Betterbizness' 2014 CFL Thoughts

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  • Mike Huntertz
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-19-09
    • 11207

    #491
    I'm taking Cal and over to get my dough back.
    Comment
    • BetterBizness
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-20-06
      • 5737

      #492
      I'm not in position right now for a full right up, but the bottom line is that the line is dropping, and I think Hamilton is the play, along with the over... I will play them equally and hope for the best at this point after a rough day last night..

      3x Hamilton +3.5
      3x Hamilton/Calgary Over
      Comment
      • alamo
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-21-09
        • 7131

        #493
        The home teams went 0-4 last week...They are 2-0 this week. Ive noticed that this trend is very useful for CFL
        Comment
        • TwoWays
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-24-10
          • 13145

          #494
          You left out fact that Montreal won playing away. Anyway, Calgary just looks bad right now, no offensive chemistry between Burris and his receivers. TiCats look good SU.
          Comment
          • BetterBizness
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-20-06
            • 5737

            #495
            Well the Calgary game split as Hamilton just refused to score.. .AT ALL... in the second half... Quite shocking how a CFL doesn't score a point in a half when teams so generally so evenly matched...

            We got the total over 51 at least, thanks to a late run, and despite a tough week, total's were 3-1 this week to offset the 1-3 side projections, unfortunately I went fairly heavy on the Riders and Eskimos, who both forgot about second halvs...

            Lets get em next week... Just 6 weeks in boys...
            Comment
            • memo99
              SBR MVP
              • 01-08-10
              • 2368

              #496
              B.C. -2 VS Wpg Hmmmmm?
              Comment
              • BetterBizness
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-20-06
                • 5737

                #497
                is the Winnipeg Train about to stall Memo??? I'm really worried about that offensive line in BC that's getting pieced back together....
                Comment
                • memo99
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-08-10
                  • 2368

                  #498
                  they better have it together or Lulay will be on his back all night, very strange line the way the bombers defense has been playing all year
                  Comment
                  • SpreadSniper
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-17-09
                    • 6125

                    #499
                    Originally posted by memo99
                    B.C. -2 VS Wpg Hmmmmm?
                    Might be pk by game time....

                    +2 was the play
                    Comment
                    • xraygord
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-18-09
                      • 2599

                      #500
                      WPG +1.5 on Pinny now.
                      Comment
                      • memo99
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-08-10
                        • 2368

                        #501
                        Edmonton's running game will have to be outstanding tonight if they are going to win Ray needs to run the ball as well a few times with Barnes probably being double teamed all night i don't have much faith in Nowatcki,Bauman or Henry
                        Comment
                        • DrSize
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-22-10
                          • 1027

                          #502
                          I'm on Mtl -6.5 tonight. My lean is on the Under 54.5. Waiting to see what a few guys have to say about the total before I lock anything in. 70% on the Over and the line has remained at 54.5 across the board with the exception of SI who has it at 54. SI's software is showing 76% on the Over and surprisingly they have kept their line at 54....

                          I don't see Edmonton scoring a lot of points in this one. With Stamps out Ray is going to struggle
                          Comment
                          • Scully
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-21-06
                            • 1276

                            #503
                            Doesn't -6.5 at home not seem to be somewhat small considering the visiting Esks are without Stamps. Just a thought as I would have thought Montreal would have been at least a converted TD.
                            Comment
                            • BetterBizness
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-20-06
                              • 5737

                              #504
                              Edmonton @ Montreal -6.5 O/U 54.5

                              Edmonton 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
                              Edm 16@Win 28 – U54.5
                              Tor 25@Edm 26 – U54.5
                              Edm 24@Cal 19 – U54.5
                              BC 17@Edm 33 – U54.5
                              Ham 10@Edm 28 – U54.5
                              Edm 42@Sask 28 – O54.5

