Is there a must read Book for Handicapping Baseball?

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  • Louisvillekid1
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-17-07
    • 52143

    #1
    Is there a must read Book for Handicapping Baseball?
    Last season was the first time I tracked and capped bases. (besides a few spot plays over the years).

    I went 50 % after over 600 plays and basically broke even, playing mostly dogs.

    Just trying to learn as much as possible, love the sport and have always followed it.

    But additional info I get my hands on I like to have in my toolbox.

  • ebbearsfb1
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-07-08
    • 18815

    #2
    lkid,

    should me a pm with your email

    got something with baseball info in it.

    pretty useful if your willing to do some leg work
    Comment
    • vrksayy
      SBR High Roller
      • 04-22-12
      • 196

      #3
      Read the book 'Free Basing: A Successful Guide to Handicapping Major League Baseball' by 'R.J. Hinkle'. Amazon sells it for $9.99, or if you got that Kindle you can download it and read it off there.
      Comment
      • Chi_archie
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-22-08
        • 63172

        #4
        I don't think i've ever read a gambling book that dealt soley with baseball but I read alot of the stuff Baseball Prospectus puts out and it really helped shaped by baseball capping post 2009

        one of my favs is Baseball Between the Numbers: Why Everything You Know About the Game is Wrong
        Comment
        • vrksayy
          SBR High Roller
          • 04-22-12
          • 196

          #5
          Baseball betting is a marathon. Read stats, follow trends and trust your gut; you don't need a book.
          Comment
          • Brock Landers
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 06-30-08
            • 45359

            #6
            I go on tremendous streaks in baseball. It can be mindnumbing though. When bullpens blow leads and shit. Its definitely a marathon and not a Sprint
            Comment
            • Dirty Sanchez
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-01-10
              • 16031

              #7
              Originally posted by Brock Landers
              I go on tremendous streaks in baseball. It can be mindnumbing though. When bullpens blow leads and shit. Its definitely a marathon and not a Sprint
              Yeah...I consider your handicapping as "mindnumbing" as well
              Comment
              • Brock Landers
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 06-30-08
                • 45359

                #8
                Originally posted by Dirty Sanchez
                Yeah...I consider your handicapping as "mindnumbing" as well
                whatever that means
                Comment
                • koz-man
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-21-08
                  • 7102

                  #9
                  now, that there is funny....lol
                  Comment
                  • Mikeyanks23
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-30-10
                    • 4517

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Brock Landers
                    I go on tremendous streaks in baseball. It can be mindnumbing though. When bullpens blow leads and shit. Its definitely a marathon and not a Sprint
                    brocks advice: take the biggest fav on the board. Bet against the cubs in day games. Find a pitcher whos 1-6 even though his era is 2.32 and gets no run support and Rubberband the other team
                    Comment
                    • tto827
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-01-12
                      • 9078

                      #11
                      Fade the Cubs every game is probably a good bet.
                      Comment
                      • Brock Landers
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 06-30-08
                        • 45359

                        #12
                        Originally posted by tto827
                        Fade the Cubs every game is probably a good bet.
                        Astros this year...they WILL lose 100+ games
                        Comment
                        • CanuckG
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-23-10
                          • 21978

                          #13
                          No must read book exists.
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #14
                            Fukkin pumped for bases!
                            Comment
                            • Mikeyanks23
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-30-10
                              • 4517

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Brock Landers
                              Astros this year...they WILL lose 100+ games
                              doubt it would be profitable when your gonna be laying -200 + on alot of those games
                              Comment
                              • DrStale
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-07-08
                                • 9692

                                #16
                                Originally posted by vrksayy
                                Read the book 'Free Basing: A Successful Guide to Handicapping Major League Baseball' by 'R.J. Hinkle'. Amazon sells it for $9.99, or if you got that Kindle you can download it and read it off there.
                                Originally posted by vrksayy
                                Baseball betting is a marathon. Read stats, follow trends and trust your gut; you don't need a book.
                                Originally posted by Dark Horse
                                If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
                                Comment
                                • broadway6
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-14-09
                                  • 13337

                                  #17
                                  i lose at all sports these days....currently looking for a ne hobby.


