Royals +165 @ Braves

[t-wizzle]

Taking KC tonight in Atlanta. Letdown spot for the Braves after sweeping the Nats. The Royals have some hitters that can flat out rake and I think they will get to Medlen tonight.

Thoughts?

[frogsrangers]

Already on it

[sportsguy04]

Royals do not have hitters who can rake.

[tatddy]

Maybe take 30 seconds and search the threads already out there on this before you create a new one.

[frogsrangers]

Royals do not have hitters who can rake.

I think they do. Maybe not superstar level hitters, but a bunch of above average guys.

[frogsrangers]

I like Guthrie at +165 though

[pattymayo]

Don't like Royals in NL

No butler weakens that lineup

[JMon]

Already on it

[stevenash]

Taking KC tonight in Atlanta. Letdown spot for the Braves after sweeping the Nats. The Royals have some hitters that can flat out rake and I think they will get to Medlen tonight.

Thoughts?

Wrote it up an hour ago, on it

[italianbandit]

Tat, I like you, I think we are both bay area natives, but take a deep breath, Twizz is good people.

[Smoke]

You cant be serious

[t-wizzle]

Sorry to whoever was offended that I made a thread after there were others. I haven't been sitting on the forum all day.

[tatddy]

Tat, I like you, I think we are both bay area natives, but take a deep breath, Twizz is good people.

Never said he wasn't. Why does a guy post a thread about the royals/braves game asking for "thoughts?" when there are 2 threads on the same topic on the first page of the forum?

Just takes a few seconds, yes a few seconds, to read all the thoughts already posted.

[R.P. McMurphy]

I did not see them rake much at home vs the Jays! So far they have looked good against Philly and Minny so I'm not buying all the garbage they are selling yet. Bravos just too hot right now and have seen Guthrie plenty from Rockies days. That and they are just too tough with Medlen pitching. Too high priced for me on Braves but I just cannot take the dog here either. GL

[El Sol]

The value is there, the ml reflects the Braves winning streak, hot pitcher and at home, all the while somewhat ignoring that the Royals are off to a solid start as well. I say a fair ml on the royals should be closer to the +130 range which gives good value to the Royals.

After saying all that, one of my filters is in play eliminating this as a bet statistically. Emotionally, I really like the Braves here, but I certainly can't take the Braves at -178. I can't see anything wrong with you betting the Royals today if your indicators say you should. I looked at this game longer than the rest and will by watching it closely for future plays. If you got the funds, go for it, Good luck if you do

[t-wizzle]

Never said he wasn't. Why does a guy post a thread about the royals/braves game asking for "thoughts?" when there are 2 threads on the same topic on the first page of the forum?

Just takes a few seconds, yes a few seconds, to read all the thoughts already posted.

The only subforum I go to anymore is the nba one. You seem very bothered.

[ses_d]

The types of bet where your taking it simply for value. Then after the games over and the hottest team beat your "value" bet you ponder what was I thinking.

But two days later...your at it again betting the value. Might as well paypal me your money.

Bol

[El Sol]

The types of bet where your taking it simply for value. Then after the games over and the hottest team beat your "value" bet you ponder what was I thinking.

But two days later...your at it again betting the value. Might as well paypal me your money.

Bol

Rookie, You have a lot to learn....

[pavyracer]

Let down spot..lol. What's your record betting against teams on a let down spot pal?

[t-wizzle]

Let down spot..lol. What's your record betting against teams on a let down spot pal?

I have no idea. Compile it for me and let me know. If it's under .500 I will buy out

[YOUNGBUCK]

T-Wizz I'd rather u make a thread if you like somethin cuz ill actually open urs Ab the game rather than read what these punks makin threads have to say

[pulledclear]

Bet against a team that won 9 straight. BRILLIANT!AHHH DEY R dew too looze I telll ya! Hey dck head try riding streaks not betting against them you might learn something.

[CanuckG]

The value is there, the ml reflects the Braves winning streak, hot pitcher and at home, all the while somewhat ignoring that the Royals are off to a solid start as well. I say a fair ml on the royals should be closer to the +130 range which gives good value to the Royals.

