Sharps are on SUPERCHARGERS!!!

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  • milwaukee mike
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-22-07
    • 26914

    #71
    Originally posted by Smutbucket
    congratulations, your ignorance has officially pushed me out of the public forums, if your looking for me, Ill be in my thread, wont be checking these public threads with all these dumbasses/fake accts/whichever it is, Im done not worth my time,
    If you're calling k13 a dumbass that is the complete opposite of the truth. He always has quite a good handle on which teams will win in certain spots and where teams will be at the end of the season.

    Perhaps it's just bitterness because you overestimated denver for this game
    Comment
    • SpeedPro
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-06-10
      • 643

      #72
      Yeah looks like you were right. Game is another bust for the public.
      Comment
      • Monte
        SBR MVP
        • 08-21-10
        • 2056

        #73
        Well i don't know really, pk for the chargers at home vs the Broncos?
        I didn't bet this, but i could NEVER take the Broncos in this spot at pk. Never ever.
        Comment
        • Smutbucket
          SBR MVP
          • 03-14-08
          • 3997

          #74
          ya suicideking, these guys cant be this dumb, maybe they are, its a little bit of both, sbr fake accts trying to troll and idiots, really is stupid though, doesnt take a genious to understand that the public %s are garbage, but theyll keep preaching it and preaching it and any randomn people who come across these forums will read it and believe it, whatya gonna do? try to tell them whats going on, but the couple dollars they just won from this game gives them to much of a "rush" to actually anaylze a game,

          suicideking Ill remeber you atleast as one of the good ones, stop by in my thread in college football betting forum anytime,

          Im pounding the shit outta denver -4.5 2nd half
          Comment
          • Smutbucket
            SBR MVP
            • 03-14-08
            • 3997

            #75
            lol, im calling em a dumbass cuz he believes the public percentages, here comes the army of morons/fake accts to defend this moronic theory......
            Comment
            • milwaukee mike
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 08-22-07
              • 26914

              #76
              Originally posted by Monte
              Well i don't know really, pk for the chargers at home vs the Broncos?
              I didn't bet this, but i could NEVER take the Broncos in this spot at pk. Never ever.
              I could and did take the broncos in this spot last year at san diego, in the middle of tebow's crazy 6 game winning streak

              Quite interesting that the broncos made the playoffs with tebow, got rid of him for peyton manning, and will now miss the playoffs

              I love it
              Comment
              • milwaukee mike
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-22-07
                • 26914

                #77
                Originally posted by Smutbucket
                lol, im calling em a dumbass cuz he believes the public percentages, here comes the army of morons/fake accts to defend this moronic theory......
                Whether the % are accurate or not, i am fairly certain more individuals had the broncos tonight than the chargers. San diego is usually not a public team, and peyton manning is a fan favorite.

                Keep in mind though i really don't care who the public is on, or rlm, or any of that nonsense.
                Comment
                • Monte
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-21-10
                  • 2056

                  #78
                  Smutbucket...i don't know if you are partly talking to me, but all i say is: i couldn't take the Broncos pk.
                  +3.5? +3? Prolly sharp plays..but "sharps" would also never take pk cos they would have hammered this line much earlier, if it indeed was weak. Clearer?
                  Comment
                  • Romanov
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-08-10
                    • 4137

                    #79
                    Smut bucket lives with his parents. Do not take his advice. Either a loser or just a kid in our game. Kid/loser took a pub road dog on mnf. Dumb
                    Comment
                    • BIGDAY
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 02-17-10
                      • 48245

                      #80
                      Originally posted by suicidekings
                      17 points off turnovers are great for your side, but at least have the balls to admit you're getting very fortunate tonight.
                      Yes sir. I am very lucky.
                      Comment
                      • GunShard
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-05-10
                        • 10031

                        #81
                        Originally posted by Smutbucket
                        lol, im calling em a dumbass cuz he believes the public percentages, here comes the army of morons/fake accts to defend this moronic theory......
                        Stop accusing people of fake accounts.
                        I post on this part of the forum daily. How would you feel if some went in your thread and accused you of being a troll that make multiple accounts.

                        It's illegal to make multiple accounts on SBR. If this was on the Covers forum, then yea there are multiple accounts on that site because there are no rules against multiple accounts. Detecting an account's IP address can determine of a user of having multiple accounts.

                        If you don't believe fading the public is profitable, then you have the right to gamble money your way.
                        Comment
                        • Pete0
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-09-10
                          • 3849

                          #82
                          BIGDAY, if only i listened to you
                          Comment
                          • suicidekings
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-23-09
                            • 9962

                            #83
                            Originally posted by Smutbucket
                            ya suicideking, these guys cant be this dumb, maybe they are, its a little bit of both, sbr fake accts trying to troll and idiots, really is stupid though, doesnt take a genious to understand that the public %s are garbage, but theyll keep preaching it and preaching it and any randomn people who come across these forums will read it and believe it, whatya gonna do? try to tell them whats going on, but the couple dollars they just won from this game gives them to much of a "rush" to actually anaylze a game,

                            suicideking Ill remeber you atleast as one of the good ones, stop by in my thread in college football betting forum anytime,

                            Im pounding the shit outta denver -4.5 2nd half
                            I don't think public betting percentages are completely worthless, but the simple percentage is a gross simplification of the data that makes it up. Bets are distributed all over the different prices and line moves, teasers, parlays, spreads and MLs. Big money isn't always smart money, and it takes different amounts of money to change a line depending on when the bets are placed, who's making the bets. History of the line over the course of the week tells more than just looking at the gameday swing. The most important factor that doesn't get mentioned is how sharp the line is to start with, if the game is featuring a big public team and/or if the books actually have an opinion on the game because of whatever information they have. The starting point matters a lot.

