Buying the hook vs not. Hook is worth it.

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  • cockblocker
    SBR MVP
    • 04-26-09
    • 1268

    #1
    Buying the hook vs not. Hook is worth it.
    Using a sample size of 20 bets in basketball where the hook is involved betting 55 and juiced to 60. I had 5 games that pushed which save me 275 if I would have left the hook on. Say if your a 55 % capper and you go 11-9 your only losing $45 in juice from buying the hook. You only need 1 push to make up for that.

    As tight as these numbers a lot times the hook comes into play during these games.
  • Chi_archie
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-22-08
    • 63172

    #2
    oh

    think tank this!
    Comment
    • Smoke
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-09-09
      • 48111

      #3
      Always buy the hook
      Comment
      • ramones951
        SBR MVP
        • 12-23-08
        • 2356

        #4
        Originally posted by cockblocker
        Using a sample size of 20 bets in basketball where the hook is involved betting 55 and juiced to 60. I had 5 games that pushed which save me 275 if I would have left the hook on. Say if your a 55 % capper and you go 11-9 your only losing $45 in juice from buying the hook. You only need 1 push to make up for that.

        As tight as these numbers a lot times the hook comes into play during these games.
        I stopped reading at "sample size of 20 bets".
        Comment
        • k13
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-16-10
          • 18104

          #5
          Can't remember last time I lost by the hook, maybe 1 or 2 out of a 100 games.
          Comment
          • cockblocker
            SBR MVP
            • 04-26-09
            • 1268

            #6
            Originally posted by ramones951
            I stopped reading at "sample size of 20 bets".
            200 bets and you go 110 -90. The you lose 450 juice. I have pushes every week. I know the games I'm betting it saves my ass more than enough buying it.
            Comment
            • tto827
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-01-12
              • 9078

              #7
              Let's ignore long discovered push rates, and half point values, and just go off a sample size of 20 plays.... what could go wrong?
              Comment
              • tto827
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-01-12
                • 9078

                #8
                Originally posted by cockblocker
                200 bets and you go 110 -90. The you lose 450 juice. I have pushes every week. I know the games I'm betting it saves my ass more than enough buying it.
                If you buy a half point, why not make it a full point, how about 2 points, when does it stop?
                Comment
                • cockblocker
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-26-09
                  • 1268

                  #9
                  Originally posted by tto827
                  If you buy a half point, why not make it a full point, how about 2 points, when does it stop?
                  Because the juice is only -120 on a half pt. I just have knack for picking the games that involve the hook.

                  I saved $110 just last night on the Atl total. 191.5 bought down to 191 and the juice is only -116 on the spreads. It was a push.

                  I used 20, because you only need 1 push in 20 bets if you 55% capper.
                  Comment
                  • ramones951
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-23-08
                    • 2356

                    #10
                    Originally posted by cockblocker
                    200 bets and you go 110 -90. The you lose 450 juice. I have pushes every week. I know the games I'm betting it saves my ass more than enough buying it.
                    I flipped a coin 5 times today, 4 times it landed on heads and once on tails. So if I flip it 500 times I can expect there to be 400 heads and 100 tails?
                    Comment
                    • tto827
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-01-12
                      • 9078

                      #11
                      Originally posted by cockblocker
                      Because the juice is only -120 on a half pt. I just have knack for picking the games that involve the hook.

                      I saved $110 just last night on the Atl total. 191.5 bought down to 191 and the juice is only -116 on the spreads. It was a push.

                      I used 20, because you only need 1 push in 20 bets if you 55% capper.
                      It's either that or variance, I wonder which is more likely?
                      Comment
                      • easyliving
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 06-25-12
                        • 8876

                        #12
                        Originally posted by cockblocker
                        I just have knack for picking the games that involve the hook.
                        and I have a knack for picking games that are nowhere close to the hook so I never buy the hook.
                        Comment
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