MLB future with great value.

seaborneq · 03-31-13, 07:59 PM

Originally posted by matthew919

Josh Hamilton under 31.5 HR.

Edit: @Bovada, -115.

Hamilton will have that many by all star break.

matthew919 · 03-31-13, 08:14 PM

Hamilton will likely be the opposite of money this year- 26 is a much fairer number IMO. Assuming he plays > 130 games.

seaborneq · 03-31-13, 08:20 PM

Originally posted by matthew919

Hamilton will likely be the opposite of money this year- 26 is a much fairer number IMO. Assuming he plays > 130 games.

You seem pretty sure. I heard someone say the other day that hamilton is the least disciplined of the Trout, Pujols, Hamilton trio. So pitchers are going to come after him. I would think that means Hamilton hits 45 homers or more.

face · 03-31-13, 08:23 PM

hate this bet, surrounded by scary angels hitters so he will get lots of pitches to hit

Killer_Demo · 03-31-13, 08:27 PM

Under if he starts snortin crank mid-season again

Colin Kaepernick · 03-31-13, 08:28 PM

I would lean under but its far from a lock. The guy is as unpredictable as his drug dealer.

matthew919 · 03-31-13, 08:37 PM

Well, one thing is for sure: he is scheduled to play 81 games in one of the most solidly pitcher-friendly parks in baseball. This is in contrast to the hot air at Arlington, where the HR factor is 1.27, by my own 3-year park factor calculation. In Anaheim? 0.67 HR factor. Expect to see a MAJOR reduction in his performance at home.

And sure, anything can happen, but the square play here is on the over. Probably the most likely scenario is that he never plays the 130 game minimum, and it becomes a push.

seaborneq · 03-31-13, 08:38 PM

He fell off the wagon twice last year and had a horrible slump, but still hit 40+homers. The guy is a natural.........................druggie

seaborneq · 08-16-13, 10:10 PM

Great call. Hamilton should have gone to biogenesis. A punk in need is a punk indeed.