                              Montreal 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
                              Mon 36@ Tor 23 – O54.5
                              Mon 26@Ham 34 - O54.5
                              Sask 27@Mon 24 U54.5
                              Tor 17@Mon 40 – O54.5
                              Mon 39@Sask 25 – O54.5
                              BC 26@Mon 30 – O54.5

                              Head to Head 2010 Montreal 2-0
                              (W2@Edm) Mon 33-23, (W12@Mon) Mon 31-14

                              Obviously the biggest story tonight is Edm WR Stamps out with an abdominal injury for at least the next month. That’s clearly going to affect a lot of the offense in this game. Where I really think it will affect things is the PACE of the offense of this game. It’s not so much about Fred Stamps not able to catch the big bombs, but the fact that if O Coordinator Crandell is going to adjust, it’s just going to slow the pace down to the baseball equivilant of “small ball”, which will eat up clock, and gain field position. I believe that it’s the Eskimo DEFENSE that will step up tonight, and give the Montreal Offense at least a few stalls (You just can’t STOP them totally) …

                              I am much more hesitant to take a side here though, although on pure bias I am going to say that the Esks play this one tough, the first game after losing their star. In fact, the fact that the opening line makes it look like the oddsmakers want you to take Montreal (to win by a measly Touchdown) says all it needs to say in my opinion. Motivationally, the Esks want to show that they can compete from all angles. Lets face it, before Stamps was considered out, and before they lost a close (At least at the half) game to the Bombers on the road, was this not going to be a FG type spread... Obviously alot has happened in a few days...

                              Going to made a reasonable play on the total, and a much lesser one on the Esks.

                              5x Edm/Mon Under 54.5
                              2x Edm +6.5
                              Comment
                              • DrSize
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-22-10
                                • 1027

                                #505
                                GL on the total....with you on the Under tonight
                                Comment
                                • Dharmonize
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-10-10
                                  • 1991

                                  #506
                                  I don´t have balls to take Edm, but - 6.5 is a lot of points. Passing on the side... I´m only gonna throw a unit on the over here, just a feeling. GL anyway!
                                  Comment
                                  • BetterBizness
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 05-20-06
                                    • 5737

                                    #507
                                    I am more in the belief that this line is a trap, and really pumped up due to the Stamps (WR not the team) loss..

                                    Adding 3x Edmonton... Total 5x Edmonton -6.5
                                    1x Edm ML+240
                                    Comment
                                    • BetterBizness
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-20-06
                                      • 5737

                                      #508
                                      Adding 2x 1H Edm/Mon Under 27.5
                                      Comment
                                      • BetterBizness
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 05-20-06
                                        • 5737

                                        #509
                                        Same old Eskimos... wow... yuck! Hopefully the Als win 51-3 and keep it under at least...
                                        Comment
                                        • BetterBizness
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-20-06
                                          • 5737

                                          #510
                                          wow.. DUde trips at the 5, doesn't get the fumble recovery TD and they get a FG...
                                          Comment
                                          • BetterBizness
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-20-06
                                            • 5737

                                            #511
                                            Esks look totally outclassed in this one... Montreal still looks to be the class of the league, despite struggling early in the season (3-2 struggling ha)
                                            Comment
                                            • BetterBizness
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-20-06
                                              • 5737

                                              #512
                                              With just over a minute left, if the Esks can find a TD here while eating up all this clock, we still have a shot at both.. would be nice, but mostly just a hope right now...
                                              Comment
                                              • DrSize
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-22-10
                                                • 1027

                                                #513
                                                Living in Edmonton I've learned how worthless Ray is. Without Stamps he never had a chance
                                                Comment
                                                • Dharmonize
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-10-10
                                                  • 1991

                                                  #514
                                                  Nice call on the under! It was pretty stupid to take the over. Who would´ve thought the Esks won´t score in this one...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                    • 5737

                                                    #515
                                                    I thought the side was a trap.. at least I was half right.. with respect though, thats the best MOntreal has looked defensively all year... offensively they were pretty standard...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DrSize
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-22-10
                                                      • 1027

