D2D's NBA, NHL and MLB Daily wagers.......

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 01:45 AM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Ok, first play for tomorrow is here early!!

I loooove this play....Nadal is killer here in Monte Carlo, in fact he is the 8 time defending champion.....that ends tomorrow. Djokovic is playing great tennis and is fully healthy.....and Nadal, as great as he has been and as great as he is....is going down in a LONG hard fought battle here. I may add some more action at Djokovic +3 or I may double down on the over 22.5 games, but chances are I get more $ on this at some point.

Enjoy what will be a great battle!

Sorry, I missed actually posting my plays, here we go:

175822783-1	4/20/13 11:21pm	$100.00	$195.00	Pending	4/21/13 8:00am Reduced Tennis 101 Novak Djokovic +195* <small>vs</small> Rafael Nadal

175822760-1	4/20/13 11:21pm	$125.00	$100.00	Pending	4/21/13 8:00am ATP Tennis 103 N.Djokovic Games Won/R.Nadal Games Won Over 22½ -125*

And I couldn't hedge in the Clips game, I NEVER hedge when there is even a .1% chance I get middled. In those cases I find it is just best to sit on my bet and take my medicine like a big boy.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 01:49 AM

I do want to reiterate.....this is not a guarantee or anything, lol.....the value at +195 though is CRAZY great. Most here know that I do not bet a ton of tennis, but I am sure I am running at 70% or better since I started documenting, and I am as confident that this is a great bet as any other play of mine. I am battling with myself over whether to bet more on the +3 or the over 22.5.....my worry is that somehow Djokovic wins 6-4 7-5 or something and I miss out on the o/u......

Anyway.....GL tomorrow guys.....

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 01:55 AM

I didn't post my record for Friday, so this is a two day total:

Yesterday and Today:

17-11-1

+ $461

Totals (68 documented days):

495 - 406 - 25

+ $ 10,988.60

Play of the Day:

29 - 15

+ $4379.93

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 02:35 AM

WAIT!! Before you bet it, if you are thinking of also taking Djokovic, PLEASE check out Djokovic 2-0 and Djokovic 2-1. They currently pay +475 and +450, SOOOOOO:

You get to average out at +237.5 and I only got +195. Please do not make my mistake here......all you need to do this is to split your bet and put half on Djokovic 2-0 and half on Djokovic 2-1......

Ugh, I need to become a smarter capper....that is a clear case of missed value for me!!!

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 02:50 AM

Next round of wagers:

175847496-1	4/21/13 3:49am	$101.00	$100.00		Pending	4/21/13 3:30pm Reduced Basketball 712 San Antonio Spurs -8½ -101* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Lakers
175847496-2	4/21/13 3:49am	$107.00	$100.00		Pending	4/21/13 9:30pm Reduced Basketball 715 Houston Rockets/Oklahoma City Thunder Under 213½ -107*

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 08:51 AM

Don't think he will let this away from him here:

175856091-1

4/21/13 9:43am

$250.00

$100.00

Pending

4/21/13 8:00am Live In-Play Tennis 102 R.Nadal wins game 2 of set 2 -250* vs N.Djokovic wins game 2 of set 2

**OldSchoolPro** · 04-21-13, 08:53 AM

Morning, D2D. We all hoped you enjoyed the hockey game with your father yesterday. No doubt you especially enjoyed it that you picked the Islanders to beat your Jets and the Isles came through in OT (or was it a shoot-out?)

That under 213x in the OKC game looks to me like a sound play, yesterday the highest total was around 210 (Denver - Golden State game) and that went under by a mile (97-95 final).

Monster appealing card today in NHL and MBL, I'm going to get some brekkie then come home and see who D2D is on today.

Maybe even have a doughnut in your honor.

*****

Hey D2D posters, rise and shine and put something up here!

It's wildly unlikely that you were all out until dawn throwing coins at strippers (though I'd have no trouble believing that a high percentage of you were....)

- OSP

**Russian Rocket** · 04-21-13, 08:55 AM

good call on Djokovic D2D! I forgot that the game starts early and missed this fukking bet all together

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 09:04 AM

Originally posted by Russian Rocket

good call on Djokovic D2D! I forgot that the game starts early and missed this fukking bet all together

MORNING BOYS!

Yep, yesterday was an awesome day.....I would have loved to see the Jets win, but was sure they wouldn't. My dad was actually the reason, once I told him my feelings on the Isles, that I bet the game (I was betting the over either way). He gave me the ages-old advice 'If you bet on the Isles to win then you will be happy with either result at the game.....' and he was right (though I did feel like a bit of a traitor....but who are we kidding, I am a Canucks fan now!).

