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  • pixster
    SBR MVP
    • 10-25-11
    • 1386

    #211
    All indications show a low scoring game.

    CHI @ DAL (1st Half): U 20.5, 2.5 Units
    CHI @ DAL (1st Half): DAL -2.5, 5 units
    CHI @ DAL (Full Game): U 41.5, 10 Units
    Comment
    • pixster
      SBR MVP
      • 10-25-11
      • 1386

      #212
      DAL is obviously in trouble...this game, and the rest of the season. So much for home field advantage. 2nd Half pick possible, depending on the lines.
      Comment
      • pixster
        SBR MVP
        • 10-25-11
        • 1386

        #213
        CHI @ DAL (1st Half): U 20.5, 2.5 Units W
        CHI @ DAL (1st Half): DAL -2.5, 5 units L
        Comment
        • pixster
          SBR MVP
          • 10-25-11
          • 1386

          #214
          CHI @ DAL (2nd half): ) O 20, 7.5 Units
          Comment
          • pixster
            SBR MVP
            • 10-25-11
            • 1386

            #215
            1st Half Pick ARI @ STL...
            1st Half Stats: Rams avg 14.5 pts at home. Cards have been avg'ing 6 pts away.
            Comment
            • pixster
              SBR MVP
              • 10-25-11
              • 1386

              #216
              ARI @ STL (1st Half): STL +0.5, 5 Units
              Comment
              • pixster
                SBR MVP
                • 10-25-11
                • 1386

                #217
                ARI @ STL (1st Half): STL +0.5, 5 Units W

                Made up most of what I lost last weekend.
                Comment
                • pixster
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-25-11
                  • 1386

                  #218
                  Picks Sunday WK 5
                  ATL @ WAS: WAS +3, 3 Units
                  87% is on ATL, which to me means the OPP.
                  Comment
                  • pixster
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-25-11
                    • 1386

                    #219
                    PHI @ PIT: PIT -3.5, 3.5 Units
                    The line is begging for PHI money.
                    Comment
                    • pixster
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-25-11
                      • 1386

                      #220
                      MIA @ CIN (1st Half): CIN -2.5, 7.5 Units
                      CIN home 1st half pt. avg is 17 pts. MIA's away pts. avg. is 8.
                      Comment
                      • kujo214
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 03-06-12
                        • 82

                        #221
                        Originally posted by pixster
                        MIA @ CIN (1st Half): CIN -2.5, 7.5 Units
                        CIN home 1st half pt. avg is 17 pts. MIA's away pts. avg. is 8.
                        Pix do you always use the last 3 h/w stats for halfs??...Ive been keeping a closer eye on them lately (especially 1H). Would like your input on how solid those stats end up playing out
                        Comment
                        • pixster
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-25-11
                          • 1386

                          #222
                          Originally posted by kujo214
                          Pix do you always use the last 3 h/w stats for halfs??...Ive been keeping a closer eye on them lately (especially 1H). Would like your input on how solid those stats end up playing out
                          This early in the season, one of the teams in a matchup needs to have at least two games home or away for me to consider a 1st or 2nd half pick. I also take into consideration off/def rankings, injuries, and whether or not teams are overrated. Half stats stand up well in my opinion. Playing halfs is like playing two mini games within a game.
                          Comment
                          • pixster
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-25-11
                            • 1386

                            #223
                            MIA @ CIN (2nd Half): ) O 21, 2 Units

                            Comment
                            • pixster
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-25-11
                              • 1386

                              #224
                              CHI @ JAX (1st Half): U 21, 4.5 Units (bought hook 0.5)
                              Comment
                              • pixster
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-25-11
                                • 1386

                                #225
                                DEN @ NE (1st Half): U 27, 5 Units (bought hook 0.5)
                                Comment
                                • pixster
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-25-11
                                  • 1386

                                  #226
                                  SD @ NO (1st Half): SD +3, 5 Units (bought hook 0.5)
                                  Comment
                                  • pixster
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-25-11
                                    • 1386

                                    #227
                                    DEN @ NE (2nd Half): DEN +3, 7.5 Units (bought hook 0.5)
                                    Comment
                                    • pixster
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-25-11
                                      • 1386

                                      #228
                                      ATL @ WAS: WAS +3, 3 Units L
                                      PHI @ PIT: PIT -3.5, 3.5 Units L
                                      MIA @ CIN (1st Half): CIN -2.5, 7.5 Units
                                      L
                                      MIA @ CIN (2nd Half): ) O 21, 2 Units L
                                      CHI @ JAX (1st Half): U 21, 4.5 Units W
                                      DEN @ NE (1st Half): U 27, 5 Units W
                                      DEN @ NE (2nd Half): DEN +3, 7.5 Units W

