traps do exist, but only exist for the squares. Sharpies will pick off the trap, but not the squares.
If NY Giants line is -2.5 at home, squares who see the NYG -2.5 at home don't know why that line is -2.5 and they think it's a gift from heaven, when it's not.. That line is 2.5 for a reason and squares will bet -2.5 on NYG at home thinking they got a great deal here and books fukked up.. this is a trap line. So if you see NYG -2.5 at home vs Texans, it's not a gift.. it's probably because books know that all the starters will only be playing 1 quarter, and will be resting rest of way.. so don't go nuts on it.
Last Sunday's NE total going from 43 to 33.5 because of wind was not a trap line. The sharps were all over the under.. But when it's 1240 pm and squares see a 33.5, they will bet their whole bankroll on the over 33.5.. 13-0 final and wind blowing in each direction including missed FG's.. this was a trap line for the squares. A square never knows what a real line is.. that real line could have been 30.5, squares will never know.. so books make it 33.5, they know every square will still pound the over, so why make it 30.5.. When it looks too easy, it's because it is.. and that's what a trap line is..this is why you should bet small on those suspicious games..
A quick advice to the squares..
Whenever you see an easy line, don't think it's a free lunch, cause it's not.. there's a reason that line is 33.5.. you did not just outsmart the books.. you are NOT ahead of these linesmakers.. In fact, my advice is, if you see a really crazy line, like Zambrano at home vs Pirates and it's only -155, don't go nuts... Books probably know Lee and Ramirez are not starting and bullpen is tired. so you are not getting a good deal
Just like yesterday when NHL outdoor game had total of 5.5.. everyone and their uncles thought they had an easy under win because of cold and snow.. but books knew the ice was in tremedous shape, not chippy, they knew weather would have no factor, and final was 6-4 and players got hurt on that.
no such thing as an off line.. books are way way way ahead of you.. So boys, basically, in all seriousness, best advice i could give you is that if you see a really really easy line and you think it's free money, BET VERY SMALL ON IT CAUSE YOU'LL PROBABLY LOSE IT. books are only conning the square into betting a lot on it by tempting you with a good line.. all you will do is just balance their action from the sharps who are on the other side.
remember, you have no advantage here..
If NY Giants line is -2.5 at home, squares who see the NYG -2.5 at home don't know why that line is -2.5 and they think it's a gift from heaven, when it's not.. That line is 2.5 for a reason and squares will bet -2.5 on NYG at home thinking they got a great deal here and books fukked up.. this is a trap line. So if you see NYG -2.5 at home vs Texans, it's not a gift.. it's probably because books know that all the starters will only be playing 1 quarter, and will be resting rest of way.. so don't go nuts on it.
Last Sunday's NE total going from 43 to 33.5 because of wind was not a trap line. The sharps were all over the under.. But when it's 1240 pm and squares see a 33.5, they will bet their whole bankroll on the over 33.5.. 13-0 final and wind blowing in each direction including missed FG's.. this was a trap line for the squares. A square never knows what a real line is.. that real line could have been 30.5, squares will never know.. so books make it 33.5, they know every square will still pound the over, so why make it 30.5.. When it looks too easy, it's because it is.. and that's what a trap line is..this is why you should bet small on those suspicious games..
A quick advice to the squares..
Whenever you see an easy line, don't think it's a free lunch, cause it's not.. there's a reason that line is 33.5.. you did not just outsmart the books.. you are NOT ahead of these linesmakers.. In fact, my advice is, if you see a really crazy line, like Zambrano at home vs Pirates and it's only -155, don't go nuts... Books probably know Lee and Ramirez are not starting and bullpen is tired. so you are not getting a good deal
Just like yesterday when NHL outdoor game had total of 5.5.. everyone and their uncles thought they had an easy under win because of cold and snow.. but books knew the ice was in tremedous shape, not chippy, they knew weather would have no factor, and final was 6-4 and players got hurt on that.
no such thing as an off line.. books are way way way ahead of you.. So boys, basically, in all seriousness, best advice i could give you is that if you see a really really easy line and you think it's free money, BET VERY SMALL ON IT CAUSE YOU'LL PROBABLY LOSE IT. books are only conning the square into betting a lot on it by tempting you with a good line.. all you will do is just balance their action from the sharps who are on the other side.
remember, you have no advantage here..
