Betterbizness' 2014 CFL Thoughts

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  • BetterBizness
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-20-06
    • 5737

    #1191
    Originally posted by psycho44
    where you getting Calgary +3.5? 2 of my books have it Calgary +2 and 1 has it Calgary +2.5

    I like Calgary to win this game though. Edmonton started the season winning 5 straight and have cooled off since while Calgary has won their last 3 games since changing their starting quarterback to Drew Tate. 2 of those 3 wins came against Montreal and Winnipeg. Calgary is comfortable playing on the road and besides it's just a 3 hour drive up north to Edmonton.
    Those were just me guessing some early lines... figured they would give the Esks the FG... now they they aren't, I'm of course enticed... Tate on the Road in his first playoff game... it's one thing to start the last 3 when you know you are making the playoffs... now all or nothing on the road, I think maybe a different story... Lots of 'us vs the world" talk from Esks coach Reed which I like... def leaning on my homer Esks...

    In the other game, someone has to convince me that after losing to the worst 2 teams in the league badly, dropping to 7-9, and not looking good for a month, that Hamilton.. will walk into Montreal, after they were embarrassed, and figure it out...

    It's the CFL of course.. but leaning huge MOntreal here..
    Comment
    • Scully
      SBR MVP
      • 09-21-06
      • 1276

      #1192
      Hell can you imagine, as good as the Lions defense has become, if they still had Wake on that defensive unit?
      Comment
      • BetterBizness
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 05-20-06
        • 5737

        #1193
        Lions are even money to win the Grey Cup...

        I"m telling you it's extremely tough to beat a team 3x in a row like they will have to do if they play Edmonton...

        If they play Calgary, it would be vs the hottest team in the league (next to them) ...

        I can't see Drew Tate as a rook going the distance in his 4th, 5th, and 6th career starts...

        I CAN however see, if it's Edmonton, finding a way on the "Third times a charm" program...

        +650 is a decent price in my opinion...

        I won't touch Montreal or Hamilton with a 10 foot pole... Hamilton at 21:1 a 100 foot pole...

        I really don't Think Winnipeg is that good against Western teams... never mind the dome...

        My opinion is to take BC at even money hosting 2 home games if you like chalk... and Edmonton +650 if you want a value dog...
        Comment
        • BetterBizness
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-20-06
          • 5737

          #1194
          so lets make it official...

          5x Edmonton +650 to win the Grey Cup...
          Comment
          • Scully
            SBR MVP
            • 09-21-06
            • 1276

            #1195
            So you obviously like the Esks to beat the visitng Stampeders this weekend BB. Now what about the total for the Edmonton-Calgary matchup guys? I see it at 51.5 and the team totals are 24.5 Calgary and 27 right on for Edmonton. Any thoughts as to which way seems the logical bet based on those numbers?
            Comment
            • tension
              SBR High Roller
              • 08-11-10
              • 192

              #1196
              Ok BB i'll follow for 1u on the Esks at +725 (bet365)
              Comment
              • BetterBizness
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-20-06
                • 5737

                #1197
                Originally posted by Scully
                So you obviously like the Esks to beat the visitng Stampeders this weekend BB. Now what about the total for the Edmonton-Calgary matchup guys? I see it at 51.5 and the team totals are 24.5 Calgary and 27 right on for Edmonton. Any thoughts as to which way seems the logical bet based on those numbers?
                I have a hard time believing this will be a shootout type game... weather will not be terrible, but not great.. and I think the whole thing for me is that the Esks hold Tate... if they do that, I think they keep the game lower scoring...
                Comment
                • BetterBizness
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 05-20-06
                  • 5737

                  #1198
                  5x Montreal -6
                  5x 6 point Teaser - Mon PK + Under 61


                  10x Edmonton -1.5
                  5x Edm / Cal Under 51.5
                  Comment
                  • BetterBizness
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-20-06
                    • 5737

                    #1199
                    Originally posted by tension
                    Ok BB i'll follow for 1u on the Esks at +725 (bet365)
                    WE're probably throwing it away Tension, but at 7:1 I"m hoping it gets us some entertainment value at least...
                    Comment
                    • AribaAriba
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-03-09
                      • 2922

                      #1200
                      I love love and so love the bet on Edmonton im big on them, gl to us!
                      Comment
                      • BetterBizness
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 05-20-06
                        • 5737

                        #1201
                        Originally posted by AribaAriba
                        I love love and so love the bet on Edmonton im big on them, gl to us!
                        I just think that it's a nice bet considering a rook QB, as good as he is, on the road, in the cold... against a fired up Edmonton team that takes this game a little more personal than most... Coach saying all the right things about how "they should be the underdog" etc... plays perfect...

                        Dropped to 1.5 in most places, just short of a pick... don't see it going to 1...
                        Comment
                        • BetterBizness
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-20-06
                          • 5737

                          #1202
                          Montreal game is all about Calvillo bouncing back... Hamilton may dupe us all looking like they are the shits the past month... but can you really just turn it on... IN Montreal at the drop of a dime... you might? Hamiton used to me my dog to win it all... and THEY were the suckers vs Toronto last year... I just don't like the coaching strategy, nor what he's got to work with at this particular time and place...

