Biggest Bet Since NBA Finals: Lions -4 -110 @ TENN: Risking 1100

[Goat Milk]

Not a huge bet, but it's football and I don't normally make 1k+ bets on anything but basketball unless I'm confident. The Lions are going to destroy the Titans. 4 is a bad number but my guy said he would only let me book it this early if I took 4 (it's at 3.5 now) and I agreed. I figure by Sunday all the guys back home will be taking the Lions anyway and it'll be 5 before kickoff.


Stafford is going to erupt in this game I have a feeling. Lions were in a similar situation last year going into Denver and they stomped all over them. Lions actually hung tough with SF in their home stadium playing mediocre football.

I think the best way to beat the Lions is with a great passing attack and/or a great offensive line. You are not going to stop the Lions from scoring points no matter what. Best D in the league gave them 17 points and what could have been a lot more had they converted a few third downs on wide open targets.

The Lions will score a MINIMUM of 24 points on the Titans. But I'm thinking more like 34 points here. Titans defense is simply a joke, especially their secondary. WIth finnegan out of the pic, Calvin Johnson is going to eat these guys alive. I expect a 150 yard performance and 2 tds. Pettigrew should play well and expect Burleson to make an imprint on this game as well.

Kevin Smith is underrated. He's agile, quick and can catch the ball great.

Chris Johnson can't do shit with TEN horrible offensive line. Getting eaten up once again this year and the Lions have the best or 2nd best D line in all of football. No chance CJ is breaking one up the middle. No chance. He's gonna have to bounce outside and find something there, which he is certainly capable of doing.

If Locker plays it's gonna be a miserable game for him, the same way the Lions destroyed Tebow in Tebowland last year. It was a bloodbath. Washington, Cook, Britt. Decent receiving core with no star. Even the Lions poor secondary should be able to handle these guys easily.

I think this has all the makings of a blowout.

Titans are a bad team and will win 4-5 games this year MAX.

1100 to win a G.

Lost about 3 bills on Dallas last week and 2 bills on the Pats in the second half and 2 bills on a parlay with the pats ML in it so I had a bad week but a great week 1 and here's to bouncing back this week.

GL guys

[dj_destroyer]

GL but I think you're in deep.

[broadway6]

laying points on the road is tough... good luck

[Goat Milk]

GL but I think you're in deep.

laying points on the road is tough... good luck

you guys don't like the play?

[k13]

you guys don't like the play?

Most popular pick on SBR.

[lakerboy]

Don't like it but wish y luck.

[Smoke]

Curry anyone?

[Easy-Rider 66]

If I was to make this type of play prefer to get the points at home. Last thing you need is Det up by 10 with Tenn driving for a late TD. Tenn does look bad, but they have played 1 good team and 1 decent team. Think they are better than they have looked. Have not seen the injury report or given the game much thought. Probably will pass. GL.

[Holtgetsback]

bad boy

cj2k is gonna run all over lions

if you wanted to lay points on the road there are much better bets

[dj_destroyer]

If I was to make this type of play prefer to get the points at home. Last thing you need is Det up by 10 with Tenn driving for a late TD. Tenn does look bad, but they have played 1 good team and 1 decent team. Think they are better than they have looked. Have not seen the injury report or given the game much thought. Probably will pass. GL.

Sums my thoughts up pretty nicely. I haven't looked into this game much because it's a definite pass for me but I could definitely see the "Det up by 10 late in the 4th and Tenn gets a 'meaningless' TD with little to no time on the clock" scenario.

[sneakerhead]

Much better bets than this bro but BOL

[Holtgetsback]

homer bet

titans get one of best weapons in NFL back too

Kenny Britt

[t-wizzle]

Tennessee a really tough place to play and Titans trying to avoid an 0-3 start. Not a great spot here for Detroit but they are capable of a big win here.

[Goat Milk]

wow no one likes the play

holt it's not a homer bet. i'm not a die hard football fan.

this is not nba

[sneakerhead]

wow no one likes the play

holt it's not a homer bet. i'm not a die hard football fan.

this is not nba

Usually, thats a good sign on SBR Goat lol

[Sunde91]

I don't know what you'd expect to like. The line is comparatively bad for one. Laying 3.5/4 points on the road vs a desperate Titans with the season basically on the line and their perception in the gutter. This is NFL 101 for a home win or a FG game to the wire.

[ThaTopMoron]

Lions handed first half 2 field goals by a turnover and a bs pass interference call

Lions scored last second garbage TD

besides that? what did they do? next to nothing. Stafford was off all night

i would like Calvin to have a big game, i need that for my fantasy team

not saying i would lay anything on Titans -4 or ML... don't like the game is all

[JMobile]

[NYSportsGuy210]

Usually, thats a good sign on SBR Goat lol

I was just about to write this.

[Sunde91]

Ly vs Denver is only similar if Locker plays like last week, like Tebow. Week 1 is ignored where he went 23/32 229 1 TD 1 INT 89 rating vs a Pats D that is #2 right now.

Titans were -1 before week 2 at LVH. -4 and everyone hammering Lions still. The line will drop not rise. Desperate team at home will cover in a big perception game.

