I don't normally like laying this much chalk but...

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  • icancount2one
    SBR MVP
    • 01-05-10
    • 1507

    #1
    I don't normally like laying this much chalk but...
    Cincinnati Reds -230 tomorrow is a winner. You could play that at -300.

    Better add some flair so PT takes me seriously.

    Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
  • easyliving
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-25-12
    • 8876

    #2
    I'll take my chances with the +172
    Comment
    • Smoke
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-09-09
      • 48111

      #3
      You are the reason gamblers lose
      Comment
      • HardCore
        SBR MVP
        • 06-05-12
        • 3615

        #4
        ill just parlay the -230 with something else like the mets and watch my money get made
        Comment
        • Vegas39
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-22-11
          • 30686

          #5
          Ask last nights dodger backers how laying over -200 worked
          Comment
          • HardCore
            SBR MVP
            • 06-05-12
            • 3615

            #6
            Originally posted by Smoke
            You are the reason gamblers lose
            nice pic
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 66803

              #7
              Originally posted by icancount2one
              Cincinnati Reds -230 tomorrow is a winner. You could play that at -300.

              Better add some flair so PT takes me seriously.

              a) Slowey is a better than .500 lifetime pitcher pitching for crappy Twins teams. His lifetime ERA and WH/IP is at NL league average, and he has a better than league average K/9 pct.

              b) If you lose this wager, and it could happen, you would have to win your next three consecutive chalky-chalk plays just to get even, and if you don't, your bankroll is crippled.

              c) Miami can actually hit Latos, who is a nice starter, but nowhere close to a Verlander, Kershaw, Price, CC.
              Hell, he's nowhere close to the Scherzer's of the world.

              MIAMI MARLINS CAREER STATISTICS VS. MAT LATOS
              BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
              Chris Coghlan 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 .143 .143 .143 .286
              Greg Dobbs 3 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 .333 .333 1.000 1.333
              Austin Kearns 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000
              Casey Kotchman 5 1 0 0 1 3 0 3 .200 .200 .800 1.000
              Logan Morrison 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
              Miguel Olivo 3 2 1 0 1 1 0 1 .667 .667 2.000 2.667
              Juan Pierre 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .500 .000 .500
              Placido Polanco 8 3 0 0 0 0 1 1 .375 .444 .375 .819
              Justin Ruggiano 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .250 .250 .250 .500
              Donovan Solano 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000
              Giancarlo Stanton 5 4 1 0 0 3 2 0 .800 .857 1.000 1.857
              Totals 41 14 2 1 2 10 4 10 .341 .391 .585 .977
              Comment
              • Brebos
                SBR MVP
                • 02-24-13
                • 1211

                #8
                Originally posted by HardCore
                ill just parlay the -230 with something else like the mets and watch my money get made
                Comment
                • BennyBigNuts
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-16-12
                  • 8700

                  #9
                  Saloon this whack thread. Anyone posting threads about laying daily baseball chalk of -230 should be banned or automatically called LAnders for 30 days as punishment.
                  Comment
                  • broadway6
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-14-09
                    • 13337

                    #10
                    Originally posted by icancount2one
                    Cincinnati Reds -230 tomorrow is a winner. You could play that at -300.

                    Better add some flair so PT takes me seriously.

                    Hopefully you are betting to win ten dollars.
                    Comment
                    • Frisco
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-27-12
                      • 6138

                      #11
                      Originally posted by broadway6
                      Hopefully you are betting to win ten dollars.
                      Wouldn't be the end of the world if this was the case. But why would somebody create a thread about laying big time chalk to win $10??
                      Comment
                      • bigtymer56
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-31-12
                        • 4743

                        #12
                        Originally posted by HardCore
                        ill just parlay the -230 with something else like the mets and watch my money get made

                        Comment
                        • broadway6
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-14-09
                          • 13337

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Frisco
                          Wouldn't be the end of the world if this was the case. But why would somebody create a thread about laying big time chalk to win $10??
                          I'm sure he is betting more money (or Sbr points) but people like attention
                          Comment
                          • boeing power
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-23-10
                            • 9698

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Smoke
                            You are the reason gamblers lose
                            Wrong,

                            He is the reason winning gamblers get paid.
                            Comment
                            • icancount2one
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-05-10
                              • 1507

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Smoke
                              You are the reason gamblers lose
                              Originally posted by SteveNash
                              b) If you lose this wager, and it could happen, you would have to win your next three consecutive chalky-chalk plays just to get even, and if you don't, your bankroll is crippled.