                          we will see I guess...
                          Comment
                          • nbaprofosor
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-22-10
                            • 3519

                            #1203
                            Originally posted by BetterBizness
                            5x Montreal -6 5x 6 point Teaser - Mon PK + Under 61 10x Edmonton -1.5 5x Edm / Cal Under 51.5
                            yoa duchebag you gone lose both of those picks dont !! do !! it take the uther side im telling ya
                            Comment
                            • Dharmonize
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-10-10
                              • 1991

                              #1204
                              Passing on the Montreal game, will most probably play Calgary or live bet the later game. GL everyone, whatever you take!
                              Comment
                              • nbaprofosor
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-22-10
                                • 3519

                                #1205
                                i fukin worn u
                                Comment
                                • Dharmonize
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-10-10
                                  • 1991

                                  #1206
                                  Nice call on the Esks, BB! You must be proud as a fan...
                                  Comment
                                  • BetterBizness
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 05-20-06
                                    • 5737

                                    #1207
                                    Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                    5x Montreal -6
                                    5x 6 point Teaser - Mon PK + Under 61


                                    10x Edmonton -1.5
                                    5x Edm / Cal Under 51.5
                                    Win some lose some...

                                    Lost a few units, but Esks win... Very happy as a fan as Dharm said...

                                    Cats play rope a dope for a month and then win in Montreal... Pretty sure its the end of an era...
                                    Comment
                                    • BetterBizness
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-20-06
                                      • 5737

                                      #1208
                                      Will be looking STRONGLY at Winnipeg this week... I do NOT believe the Tiger Cats can beat a good defense.. althought part of me would have liked them still at 21-1 to win the grey cup... To beat both Winnipeg and Edm/BC ... then again CFL right...
                                      Comment
                                      • BetterBizness
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 05-20-06
                                        • 5737

                                        #1209
                                        I said it before... HARD to beat a team 3x in the CFL straight... As a fan, and a capper, Esks being a +200 dog, I will look at it pretty strongly as well...

                                        I'm VERY likely going on a Eskimo/Bomber final... I really hope Esks get s TD+ though, which I think they will...
                                        Comment
                                        • cankid
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-22-08
                                          • 7240

                                          #1210
                                          should be good finals, good games today
                                          Comment
                                          • BetterBizness
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-20-06
                                            • 5737

                                            #1211
                                            Originally posted by cankid
                                            should be good finals, good games today
                                            Both games to the wire today... pretty good to watch.. unless you had Montreal early like me ... Esks made up for alot though...
                                            Comment
                                            • BetterBizness
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-20-06
                                              • 5737

                                              #1212
                                              Got opening number at the peg at Peg -3 on Greek... If you like the Peg you should kill it sooner than later... I think that's a soft number worth attacking hard...

                                              Total is 51.. think that's pretty tall if you ask me...

                                              If you like Hamilton, you're almost sure to get +3.5 late in the week... or come game time
                                              Comment
                                              • BetterBizness
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-20-06
                                                • 5737

                                                #1213
                                                BC -6 and 49.5... well I'm going to be on the Esks, so I think this one will get to 7 by weeks end...
                                                Comment
                                                • BetterBizness
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                  • 5737

                                                  #1214
                                                  7x Win -3
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                    • 5737

                                                    #1215
                                                    The Peg up to 3.5 everywhere now...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Scully
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-21-06
                                                      • 1276

                                                      #1216
                                                      I think the difference in the West final will come down to turnovers and the Lions will force Ray into some mistakes. I think the BC defense will cause a lot of problems for the Eskies, not to mention the noise factor in the stadium as well. I like the Lions to advance to the Grey Cup the following Sunday.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                        • 5737

                                                        #1217
                                                        Originally posted by Scully
                                                        I think the difference in the West final will come down to turnovers and the Lions will force Ray into some mistakes. I think the BC defense will cause a lot of problems for the Eskies, not to mention the noise factor in the stadium as well. I like the Lions to advance to the Grey Cup the following Sunday.
                                                        Clearly I wouldn't be surprised, but I'm anchoring this game on the fact that it's hard to beat a team 3 straight times and because of this the line is inflated to what shouldn't be more than 3-4... With that said, if BC CAN beat the Esks 3x times... That's a hel of an accomplishment, particularly with the pressure that is one them to do so...

                                                        but I"m still saying Esks cover... and hoping to get 6.5 at some point on Pinny... I think this is a down to the wire game and could come down to McCallum...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Scully
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-21-06
                                                          • 1276

                                                          #1218
                                                          Agree totally with you BB that it's extremely a difficult feat to beat the same team in football 3 times in the same season.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BetterBizness
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 05-20-06
                                                            • 5737

                                                            #1219
                                                            PInny refuses to move to market at -6.5 and would rather juice the hel out of BC...

                                                            interesting...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Bluedragon
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-30-10
                                                              • 3484

                                                              #1220
                                                              Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                                              PInny refuses to move to market at -6.5 and would rather juice the hel out of BC...

                                                              interesting...
                                                              What do you think this means, BB??
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BetterBizness
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 05-20-06
                                                                • 5737

                                                                #1221
                                                                Originally posted by Bluedragon
                                                                What do you think this means, BB??
                                                                I think Pinny is Savvy, with CFL savvy bettors... I think if they want Esk money, they will go to 6.5, but I think they want BC Cash right now... you know.. So that they can giftwrap their bets back for Christmas...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • memo99
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-08-10
                                                                  • 2368

                                                                  #1222
                                                                  i like both unders today good luck BB
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Scully
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-21-06
                                                                    • 1276

                                                                    #1223
                                                                    Anybody have a weather forecast for Winnipeg by chance?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                                      • 5737

                                                                      #1224
                                                                      Originally posted by memo99
                                                                      i like both unders today good luck BB
                                                                      First under looks in good shape...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                                        • 5737

                                                                        #1225
                                                                        Originally posted by Scully
                                                                        Anybody have a weather forecast for Winnipeg by chance?
                                                                        bloody fn cold...
                                                                        Comment
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