What are your thoughts on SF @ ARZ Monday Night Football?

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  • as99
    SBR MVP
    • 03-25-10
    • 1585

    #1
    What are your thoughts on SF @ ARZ Monday Night Football?
    SF -7 (-300 ML)
    ARZ +7 (+264 ML)

    Over/Under 38.5
  • flocko76
    SBR MVP
    • 10-01-10
    • 1447

    #2
    i dont have any
    prob wont have power. hurricane sandy hitting town.
    Comment
    • heywally
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-09-12
      • 140

      #3
      Originally posted by flocko76
      i dont have any
      prob wont have power. hurricane sandy hitting town.
      Batten down the hatches - good luck.
      Comment
      • Pat McCrotch
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-08-11
        • 814

        #4
        Over
        Comment
        • pokeraddict2012
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-25-12
          • 312

          #5
          Too hard to tell what to do, everyone is saying under but I can see this just going over 38, then again these 2 teams have solid defended, and -7 is alot to ask for sf49ers then again cardinals suck on offense, I think the only play is -7 sf49ers, U be flipping betting on the over/under
          Comment
          • Pat McCrotch
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-08-11
            • 814

            #6
            Ive went big on over 34.5, bought it down, odds @ -171


            Originally posted by pokeraddict2012
            Too hard to tell what to do, everyone is saying under but I can see this just going over 38, then again these 2 teams have solid defended, and -7 is alot to ask for sf49ers then again cardinals suck on offense, I think the only play is -7 sf49ers, U be flipping betting on the over/under
            Comment
            • as99
              SBR MVP
              • 03-25-10
              • 1585

              #7
              Already locked in at under 38.5.

              Arizona can't score - SF complete shutdown team.
              Arizona good defense - should slow SF down.

              Enough to go on the under.
              Comment
              • zilchy
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-31-12
                • 695

                #8
                Leaning SF -7 but not sure if I want to make a play at all. I'll probably end up buying it down to -6 or -5.5 if I do because I can easily see some late conservative play ruining things. Backdoor cover with a 23-17 result or something like that.
                Comment
                • uvajrl
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 10-18-12
                  • 22

                  #9
                  I understand you cant expect teams to play exactly how they did week to week, but the factor I'm weighing is if Arizona lost by 7 to Minnesota, how are they going to lose by any less than 7 against SF? It really depends on how Alex Smith shows up. I really like AZ team pts under 14.5 considering the SF defense has been consistently solid. Will probably take SF -7 separately but not for too much. In terms of the under, I feel pretty strong. I see Arizona putting up 10-14 points max and I think it would be rare for the 49ers to score more than 21 points.

                  SF 20 AZ 9
                  Comment
                  • Paul Kemp
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 09-05-12
                    • 278

                    #10
                    I honestly think that SF will win SU in a slightly close game. I can see AZ covering, but I put a very, very small lean on SF ML early. ( -290 now, was -310 early ) Do not feel comfortable with SF covering since AZ has a very good chance of stealing that from them.

                    However, I still think SF pulls this one off. I'll either leave my small lean and take a break (unlikely) or see if that SF ML keeps coming down. So far, the highest my Book listed was -320 yesterday afternoon.

                    Sharps hammering AZ? Thoughts?
                    Comment
                    • Paul Kemp
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-05-12
                      • 278

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Paul Kemp
                      I honestly think that SF will win SU in a slightly close game. I can see AZ covering, but I put a very, very small lean on SF ML early. ( -290 now, was -310 early ) Do not feel comfortable with SF covering since AZ has a very good chance of stealing that from them.

                      However, I still think SF pulls this one off. I'll either leave my small lean and take a break (unlikely) or see if that SF ML keeps coming down. So far, the highest my Book listed was -320 yesterday afternoon.

                      Sharps hammering AZ? Thoughts?
                      And now it's on the way back up...
                      Comment
                      • pokeraddict2012
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 10-25-12
                        • 312

                        #12
                        They using John Skelton. Lol better then Kolb looooool
                        Comment
                        • onacloud
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-14-10
                          • 5360

                          #13
                          49ers -7 get on it
                          Comment
                          • brigade125
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 07-03-11
                            • 685

                            #14
                            zona +8...
                            Comment
                            • Eagles27
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-19-12
                              • 800

                              #15
                              Im taking AZ on the moneyline. I think this game will be more competitive than people think (divisional game) AZ at home. Stats/trends all go out the window for this one in my opinion. With that being said, im just making a small wager, but with AZ being such a huge underdog, why not?
                              Comment
                              • brigade125
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-03-11
                                • 685