As for the call on Djokovic he hasn't won it yet.....this set is going to be a TON of work. Nadal is now getting some of the bounces and as the court dries out he is only going to get tougher.....ideally we would like to see the Djoker in 3.....but if he closes it out here I am ok with it too. The one nice thing is that if anyone bet it,and kept my bet sizing, then they are in a no-lose situation...which don't happen all that often so early in any match!

I am a little mad at myself for not putting another bet or two in here when I CLEARLY said I would.....the +3 would have been a beaut, and frankly I meant to do it but slept a little late.

Anyway, on to another great day here in SBR-Land.....cheers and GL!

D2D

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 09:09 AM

Ok.....we now have a match here! I still want Djokovic to win here....tough to try and cheer for the OVER 22.5 and Djokovic!

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 09:16 AM

Originally posted by OldSchoolPro

Morning, D2D. We all hoped you enjoyed the hockey game with your father yesterday. No doubt you especially enjoyed it that you picked the Islanders to beat your Jets and the Isles came through in OT (or was it a shoot-out?)

That under 213x in the OKC game looks to me like a sound play, yesterday the highest total was around 210 (Denver - Golden State game) and that went under by a mile (97-95 final).

Monster appealing card today in NHL and MBL, I'm going to get some brekkie then come home and see who D2D is on today.

Maybe even have a doughnut in your honor.

*****

Hey D2D posters, rise and shine and put something up here!

It's wildly unlikely that you were all out until dawn throwing coins at strippers (though I'd have no trouble believing that a high percentage of you were....)

- OSP

I am going to hold off for an hour or so today.....watch the tennis before ever taking a good look at the other sports. I had a rough NBA day yesterday and it has only been a good weekend because of tennis so far. Today should be different, and I can assur everyone that I am going to have a good day in MLB, no more pissing around here!! I haven't looked at the NHL card, but the last two weeks we have been on fire and the NHL is carrying us, so let's keep that up!

**Snine** · 04-21-13, 09:26 AM

Hey what's up D2D. Been following this thread for the last week or so and decided to make an account and pop in here to show some support. I was at the Jets game yesterday too and also had the over, but couldn't bring myself to bet against them lol.

GL with the picks today bro.

**Coreos** · 04-21-13, 09:26 AM

Go D2D go!

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 09:39 AM

Lol, I am having such a hard time here. I wanted Nadal to extend the match so that I won the OVER 22.5, BUT Djokovic SU pays better.....so really I need Djokovic in 3 sets.....but I find that in watching I kind of want Nadal to win!

At least there is no way I can lose anything and with that one 'live' bet I have some profit....and now Nadal looks like he may be broken back! Epic!

**PunisherIND** · 04-21-13, 09:47 AM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

WAIT!! Before you bet it, if you are thinking of also taking Djokovic, PLEASE check out Djokovic 2-0 and Djokovic 2-1. They currently pay +475 and +450, SOOOOOO:

You get to average out at +237.5 and I only got +195. Please do not make my mistake here......all you need to do this is to split your bet and put half on Djokovic 2-0 and half on Djokovic 2-1......

Ugh, I need to become a smarter capper....that is a clear case of missed value for me!!!

it averages to about +185. you definitely got the better odds at +195. edit: btw just came across this thread a few days ago. I like what I see! who is that broad in your avatar??

**Minnesota Niice** · 04-21-13, 09:47 AM

The Djoker.. Good call Donut, good call

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 09:47 AM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Ok, first play for tomorrow is here early!!

I loooove this play....Nadal is killer here in Monte Carlo, in fact he is the 8 time defending champion.....that ends tomorrow. Djokovic is playing great tennis and is fully healthy.....and Nadal, as great as he has been and as great as he is....is going down in a LONG hard fought battle here. I may add some more action at Djokovic +3 or I may double down on the over 22.5 games, but chances are I get more $ on this at some point.

Enjoy what will be a great battle!

Well.....I have to say I am a little shocked that he won so quickly. While it was a decent little profit I have to say I am a little disappointed in myself.....I predict the end of a 46 match win streak at Monte Carlo for Nadal, pick a player that is +195 (and I could have had +225 if I had been more careful) and come out with a profit of $95.

That seems a little low for something that I predicted so boldly.

**Duby** · 04-21-13, 09:49 AM

Great call on Djoker!

**Enjoi** · 04-21-13, 10:00 AM

Real dissapointing stuff from Nadal. Didn't open well and didn't close it out down the 2nd stretch. Was really rooting for him. Oh well guess Joker deserved it

**BigDeem5** · 04-21-13, 10:02 AM

Lets see some puck plays!

