Banker throwin darts at the NFL (all season!)

[Madison]

Phil just puking??

[2daBank]

Sorry didn't do much posting live, got kinda fukked up and still not real iPhone savy, lol...some good some bad this week, overall I think the discussion from every1 was really good and produced lot of solid analysis on the gms... On phone now so when I get off work ill do a recap and talk bout 2nites gm, almost certain ill be tAkin the points.....post any ideas u got and hopefully some good discussion already started!

[groovybrandone]

quicklook on sportsbook props (5d doesnt have them still) maybe for a quick topic of discussion

gore yards o/u 81.5
went over 81.5 4x this season against, gb det buf and sea
went under 3x against nyg nyj min

alex smith passing o/u 202.5
went over 4x against gb det min buf
under 3x against nyj nyg sea

john skelton passing o/u 220.5
vs seattle he put up 149. only other game was against minnesota put up 262

[JayLA]

quicklook on sportsbook props (5d doesnt have them still) maybe for a quick topic of discussion

gore yards o/u 81.5
went over 81.5 4x this season against, gb det buf and sea
went under 3x against nyg nyj min

alex smith passing o/u 202.5
went over 4x against gb det min buf
under 3x against nyj nyg sea

john skelton passing o/u 220.5
vs seattle he put up 149. only other game was against minnesota put up 262

gore-over
smith-under
skelton-under

if any of those are +, which i dont think they will be, i'd put a small bet on them.

[groovybrandone]

if i remember correct nothing was better than -110,

[Marigold HD]

Phil just puking ??

That was a bad switch by me to talk phily over Atlanta.

[BiffTFinancial]

what's doing for the MNF game, Bank? was thinking about teaser with Niners and over. think we're looking at something like 27-13/24-17 game.

[2daBank]

what's doing for the MNF game, Bank? was thinking about teaser with Niners and over. think we're looking at something like 27-13/24-17 game.

I had hard time w total, prolly cause chance of defensive plays leading to scores, I have in 37-44 range so I guess teasing over makes sense..I really just lean to taking the points w zona as I have it lot closer Than u, like 20-17/24-20....still at work so thinking on it

[RAVENSFAN]

Yeah I see 23-17 happening tonight Bank. Think teasers hit all ways tonight in a game like this.

[jinxpro13]

I had hard time w total, prolly cause chance of defensive plays leading to scores, I have in 37-44 range so I guess teasing over makes sense..I really just lean to taking the points w zona as I have it lot closer Than u, like 20-17/24-20....still at work so thinking on it

not sure how arizona gets 20 points here bank other than a defensive/special teams score like you said. I SUCKKK at totals so feel free to ignore,
but these teams are both very defensive, with non-expolosive boring, bad(in the case of arizona) offenses. the teams know each other inside n out.
the under looks much better to me

[2daBank]

not sure how arizona gets 20 points here bank other than a defensive/special teams score like you said. I SUCKKK at totals so feel free to ignore,
but these teams are both very defensive, with non-expolosive boring, bad(in the case of arizona) offenses. the teams know each other inside n out.
the under looks much better to me

I certainly understand under and like I said I have pretty large window to where I don't feel good on either side of the number they set. I agree it would take special teams/defense to get them there, considering there d and smith tho I put it as a pretty likely scenario that. d/sp sets up a score or 2.

[groovybrandone]

im in the same boat jinx. i think td's are given out too easily here. i see a 13pt total for arizona, 16max, 20-23 for the niners. assuming either qb doesnt throw a pick6 / fum6 and special teams dont give up kick return(s)

[jinxpro13]

have a hunch alex smith rebounds tonight.. took him at OVER 18.5 completions.. even if he doesnt play well 'zona should stack the box and make alex smith beat them.

also threw in FG as first score. nice odds , and i think TDs will be at a premium tonight.

parlayed sf ML / under

tiny bit of moneys on sf -6.5... hate being against u bank, but i don't like zona here.

GL brosufs

[2daBank]

I promise I understand neither team is a offensive powerhouse, I'd argue the offenses are bad enough that both will put there defenses in a few bad spots tonight. Whether that leads to enough points to go over I do not know which is why I'm not playing total. To me only play that makes sense other than teasing is playing the home divisional dog, before zona's latest skid they been ats monsters going back to last season, for all their struggles they still right in the mix for the div so I'd expect a good effort, Skelton been bad but he lead this team to plenty of wins last yr, and ultimately I just think sf gettin a little to much respect here. Havnt been in any hurry to play and still not home from work but i imagine zona+7 where I be.

[face]

offenses bad enough for me to like this prop: longest field goal over 44.5 -130. they will get stuck on 3rd down and probably kick a semi-long field goal, what do you think?

[altieriflyers]

offenses bad enough for me to like this prop: longest field goal over 44.5 -130. they will get stuck on 3rd down and probably kick a semi-long field goal, what do you think?

I was thinking that (love Akers in that spot) or OVER 3.5 field goals in the game.
Maybe both?

[face]

yeah i could see 4 or more for sure, might add that one too GL

[killersweet]

[QUOTE=2daBank;16570348]I had hard time w total, prolly cause chance of defensive plays leading to scores, I have in 37-44 range so I guess teasing over makes sense..I really just lean to taking the points w zona as I have it lot closer Than u, like 20-17/24-20....still at work so thinking on it[/QUOTE ]

SF allowing 11.2 pts in the last few games and Zona averaging 8. So liking the under in a teaser.
Bank, what do you think about Zona +14 and U 45 teaser?