                              Actually, I mostly play dogs. Last season I wound up +14.5 units-ish on about 100 plays (3u plays max, I don't do that LakerBoy 1,000 unit airbet shizz.) Did you guys read the thread title? I don't normally lay this much chalk, this one just adds up.
                              Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
                              Comment
                              • HardCore
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-05-12
                                • 3615

                                #16
                                im with you man this shits money in the bank just like the Lakers last night. We all knew the angel of stern would not let the lakers miss the playoffs
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 66803

                                  #17
                                  Slowey matching Latos pitch for pitch as expected.
                                  Comment
                                  • LowRollin
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 02-29-12
                                    • 467

                                    #18
                                    Missed marlins RL. Dam.
                                    Comment
                                    • stevenash
                                      Moderator
                                      • 01-17-11
                                      • 66803

                                      #19
                                      My goodness. Slowey's sixth inning was as good as it gets. Outstanding.
                                      Comment
                                      • BIGDAY
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 02-17-10
                                        • 48249

                                        #20
                                        Don't tell me about juice... I'm layen -530 in MMA tomorrow night.
                                        Comment
                                        • ProPicker713
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-15-10
                                          • 6788

                                          #21
                                          Unreal that the reds can't cover here.
                                          Comment
                                          • stevenash
                                            Moderator
                                            • 01-17-11
                                            • 66803

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by ProPicker713
                                            Unreal that the reds can't cover here.
                                            How's it unreal?
                                            People underestimate Slowey. Kid has good stuff, not his fault he pitches/pitched for a couple of the worst franchises in MLB.
                                            Know this, when Slowey is on, he can match pitch for pitch with the best of them.
                                            Comment
                                            • tatddy
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-02-10
                                              • 10779

                                              #23
                                              Ouch.
                                              Comment
                                              • BIGDAY
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 02-17-10
                                                • 48249

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by stevenash
                                                How's it unreal?
                                                People underestimate Slowey. Kid has good stuff, not his fault he pitches/pitched for a couple of the worst franchises in MLB.
                                                Know this, when Slowey is on, he can match pitch for pitch with the best of them.
                                                Sucks as a Twins fan here.

                                                Twins suk
                                                Comment
                                                • stevenash
                                                  Moderator
                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                  • 66803

                                                  #25
                                                  And that's why you don't lay -230 on the outcome of an individual April MLB baseball game.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • tatddy
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-02-10
                                                    • 10779

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by stevenash
                                                    And that's why you don't lay -230 on the outcome of an individual April MLB baseball game.
                                                    Insane
                                                    Comment
                                                    • stevenash
                                                      Moderator
                                                      • 01-17-11
                                                      • 66803

                                                      #27
                                                      ^
                                                      Why would one lay -230 against a proven MLB pitcher that is capable of shutting down any line up on any given night?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • icancount2one
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-05-10
                                                        • 1507

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by stevenash
                                                        ^
                                                        Why would one lay -230 against a proven MLB pitcher that is capable of shutting down any line up on any given night?
                                                        Did the math on this one buddy, I honestly would think the Reds would be capable of scoring more than one measly fukking run. Tough loss, but I'll get over it.
                                                        Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TheMLBKing
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-20-13
                                                          • 1129

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by stevenash
                                                          ^
                                                          Why would one lay -230 against a proven MLB pitcher that is capable of shutting down any line up on any given night?
                                                          his WHIP is terrible. nice monday morning quarterbacking brah
                                                          Comment
                                                          • tatddy
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-02-10
                                                            • 10779

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by icancount2one
                                                            Did the math on this one buddy, I honestly would think the Reds would be capable of scoring more than one measly fukking run. Tough loss, but I'll get over it.
                                                            Throw the math out the window because it's worthless. Point is man even if you think you have it figured out to a tee it's still a no bet every time in April. The only time you lay this kind of juice in a baseball game is in a make or break late season/playoff game. There are always better spots this time of year.

                                                            If you are for some reason committed to making this kind of bet early in the season, then parlay it with a side to reduce your risk if your book/local allows it. If you've got this game figured out as well as you think you do you should be able to determine total value as well.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TheLock
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 04-06-08
                                                              • 14427

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Brebos
                                                              I LOL'd so hard
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheLock
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-06-08
                                                                • 14427

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by icancount2one
                                                                Did the math on this one
                                                                What math did you use?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • stevenash
                                                                  Moderator
                                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                                  • 66803

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by TheMLBKing
                                                                  his WHIP is terrible. nice monday morning quarterbacking brah
                                                                  Monday morning QB'ing? Really? Really?
                                                                  See post #7, look at the time stamp, then get back to me. Brah
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • stevenash
                                                                    Moderator
                                                                    • 01-17-11
                                                                    • 66803

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by TheMLBKing
                                                                    his WHIP is terrible. nice monday morning quarterbacking brah
                                                                    His WH/IP is terrible? It's 1.23. That's a rock solid ratio pitching for a piss poor team.

                                                                    The MLB King?
                                                                    I'd rethink your user name, get back to me when you have a clue.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheMLBKing
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-20-13
                                                                      • 1129

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                      His WH/IP is terrible? It's 1.23. That's a rock solid ratio pitching for a piss poor team.

                                                                      The MLB King?
                                                                      I'd rethink your user name, get back to me when you have a clue.
                                                                      It was 1.36 before that start...again, hindsight is 20/20. And I think someone with the username "stevenash" has no room to talk shiit lmao, do you even lift?
                                                                      Comment
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