Sbr new beta consensus

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  • konck
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-17-06
    • 12554

    #1
    Sbr new beta consensus
    Last week the top 2 fades won I wrote them up
    This week the top 2 fades are

    T Bay 1200 pks vs Oak 600pks
    Money wagered
    TBay 200k vs Oak 25k
    Bets over 1k 4-1 in favor of TBay
    MY top Pk this week is OAKLAND I love this game

    Bears 1900 pks vs Tenn 1000pks
    Bears 119k over 83k
    Not so happy about this game but Ill take TENN and hope I get a good home dog effort

    Ill have to look at the game monday night but it pts to the public liking the dog killer
    if that holds up and the money keeps coming in on them Ill bet the lowly STAINS at home
  • SBR_John
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-12-05
    • 16471

    #2
    Nice work.
    Comment
    • cyberbabble
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 08-30-10
      • 772

      #3
      I'm watching these numbers too. It will be interesting to see how things work out. The Tampa-Oakland money is so out of balance that it is hard for me to believe it is accurate.

      Minnesota - Seattle is one to watch.

      Smallest amount of money of all the games -> no public interest. Only bettors are sharps(?) and a few die hard fans. Big bets and money % are on Seattle.
      Comment
      • konck
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-17-06
        • 12554

        #4
        Originally posted by cyberbabble
        I'm watching these numbers too. It will be interesting to see how things work out. The Tampa-Oakland money is so out of balance that it is hard for me to believe it is accurate.

        Minnesota - Seattle is one to watch.

        Smallest amount of money of all the games -> no public interest. Only bettors are sharps(?) and a few die hard fans. Big bets and money % are on Seattle.
        Last week was great for me the public accoording to the new consensus lost. So far today not so good
        Tenn is crushed an has no shot. Im gonna hammer Oakland
        Comment
        • dodger33
          SBR MVP
          • 08-14-09
          • 3962

          #5
          Is it down for you as well right now?
          Comment
          • Rod_M
            SBR MVP
            • 10-31-09
            • 1282

            #6
            Originally posted by dodger33
            Is it down for you as well right now?
            Up and running here:



            What kind of problem are you having?
            Comment
            • dodger33
              SBR MVP
              • 08-14-09
              • 3962

              #7
              Thanks for the quick response Rod. That and regular sbrodds.com are just timing out on the connections for me. Both on my laptop and iphone.
              Comment
              • Rod_M
                SBR MVP
                • 10-31-09
                • 1282

                #8
                That's strange, are both of them on the same wireless connection maybe? I just tried on my mobile using a US VPN and it loaded just fine, could you try restarting your modem/router? Also if you can try using your mobile data connection, if you are on wifi that is.
                Comment
                • konck
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-17-06
                  • 12554

                  #9
                  What a great tool this is hope the NBA gets up and running soon
                  Comment
                  • SBR_John
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-12-05
                    • 16471

                    #10
                    Originally posted by konck
                    What a great tool this is hope the NBA gets up and running soon
                    I mentioned that NBA is going to take a little longer due to the nature of it being basically an everyday sport. In about a week I should have a firm estimate on when NBA will be ready.
                    Comment
                    • spankie
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-10-11
                      • 9992

                      #11
                      Considering we have no idea where these numbers come from this data is useless.

                      What's the source?
                      Comment
                      • SBR_John
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-12-05
                        • 16471

                        #12
                        Originally posted by spankie
                        Considering we have no idea where these numbers come from this data is useless.

                        What's the source?
                        We are using data from offshore books who have a diverse player base, a solid rating and only deal a single line. That's all we can disclose.
                        Comment
                        • spankie
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-10-11
                          • 9992

                          #13
                          Originally posted by SBR_John
                          We are using data from offshore books who have a diverse player base, a solid rating and only deal a single line. That's all we can disclose.
                          When will the sources be revealed?
                          Comment
                          • McBa1n
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-02-06
                            • 2642

                            #14
                            sheesh, the public, according to the numbers, is killing it today vs last week.
                            You know it's a bad week for the books when even the 'pay touts', according to the consensus site, are killing it. Shocking, really - touts had a huge week so far in picks.

                            Tough luck on your fades, Konck. Brutal week to fade the public.


                            Also very interesting the % of action on Dallas tonight.
                            Be cool to see ML coin on the games - that'd be badass.
                            Comment
                            • GUMMO77
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-23-10
                              • 9294

                              #15
                              Fades didn't work out this week, but the +$1000 bets sure did.