                            So IF someone is a skilled capper that can produce consistently good lines also does good analysis on the line movement over time, and makes a few smart assumptions, then the public betting numbers can have some value. But "betting against the public" as a concept is too simple to succeed over a large sample.
                            Comment
                            • CanuckG
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-23-10
                              • 21978

                              #84
                              Denver not making it easy whenever Big Day has a bet it's a sweat
                              Comment
                              • BIGDAY
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 02-17-10
                                • 48245

                                #85
                                Canuck, I'm blade sharp tonight pal.
                                Comment
                                • BIGDAY
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 02-17-10
                                  • 48245

                                  #86
                                  Comment
                                  • King Mayan
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-22-10
                                    • 21326

                                    #87
                                    This is out of this world.
                                    Comment
                                    • CanuckG
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-23-10
                                      • 21978

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by BIGDAY
                                      Canuck, I'm blade sharp tonight pal.
                                      Comment
                                      • BIGDAY
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 02-17-10
                                        • 48245

                                        #89
                                        Someone in here told me, ya can't cap turnovers...
                                        Comment
                                        • CanuckG
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-23-10
                                          • 21978

                                          #90
                                          shocker
                                          Comment
                                          • BIGDAY
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 02-17-10
                                            • 48245

                                            #91
                                            Canuck, my blade went dull. Too much slicin and Dicen in the first half.
                                            Comment
                                            • Smutbucket
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-14-08
                                              • 3997

                                              #92
                                              dont get ur mouths cut on my nuts, theyre pretty damn sharp
                                              Comment
                                              • wtt0315
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-18-07
                                                • 8037

                                                #93


                                                Originally posted by wtt0315
                                                broncos -3.5 +165 is sharp play.
                                                Comment
                                                • Smutbucket
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-14-08
                                                  • 3997

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by Smutbucket
                                                  public is on chargers. sharps are on denver. your all morons for believing otherwise.
                                                  no nominations? no love?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • oChRoNiCo
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-18-09
                                                    • 2984

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by BIGDAY
                                                    Canuck, I'm blade sharp tonight pal.
                                                    How is that working out for ya now biggay?

                                                    I guess I am just a square but I am going to get paid tonight YEAH BUDDY!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BIGDAY
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 02-17-10
                                                      • 48245

                                                      #96
                                                      Nice hit smut bucket
                                                      Comment
                                                      • CanuckG
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-23-10
                                                        • 21978

                                                        #97
                                                        Books needed SD and Under so would not say public was on SD
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #98
                                                          Originally posted by Smutbucket
                                                          no nominations? no love?
                                                          Where did you see or why would the public be on the Chargers? The betting public loves Peyton Manning. Always has.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BIGDAY
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 02-17-10
                                                            • 48245

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by oChRoNiCo
                                                            How is that working out for ya now biggay?

                                                            I guess I am just a square but I am going to get paid tonight YEAH BUDDY!
                                                            Not very well.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by CanuckG
                                                              Books needed SD and Under so would not say public was on SD
                                                              Not only that, but they're going to get double dipped on people who hammered Denver at halftime.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • hawley
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 05-10-10
                                                                • 14270

                                                                #101
                                                                Bigger was huge on broncos

                                                                Messaged me earlier to tell me to load up
                                                                Comment
                                                                • soccerzyko
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 11-28-11
                                                                  • 493

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Public was on Denver and Over. Vegas getting f'ed in the ass.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BIGDAY
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 02-17-10
                                                                    • 48245

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by hawley
                                                                    Bigger was huge on broncos

                                                                    Messaged me earlier to tell me to load up
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Smutbucket
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-14-08
                                                                      • 3997

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                      Where did you see or why would the public be on the Chargers? The betting public loves Peyton Manning. Always has.
                                                                      your guess is as good as mine, but ill laugh mine off and think nothing of it, (also notice how I was joking about assumption and even said that multiple times) again your still assuming you have any clue who the betting public likes and doesnt like and its probably way off (because its just what youve been told), although I love peyton manning and bet on em alot because hes a stud,

                                                                      ya if any of you are unsure the refs got a stake in this game too, I think its pretty obvious with that pass INT,

                                                                      not to mention its obvious where the sharp money was

                                                                      based on this "possibly wrong" assumption:
                                                                      sharp money = opposite of ref money
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jjgold
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                                        • 388179

                                                                        #105
                                                                        BigDay rarely picks winners

                                                                        I feel bad for the kid actually

                                                                        If I had a few extra hundred I would send to him
                                                                        Comment
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