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Eagles27
                                Im taking AZ on the moneyline. I think this game will be more competitive than people think (divisional game) AZ at home. Stats/trends all go out the window for this one in my opinion. With that being said, im just making a small wager, but with AZ being such a huge underdog, why not?
                                yup... dont know why zona such a huge underdog at home.? we all know what happen last prime time game on thursday divisonal game against the niners and seahawks... it was suppost to be a blowout in candlestick...
                                Comment
                                • k13
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-16-10
                                  • 18104

                                  #17
                                  Niners win.
                                  Comment
                                  • brigade125
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 07-03-11
                                    • 685

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by k13
                                    Niners win.
                                    dont give a shit if they win... as long as they dont cover... go ahead and put your tease bet since that moneyline is to steep for you ....
                                    Comment
                                    • randy4u
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 10-16-10
                                      • 46

                                      #19
                                      teaser niners -1 and under 43.5 sounds like the bet to me
                                      Comment
                                      • k13
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 07-16-10
                                        • 18104

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by brigade125
                                        dont give a shit if they win... as long as they dont cover... go ahead and put your tease bet since that moneyline is to steep for you ....
                                        If they win, ~80% chance they cover.
                                        Comment
                                        • pokeraddict2012
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 10-25-12
                                          • 312

                                          #21
                                          49ers will blow them out, alex smith will be on game, while skelton will fumble 200 times
                                          Comment
                                          • w@lt
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-08-10
                                            • 2594

                                            #22
                                            Arizona Cardinals Under 17 -160
                                            Comment
                                            • Eagles27
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 10-19-12
                                              • 800

                                              #23
                                              Not to mention the importance of this game. AZ has lost three in a row, yet a win tonight moves them back into 1st place (getting the tie breaker over the niners). The Defense will keep this game close, and if they put the niners in a position where they have to abandon the running game (similar game plan Min and Giants used), watch out. Skelton also has experience over the niners (getting a win over them late last season).
                                              Comment
                                              • brigade125
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 07-03-11
                                                • 685

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by k13
                                                If they win, ~80% chance they cover.

                                                im sure you said the same thing on the seattle game.. and the giants game....
                                                Comment
                                                • altieriflyers
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 07-23-12
                                                  • 777

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by flocko76
                                                  i dont have any
                                                  prob wont have power. hurricane sandy hitting town.
                                                  Stay safe, god bless.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • k13
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-16-10
                                                    • 18104

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by brigade125

                                                    im sure you said the same thing on the seattle game.. and the giants game....
                                                    So you disagree that if a team wins they will cover around 80% of the time?

                                                    I said niners will beat seattle 100%, not cover. See thread.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dkthrilla33
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-26-12
                                                      • 635

                                                      #27
                                                      last 4 games against each other total turnovers= SF=2 AZ=12
                                                      JUST SAYIN
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dkthrilla33
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-26-12
                                                        • 635

                                                        #28
                                                        SF moneyline to the unders! LOCK PLAY!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pokeraddict2012
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 10-25-12
                                                          • 312

                                                          #29
                                                          never good to lay juice on any NFL games where its -300 or more thats penetrating crazy,
                                                          Comment
                                                          • uvajrl
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 10-18-12
                                                            • 22

                                                            #30
                                                            I originally thought the 49ers would cover, but with the extreme sway by sharps on the cardinals, I think there is a lot of value in the +400 bet of 49ers win by 1-6 points. Get it +400 at Bovada or +325 at 5Dimes
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by k13
                                                              So you disagree that if a team wins they will cover around 80% of the time?

                                                              I said niners will beat seattle 100%, not cover. See thread.
                                                              While we know that true overall I think it significantly less when u get Into lines over 3. Don't know numbers tho.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KidSeoul
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-27-05
                                                                • 1203

                                                                #32
                                                                Take Arizona and the points. SF defense has been exposed. And we're talking home dog on a MNF. Nuff said!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • King Swizz
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 10-23-12
                                                                  • 105

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Cards
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ttwarrior1
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 06-23-09
                                                                    • 28460

                                                                    #34
                                                                    arizona simply isnt that good,

                                                                    if harbaugh doesnt play conservative i can see them winning in a romp

                                                                    I predict 1 or 2 d or return td to make this game go over.

                                                                    i say over because of alot of fg, i see 2 or 3 fg for both teams , fitz with 1 td, gore or v davis with 1

                                                                    final score sf 27 to 17 sf
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • k13
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 07-16-10
                                                                      • 18104

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                      While we know that true overall I think it significantly less when u get Into lines over 3. Don't know numbers tho.
                                                                      21.1% the last 2 years for ALL games.

                                                                      360 game sample.
                                                                      Comment
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