Take Michigan St. tomorrow +9.5

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  • SamDiamond
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-19-12
    • 6107

    #36
    Michigan rolls by 21.

    Michigan State is horrible. After ND smacked 'em round, and tOSU broke their hearts, Sparty has folded.

    Nard Nard for 150/150, and the Wolverines roll.
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #37
      Teaser for me
      It looks too easy
      Good luck Deuce
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #38
        Originally posted by Bigbill365
        how you figure that?3 point for homefield minus that out of michigans home spread and you have aproximate away spread
        No, take away 3 points and you get NEUTRAL line. If game is at Michigan State, you then move 3 points from that,
        Comment
        • thfootball
          SBR MVP
          • 01-16-11
          • 1771

          #39
          I'm done betting on michigan st, they're on my no bet list for now.
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #40
            Originally posted by thfootball
            I'm done betting on michigan st, they're on my no bet list for now.
            That may actually be the exact reason to bet ON them, they actually have line value this week after being overrated until now.
            Comment
            • MeatWad
              SBR MVP
              • 01-18-12
              • 1572

              #41
              The line is finally catching up to the actual impact of losing Kirk Cousins and some of their skills position players last year.

              Mich is still a rebuilding team from the Rich Rod era. Look at how effective Robinson and the offense were against the best D they faced this year ND, 6 total points and 4 INTS.

              This is definitely the 2nd best defense Michigan will have faced. The ST D unit is solid as fukk and have faced better offensives successfully already. They will likely keep St in this game, and put their own TD or put the Mich St O in position to score 1-2x. I know alot of sharp money including myself took Mich St early here, I was a little late on the boat at +10.
              Comment
              • suicidekings
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-23-09
                • 9962

                #42
                This game is big for Michigan. Little Brother has had the edge for the last 4 years, and this Wolverines team has a great chance to win this game. MSU is just so horribly inefficient on offense. They really only have two weapons they can rely on in Deion Sims and Laveon Bell. Maxwell is very inconsistent and MSU just lost their starting center, Travis Jackson to a broken leg. That could have a big impact on their offense.

                With one of Michigan's main strengths being pass defense, I think Maxwell is going to struggle tomorrow, and Dion Sims is still a gametime decision, coming off an ankle injury. 10 points is a lot to cover, but I would be very hesitant to take MSU here.
                Comment
                • MeatWad
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-18-12
                  • 1572

                  #43
                  Maxwell probably struggles, nothing to indicate he will have a big game. But he is not a big mistake QB. He has 4 INTs this year, 3 vs BSU in the 1st game of the season 2 of which were tipped passes through his WR's arms, and last weeks INT which was a tipped pass in OT. He threw for 187 vs ND and 269 vs OSU w/o any INTs. I think their D, and running Bell keeps them in a fairly low scoring game, 23-17 Mich.
                  Comment
                  • chunk
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-08-11
                    • 808

                    #44
                    Mich. St.
                    Comment
                    • Brock Landers
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 06-30-08
                      • 45359

                      #45
                      Deuce, don't you Fuk me here you motherfukker
                      Comment
                      • BeantownBlue
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 10-18-12
                        • 248

                        #46
                        The best D they faced is not ND. It was Bama. And Mich moved the ball very well in the second half vs ND, when they decided to run the ball 80% of the time.
                        I've got Michigan @-9.5.

                        Having said that, I'm a homer... so I am not objective here.

                        Originally posted by MeatWad
                        The line is finally catching up to the actual impact of losing Kirk Cousins and some of their skills position players last year.

                        Mich is still a rebuilding team from the Rich Rod era. Look at how effective Robinson and the offense were against the best D they faced this year ND, 6 total points and 4 INTS.

                        This is definitely the 2nd best defense Michigan will have faced. The ST D unit is solid as fukk and have faced better offensives successfully already. They will likely keep St in this game, and put their own TD or put the Mich St O in position to score 1-2x. I know alot of sharp money including myself took Mich St early here, I was a little late on the boat at +10.
                        Comment
                        • Deuce
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 01-12-08
                          • 29843

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Brock Landers
                          Deuce, don't you Fuk me here you motherfukker
                          Nah, take Michigan please. You shouldn't take MSU. It is a horrible play.
                          Comment
                          • MeatWad
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-18-12
                            • 1572

                            #48
                            True Bama was the best team and D they faced. I recall they were down 31-7 at half, picked up some meaningless yards in the second half, but still only ended up with 269 total yards of O, 3 turnovers, and 14 points. I expect they score 21-24 here, and will take the 10 and hope. I predict a 23-17 type Mich win, but anything can happen.
                            Comment
                            • BeantownBlue
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 10-18-12
                              • 248

                              #49
                              You are dead on. I bet Michigan's score will be around 25, while MSU scores 10~15. The game will be extremely physical and emotional. Michigan is angry because of the beat down last year and desperate to snap MSU's streak, while MSU is angry because they think they don't get the respect from Michigan and desperate because their season is on the line. A lot can happen under these circumstances.