[Goat Milk]

Ly vs Denver is only similar if Locker plays like last week, like Tebow. Week 1 is ignored where he went 23/32 229 1 TD 1 INT 89 rating vs a Pats D that is #2 right now.

Titans were -1 before week 2 at LVH. -4 and everyone hammering Lions still. The line will drop not rise. Desperate team at home will cover in a big perception game.

Titans will win 4 games tops this year. They won't score more than 20 on the lions. Lions will score 24 minimum on this team. Reality is more like 31-38.

[lakerboy]

Titans were 6 wins on prop goat. I believe the juice was about even. The bottomline is you did not avoid getting an off number. That's the biggest problem with this play bro.

[Goat Milk]

Titans were 6 wins on prop goat. I believe the juice was about even. The bottomline is you did not avoid getting an off number. That's the biggest problem with this play bro.

I coulda bet 2.5 online for awhile at -120 yesterday but I honestly think it'll be a massacre. We'll see.

[lakerboy]

So you were getting a point and a hf for 10 cents and left it alone? Wow that's crazy for nfl pal.

Gl again.

[Easy-Rider 66]

I coulda bet 2.5 online for awhile at -120 yesterday but I honestly think it'll be a massacre. We'll see.

If you really like DET would have jumped on that #. Laying 2.5 rather than 4 especially on the road is much preferred.

[crustyme]

screenshot?

or is this another nike air special?

[Hilljacademics]

No opinion on the game. GL

[GamblerSpirit]

I like the bet and dont see anything by the Titans to think they will keep up with the Lions. Even if it's a shootout i'll prefer stafford over locker. GL!

[heywally]

I understand the logic as to why Detroit is not a good bet here but I also saw the Tenn./Chargers game. Jake Locker is not in the type of system that is allowing him to gain confidence (and they should be committed to going with him, unless he totally falls apart Vs. Detroit (betting on Detroit, you don't won't to see Hasselbeck in there)) and the evidence from last year and this is that CJ has lost it though many blame the oline (which is probably a problem too); it looks to me like he has lost quickness; if he doesn't see a hole he can get through immediately (which he hasn't been), he dances around at the line until he is tackled.

Were I Tenn., I would try and unleash Locker in a way that they haven't with some designed roll-outs thrown in, along with some sideline scrambles to bring the DB's in too far - have him throw a lot, erring on the side of throwing it away. Unfortunately for Tenn., they have been too committed to CJ and his contract.

Thinking that though Detroit might be tired out from the S.F. exercise, maybe Tenn's defense will seem like a cakewalk in comparison though I don't think there's been enough game action to say that they are bad yet.

So, if I were taking Detroit here, my main reason would be that Tenn. will have a hard time scoring.

In spite of this being a must game for Tenn., Detroit should beat that spread if Stafford plays mistake free. But ... if you liked some other game for a teaser, you could somewhat (but not really) hedge your original bet by using Tenn +10 as part of that.

[Dom177]

Play safe and bet the over. Lions can put up some points and I dont care what team it is...almost anybody can throw on the lions its pretty pathetic.

[Goat Milk]

I understand the logic as to why Detroit is not a good bet here but I also saw the Tenn./Chargers game. Jake Locker is not in the type of system that is allowing him to gain confidence (and they should be committed to going with him, unless he totally falls apart Vs. Detroit (betting on Detroit, you don't won't to see Hasselbeck in there)) and the evidence from last year and this is that CJ has lost it though many blame the oline (which is probably a problem too); it looks to me like he has lost quickness; if he doesn't see a hole he can get through immediately (which he hasn't been), he dances around at the line until he is tackled.

Were I Tenn., I would try and unleash Locker in a way that they haven't with some designed roll-outs thrown in, along with some sideline scrambles to bring the DB's in too far - have him throw a lot, erring on the side of throwing it away. Unfortunately for Tenn., they have been too committed to CJ and his contract.

Thinking that though Detroit might be tired out from the S.F. exercise, maybe Tenn's defense will seem like a cakewalk in comparison though I don't think there's been enough game action to say that they are bad yet.

So, if I were taking Detroit here, my main reason would be that Tenn. will have a hard time scoring.

In spite of this being a must game for Tenn., Detroit should beat that spread if Stafford plays mistake free. But ... if you liked some other game for a teaser, you could somewhat (but not really) hedge your original bet by using Tenn +10 as part of that.

I see. I'm not hedging. Ten +10 is a losing bet imo. Lions will roll by 3 tds.

[broadway6]

you guys don't like the play?

i don't feel comfortable betting the Lions on the road right now. Titans are not a good team, but i can not lay points with Detroit when Stafford has been an INT machine and they can not run the ball. Hope you win.

[ChalkyDog]

Laying Chalk on the road is not solid advice in the long run. But we aren't talking about the longrun, we are talking about this one game.

Tenn defense is so damn bad, and I fail to see how CJ is going to get going vs. that D - especially their D.Line.

For detroit, Stafford can't be this bad, and finally they are getting a big piece of their run game back with Mikel.

That said, home teams are a dangerous trend in football so far.

[easyliving]

titans pull off the upset. lions are overrated line should be a pick. titans ML is the play here.

[Goat Milk]

titans pull off the upset. lions are overrated line should be a pick. titans ML is the play here.

lol okay boss good luck