What are your thoughts on SF @ ARZ Monday Night Football?
SF -7 (-300 ML)
ARZ +7 (+264 ML)
Over/Under 38.5
flocko76
SBR MVP
10-01-10
1447
#2
i dont have any
prob wont have power. hurricane sandy hitting town.
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heywally
SBR High Roller
09-09-12
140
#3
Originally posted by flocko76
i dont have any
prob wont have power. hurricane sandy hitting town.
Batten down the hatches - good luck.
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Pat McCrotch
SBR Wise Guy
09-08-11
814
#4
Over
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pokeraddict2012
SBR Sharp
10-25-12
312
#5
Too hard to tell what to do, everyone is saying under but I can see this just going over 38, then again these 2 teams have solid defended, and -7 is alot to ask for sf49ers then again cardinals suck on offense, I think the only play is -7 sf49ers, U be flipping betting on the over/under
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Pat McCrotch
SBR Wise Guy
09-08-11
814
#6
Ive went big on over 34.5, bought it down, odds @ -171
Originally posted by pokeraddict2012
Too hard to tell what to do, everyone is saying under but I can see this just going over 38, then again these 2 teams have solid defended, and -7 is alot to ask for sf49ers then again cardinals suck on offense, I think the only play is -7 sf49ers, U be flipping betting on the over/under
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as99
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1585
#7
Already locked in at under 38.5.
Arizona can't score - SF complete shutdown team.
Arizona good defense - should slow SF down.
Enough to go on the under.
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zilchy
SBR Wise Guy
03-31-12
695
#8
Leaning SF -7 but not sure if I want to make a play at all. I'll probably end up buying it down to -6 or -5.5 if I do because I can easily see some late conservative play ruining things. Backdoor cover with a 23-17 result or something like that.
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uvajrl
SBR Rookie
10-18-12
22
#9
I understand you cant expect teams to play exactly how they did week to week, but the factor I'm weighing is if Arizona lost by 7 to Minnesota, how are they going to lose by any less than 7 against SF? It really depends on how Alex Smith shows up. I really like AZ team pts under 14.5 considering the SF defense has been consistently solid. Will probably take SF -7 separately but not for too much. In terms of the under, I feel pretty strong. I see Arizona putting up 10-14 points max and I think it would be rare for the 49ers to score more than 21 points.
SF 20 AZ 9
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Paul Kemp
SBR Sharp
09-05-12
278
#10
I honestly think that SF will win SU in a slightly close game. I can see AZ covering, but I put a very, very small lean on SF ML early. ( -290 now, was -310 early ) Do not feel comfortable with SF covering since AZ has a very good chance of stealing that from them.
However, I still think SF pulls this one off. I'll either leave my small lean and take a break (unlikely) or see if that SF ML keeps coming down. So far, the highest my Book listed was -320 yesterday afternoon.
Sharps hammering AZ? Thoughts?
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Paul Kemp
SBR Sharp
09-05-12
278
#11
Originally posted by Paul Kemp
I honestly think that SF will win SU in a slightly close game. I can see AZ covering, but I put a very, very small lean on SF ML early. ( -290 now, was -310 early ) Do not feel comfortable with SF covering since AZ has a very good chance of stealing that from them.
However, I still think SF pulls this one off. I'll either leave my small lean and take a break (unlikely) or see if that SF ML keeps coming down. So far, the highest my Book listed was -320 yesterday afternoon.
Sharps hammering AZ? Thoughts?
And now it's on the way back up...
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pokeraddict2012
SBR Sharp
10-25-12
312
#12
They using John Skelton. Lol better then Kolb looooool
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onacloud
SBR Hall of Famer
10-14-10
5360
#13
49ers -7 get on it
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brigade125
SBR Wise Guy
07-03-11
685
#14
zona +8...
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Eagles27
SBR Wise Guy
10-19-12
800
#15
Im taking AZ on the moneyline. I think this game will be more competitive than people think (divisional game) AZ at home. Stats/trends all go out the window for this one in my opinion. With that being said, im just making a small wager, but with AZ being such a huge underdog, why not?