After saying all that, one of my filters is in play eliminating this as a bet statistically. Emotionally, I really like the Braves here, but I certainly can't take the Braves at -178. I can't see anything wrong with you betting the Royals today if your indicators say you should. I looked at this game longer than the rest and will by watching it closely for future plays. If you got the funds, go for it, Good luck if you do

Royals +130 @ ATL vs Medlen

[YouHave2outs]

Maybe take 30 seconds and search the threads already out there on this before you create a new one.

you called me angry yesterday for a post similar to this.

however, this is twizzle's MO:




he only checks PT and the NBA subforum though because he's a boss.

[tatddy]

you called me angry yesterday for a post similar to this.

however, this is twizzle's MO:




he only checks PT and the NBA subforum though because he's a boss.

Ha! No I called you angry because you came into a thread of mine and called me a joke and a bit$$ for not posting plays here lately. I got no hate for you though.

And, yes, the OP offered nothing in this thread. If he had at least some data or insight that hadn't yet been shared than it would be understandable. Just a guy posing a play that he's not entirely confident in and asking for thoughts?

Maybe, wizzle, you should check the baseball sub forum instead of cluttering it offering nothing other than "here's a play I made"

I'm on the Mets FF in the early game. Went to the forum and Ratzz has already posted it so I just wished him luck. Maybe, by your logic, I should read nothing and just post all the plays I make here. That would make this place grand.

And I ain't mad, kiddo...I just live a Larry David life. No tolerance for lack of social graces.

[pavyracer]

Do you think the Miami Heat were on a let down spot after consecutive win #12? Guess what? They won 15 times in a row while being on a let down spot.

[BIGDAY]

[ses_d]

Rookie, You have a lot to learn....

teach me master

[Louisvillekid1]

Im on FF RL +110 and +175....

Lets get'em!

[El Sol]

teach me master

Heres the most basic way of putting it: Blackjack has about a .5% edge depending on whos playing. Someone sits down and wins $50,000, Is the Casino going to pull the game becuse they lost money that day? Should they just Paypal the money to the customer because someone claims the house edge is fictional?

No, the casino doesn't care because that super small edge gives them a nice profit by years end. No different in Sports betting. You find an edge, also known as value, you bet it. It might lose today, but if you continue to make the same bet on the same game, your tiny edge will net a profit by years end. This is the only way you can profit on sports betting. A sports bet is a bet like any other, just like betting in a casino. If you don't understand value in sports betting, then you are just another gambler looking for action, akin to someone going to a casino and looking to get lucky completely oblivious to the house edge.

[El Sol]

Royals +130 @ ATL vs Medlen

Sorry I was unaware that the other 17 players on the field have no impact on a game, my bad

[frogsrangers]

Heres the most basic way of putting it: Blackjack has about a .5% edge depending on whos playing. Someone sits down and wins $50,000, Is the Casino going to pull the game becuse they lost money that day? Should they just Paypal the money to the customer because someone claims the house edge is fictional?

No, the casino doesn't care because that super small edge gives them a nice profit by years end. No different in Sports betting. You find an edge, also known as value, you bet it. It might lose today, but if you continue to make the same bet on the same game, your tiny edge will net a profit by years end. This is the only way you can profit on sports betting. A sports bet is a bet like any other, just like betting in a casino. If you don't understand value in sports betting, then you are just another gambler looking for action, akin to someone going to a casino and looking to get lucky completely oblivious to the house edge.

Good post, I have only been betting plus money bets that I feel have value in baseball so far this year apart from just a few games, and despite the fact I am 24-27 on those picks for the season I am up 2.72 units overall. It's all about finding value, especially in plus money situations where there is no juice to grind you down

[TwoWays]

This is the major leagues. You can throw 100 + mph. If you don't have location, all mlb hitters can park it in the seats.

[BIGDAY]

[pavyracer]

Home run derby by the Braves.