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Add in Florida and Virginia and Romney is at 248. That's 22 short and all the remaining states are leaning Obama. He will need to piece together one rust belt state with a couple of western states to win. There is a good possibility Romney can steal Wisconsin and pick up colorado and nevada which would put him over. Tough map but doable.Comment -
I don't see how you could think there's a good chance for Wisconsin and Romney. Slim chance a best. He needs to get Ohio, and saying your a U of M fan isn't the best way of going about that.Comment -
Obama wins NC mark my words, early voters were lined up around the block and down the street and 97% of them were voting for Obama.Comment -
The popular vote doesn't mean much, obama already has about 50 more electoral votesComment -
Is the poll on top to find out who are the dumb rednecks on SBR ?
Their total IQ is half of Shari's .Comment -
ABC NEWS
The markets beat the polls 75 percent of the time. On another popular site, Intrade, the majority of gamblers correctly guessed the winner of every state in the 2004 presidential election, and only missed two in 2008. How come?There are whole books about this subject, like The Wisdom of Crowds. But here are three simple reasons it make sense…
1. Polls ask for opinions and personal preference – who do you want to win, do you agree with the candidates’ stance on issue X, and so forth. Bets are made to win money, not to express personal views, which may be subject to personal preferences and prejudices.
2. Randomness doesn’t ensure informed responses. Any pollster worthy of the name understands the importance of random sampling and sample size – more people from more backgrounds usually gets a result with higher accuracy and better representation of the group. With polls, there’s no particular reason for the people who get randomly picked to be well-informed about the candidates or issues. Even though pollsters recognize that and try various techniques to weight responses and avoid bias, they can’t match the obvious incentive gamblers have to pay attention: money. In short, those who are putting their money where their mouths are should be better informed.
That’s why when Texas governor Rick Perry totally blanked in a debate on the agencies of government he said he wanted to abolish, his odds of winning the nomination dropped by half on Intrade within a couple of minutes. (You can watch Perry crash in this YouTube clip.) People randomly polled shortly afterward might have missed the debate.
3. Markets have more data. Individual polls might survey only a few hundred random people.Comment -
I'm surprised this place isn't more liberal.Comment -
Based on the intelligence level of some here, what do you expect?
They will be the first crying when we are back to the George Bush tactics... one being in a new war with either Iran or North Korea.
Mark my words.... there will be some whining going on
Last edited by TC Woods; 10-19-12, 12:40 PM.Comment -
so many dumb people here that have no clueComment -
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Not voting for either, but funny how most of the hated on SBR are on Romney's side......I see like 5 with a few more that haven't voted yet on here
Only see 1 on Obama side
What's his means? No clue.....Comment -
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I can see this as Al Gore And George Bush....
Gore Wins Popular Vote
Bush Wins Electoral Vote
Bush Wins Presidency.
Romney Wins Popular Vote
Obama Wins Electoral Vote
Obama Wins Presidency.
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Or how about this out of left field scenario.
Neither candidate gets the required 270, goes to the House of Representives, wonder how the 240 Republicans would vote? Wonder how many of the 190 House Democrats would vote?Comment -
Romney wins Florida?Yeah hold on to that dream bud! Btw cheeseheads fuk'in hate Romney too! So do real Nevada gamblers, and if you've been reading what your asshole candidate has stated as a magic underwear wearing Mormon douche bag, he opposes "all" forms of gambling, internet or otherwise! You'd think that would be enough to sway real gamblers here, but being blind by your ideology and willing to follow a fuk'in Mormon republican, wont let you see the light of real guy who's cool enough to make beer at the white house! And don't hold your breath for Colorado either, all the stoners in that state don't want some rich fuk taking their ganja away!
Last edited by mikejamm; 10-19-12, 09:16 PM.Comment -
Im happy I took Obama for the max most of the players here are losers this is a good sign its over already.
Of course there is ONE bad thing Brock has Obama
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Here's the rub though, Romney is winning Florida
Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 46%
Mitt Romney has taken his biggest lead of the year in Florida and now outpaces President Obama by five points in the key swing state following Tuesday night's debate.
Source: DrudgeReport, visit it, Drudge has all the links, left, right and center.
You are counting on Colorado stoners to put Obama over the top.
They'll be so wasted on Tuesday morning to forget to vote.
Let's see how the debate Monday plays out, you know, the one that deals with foreign policy and only foreign policy.
Obama's feet will be tied to the fire over the Benghazi debacle.
Romney (in front of all those viewers) is going to paint Obama as trying to mislead everybody that is was the video that stirred things up in Libya.
Romney is going to explain that Obama tried to mislead because this was an Al-Qaeda attack, and he refuses to admit that, because he would like to think he wiped out Al-Qaeda with the killing of Bin Laden.
Romney is going to expose Obama's UN Ambassador Monday night, he's going to expose the whole regime Monday night.
How is Obama going to respond to Romney Monday night, debate night, when Mitt comes at him with something like this?