                              Originally posted by MeatWad
                              True Bama was the best team and D they faced. I recall they were down 31-7 at half, picked up some meaningless yards in the second half, but still only ended up with 269 total yards of O, 3 turnovers, and 14 points. I expect they score 21-24 here, and will take the 10 and hope. I predict a 23-17 type Mich win, but anything can happen.
                              Comment
                              • MeatWad
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-18-12
                                • 1572

                                #50
                                Originally posted by BeantownBlue
                                You are dead on. I bet Michigan's score will be around 25, while MSU scores 10~15. The game will be extremely physical and emotional. Michigan is angry because of the beat down last year and desperate to snap MSU's streak, while MSU is angry because they think they don't get the respect from Michigan and desperate because their season is on the line. A lot can happen under these circumstances.

                                Right on, I will be watching this game for sure, think it will be a dog fight and close. Like you said should be emotional and physical as hell. Mich could break out on them, but that St D is soo strong. They had at least two dropped INT last week, hopefully that doesn't happen again. Definitely should be exciting smash mouth game. I expect Mich to snap the 4 game losing streak to St in a close one, and start building a streak of their own.
                                Comment
                                • Deuce
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 01-12-08
                                  • 29843

                                  #51
                                  63% on MSU scares me.
                                  Comment
                                  • MeatWad
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-18-12
                                    • 1572

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Deuce
                                    63% on MSU scares me.

                                    That is an ugly number, and Mich breaking out to a fast start could make for an ugly game too. Mich St doesnt have the big play potential to play from behind. Still riding with that talented D +10. Bell runs soo physically and Maxwell usually doesnt do anything too helpful or hurtful, thinking it should stay close.
                                    Comment
                                    • testertips
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-06-09
                                      • 1468

                                      #53
                                      I might take them @ + 17.5
                                      Comment
                                      • Wilfred
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-19-12
                                        • 1908

                                        #54
                                        I agree with the pick and I hope MSU can possibly squeak of out or at least make it interesting at the end. Hopefully MSU is ready for Denard because they sure were not ready for B Miller. All this talk about how bad the MSU offense is is true but remember this is a rivalry game with a ton of emotions so you can throw some of that out the window.
                                        Comment
                                        • MeatWad
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-18-12
                                          • 1572

                                          #55
                                          Looks like it is time to count the winnings! These two teams are soo evenly match, loved getting that 10 with that defense, under was gold too.
                                          Comment
                                          • Deuce
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 01-12-08
                                            • 29843

                                            #56
                                            Been buried with less time before. Not over until ttwarrior sings.
                                            Comment
                                            • hawley
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-10-10
                                              • 14270

                                              #57
                                              Good work Deucer.

                                              WE knew.
                                              Comment
                                              • MUHerd37
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-23-09
                                                • 12816

                                                #58
                                                Michigan is a joke
                                                Comment
                                                • MeatWad
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-18-12
                                                  • 1572

                                                  #59
                                                  I like to get the money counters warmed up a little early. Not worried about jinxing it with this MSU D.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • CanuckG
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-23-10
                                                    • 21978

                                                    #60
                                                    Deuce in the parking lot listening to the game on the radio eating a snow cone holding his cokk
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MUHerd37
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-23-09
                                                      • 12816

                                                      #61
                                                      Michigan beats Sparty for the 1st time in like 5 years!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Deuce
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 01-12-08
                                                        • 29843

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by MUHerd37
                                                        Michigan beats Sparty for the 1st time in like 5 years!!!
                                                        4

                                                        Analysis spot on.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Deuce
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 01-12-08
                                                          • 29843

                                                          #63
                                                          No haters today?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ZetaPsi808
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 09-18-08
                                                            • 12119

                                                            #64
                                                            Deucer sharp as a tack

                                                            Deucer i want all future plays in my email inbox

                                                            i am on the pre-release list guy
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mynameismud
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 02-13-12
                                                              • 5461

                                                              #65
                                                              fukk yes!! i couldnt watch the field goal. almost had a heart attack. go blue baby!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jjgold
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 07-20-05
                                                                • 388179

                                                                #66
                                                                I played this off Deuce's thread
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Nice hit Deuce.

                                                                  What a weird line.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BeantownBlue
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 10-18-12
                                                                    • 248

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Congrats. 12-10? Way overestimated Mich O.
                                                                    I've been very lucky this seaons (13-4, only bet 2-3 games a week),
                                                                    but two of the losers are from Michigan. (ND & MSU)
                                                                    I should really really stay away from my team. Easier said than done.
                                                                    At least, Mich won and snapped this nice little run that our little bro had.

                                                                    Good luck for the rest of the season, guys.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Ernie Mccracken
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-11-11
                                                                      • 1986

                                                                      #69
                                                                      What the hell happened to MSU this year?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Brock Landers
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 06-30-08
                                                                        • 45359

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Excellent call Deucer...made 300 bones
                                                                        Comment
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