50-50 series.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • byronbb
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-13-08
                                                                    • 3067

                                                                    #34
                                                                    SIA dealing MIA at +110 with 70% of their muppet users betting on them.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ThaTopMoron
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 04-30-10
                                                                      • 27020

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Speedy88
                                                                      Gotta think this series splits in Miami and then splits back in SA. I think it comes back to Miami in gm 5 tied 2-2.
                                                                      clueless
                                                                      Comment
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