Packers -3 @ Chicago

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  • infamousbacardi
    SBR MVP
    • 03-16-08
    • 4556

    #36
    Everyone sees a game like this where everyone and their mom has an opinion, and everyone analyzes the game because it's the only one of the night...but don't let yourself fool, yourself...the Packers have the better offense, better defense, and better stack of individual playmakers. Don't over-think this stuff fellas. Pack FTW tonight.
    Comment
    • BrownTown
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-06-09
      • 624

      #37
      GB ... Cutler is coming into this game too confident and will toss a pick 6
      Comment
      • Facepunch
        SBR MVP
        • 11-17-09
        • 2090

        #38
        Originally posted by CharleyS19
        Fixed. I do know what I'm talking about but I'm new so it will take me some time to prove that.



        I'll get the over at 40.5. You don't think they can score 6 TDs between them? Chicago is averaging 23 pts/gm and GB 30.5
        No I like both plays, but think that a regular ol' parlay would be better. You will lose money buyin points.
        Comment
        • Facepunch
          SBR MVP
          • 11-17-09
          • 2090

          #39
          Originally posted by Rbyrne
          all yall need to know is that DA BEARS have the BEST run defense in the NFL...you think the packers are gonna be able to throw on every down? because every run play they call will get stuffed and go no where

          Once the pack gets a few big passes 20+ yards, it will put the defense on their heels, then they can start establishing a running game.

          The Bears have also just played two of the worst rushing teams in the league. Detroit being the VERY worst. Green Bay is just about in the middle at #17 on the Team rushing list.
          Comment
          • rickbo528
            SBR MVP
            • 10-22-08
            • 1842

            #40
            Originally posted by bigsmitty
            Chicago and Cutler do seem greatly improved and there is no doubt having Urlacher and Pepps is huge but for me it's too early to trust Cutler at the helm. Makes me a little nervous but I'll give three and take GB. I'm sure many in CHI are still wary of Cutler so the home field could very easily turn into a disadvantage if Jay reverts to his more familiar find-a-way-to-eff-things-up style. Good luck guys.
            This kinda reminds me of the Dallas/Houston matchup yesterday. The perception was that the Texans had finally arrived and would continue the roll by kicking the Cowboys. We saw how that turned out. I'm not saying that the Bears and the Texans are exactly alike but they were both 2-0 going into week 3 with home games. All the excitement was with the Texans as it will be with the Bears tonight. Sure Cutler played great against the Cowboys but it's just that one good game. You gotta remember the history with Cutler. It seems like the bigger the stage the worse he plays. I know it makes sense to play the Bears as a home dog on MNF but I'm not ready to trust Cutler just yet. He is as likely to throw 5 INTs as he is 3 TDs. I will still take the Packers even though it seems the public money is on them.
            Comment
            • ahhlenn
              Restricted User
              • 04-13-10
              • 444

              #41
              how about some food for thought?

              if GB is the play...why hasn't the line moved at all? if i were a sportsbook, i would atleast put the line at -3.5 for GB. especially if there are 77% of ATS bets on GB. furthermore, the juice has gone down on GB as well, making it close to even money...seems like the books are setting up GB as a trap? (guys, the keywords are "seems like")

              i acknowledge that GB is the better team and they may very well make it far into the playoffs this season. actually, i want to claim that with the GB team this year, they are expected to make it far into the playoffs. however, CHI isn't a bad team this season, and with a division rivalry game on MNF with home field...CHI plus points seems like the "more solid" play here. just my $0.02
              Comment
              • t-wizzle
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-18-09
                • 38099

                #42
                Everything points to a chicago cover tonight... 2-0 and looking very impressive so far, home on monday night, pack injuries, etc.

                Just a gut feeling that the Pack will go in and take this one tonight.
                Comment
                • Parligod
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-28-09
                  • 403

                  #43
                  Should be a fun game tonight, but I don't see enough edge on either the O/U or the spread. I lean over and Bears personally though.
                  Comment
                  • DaProfessor23
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-07-08
                    • 1180

                    #44
                    Packers will win tonight . final score will be 16-30 .. end of discussion .
                    Comment
                    • mart59a
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-21-10
                      • 936

                      #45
                      Can't wait...should be a good Monday nighter.
                      Packers in a close one...
                      Comment
                      • Kinder
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 04-19-10
                        • 88

                        #46
                        Agreed.

                        Packers (-3) 9units
                        Comment
                        • artist
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-30-09
                          • 673

                          #47
                          Here is some tips for all you suckers MNF is Vegas day ok the public had huge money on N.O and jets and they both didn't cover!!!