                                  kid- read the newspaper
                                  Comment
                                  • tatddy
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-02-10
                                    • 10779

                                    #18
                                    Buy one of these. Randomly throw 20 teams on every day. Blindfold yourself. Grab 3 darts. Throw darts. Make 1 unit plays on each team.

                                    Do this all year and prob end up better than 90% of the free world.

                                    Comment
                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-17-07
                                      • 52143

                                      #19
                                      sbrdarts.com
                                      Comment
                                      • The Giant
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-21-12
                                        • 21480

                                        #20
                                        Play underdogs and favorites on the runline (if they're + money). If you can handle a game winning by one, and you losing, you'll be fine. Long-term + money is better.

                                        Use a book that offers 10 cent lines, anything above that is robbery. Your best bet is probably fivedimes.

                                        Lay off the smack.

                                        Good luck.
                                        Comment
                                        • tatddy
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-02-10
                                          • 10779

                                          #21
                                          'Viller I've never listened to or read anything on the subject but my buddy used to swear by this podcast. I think it was The Betting Dork with Gill Alexander. My bro said lots of relevant stat work and I remember that 75% of the season team totals he mentioned they predicted hit in 2012.

                                          I can't be 100% that was the right podcast. Unfortunately my buddy passed this past year. Check it out though.
                                          Comment
                                          • Louisvillekid1
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-17-07
                                            • 52143

                                            #22
                                            Thanks ^

                                            I've don't a quite a bit of prep already, I'm excited for the season.
                                            Comment
                                            • BeatingBaseball
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 06-30-09
                                              • 904

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by CanuckG
                                              No must read book exists.
                                              Agreed.

                                              Sad but true.
                                              Comment
                                              • davidmiru
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 02-23-13
                                                • 40

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                                I don't think i've ever read a gambling book that dealt soley with baseball but I read alot of the stuff Baseball Prospectus puts out and it really helped shaped by baseball capping post 2009

                                                one of my favs is Baseball Between the Numbers: Why Everything You Know About the Game is Wrong
                                                that mine favorite too.
                                                Comment
                                                • Grits n' Gravy
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 06-10-10
                                                  • 13024

                                                  #25
                                                  LK- Fade Brock all season and you will make money. Baseball too much of a grind if you have a life outside of gambling. Plus it is extremely boring to watch. Find streaking teams, both winning and losing, and ride them out.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • greenhippo
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-15-12
                                                    • 9091

                                                    #26
                                                    Fade Astros RL on the road. Tail the great teams RL at home, especially against the Astros and Twins of baseball (except Giants bc they don't normally blow out teams)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LowRollin
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 02-29-12
                                                      • 467

                                                      #27
                                                      I totally disagree with above poster^. home favorites will cover less often since either there is no bottom 9th or they hit a walk off single or something and win by 1. MLB is a grind for me but I had a lot of success late last season when I started betting underdog RLs.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BeatingBaseball
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 06-30-09
                                                        • 904

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Grits n' Gravy
                                                        ...Baseball too much of a grind if you have a life outside of gambling. Plus it is extremely boring to watch...
                                                        Anyone who thinks baseball is boring knows little about the game.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • greenhippo
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-15-12
                                                          • 9091

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by LowRollin
                                                          I totally disagree with above poster^. home favorites will cover less often since either there is no bottom 9th or they hit a walk off single or something and win by 1. MLB is a grind for me but I had a lot of success late last season when I started betting underdog RLs.
                                                          Take out first two weeks of season and last two weeks of the season Yanks only went 4 series last year without winning at least one game on the RL at home, same with the Tigers. Rangers only went 3 series. Nationals went 4.

                                                          Me thinks the strong teams at home, like what I said, win by several runs at home more often than occasionally. But then I'm using stats to make this claim.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • greenhippo
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-15-12
                                                            • 9091

                                                            #30
                                                            Should be real easy to handicap which series to avoid to get a number like that down to 2 or 3. One of the series lost was a sweep at home to the Yanks which isn't too surprising although another loss was to the Twins.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Cuse0323
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-09-09
                                                              • 30169

                                                              #31
                                                              Baseball makes my brain cry.
                                                              Comment
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