Betterbizness' 2014 CFL Thoughts

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  • BetterBizness
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-20-06
    • 5737

    #526
    Calgary -3.5@ Saskatchewan O/U 49

    Calgary 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
    Ham 20@Cal 32 - O49
    Cal 22@Sask 18 - U49
    Edm 24@Cal 19 – U49
    Cal 21@Win 20 – U49
    Cal 34@BC 32 – O49
    Tor 23@Cal 21 – U49

    Saskatchewan 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
    Sask 11@BC 24 – U49
    Cal 22@Sask 18 – U49
    Sask 27@Mon 24 – O49
    Sask 3@Ham 33 – U49
    Mon 39@Sask 25 – O49
    Edm 42@Sask 28 – O49

    Head to Head –
    2011 – 1-0 Calgary (W5@Sask) Cal 22-18
    2010 – 2-2 - (W4@Cal) Cal 40-20, (W12@Sask) Sask 43-37, (W16@Sask) Cal 34-26, (West Finals@ Cal) Sask 20-16

    They are saying the Fans may start booing the home team In Saskatchewan this week. The Quarterback is frustrated, the Coach is Frustrated… The Kicker, along with the key RB is hurt… Yet… In the CFL, The 1-5 Riders are just ONE game from making the playoffs.

    Obviously it’s a luxury that is bestowed upon a league with just 8 teams, and when coming into games like tonight, where most people are writing them off for a public burial, It just takes ONE big effort to turn things around.

    With that said, Calgary is 4-2, with THREE of those wins all coming . ON THE ROAD? (BC, Win, Sask) … Nothing is really convincing me of much reading through all of my napkin filled handicapping notes. I think this game is a real toss up with a slight lean on the Stamps. What I really think though, is this is the right time to “Chase the Pace”.

    Last couple of weeks I’ve been really struggling to find motivations with teams that have failed to.. motivate themselves… But tonight, I think this is the right timing for a big play on the Over, with BOTH teams looking to prove themselves. Watching the last few Saskatchewan games, its clear the talent is there, just not enough to start finishing drives. I am for sure worried about not having their starting kicker, but something about when a young kid gets his first start in the pros. Or Rookie K Milo may just suck outright and punt the ball into the stands a few times to set up field position for the Stamps, I’m not sure, but I just think this game, which is in the same venue that it was 2 weeks ago, with a Total 5.5 points lower this time around, has a MUCH better chance to be opened up around after the SIX point fourth quarter they had last time. I just don't see that happening again with a history of these 2 teams really going at each other offensively the past 2 regular seasons.

    These things have a way to even themselves out, and after the 32 that the Stamps dropped on the Tiger Cats last week, whose defense I consider VERY respectable, I think that this could carry over from that game, particularly in the second half… I hope I’m not getting trapped into a sucker bet, but I’m going big on this one…

    10x Cal/Sask Over 49
    1x Cal -3.5
    Comment
    • Scully
      SBR MVP
      • 09-21-06
      • 1276

      #527
      Yeow!!! Is that your highest play BB? I somewhat forgot.
      Either way, bol with the over tonight buddy.
      Comment
      • BetterBizness
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 05-20-06
        • 5737

        #528
        Originally posted by Scully
        Yeow!!! Is that your highest play BB? I somewhat forgot.
        Either way, bol with the over tonight buddy.
        I think I was drinking and made a 15x bet this year.. I think Hamilton a few weeks ago...

        I think this is a really good shot... Lets hope we get more than 3 points in Q1 to start the game and I have to drink some more...

        Who we kidding, I'll be drinking hit or miss...
        Comment
        • Scully
          SBR MVP
          • 09-21-06
          • 1276

          #529
          Ha-Ha-Ha, that's too funny.

          BB I know that Saskatchewan has been struggling putting points on the board but in all honesty, do you think this number might have been in the fifties, like maybe 51 or 52? I know this looks like the right play and all but that 49 number seems kinda low for Calgary meeting Saskatchewan in Regina? Just wondering what your thoughts are regarding this even though you've made your play.
          Comment
          • Scully
            SBR MVP
            • 09-21-06
            • 1276

            #530
            I guess an added factor is the final score in the game just two weeks ago between the clubs, won by the visiting Stampeders 22-18, thereby totalling only 40 points.
            Comment
            • Scully
              SBR MVP
              • 09-21-06
              • 1276

              #531
              Does anyone have a weather forecast by chance for this evening's match in the Prairies?
              Comment
              • JR007
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-21-10
                • 5279

                #532
                thanks Bro.....good luck !!!!!!!!!!!1
                Comment
                • DrSize
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-22-10
                  • 1027

                  #533
                  Pinny finally moved it to 49.5....Hilton in Vegas has it at 50. I have 3 units down on Over 49 and a small side bet on Sask +3.5. If anyone is interested 61% on the Over. Opened at 49 and all the big books have moved it to 49.5 so that is a good sign with the Hilton moving it up to 50. I'd be worried if they were keeping it at 49 or moving it down....Lets hope for a good night and cash this over fellas
                  Comment
                  • xraygord
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-18-09
                    • 2599

                    #534
                    Originally posted by Scully
                    Does anyone have a weather forecast by chance for this evening's match in the Prairies?

                    This is the site I use, great info and features.

                    Find the most current, accurate and reliable weather forecasts and conditions with The Weather Network.


                    Good luck to all tonight!
                    Comment
                    • Dharmonize
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-10-10
                      • 1991

                      #535
                      I´m gonna blindly tail this one. Not for 10 u though, I´ll split it between the over and Calgary ml. GL all!
                      Comment
                      • Scully
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-21-06
                        • 1276

                        #536
                        Originally posted by xraygord
                        This is the site I use, great info and features.