                                      Rough games early, 3 - 0 on the late ones.
                                      + 1 units so far. Awaiting SD/NO
                                      Comment
                                      • pixster
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-25-11
                                        • 1386

                                        #229
                                        SD @ NO (1st Half): SD +3, 5 Units W

                                        Picks Update: 4 - 4, +6 units
                                        Comment
                                        • pixster
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-25-11
                                          • 1386

                                          #230
                                          2nd half pick, anybody?
                                          Comment
                                          • Rawk-
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 03-24-11
                                            • 225

                                            #231
                                            i went chargers +3 -105 and under 27.5 +105.

                                            Good fade material
                                            Comment
                                            • pixster
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-25-11
                                              • 1386

                                              #232
                                              No pick on the 2nd half line. 27 is the correct call on the o/u, as is +/- 3.
                                              Comment
                                              • pixster
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-25-11
                                                • 1386

                                                #233
                                                Congrats on those who went w/ the 27 U on SD/NO 2nd half. The line, when it came out, was too sharp for me. For some, like me on other games, you gotta take your chances or why else pick.
                                                Comment
                                                • pixster
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-25-11
                                                  • 1386

                                                  #234
                                                  Full game pick on HOU @ NYJ coming up...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pixster
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-25-11
                                                    • 1386

                                                    #235
                                                    Was gonna lay down a unit on NYJ +9. But the line has gone to +9.5; so buying the hook takes it to +10.
                                                    Primetime games, as mentioned in previous weeks, are matchups that tend to be closer then would otherwise be the case. The football gods demand it...shhh, its good for the ratings.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pixster
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-25-11
                                                      • 1386

                                                      #236
                                                      HOU @ NYJ: NYJ +10, 2 units
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pixster
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-25-11
                                                        • 1386

                                                        #237
                                                        HOU @ NYJ: NYJ +10, 2 units W
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pixster
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-25-11
                                                          • 1386

                                                          #238
                                                          Week 5 Pick Results Thu - Mon
                                                          6 - 4, +13 units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pixster
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-25-11
                                                            • 1386

                                                            #239
                                                            Tally thru Week 4: 17 - 31 - 1, -2 Units
                                                            Thru Week 5: 23 - 35, +11 units

                                                            Had it not been for that Week 4 CHI/DAL debacle, the total pickins would have, could have, should have....

                                                            Oh well, lesson learned. Onward to Week 6...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pixster
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-25-11
                                                              • 1386

                                                              #240
                                                              For Week 6, I hope to avoid a bad start like last Sunday. Early games went 0 - 4, but rebounded perfectly on the late games going 5 - 0 including Monday.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pixster
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-25-11
                                                                • 1386

                                                                #241
                                                                PIT @ TEN, Thursday

                                                                Pick-wise, PIT is one of the few NFL teams I prefer to stay away from. But since this is a primetime game, I may go small if I find some value leading up to the game.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • pixster
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-25-11
                                                                  • 1386

                                                                  #242
                                                                  PIT @ TEN, Thursday (Update)

                                                                  Betting Trend
                                                                  90%+ spread/money is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The PIT line opened at -4.5, and -5.5 is now where it stands. Looks like a clear victory for the Steelers...according to the majority.

                                                                  Four factors make me lean otherwise:
                                                                  1. This is the Pittsburgh Steelers. "Curious" things happen when this team takes the field.
                                                                  2) PIT's defense is banged up.
                                                                  3) 90% of the public is on the Steelers? Last time I checked, I don't think Vegas likes to give away easy wins.
                                                                  4) This is primetime. The football gods, playcallers of all things "curious" and builders of virtual gridirons to higher television ratings, may have a closer game called in the playbook.

                                                                  Right now, I can get TEN +6 buying the hook, but I'll wait on my official pick to see if the line opens up a little more. Hopefully the wait doesn't backfire.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pixster
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-25-11
                                                                    • 1386

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Nice, PIT @ TEN now at 6.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pixster
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-25-11
                                                                      • 1386

                                                                      #244
                                                                      PIT @ TEN holding steady at 6. Will pull the trigger on a pick later in the day in plenty of time before the game.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • pixster
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-25-11
                                                                        • 1386

                                                                        #245
                                                                        PIT @ TEN (Full Game): TEN +6, 1.5 Units
                                                                        PIT @ TEN (1st Half): O 21.5, 3 Units
                                                                        Comment
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