Public heavy on UCONN tonight

[Big Bear]

why ???

[onacloud]

55% is heavy?

Conference game 7 point home dog hard to pass

[stevenash]

Connecticut homer checking in.
Love my Fairfield Stags, love my Huskies, would love to see my home dogs bark tonight, don't see it happening though.
Look for UConn to slow the tempo, I'll play the under.

[Ralphie1412]

I wish UCONN didnt just beat ND in south bend two days ago. Tough let down spot here. But on the other hand Im certainly not laying points on the road in a conference game with a team that JUST became #1 in the country today.

[numismatist]

I am OK with this whole idea of betting on sides that are heavily favored by the "public". For one thing, its not intrinsic data, its just data from a certain population and by no means represents the entire betting populace. I wish we could put this "public" side thing to rest once and for all-its a pointless debate. The only people it matters to are the accountants at the books counting the juice, and we obviously don't have access to those numbers.

[Fanatik]

Where do you find your consensus info???

[Big Bear]

vegasinsider

[stevenash]

All sorts of sites

[injury_time]

SO is showing 58% on home dog, 70% on over

[Big Bear]

who do u guys like in this matchup?

[stevenash]

Under 132.5
I think Ollie knows he can't win a track meet, so I think he slows the tempo down.
I think

[DavieVegas]

Well, if you use the bet against the public theory on close games like this then you would take the under only.

[ridims]

5 to 1 in bets favouring the over in this game. total 132.5 hasnt budged

[DavieVegas]

5 to 1 in bets favouring the over in this game. total 132.5 hasnt budged

Right. Therefore the game should go under. Casinos lost their asses on the Pats and the Over yesterday.

[Beetlejuice]

Not to jump in on the whole (fade the public) thingy, but I will say....

If an underdog has some hefty consensus data behind it, I think it's noteworthy. It's not like the Uconn play is a fav or an over. Just sayin'.

[pattymayo]

I'm surprised the Over is getting bet more than the under

Always considered UConn more of a low scoring Under team

[DavieVegas]

Over is only a popular option because it has gone over 2 of the last 3 times these teams have played. One of the o/u numbers for the game was 130.5 which I think was the last time these two teams played it went over that number.

[onacloud]

Took the Under

Hope its a good game just got to work and bored

[DavieVegas]

Took the Under

Hope its a good game just got to work and bored

Im about to do the same

[BIoodhound]

did the same under 132

[Big Bear]

so whats the play fellas unders in hoops make me nervous

is louisville good at free throws?

[onacloud]

so whats the play fellas unders in hoops make me nervous

is louisville good at free throws?

Louisville FT% 71 (100th)
UCONN FT% 73 (52nd)

[DavieVegas]

so whats the play fellas unders in hoops make me nervous

is louisville good at free throws?

I watched them 2 games ago and they did not go to the line very much. Although, they did not have Behanan that game.

[DavieVegas]

If this game at half is less then 54 points total, this game should go under

[pattymayo]

I've seen a lot of posters on the Under

Never a good sign

[Big Bear]

free throws help a team cover a lot if times just wondering if they can hit free throws when being fouled at the end

[DavieVegas]

I've seen a lot of posters on the Under

Never a good sign

Doesnt matter about the posters. The public(who actually bet) is over 70% on the over

[stevenash]

If this game at half is less then 54 points total, this game should go under

Bold prediction there Davie.

[Big Bear]

Doesnt matter about the posters. The public(who actually bet) is over 70% on the over

is louisville a poor shooting team?

[numismatist]

If Lousville middles the spread (which I was I teased UConn up to +12) and wins by 8-12 as I project then the under should be good. If its a close one at the end and Louisville is up by only 3-8 or losing (gasp! and possible) then the under is in trouble.

[It'sSoEasy]

I watched them 2 games ago and they did not go to the line very much. Although, they did not have Behanan that game.

in general this season UCONN has not committed many fouls at home this season. That could largely be because they have been winning and haven't done so out of necessity. I know they have 2 home losses. In those 2 games they have committed 38 personal fouls combined. That is about 6 extra fouls per game. When they are winning at home they commit less fouls.

[PAULYPOKER]

01/14/2013 7:00 PM EST
717 LOUISVILLE	-7 -06	-6.5	-6.5	-6.5	-6.5	-6.5	-6.5 -06	-6.5 -03	-6.5	51%	61%	67%
718 CONNECTICUT	132.5o08	132	131.5	132.5	132.5	132.5	131.5o08	131.5o05	131.5	49%	39%	33%

Power Rating Estimate Edge LOUISVILLE -7 CONNECTICUT

[DennisT]

Laying the 6 1/2 lol all

[HOT WINGS]

Like the Ville in this game and under

[Louisvillekid1]

Blowout,

Louisville is hitting their stride,