                                                      #516
                                                      I try not to over think cfl. With only 8 teams it's hard to have traps because people know the teams so well. I think the line was more of a gift than a trap. Look at Toronto Winnipeg a few weeks ago. That line was another gift. Almost too easy, can really pick your spots and hit the books hard
                                                      Comment
                                                      • memo99
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-08-10
                                                        • 2368

                                                        #517
                                                        Originally posted by DrSize
                                                        Living in Edmonton I've learned how worthless Ray is. Without Stamps he never had a chance
                                                        easy now how many grey cups does he have
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DrSize
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-22-10
                                                          • 1027

                                                          #518
                                                          Originally posted by memo99
                                                          easy now how many grey cups does he have
                                                          Haha....fair enough, I guess he has a couple but that was what 6 years ago? He has a lot less hair now. I moved to Edm in 07 so I wasn't around for the Grey Cup days and have only seen the Esks fail miserably and it kind of tainted me. At least The City of Champions has the Oilers who are a lot better and a lot more exciting than their record last year indicated.

                                                          Looking at tonights game my lean is on Sask +3.5 and the Over.....They lost to Calgary at home a few weeks ago by 4 and now they get them back at home for a home divisional revenge game. Then again the Lions pounded the Riders last week and who knows what Calgary team is going to show up. I'll check out the lines about an hour before kickoff and see if I want to bet on this one
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bigsmitty
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-12-10
                                                            • 3026

                                                            #519
                                                            SSK has brought in some new players that apparently tore up college back in the day. Wasn't really sure what to make of it so I'm on CGY. SSK's loss to BC was super glaring in my opinion, although CGY certainly has had there issues and Burris can be hot/cold. Good luck.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DrSize
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-22-10
                                                              • 1027

                                                              #520
                                                              Originally posted by bigsmitty
                                                              SSK has brought in some new players that apparently tore up college back in the day. Wasn't really sure what to make of it so I'm on CGY. SSK's loss to BC was super glaring in my opinion, although CGY certainly has had there issues and Burris can be hot/cold. Good luck.
                                                              Interested to see Dallas Baker.....If Durrant can get going this Sask team can suprise some people in the 2nd half of the season.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ronibrown
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 08-08-11
                                                                • 172

                                                                #521
                                                                don't care who wins as long as the over hits
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ronibrown
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 08-08-11
                                                                  • 172

                                                                  #522
                                                                  Originally posted by DrSize
                                                                  Interested to see Dallas Baker.....If Durrant can get going this Sask team can suprise some people in the 2nd half of the season.
                                                                  me too waiting eagerly
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Scully
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-21-06
                                                                    • 1276

                                                                    #523
                                                                    Originally posted by memo99
                                                                    easy now how many grey cups does he have
                                                                    Not sure how many the guy has but it was just around that time when, after winning a Grey Cup, he trotted down south and tried out with the Jets. Well it wasn't long before he trotted right back up to the great white north.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                                      • 5737

                                                                      #524
                                                                      Originally posted by DrSize
                                                                      I try not to over think cfl. With only 8 teams it's hard to have traps because people know the teams so well. I think the line was more of a gift than a trap.
                                                                      Such a fine line in this league between the two...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                                        • 5737

                                                                        #525
                                                                        Originally posted by Scully
                                                                        Not sure how many the guy has but it was just around that time when, after winning a Grey Cup, he trotted down south and tried out with the Jets. Well it wasn't long before he trotted right back up to the great white north.
                                                                        Interesting Scully, I had a conversation about this just the other day. Ray was essentially the 4th stronger practice guy who never got a shot ahead of drafted Chad Pennington. He ultimately came back up. But just the next season, the Jets had ALL of their QB's go down, and that was the year they called up Vinnie Testeverde from the couch mid season. Had it been one year later, Ray would have had his start in the NFL, and then who knows...
                                                                        Comment
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