[pacocn]

Hard to go against skeleton two days before Halloween

[2daBank]

[QUOTE=killersweet;16572446]

I had hard time w total, prolly cause chance of defensive plays leading to scores, I have in 37-44 range so I guess teasing over makes sense..I really just lean to taking the points w zona as I have it lot closer Than u, like 20-17/24-20....still at work so thinking on it[/QUOTE ]

SF allowing 11.2 pts in the last few games and Zona averaging 8. So liking the under in a teaser.
Bank, what do you think about Zona +14 and U 45 teaser?

honestly that was my 1st thought when i looked at this gm. im kicking the idea around of teasing this bitch all 4 ways for kicks, lol,,,,would have actually worked in several of the primetime games this year..

[RAVENSFAN]

Yep that's what I was sayin above Bank. It's gonna happen man lol. 23-17

[HOT WINGS]

Good luck Bank I am on Zona TT under 7.5 1st half.

[tad0matic]

Hard to go against skeleton two days before Halloween

can't argue with this logic, I'm on skeleton ML. penetrate the think tank!

[2daBank]

Yep that's what I was sayin above Bank. It's gonna happen man lol. 23-17

yea sorry bro,,,didnt see it on my phone, just saw a second ago...seems reasonable enough to me

[BiffTFinancial]

teasing Niners to -2, over to 31. ties win, -115. BOL tonight fellas.

[suicidekings]

Teased +14 and the Over 31. Good defense = good starting position for the opponent on their next drive. I think Arizona knows they need to challenge downfield in this game, and Skelton and Fitzgerald have a chance to do so. The Niners secondary have proven they can be beaten, and I think Arizona does just enough tonight.

[2daBank]

teasing Niners to -2, over to 31. ties win, -115. BOL tonight fellas.

Teased +14 and the Over 31. Good defense = good starting position for the opponent on their next drive. I think Arizona knows they need to challenge downfield in this game, and Skelton and Fitzgerald have a chance to do so. The Niners secondary have proven they can be beaten, and I think Arizona does just enough tonight.

combining it all...4 team 7 point tease .5 to 1u

sf pk
arz+14
ov 30.5
un 44.5

see how that goes, lol...

also played..

zona+7 1x..said what i think and throw in that sf is getting ready to go on bye (for whatever reason teams have been terrible before their byes,not sure harbaugh squad will be and certainly not why im playing just a strange thing that interesting)..

gonna go have some drinks as watching this gm sober would be tough....gl everyone

[killersweet]

Goodluck bank and enjoy the drinks and the game!

[pacocn]

teasing Niners to -2, over to 31. ties win, -115. BOL tonight fellas.

Biff, like that ties win, is that at 5 dimes?

[groovybrandone]

paco 5d has ties win/reduce

looks like were all on teased 4 way haha

[groovybrandone]

have a hunch alex smith rebounds tonight.. took him at OVER 18.5 completions.. even if he doesnt play well 'zona should stack the box and make alex smith beat them.

also threw in FG as first score. nice odds , and i think TDs will be at a premium tonight.

parlayed sf ML / under

tiny bit of moneys on sf -6.5... hate being against u bank, but i don't like zona here.

GL brosufs

had same thought on fg prop jinx. ended up taking your idea of smith passing prop as well

[jinxpro13]

had same thought on fg prop jinx. ended up taking your idea of smith passing prop as well

hope you got 18 buddy! unlike me lol
very glad to hit everything else.

bank you made me nice cash with that early pitt pick this week.. wouldn't have touched that game without your guidance. lovin this thread. actual insight and discussion into capping. not just random bold picks recorded for touting. suck my balls.

on to next week. im not touching thursday's game. on tilt with san diego i want to break rivers' face.

[groovybrandone]

i did get 18 and happy about it lol. got my 13pt teaser and took bothsides and both totals as well.

my work pool lost cause niners didnt wanna give up the final td.

[groovybrandone]

another week down- lets kick the next off!

first of all, who wouldve thought atlanta would be undefeated at this point hahah.

did a couple quick checks but nothing in depth at this point.
den/cinci i thought looked reasonable at -3.5. we all hate laying points on the road and i thought this looks great! did a quick check and realized den gives up a fair amount of points when on the road. thinking peytons thumb injury doesnt really come in to play here also, but always a what if. thinking maybe i like cinci off first glance here

bal/cle ravens coming off a bye, so alittle extra rest and ailttle more prep work and conference game. another quick glance im seeing is ravens have seemingly struggled to generate some points away. their red zone conv is 28%! not sure if they fixed their holes after the injuries during the bye and im hoping they did as im semi leaning toward bal.

[jinxpro13]

quickly off the top of my head i like seattle home to minn a lot this week. been hitting these seattle games all year long.. went against em last week.. have a great feel for this team. ponder looks beyond lost.. not sure how he gets anything done in seattle. not sure how this doesn't go under either.

also leaning baltimore.. cleveland was lucky as shit to win last week. didn't get past the 50 after their TD. baltimore's suddenly pitiful depleted defense does scare me in this one. would think getting killed by houston and having a bye to prepare would set baltimore straight here. bank what are your thoughts on this bal/cle game? seen u have a good feel for ravens games.

also liking detroit again this week. seemed to finally get going last week. stafford's 1st td pass in a first half. was @ home though.. travelling to florida may be difficult , but not against the jags. right?