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brigade125
SBR Wise Guy
07-03-11
685
#16
Originally posted by Eagles27
Im taking AZ on the moneyline. I think this game will be more competitive than people think (divisional game) AZ at home. Stats/trends all go out the window for this one in my opinion. With that being said, im just making a small wager, but with AZ being such a huge underdog, why not?
yup... dont know why zona such a huge underdog at home.? we all know what happen last prime time game on thursday divisonal game against the niners and seahawks... it was suppost to be a blowout in candlestick...
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k13
SBR Posting Legend
07-16-10
18104
#17
Niners win.
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brigade125
SBR Wise Guy
07-03-11
685
#18
Originally posted by k13
Niners win.
dont give a shit if they win... as long as they dont cover... go ahead and put your tease bet since that moneyline is to steep for you ....
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randy4u
SBR Rookie
10-16-10
46
#19
teaser niners -1 and under 43.5 sounds like the bet to me
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k13
SBR Posting Legend
07-16-10
18104
#20
Originally posted by brigade125
dont give a shit if they win... as long as they dont cover... go ahead and put your tease bet since that moneyline is to steep for you ....
If they win, ~80% chance they cover.
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pokeraddict2012
SBR Sharp
10-25-12
312
#21
49ers will blow them out, alex smith will be on game, while skelton will fumble 200 times
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w@lt
SBR MVP
10-08-10
2594
#22
Arizona Cardinals Under 17 -160
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Eagles27
SBR Wise Guy
10-19-12
800
#23
Not to mention the importance of this game. AZ has lost three in a row, yet a win tonight moves them back into 1st place (getting the tie breaker over the niners). The Defense will keep this game close, and if they put the niners in a position where they have to abandon the running game (similar game plan Min and Giants used), watch out. Skelton also has experience over the niners (getting a win over them late last season).
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brigade125
SBR Wise Guy
07-03-11
685
#24
Originally posted by k13
If they win, ~80% chance they cover.
im sure you said the same thing on the seattle game.. and the giants game....
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altieriflyers
SBR Wise Guy
07-23-12
777
#25
Originally posted by flocko76
i dont have any
prob wont have power. hurricane sandy hitting town.
Stay safe, god bless.
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k13
SBR Posting Legend
07-16-10
18104
#26
Originally posted by brigade125
im sure you said the same thing on the seattle game.. and the giants game....
So you disagree that if a team wins they will cover around 80% of the time?
I said niners will beat seattle 100%, not cover. See thread.
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dkthrilla33
SBR Wise Guy
10-26-12
635
#27
last 4 games against each other total turnovers= SF=2 AZ=12
JUST SAYIN
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dkthrilla33
SBR Wise Guy
10-26-12
635
#28
SF moneyline to the unders! LOCK PLAY!!!
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pokeraddict2012
SBR Sharp
10-25-12
312
#29
never good to lay juice on any NFL games where its -300 or more thats penetrating crazy,
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uvajrl
SBR Rookie
10-18-12
22
#30
I originally thought the 49ers would cover, but with the extreme sway by sharps on the cardinals, I think there is a lot of value in the +400 bet of 49ers win by 1-6 points. Get it +400 at Bovada or +325 at 5Dimes
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#31
Originally posted by k13
So you disagree that if a team wins they will cover around 80% of the time?
I said niners will beat seattle 100%, not cover. See thread.
While we know that true overall I think it significantly less when u get Into lines over 3. Don't know numbers tho.
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KidSeoul
SBR MVP
11-27-05
1203
#32
Take Arizona and the points. SF defense has been exposed. And we're talking home dog on a MNF. Nuff said!
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King Swizz
Restricted User
10-23-12
105
#33
Cards
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ttwarrior1
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
06-23-09
28460
#34
arizona simply isnt that good,
if harbaugh doesnt play conservative i can see them winning in a romp
I predict 1 or 2 d or return td to make this game go over.
i say over because of alot of fg, i see 2 or 3 fg for both teams , fitz with 1 td, gore or v davis with 1
final score sf 27 to 17 sf
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k13
SBR Posting Legend
07-16-10
18104
#35
Originally posted by 2daBank
While we know that true overall I think it significantly less when u get Into lines over 3. Don't know numbers tho.