                        Find the most current, accurate and reliable weather forecasts and conditions with The Weather Network.


                        Good luck to all tonight!
                        Thanks for sharing that site Xraygord.
                        Comment
                        • Scully
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-21-06
                          • 1276

                          #537
                          Calgary has played under this total (49) in 4 of its' first 6 contests while Saskatchewan has split its' six games based on the total of 49, with 2 of its' 3 overs coming on home field. As I mentioned above, the game between the two teams totalled 40 points a couple of weeks ago, so you would think they would be able to top the number tonight. Lets hope fellows, lets hope.
                          Comment
                          • Dharmonize
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-10-10
                            • 1991

                            #538
                            I´ve found a nice 5 point teaser with Calgary + 2 and over 44.5 at + 105. I´m jumping on it instantly, this has got to hit!
                            Comment
                            • BetterBizness
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-20-06
                              • 5737

                              #539
                              Well... We see a TD for once in the fist quarter... that's a good start... Not impressed at all with the Sask offense though after a drive...
                              Comment
                              • BetterBizness
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 05-20-06
                                • 5737

                                #540
                                Originally posted by Dharmonize
                                I´ve found a nice 5 point teaser with Calgary + 2 and over 44.5 at + 105. I´m jumping on it instantly, this has got to hit!
                                Or it doesn't and we all drink... oh wait, we're doing that anyways...
                                Comment
                                • DrSize
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-22-10
                                  • 1027

                                  #541
                                  I just cracked the gibsons. Got Under 33 in the Tampa NFL game and they are sitting at 15 at half. Let's see a shootout here in sask
                                  Comment
                                  • DrSize
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-22-10
                                    • 1027

                                    #542
                                    Let's get to 40 by half
                                    Comment
                                    • BetterBizness
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-20-06
                                      • 5737

                                      #543
                                      Say YES to the DRESS... NIce catch for 50 yards setting up the TD... well boys those of us on the over 49 now have a total of 28 over the next 45 minutes... Lets find a way, we know how the tease works...

                                      BEcause I didn't actually post it, I actually added 5x unofficially seconds before game time... Then I cracked the Crown... Good call on the Gibsons though Doc, I tried it for the first time last week and I liked it alot...
                                      Comment
                                      • JR007
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-21-10
                                        • 5279

                                        #544
                                        Comment
                                        • BetterBizness
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-20-06
                                          • 5737

                                          #545
                                          Originally posted by DrSize
                                          Let's get to 40 by half
                                          Well we are ABOVE pace (28) and there is 11 min left in the half... We all KNOW how badly sheit goes down, but I am just thrilled right now at this pace... particularly Calgarys....
                                          Comment
                                          • Dharmonize
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-10-10
                                            • 1991

                                            #546
                                            Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                            Or it doesn't and we all drink... oh wait, we're doing that anyways...
                                            Don´t wanna jinx it, but it´s looking very promising right now. Cheers, mate!
                                            Comment
                                            • BetterBizness
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-20-06
                                              • 5737

                                              #547
                                              Originally posted by DrSize
                                              Let's get to 40 by half
                                              45 ok?
                                              Comment
                                              • BetterBizness
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-20-06
                                                • 5737

                                                #548
                                                well boys... dharm already hit half his teaser... the rest of us need 5 singles to win...
                                                Comment
                                                • BetterBizness
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                  • 5737

                                                  #549
                                                  debating the under 25.5 in the 2h... pace has slowed big time
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                    • 5737

                                                    #550
                                                    3x under 25.5 2H
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                      • 5737

                                                      #551
                                                      WOw what a terrible last 2 minutes for that under... Great Kickoff by the RIders putting Calgary at mid field with 5 minutes left...

                                                      ANyhow... I'm pretty happy, as I think we all are with the over never really in doubt after half...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dharmonize
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-10-10
                                                        • 1991

                                                        #552
                                                        That over was a great pick, thank you for that, BB! I would cash on Calgary anyway, but your totals pick added another 5 units to my profit tonight! Hope we´re gonna kill it tomorrow too!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BetterBizness
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 05-20-06
                                                          • 5737

                                                          #553
                                                          Originally posted by Dharmonize
                                                          That over was a great pick, thank you for that, BB! I would cash on Calgary anyway, but your totals pick added another 5 units to my profit tonight! Hope we´re gonna kill it tomorrow too!
                                                          Fantastic Dharm... Well played.. All we need to close of a great night is the BoSox to hold...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BetterBizness
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 05-20-06
                                                            • 5737

                                                            #554
                                                            We just passed 7000 views and week 7 isn't over yet... Thanks to all for building this thread so well in such a small niche...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dharmonize
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-10-10
                                                              • 1991

                                                              #555
                                                              You´re on them too?? Well, they got to beat the Mariners, otherwise it would already be the second time this week I´d get screwed by them Sux...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dharmonize
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-10-10
                                                                • 1991

                                                                #556
                                                                Cashed, great night!! Time to get some rest, g´night all
                                                                Comment
                                                                • xraygord
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-18-09
                                                                  • 2599

                                                                  #557
                                                                  Nice call on the OVER. Looking forward to tonight.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JR007
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-21-10
                                                                    • 5279

                                                                    #558
                                                                    Nice call on the over...Thanks Dude
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Scully
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-21-06
                                                                      • 1276

                                                                      #559
                                                                      Just rolled off the bed fellas. BB I want to congrat and thank you for that nice easy ova winner last night. Certainly made me feel good seeing 45 first half points.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Dharmonize
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-10-10
                                                                        • 1991

                                                                        #560
                                                                        I don´t like either one of tonight´s games. But I slightly lean towards the Bombers. Hamilton ML looks like a safe play, but way too juicy to even think about it.
                                                                        Comment
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