"You are offended by this accusation, Mr. President? The country is offended that your press secretary, your U.N. ambassador and you yourself have repeatedly misled the nation about the origin and nature of the Benghazi attack.
The problem wasn’t the video, the problem was policies for which you say you now accept responsibility. Then accept it, Mr. President. You were asked in the last debate why more security was denied our people in Libya despite the fact that they begged for it. You never answered that question, Mr. President. Or will you blame your Secretary of State?"
Dude, Obama is going to get clocked Monday night.
Let's talk polling next Wednesday
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Why Obama will win:
1. Gay rights to marriage.
2. Womens rights to an abortion.
3. Black voters will vote Obama simply for being black. America's negative history of segregation and slavery.
4. Tax the rich and cut taxes on the middle class.
5. Obama's 18 million Twitter followers vs Romney's 2 million Twitter followers.
6. Finally ending the 10 years of 2 wars which has been financially draining to America.
7. Obama's 31 million likes on Facebook.
Romney's 10 million likes on Facebook.
Clicking Like and Follow is similar to pushing Vote at the polls.
I got Obama at -233, it's currently at -250.
It's a steal in my opinion, Obama should be a -1000 or greater favorite.
Democrats job creation:
Last edited by GunShard; 10-19-12, 11:13 PM.Comment -
you can make stats look like almost anything you want. Most of us know just looking at a chart like that doesn't tell the whole story.Why Obama will win:
1. Gay rights to marriage.
2. Womens rights to an abortion.
3. Black voters will vote Obama simply for being black. America's negative history of segregation and slavery.
4. Tax the rich and cut taxes on the middle class.
5. Obama's 18 million Twitter followers vs Romney's 2 million Twitter followers.
6. Finally ending the 10 years of 2 wars which has been financially draining to America.
I got Obama at -233, it's currently at -250.
It's a steal in my opinion, Obama should be a -1000 or greater favorite.
Democrats job creation:
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Can we get some individual state odds in the sbr book???Comment -
No surprise Romney leads here as most SBR posters probably have a job, or at the very least do not own an obamaphone, and living on food stamps.Comment -
The "real" Steve Nash is a lifelong Democrat and would never vote for a grease ball like Romney! You can talk poll shit all you want fake nash, but it doesn't mean shit now that early voting has begun. Plus, your boy looked like a royal asshole trying to politicize Benghazi. President Obama already stated it was a terrorist attack and yes Al-Qaeda used the demonstrations as a cover to attack our Ambassador Christopher Stevens. You think your shit for brains Mormon douche boy Romney would have done better huh? Our President knows when he sends these diplomats out there, they are in harms way. At least he's got the balls to do it and admit he knows what the worst possible outcome can be.
Just like nobody couldn't have predicted some fuk'in raghead in a little shit motor boat would pull up along side the USS Cole in Yemen and blow a 40ft hole in it killing 17 of our troops. Terrorists attacks happen and these fuk'ers strike when they see an opportunity, not because of lack of security. Which by the way republicans voted down additional security measures in Libya every fuk'in time the issue was put before congress!
You know, for a guy who's such a fan of a cool dude like Steve Nash, you've got no idea about what it takes to understand foreign diplomacy. Just like Romney, who stepped in shit the whole time he was overseas trying to act like he knew what the fuk he was doing! You fuk'in republicans are insane! Do you even know what the Mormon religion doctrine is? Do you really want a magic underwear wearing, joseph smith fake ass fairy vision jesus story believing, thinks blacks are the "cursed by god" people, and that's why their skin is that color, caffine and alcohol are evil, and women are servants to men and have no rights, in charge of the greatest country in the world? Way to take a big step backwards idiots!Comment -
I understand mikej. I voted democrat when I was a broke dik. Then I realized that taking from the rich and redistributing their money slows the economy and eventually leads to economic ruin. Sort of like we are seeing now.
I have nothing against Obama. He is a career politician with zero business experience. It's not his fault that he has no clue how to fix the economy. And its not your fault that you do not realize that socialism is not the answer. I'll bet the day you make something happen you will rethink your opinion on redistribution.Comment -
Obama is most disassociated Prez in my lifetime - IMO - he does NOT like the job , he likes the position
stuff is leaking-out...
He has campaigned on the road for reelection for the last 4yrs instead of working at the job. Has he ever worked a job ?
An embassy is attacked , the Ambassador is raped & murdered and he flys off to Las Vegas telling lies (been proven) about an youtube vid
UnbelievableComment -
Obama is going to get pummeled monday night in jew heaven- (boca raton, fl). It is going to put the final nail in his campaign coffin. He will have to concede because of the legal problems he will have for lying about benghazi. It is likely he could face criminal charges.
President Romney will most likely move forward with the impeachment process.
Obama will most likely be impeached after all the benghazi facts come out.Comment -
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Well we know obama's plan and it included 6 trillion in debt and 23 million unemployed with $4 gas and 49 million people on food stamps.
I'm sure that is sustainable
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