RAS has been one of the top services over the past few years, but I also want to illustrate a point here, because it is the perfect time.
RAS started the season on fire at 27-7. two things happened. Some players jumped on the bandwagon, while others decided it was time to fade, a regression to the mean approach.
Here is the problem with both strategies. I see it and experience it all the time. You get hot and go on a big run, and evryone is all in. The problem is, the time to jump on any capper is start to finish. Once someone is 27-7 the value is long gone! If you start to fade that is a big mistake if you have a quality capper, because the regression to the mean does not mean he is going from 27-7 to 12-25.
If you look since the 27-7 start nearly 80% winners, he has gone 22-22, but the 80% has come down to 62%. If you were fading you lost, if you jumped in you lost. If you rode from day 1 your having a great season!
people always think fading is the answer when someone is capping way over their head, usually it is not because by going 50-50 for awhile, that brings the percentage back to the expected norm, ot 12-25.
RAS started the season on fire at 27-7. two things happened. Some players jumped on the bandwagon, while others decided it was time to fade, a regression to the mean approach.
Here is the problem with both strategies. I see it and experience it all the time. You get hot and go on a big run, and evryone is all in. The problem is, the time to jump on any capper is start to finish. Once someone is 27-7 the value is long gone! If you start to fade that is a big mistake if you have a quality capper, because the regression to the mean does not mean he is going from 27-7 to 12-25.
If you look since the 27-7 start nearly 80% winners, he has gone 22-22, but the 80% has come down to 62%. If you were fading you lost, if you jumped in you lost. If you rode from day 1 your having a great season!
people always think fading is the answer when someone is capping way over their head, usually it is not because by going 50-50 for awhile, that brings the percentage back to the expected norm, ot 12-25.