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 10:18 AM

Here is today's action so far. There are some baseball picks in there that I love and had to hold back from betting a lot more.....also love St. Loo and Tampa Bay in Puck....

175865762-1	4/21/13 11:15am	$30.00	$47.10	Pending	4/21/13 1:35pm MLB Baseball 906 Pittsburgh Pirates +157* <small>vs</small> Atlanta Braves (K Medlen - R must Start J Sanchez - L must Start)
175865762-2	4/21/13 11:15am	$100.00	$107.00	Pending	4/21/13 2:10pm MLB Baseball 922 Houston Astros +107* <small>vs</small> Cleveland Indians (U Jimenez - R must Start E Bedard - L must Start)
175865762-3	4/21/13 11:15am	$37.80	$30.00	Pending	4/21/13 3:05pm MLB Baseball 926 Texas Rangers -1 -126* <small>vs</small> Seattle Mariners (A Harang - R must Start J Grimm - R must Start)
175865762-4	4/21/13 11:15am	$50.00	$87.50	Pending	4/21/13 1:35pm MLB Baseball 929 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +175* <small>vs</small> Baltimore Orioles (S Fife - R must Start J Arrieta - R must Start)
175865762-5	4/21/13 11:15am	$67.50	$50.00	Pending	4/21/13 2:10pm MLB Baseball 922 Houston Astros 1st 5 Innings +½ -135* <small>vs</small> Cleveland Indians (U Jimenez - R must Start E Bedard - L must Start)
175865762-6	4/21/13 11:15am	$50.00	$56.50	Pending	4/21/13 1:35pm MLB Baseball 929 Los Angeles Dodgers 1st 5 Innings +113* <small>vs</small> Baltimore Orioles (S Fife - R must Start J Arrieta - R must Start)

175865400-1	4/21/13 11:12am	$32.10	$30.00	Pending	4/21/13 1:35pm Reduced Baseball 905 Atlanta Braves/Pittsburgh Pirates Over 7 -107* (K Medlen - R must Start J Sanchez - L must Start)

175865163-1	4/21/13 11:10am	$100.00	$100.00	Pending	4/21/13 6:05pm NHL Hockey 8 Tampa Bay Lightning (1st 60 min) -½ +100* <small>vs</small> Carolina Hurricanes (1st 60 min)
175865163-2	4/21/13 11:10am	$100.00	$102.00	Pending	4/21/13 8:05pm NHL Hockey 9 St. Louis Blues (1st 60 min) -½ +102* <small>vs</small> Colorado Avalanche (1st 60 min)
175865163-3	4/21/13 11:10am	$50.00	$67.00	Pending	4/21/13 8:35pm NHL Hockey 13 Anaheim Ducks (1st 60 min) -½ +134* <small>vs</small> Edmonton Oilers (1st 60 min)

175864859-1	4/21/13 11:08am	$100.00	$115.00	Pending	4/21/13 3:05pm Reduced Hockey 3 New Jersey Devils/New York Rangers Over 5 +115*
175864859-2	4/21/13 11:08am	$58.50	$50.00	Pending	4/21/13 8:35pm Reduced Hockey 13 Anaheim Ducks -117* <small>vs</small> Edmonton Oilers

175847496-1	4/21/13 3:49am	$101.00	$100.00	Pending	4/21/13 3:30pm Reduced Basketball 712 San Antonio Spurs -8½ -101* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Lakers
175847496-2	4/21/13 3:49am	$107.00	$100.00	Pending	4/21/13 9:30pm Reduced Basketball 715 Houston Rockets/Oklahoma City Thunder Under 213½ -107*

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 10:22 AM

We also have this (which I posted the other day, hoping people would get on it at 11.5....it quickly moved to -13 and stopped moving):

175298222-1

4/18/13 12:09pm

$220.00

$200.00

Pending

4/21/13 7:00pm NBA Basketball 714 Miami Heat -11½ -110* vs Milwaukee Bucks

**houston1** · 04-21-13, 10:29 AM

Care to share you thoughts on going with Houston?

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 10:46 AM

Originally posted by houston1

Care to share you thoughts on going with Houston?

Absolutely.....Ubaldo looks TERRIBLE right now. It isn't that he is having a few issues with control, or a few issues with a nagging injury, Ubaldo's mechanics are SHOT. His last start he was coming through at the wrong angle, landing terribly, had a lack of velocity, etc. He has honestly been turned, twisted and completely screwed and is listening to WAY too many different people. He looks nothing like the pitcher we saw in Colorado through the first half two seasons ago....and until he straightens his mechanics out (I do NOT think he ever will, I have been in his spot before) and starts throw across his body and landing properly he is a complete and utter auto-fade.

