Heat / Bucks Series Line?

[Art Vandelay]

Any guesses on what this line will be? Don't want to say it's a "Lock", but there is a 99.9% chance that Miami wins this series. Even if the Big 3 all get hurt, Miami still wins a best of seven. I've seen this pathetic Bucks team all year and this should be quick and painless. Kinda like getting interest on a money market account - the profit won't be much but it should be "free money". Thoughts?

[k13]

-5000 or more

But the Bucks play the Heat tough overall so might be lower....

[Art Vandelay]

Hopefully its lower based on the past few years but the Bucks are such a trainwreck right now I feel the line is edging upward everyday. For them not to win a few games recently to catch Boston for the seven just shows how much of a mess they are right now - infighting, injuries, etc.

[k13]

I remember these types of lines being like -6000, anyone have ones from last year?

[BigDeem5]

I think -3500 will be line.

[d2bets]

Something like -5000/+3000. Unbettable. Crazy to lay 50 to 1 and almost as crazy to bet on the Bucks.

[ThaTopMoron]

Any guesses on what this line will be? Don't want to say it's a "Lock", but there is a 99.9% chance that Miami wins this series. Even if the Big 3 all get hurt, Miami still wins a best of seven. I've seen this pathetic Bucks team all year and this should be quick and painless. Kinda like getting interest on a money market account - the profit won't be much but it should be "free money". Thoughts?

heat will smash them in game 1 so just bet the spread for game 1

[d2bets]

Game 1 will look something like Heat -13, give or take. Yes?

[ThaTopMoron]

Game 1 will look something like Heat -13, give or take. Yes?

Heat will run away with game by 1 by 20+, just like last year in round 1.

[SportsTerminator]

If Atlanta wins the 5th seed, the Brookyln series line should be excellent value!

[Sport_Fish]

Books will make sure to set the line so its un-bettable, even for parlays.

I would say if by some miracle Bucks take the lead in the series at some point, then maybe the price could be somewhat reasonable but just can't see that happening.

[d2bets]

Heat will run away with game by 1 by 20+, just like last year in round 1.

Maybe. But what do you think the line will/should be?

[smoke a bowl]

It will be -6000/+3000 and there will be no value on the +3000 unless you bring a gun to game 1 and shoot Lebron. I think the fair line is actually about the Heat -10000/Bucks +10000 (or Heat 99% Mil 1%).

[ChiLLx]

I remember these types of lines being like -6000, anyone have ones from last year?

Spurs were -2000 vs. Jazz and Clippers last year. Swept both series. Heat will be at least -3000

[ThaTopMoron]

you guys could just bet for the Heat to win the series 4-0

[Reload]

Will be some serious chalk-bangers giving that one a try.

[d2bets]

you guys could just bet for the Heat to win the series 4-0

I wonder what the 2-way line on a sweep would be. Maybe even money?

[greenhippo]

Might as well push all in Game 1 Heat ML if you're going to bet into that chalk.

[Seto]

Already some stuff out at bwin.com

Heat-11.5 for games 1 and 2, -6.5 in game 3.

Series price Heat -10000 Bucks +1600

Knicks-7.5 for games 1 and 2, pk in game 3.

Series price Knicks -455 Celtics +340.

[Seto]

Note: these idiots have no clue. Pinny opener could be Heat-14 it wouldn't surprise me.

[milwaukee mike]

Already some stuff out at bwin.com

Heat-11.5 for games 1 and 2, -6.5 in game 3.

Series price Heat -10000 Bucks +1600

Knicks-7.5 for games 1 and 2, pk in game 3.

Series price Knicks -455 Celtics +340.

anyone that bets either side into that juice needs their head examined

i think the bucks win one of the 2 home games if larry sanders is healthy, 4-1 series seems slightly more likely than 4-0, getting + odds on either of those might be a good bet since those are realistically the only 2 possible outcomes

[BigDeem5]

Bucks will lose in 4 or 5 as milwaukee stated, book it.

[Seto]

anyone that bets either side into that juice needs their head examined

i think the bucks win one of the 2 home games if larry sanders is healthy, 4-1 series seems slightly more likely than 4-0, getting + odds on either of those might be a good bet since those are realistically the only 2 possible outcomes

When one side is heavily juiced it's often like that. I mean bwin is not a great book but don't expect +8000 for milwaukee if miami open -10000 at 5dimes or Pinny.

But yeah, betting on either side at this point is suicidal.

[Art Vandelay]

Like that strategy - Take Miami in Game One. If by some miracle the Bucks win one of the first 2 in South Beach, the odds might then be reasonable enough to take the Heat for the series. -10K series for the Heat is insanity but will be an easy win for a very minimal return. Thanks guys for the input.

[thetrinity]

heat drop 1 game in the series IMO.

[d2bets]

heat drop 1 game in the series IMO.

Wow ballsy pick.

[Frisco]

If I can get it at -3000 I'd put 3k on it

[easyliving]

Already some stuff out at bwin.com

Heat-11.5 for games 1 and 2, -6.5 in game 3.

Series price Heat -10000 Bucks +1600

Knicks-7.5 for games 1 and 2, pk in game 3.

Series price Knicks -455 Celtics +340.

those are some soft lines @bwin. I would parlay game 1 and 2 and hit it big. gotta think their off at least 3-4 points. Miami will likely be -14 or -15 for game 1.

[d2bets]

those are some soft lines @bwin. I would parlay game 1 and 2 and hit it big. gotta think their off at least 3-4 points. Miami will likely be -14 or -15 for game 1.

I'm thinking between 12.5 and 13.5.

[yisman]

Everyone will be looking to hammer Heat, so books are going to make it that you'll have to put your whole balance on it to win anything decent. And then your money will be tied up for a week+.

-EV unless you want to add it onto a parlay.

[k13]

anyone that bets either side into that juice needs their head examined

i think the bucks win one of the 2 home games if larry sanders is healthy, 4-1 series seems slightly more likely than 4-0, getting + odds on either of those might be a good bet since those are realistically the only 2 possible outcomes

You won't get + money on 4-0, 4-1 series results.....

[milwaukee mike]

You won't get + money on 4-0, 4-1 series results.....

neither one?

i can't imagine they stick both of them at -110

money line for the milwaukee games will be in the -260 range for each, so that implies right about a 50% chance of the heat sweeping vs the bucks winning 1

[lakerboy]

I will take bucks + anything game 1. Heat will struggle in that game. That's the nba script.

[No coincidences]

I will take bucks + anything game 1. Heat will struggle in that game. That's the nba script.

Heat don't match up particularly well with the Bucks.

[Frisco]

I will take bucks + anything game 1. Heat will struggle in that game. That's the nba script.

Going to live bet the hell out of that game