I guess I'll sponsor a perfect bracket with my 4000+ points. I won't have to pay out anything plus I'll get free publicity like 5dimes, heritagesports, bovada, etc.
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Ill PM you my predicitons if you want raven!Originally posted by RavensFan2k3Comment -
First games are play in games....and NIT starts soon alsoComment -
I've been running a pool for the last 25 years that generally pays the top four or five finishers. One year I had a guy . . . God rest his soul . . . go a perfect 32-0 on the first two days . . . and he finished OUT of the money.Comment -
Wow, starting 32-0 is extremely impressive.Originally posted by floridagolferComment -
Originally posted by NrmlCurvSurfr
That's awesome!!
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In 2000, 2003, 2004, and 2007 there were hardly any first round upsets, so those years were frustrating when the cheeseballs in my bracket pools did nothing but pick favorites in the first round to advance and hear them gloat about how smart they were. I will say though that while I am usually the guy who likes to pick a good number of upsets in the first round, I am not seeing too many upset potential opportunities this year. The 13-16 line is too weak.Comment -
So I guess there will be about 10k-20k perfect brackets this year too, right?Originally posted by The KrakenComment -
No one has ever come close. 5 Dimes is offering a million to one when it should be at least 5 billion to one for fair odds.
Originally posted by Yazworm91
The autistic kid didn't get anything right. Some lazy clueless writer took the story and ran with it (and then other websites ran with it). The kid was using CBS bracket manager, which lets you edit your bracket as the tournament is played. The kid was filling in teams as they won.
I have never even seen a verified legit bracket that had the whole first two rounds correct, let alone the whole shebang.[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
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[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]Comment -
I know they are play in games...im asking when filling out a bracket, do you have to predict those games too...or you wait till after those games have been played then start on thursday....and ill be waitin for your PM broOriginally posted by Capper007Comment -
I have only had a perfect bracket 3 of the last 5 years.Comment -
Originally posted by CBASS
I'm not going to take the time to figure it out but ill agree with 1 in 128 billion. Which is nothing but a minute fraction of 9 quintillion. Regardless, it would be a hell of a feat to hit a 63 team parlay.Comment -
brackets and choosing a parlay are not they same unless your doing moneyline which wouldnt pay you as muchComment -
Originally posted by OneTouch00
Probably the equivalent of a 15-20 sides parlay. Impossible indeed. I would love to hit the perfect bracket over the sides parlay.Comment -
It's like picking a 63 team, ML parlay. I thought that was implied. I apologize.
As for the payout, how can you say it wouldn't pay as much? I guess im not following your logic.Comment -
In my best dr evil voice. 10 million dollars over the money line payout that probably has a limit way before 63 games.Comment -
he was correct Kraken...its ALOT worse than 128 billon-1....it is over 9 quintillon-1 chanceOriginally posted by The KrakenComment -
Mike, that may be true for 63 independent events with two possible outcomes, assuming the probability of each outcome is a fair 50/50. Like flipping heads 63 times in a row. Im sure to flip a coin and have it land on heads 63 times in a row is around 1 in 9 quintillion.
However, thats comparing apples to oranges. Because we have a good idea who's gonna win a lot of the games. We know the #1 seeds will win in the first round. Over 90% chance all #1 AND #2 seeds win their first round games. So that's 8 games out of the mix now. So we just went from having to pick the outcome of 63 events to 55 events and that alone will likely cut the odds in half, if not more. Odds are also heavily favored that all #1-#3 seeds will win. And so on.
So the true odds are nowhere near 1 in 9 quintillion. I'll concede to 1 in 128billion because Im not going to take the time to figure it out exactly.Comment -
Odds that all #1-#4 seeds win their first round games is over 63%.Comment -
obviously the odds of perfect change from year to year. you need to be able to know the lines for matchups in 2nd round and beyond. i'm sure a linesmaker could come up with a pretty good estimation of moneyline faves winning every game.Comment -
9.2 quintillion to oneOriginally posted by sweethookComment -
that's like saying the odds of the heat winning 22 in a row is 1 in 4,194,304Originally posted by BcatswinComment -
The lines are out. Anyone could make a rough calculation now for the first round at least (knowing spread to ML conversion). Suffice it to say that for the entire bracket, it's at least several billion to 1, even for people who know what they're doing and have an idea of the odds, and 5 Dimes is fleecing people by giving odds of a million to 1.
A perfect first round alone is very rare, although I'm sure it's been done a few times.[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
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[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]Comment -
yes but you need to know lines for all the rounds.Originally posted by yismanComment -
Fgcu left no suspense this year. Over early.Comment -
It's a 63 team moneyline parlay, with you having to know every upset and every pick em game
so no it will never happen.Comment -
Damn, the books sure do have the round one ML odds off... According to some of you dopes, every game is a coin flip huh?Comment -
There were hundreds of people in 2007 that had a perfect bracket after the first round. That year only two underdogs won in the first round and nothing but that.Originally posted by yismanComment -
ha ha ha ,i think its a waste of time even thinking about it.......look how hard it is to go 140 in a week of football without the lines...........there is no way.Comment -
I can't believe The Giant hasn't made an appearance in this thread yet. I was an eye witness to one of the most groundbreaking achievements in history. It was a sunny afternoon in the spring of 1992 and me and The Giant were celebrating the completion of his perfect bracket after Duke knocked off Michigan in the Final. We were sipping Pina Coladas in his backyard by the pool listening to Beethoven and enjoying life. The Giant was the most popular man on the block that day. Neighborhood kids were lining up trying to get his picture, and girls were peaking over fences to get a glimpse of his beach body. The divorce rate increased on that day almost 75%. I really miss those days, it was a glorious time.Comment -
ANyone remember that bitch ass dad from I think Chicago in 2010? Hoaxed everyone into thinking his autistic kid picked a perfect bracket. ESPN and all kinds of news outlets picked it up.
EDIT:
http://espn.go.com/blog/collegebasketballnation/post/_/id/8632/autistic-teen-picks-perfect-bracket
Espn links to the "perfect bracket" but the dad duped CBS or some shit, I forget all the details.Comment -
it's simple math. 2^55 assuming there are only 55 games with 2 results for each gameOriginally posted by The KrakenComment -
2^55 is 3.602879702E16 or 36,028,797,020,000,000,000,000,000Comment -
Originally posted by OMGRandyJackson[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
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[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]Comment