Sorry if you wanted to hear that the Astros are better than we thought they were (they probably are).....it is also at home.....

D2D

**sirchacal** · 04-21-13, 10:51 AM

Hey D2D tailing all ur picks man , question wut about dodgers game ?

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 11:18 AM

Originally posted by sirchacal

Hey D2D tailing all ur picks man , question wut about dodgers game ?

Again, I am happy to answer questions....but guys, I cannot keep answering these one line questions. If you have an idea of the game, or you are on the other side, please send a little bit about why you think I am right or why I am on the wrong side. If you want to talk about a game I haven't posted then please send your analysis along with your question and I will answer it properly.

I cannot answer a dozen one line questions in any one day.....look at it this way, you will get out of me what you put into me (don't be sick you gross pukes!)....lol, but seriously it is the truth. If you want a total break down and proper analysis send me some of your own!!!!!!!!!

Otherwise you will get an answer like this:

'The Dodgers are gooder today 'dan 'de Birds.'

D2D

**houston1** · 04-21-13, 11:20 AM

Appreciate the response. I'm a Rangers fan living in Houston myself. Was more concerned with Cleveland offense continuing today. Now thinking over myself after your information regarding Jimenez.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 11:28 AM

This is interesting......I am thinking it may be worth it to throw some $$$ on the Warriors here.

<small>Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets - First Round - Series Price</small>
Tue 4/23	883 Golden State Warriors (Series)	<input id="editx" name="M1_39" maxLength="5" size="4"> +625
10:30PM	884 Denver Nuggets (Series)	<input id="editx" name="M2_39" maxLength="5" size="4"> -950

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 11:45 AM

Adding:

175878171-1

4/21/13 12:45pm

$75.00

$77.25

Pending

4/21/13 1:05pm MLB Baseball 916 Toronto Blue Jays -1 +103* vs New York Yankees (I Nova - R must Start J Johnson - R must Start)

**thes0vereign** · 04-21-13, 12:53 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

'The Dodgers are gooder today 'dan 'de Birds.'

Bro, there are no days where the Dodgers are gooder than the Birds. They aren't even gooder than their AL neighbors, the Angels!

Jokes aside, thanks for the tip on Djoker. I didn't even look at the odds for the final before your post and getting 2:1 or better for him in any situation is a gift.

Big day to cash. I'm also on Toronto and Houston, as well as the Under on the Rockets/Thunder game. BOL to us!

**Potentate** · 04-21-13, 01:19 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

This is interesting......I am thinking it may be worth it to throw some $$$ on the Warriors here.

<small>Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets - First Round - Series Price</small>
Tue 4/23	883 Golden State Warriors (Series)	<input id="editx" name="M1_39" maxlength="5" size="4"> +625
10:30PM	884 Denver Nuggets (Series)	<input id="editx" name="M2_39" maxlength="5" size="4"> -950

I'm reading that David Lee is out for the duration with a right hip flexor tear...

**vancityswag** · 04-21-13, 01:51 PM

what's your angle on the lakers/ spurs game?

**Coreos** · 04-21-13, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by vancityswag

what's your angle on the lakers/ spurs game?

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Again, I am happy to answer questions....but guys, I cannot keep answering these one line questions. If you have an idea of the game, or you are on the other side, please send a little bit about why you think I am right or why I am on the wrong side. If you want to talk about a game I haven't posted then please send your analysis along with your question and I will answer it properly.

I cannot answer a dozen one line questions in any one day.....look at it this way, you will get out of me what you put into me (don't be sick you gross pukes!)....lol, but seriously it is the truth. If you want a total break down and proper analysis send me some of your own!!!!!!!!!

Otherwise you will get an answer like this:

'The Dodgers are gooder today 'dan 'de Birds.'

D2D

FYI

**OldSchoolPro** · 04-21-13, 03:42 PM

Hi.

I have long been very interested in second half bets, always wondered if there was some special indicator that might lead you to the right side, or perhaps a mathematical model.

Or maybe just being one of those guys who have a great "feel", can watch a first half and know what's going to happen in the second half from seeing the first.

I like under in the second half of this Laker game, very few offensive rebounds and I figure if neither team get any offensive rebounds it's hard for a game to go over.

Leaving no stone un-turned in the search for an edge.

- OSP

PS: I've got a feeling you're going to crush on today's hockey, just a hunch I've got.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 04-21-13, 04:18 PM

Turning point of the day.....can the Astros get back a run in the 9th? If they can book a win here (very unlikely now) today will be off to a great start and if not we may be grinding again!