                          Now look for home team underdog they usually play with more passion and bonus national television

                          If a team have a strong performance this week they won't have a strong performance the following week! Most of the time!

                          There you go suckers use the tip wisely Bol for tonight

                          Lean : under the total
                          Comment
                          • Better2Belucky
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 12-12-09
                            • 103

                            #48
                            Pack -3 took it when I was high.... wish I could take it back.
                            Comment
                            • smarmy
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-03-08
                              • 1863

                              #49
                              -3 seems like a trap. GB should win by at least a TD.
                              Comment
                              • Metalhead
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-14-09
                                • 719

                                #50
                                I got the Packers -3 and a teaser with the under.
                                Comment
                                • Ratzz
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 07-07-10
                                  • 8965

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by DaProfessor23
                                  Packers will win tonight . final score will be 16-30 .. end of discussion .
                                  other way around… more likely
                                  Bears gained alot of confidence last week in Dallas

                                  Comment
                                  • Ratzz
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 07-07-10
                                    • 8965

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                    Everything points to a chicago cover tonight... 2-0 and looking very impressive so far, home on monday night, pack injuries, etc.
                                    Bears tonite... no PAck magic 2nite

                                    Comment
                                    • Cuse0323
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-09-09
                                      • 30169

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by ahhlenn
                                      how about some food for thought? if GB is the play...why hasn't the line moved at all? if i were a sportsbook, i would atleast put the line at -3.5 for GB. especially if there are 77% of ATS bets on GB. furthermore, the juice has gone down on GB as well, making it close to even money...seems like the books are setting up GB as a trap? (guys, the keywords are "seems like")
                                      From a different angle, if they move it to 3.5 or higher, more people will take it as GB is the play. Keeping it at 3 with all the money makes people think that Chicago must be the play since it isn't moving.
                                      Comment
                                      • jetstorm369
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 07-29-10
                                        • 53

                                        #54
                                        yea that sounds good
                                        Comment
                                        • The General
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-10-05
                                          • 13279

                                          #55
                                          I think the under is a better chance than over, but what do I know. It's just a guess based on what I am seeing some guys I know personally wager tonight (over, over and more over) - as usual. favorites and overs.

                                          Best of luck, men and ladies.
                                          Comment
                                          • The General
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-10-05
                                            • 13279

                                            #56
                                            Wouldn't one need to first give more time to see if Cutler especially is just having a good run instead of really coming together for real like the team expected when they grabbed him before one doubts the Bears?
                                            Comment
                                            • artist
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-30-09
                                              • 673

                                              #57
                                              Alright got the final Line -3 47

                                              As for teams is a no play -3 Is like a pickem if the line was to jump to -3.5 or 4 I would go with Chicago. It's strange how more money is on gb and there is no line movement?????

                                              My play is under 47!!!! (1.5u) I know it's going to be passing all night but I don't believe any of these team will score 30
                                              Comment
                                              • Tower
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-15-10
                                                • 1331

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by Rbyrne
                                                I cleaned up on the Jets ml +110 lastnight and ima clean up with the Bears tonight....Bears +3, Bears ml and Bears -3 for me.You gotta think like a bookie fellas....they clean up on monday nights and the home dog will win str8 up tonight against a Packers team that joe public loves to back. But who have the Packers beat so far? they beat an average eagles team that they would have lost to if Vick had started and they beat the Bills...wow im so impressed.

                                                With that logic, you can also say. "if the bears gave up 375 yds passing to Romo, what do you think the packers are going to do to them?!" it works both ways... The bears beat shaun hill and the lions on a BS call and a struggling Cowboys team. Packers are the play tonight.
                                                Comment
                                                • Facepunch
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-17-09
                                                  • 2090

                                                  #59
                                                  I do not see how people are all over Chicago based on some sort of superstition about line movement etc. Has that stuff ever worked for you? I cap the games, and try not to get into the Mindfuk of trying to figure out what some linesmaker in Vegas is thinking.

                                                  GB is an offensive dynamo with total points scored in the top three of the entire league based mainly on their ability to pass.
                                                  Chicago has a good defense AGAINST THE RUN their secondary is among the worst in the NFC north , I can only think of Detroit that might be worse against the pass. If Romo got 374 passing yards and rocked 23 first downs what do you think Rodgers is going to do?, I think perhaps Chicago may have a gaping hole in their game. Anyone watching the game last week realizes that Chicago got completely exposed and Green Bay is the perfect team to capitalize on this fact.