                              Amazing results (this week) for whatever team the majority of the +$1000 betters played.
                              Comment
                              • SBR_John
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-12-05
                                • 16471

                                #16
                                Originally posted by spankie
                                When will the sources be revealed?
                                As soon as we can convince them that this data will have no negative consequences, on the contrary it will be a positive marketing tool. And of course that we can compile it accurately and market it appropriately.
                                Comment
                                • McBa1n
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-02-06
                                  • 2642

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by SBR_John
                                  As soon as we can convince them that this data will have no negative consequences, on the contrary it will be a positive marketing tool. And of course that we can compile it accurately and market it appropriately.
                                  I sure hope you can pull it off. The raw data is great, but without attribution, the value of it goes down, obviously. I can see why a book wouldn't want it's name attached, though, unless there were several books involved. I figure if you get 1 or 2 to o.k. it, the rest will follow. It's essentially cheap advertising/branding for them (depending on how you would make a deal for the data). If I'm a small time book, with aspirations to grow, and part of the data - I'd do everything I could to get my name up there... Especially if none of the bigger ones have their names attached. It's just no-brainer business.

                                  The site is amazing. I'm eager to see it grow.
                                  Comment
                                  • Pete0
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-09-10
                                    • 3849

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by SBR_John
                                    We are using data from offshore books who have a diverse player base, a solid rating and only deal a single line. That's all we can disclose.
                                    Ofcourse its either 5Dimes or Legendz

                                    Square penetrating books.

                                    Not only that, information is obviously skewed. Many of the games where there is a significantly higher $ volume compared to bet count will be manipulated. This is the age of misinformation. New-age slavery
                                    Comment
                                    • ItsMeMrMattE
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 08-30-10
                                      • 5294

                                      #19
                                      Is there a NBA consensus yet? And how do you find the beta consensus on this site. Ive just been going to google and searching sbrforum beta consensus and it brings up links to the NFL consensus and College FB consensus.
                                      Comment
                                      • SBR Lou
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-02-07
                                        • 37863

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
                                        Is there a NBA consensus yet? And how do you find the beta consensus on this site. Ive just been going to google and searching sbrforum beta consensus and it brings up links to the NFL consensus and College FB consensus.
                                        There is not yet an NBA Consensus.

                                        You are able to find Consensus from the SBR Odds NFL grid. Here's a direct link: http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-odds/consensus/
                                        Comment
                                        • ItsMeMrMattE
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-30-10
                                          • 5294

                                          #21
                                          Thanks Lou. Big props for putting up any kind of consensus, It can be a great tool. Looking forward to the NBA one.
                                          Comment
                                          • ItsMeMrMattE
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-30-10
                                            • 5294

                                            #22
                                            Hey Lou, I have a question about something i noticed on the consensus the other day. It said that Vanderbilt had 2,016 bets vs 0 for NCST. $324,576 vs $0. I have a hard time believing that there is a book out there that didnt take a single dollar on NCST. Can you explain how this was posted on the consensus. And also would you ever consider posting a consensus on over/unders as well?
                                            Comment
                                            • SBR Lou
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-02-07
                                              • 37863

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
                                              Hey Lou, I have a question about something i noticed on the consensus the other day. It said that Vanderbilt had 2,016 bets vs 0 for NCST. $324,576 vs $0. I have a hard time believing that there is a book out there that didnt take a single dollar on NCST. Can you explain how this was posted on the consensus. And also would you ever consider posting a consensus on over/unders as well?
                                              I'm not sure what you mean on the first part - Consensus only powers NFL currently. If you ever see anything irregular you can grab a screenshot and it will help the feed guys make sense of it.

                                              Yes on considering the totals. That would be a 2 or 3.0 deal.
                                              Comment
                                              • ItsMeMrMattE
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-30-10
                                                • 5294

                                                #24
                                                Comment
                                                • ItsMeMrMattE
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-30-10
                                                  • 5294

                                                  #25
                                                  No comment on the link Lou?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SBR Lou
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 08-02-07
                                                    • 37863

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
                                                    Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
                                                    No comment on the link Lou?
                                                    NFL is the only league consensus supports as of right now. If you're seeing that link available on site vice typing in, let me know and we'll remove it.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Pick'nParlays
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-22-08
                                                      • 3134

                                                      #27
                                                      Ok thx Lou
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Baruch1976
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 05-16-13
                                                        • 149

                                                        #28
                                                        I don't understand this

                                                        Tonight Cowboy game vs Giants shows 70% of money on Giants and almost 350,000 dollars more on the Giants but yet line moved from Dallas -3 to Dallas -3.5

                                                        I'm not sure how accurate this can be???

                                                        477
                                                        478
                                                        7:30p
                                                        N.Y. Giants
                                                        Dallas
                                                        +3½ -110
                                                        -3½ +100
                                                        3,710
                                                        4,001
                                                        48.11%
                                                        51.89%
                                                        $667,800
                                                        $284,071
                                                        70.16%
                                                        29.84%
                                                        $180
                                                        $71
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