                                                  GB -3 + Over 46 Parlay.

                                                  The over is assuming that Chicago can muster 17pts. @ home I think they might have it in them.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Facepunch
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-17-09
                                                    • 2090

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by Tower
                                                    With that logic, you can also say. "if the bears gave up 375 yds passing to Romo, what do you think the packers are going to do to them?!" it works both ways... The bears beat shaun hill and the lions on a BS call and a struggling Cowboys team. Packers are the play tonight.

                                                    Haha, I was thinking the same thing. Took me a minute to write though because I had to go back and check the Dallas boxscore. I completely agree with you.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • hoop guru
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-07-09
                                                      • 2414

                                                      #61
                                                      Packers -1.5 (5 units) 1st half is the play. If we lose (packers losing at half), I would take packers 2nd half for 15 units. U are guaranteed to make money this way. Bears have covered 3 straight halfs going into this game and that streak will end tonite. The bears have covered the 2nd half spreads of both games so far this season. IF we lose the first half on the packers, we come back with the packers in the 2nd half. If we win first half, do not touch the 2nd half. bears and packers each will cover the spread. packers first half and bears 2nd half or bears 1st half and packers 2nd half. I do not think that the bears are goin to cover both first half and 2nd half spreads tonite. I think a strong possibility is each team covers a half tonite. SInce bears have covered 3 straight halfs, I would go agianst the bears tonite.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • CharleyS19
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 09-27-10
                                                        • 5

                                                        #62
                                                        This is a quote from Brad Biggs, reporter for the Chicago Tribune

                                                        "Monday night's game with the Packers at Soldier Field will be the 16th prime-time game in Cutler's career. He has a 5-10 record at night and has 24 touchdown passes, 24 interceptions and a passer rating of 78.8. All of the numbers are pretty much in line with what he has done throughout his career with the exception of the picks."

                                                        That's pretty scary stuff if you're thinking about taking the Bears.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • rockchalk24
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 01-21-10
                                                          • 52

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by infamousbacardi
                                                          I hope everyone puts their $$ on the Bears...I'll just laugh my money toward my roll as the game goes on...Pack will win this in the realm of 30-20. Good luck fellas.
                                                          Would you take Packers -10 +200?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JayTrotter
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 03-27-10
                                                            • 320

                                                            #64
                                                            Aaron Rodgers died for our sins.
                                                            Cutler is in the middle of a mature and meaningful relationship with Kristin Cavalleri.

                                                            I think it's obvious from these two important facts, who we should bet on.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jjgold
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 07-20-05
                                                              • 388179

                                                              #65
                                                              Packers 1st half is not a bad bet
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Tower
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-15-10
                                                                • 1331

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by CharleyS19
                                                                This is a quote from Brad Biggs, reporter for the Chicago Tribune

                                                                "Monday night's game with the Packers at Soldier Field will be the 16th prime-time game in Cutler's career. He has a 5-10 record at night and has 24 touchdown passes, 24 interceptions and a passer rating of 78.8. All of the numbers are pretty much in line with what he has done throughout his career with the exception of the picks."

                                                                That's pretty scary stuff if you're thinking about taking the Bears.
                                                                Alot of people were, but I was not one of them. The Saints didn't look impressive against MN and the weather in SF wasn't ideal for their offense.... on the other hand GB offense has looked good all through the preseason and the first couple games. Their defense has looked great except for against Vick, but who doesn't look bad against him?? They've always seemed to struggle against scrambling QBs. (vick mcnabb romo) Cutler is a pure pocket passer and doesn't RUN AT ALL! GB's 3-4 Defense is going to give Cutler trouble. Just my 2 cents...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hoop guru
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-07-09
                                                                  • 2414

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Against the packers, cutler has thrown 4 tds and 6 ints in 4 career starts. Not impressive numbers.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • STAY STRONG
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                                    • 2498

                                                                    #68
                                                                    bears +3 is the play
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hoop guru
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-07-09
                                                                      • 2414

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                      Packers 1st half is not a bad bet
                                                                      U can't go wrong by taking the packers in the first half. If you lose, just take them in the 2nd half for even more units.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JayTrotter
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 03-27-10
                                                                        • 320

                                                                        #70
                                                                        a half chase??

                                                                        bet the packers in the first half, than bet more if they lose, and then if they lose, bet more next week, and then if they lose that bet more the next half... John Morrison loves this!
                                                                        Comment
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