Packers -3 @ Chicago

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    Packers -3 @ Chicago
    The Bears are the "sharp" play but I think Green Bay takes this one in a pretty high-scoring game. I know the public is all over the Pack, but I think it's the right play.

    Packers 30
    Bears 24
  • Jakesteen
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 04-22-10
    • 653

    #2
    Injuries are stacking up for the Packers.
    I'm a little concerned.

    INJURIESGREEN BAY
    Ryan GrantRBOut For Season (ankle)Justin HarrellDLOut For Season (knee)Atari BigbySPUP List (ankle)Al HarrisCBPUP List (knee)James StarksRBPUP List (hamstring)Mike NealDEQuestionable Week 3 (rib)Charlie PeprahSQuestionable Week 3 (quadricep)Brad JonesLBQuestionable Week 3 (knee)Ryan PickettDEQuestionable Week 3 (hamstring)Derrick MartinSProbable Week 3 (ankle)Desmond BishopLBProbable Week 3 (hamstring)Daryn ColledgeGProbable Week 3 (knee)Tom CrabtreeTEProbable Week 3 (arch)Korey HallRBProbable Week 3 (hip)Cullen JenkinsDEProbable Week 3 (hand)Clay MatthewsLBProbable Week 3 (hamstring)Brady PoppingaLBProbable Week 3 (knee)Brandon UnderwoodCBProbable Week 3 (shoulder)Charles WoodsonCBProbable Week 3 (toe)Chad CliftonTProbable Week 3 (knee)

    CHICAGO
    Chris WilliamsTOut Week 3 (hamstring)Major WrightSOut Week 3 (hamstring)Lance BriggsLBProbable Week 3 (ankle)Israel IdonijeDEProbable Week 3 (foot)Nick RoachLBProbable Week 3 (hamstring)
    Comment
    • Jakesteen
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 04-22-10
      • 653

      #3
      Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home vs. GB
      Chicago is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against GB
      Chicago is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Green Bay
      Comment
      • slacker00
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-06-05
        • 12262

        #4
        Getting 3 points at home in a division Rivalry game is huge, especially when Chicago seems to be playing great ball right now.

        Also, I can't remember the last time these teams met when the injury factor was so heavily in Chicago's favor.

        I know GB is a public team, but how long can these out of whack spreads last? Chicago should be laying pts.
        Comment
        • ahhlenn
          Restricted User
          • 04-13-10
          • 444

          #5
          Aaron Rodgers is becoming a star QB, but Cutler is evolving as well. the Chicago defense and offensive line has improved significantly as well. with the Bears being the home dog on MNF, i like chicago plus the points in this one.
          Comment
          • NFL49ers
            SBR Sharp
            • 08-14-10
            • 451

            #6
            Chicago for me also ^^
            Comment
            • landers781
              SBR MVP
              • 02-27-09
              • 4774

              #7
              I think I will be on the under in this one fellas
              Comment
              • NYSportsGuy210
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-07-09
                • 11347

                #8
                Packers is the play here. Bears off. coordinator Mike Martz won't be able to adjust against a standard blitz type of defense he was seeing all of last week against Dallas. Packers defense will mix up their coverages and play calling on defense better than the Cowgirls tried to do in week 2 and confuse the Bears offense and Cutler a lot more than Dallas did.

                Packers win 34-24 final
                Comment
                • Rbyrne
                  Restricted User
                  • 02-10-10
                  • 3054

                  #9
                  Bears +3 is the play!!!Bears defense is much improved over last year...they signed Peppers and Urlacher is back healthy after missing all of last year with an injury.If the cowboys couldnt run on the Bears defense than the Packers certainly wont...they have 2nd and 3rd string running backs playing because of Ryan Grant injury.Packers offensive line still SUCKS!....look for the Bears to get pressure on Rodgers all night.Cutler finally seems to be geting in a groove and is playing great now like when he played for the Broncos.The Packers have a ton of injurys and it will show this game.Bears +3...take it to the bank!!!
                  Comment
                  • NYSportsGuy210
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-07-09
                    • 11347

                    #10
                    Cutler isn't in a groove. He was just lucky because Mike Martz was able to adjust to the Dallas blitzes and Dallas didn't counter at all to the "hot route" pass calls Martz was dialing up. If you know anything about football you'd know that the GB defense is that stupid.

                    Packers are the play here. You just sound like you're riding a bandwagon much like 12 year olds think LeBron James is the best basketball player in the NBA.
                    Comment
                    • bigsmitty
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-12-10
                      • 3026

                      #11
                      Chicago and Cutler do seem greatly improved and there is no doubt having Urlacher and Pepps is huge but for me it's too early to trust Cutler at the helm. Makes me a little nervous but I'll give three and take GB. I'm sure many in CHI are still wary of Cutler so the home field could very easily turn into a disadvantage if Jay reverts to his more familiar find-a-way-to-eff-things-up style. Good luck guys.
                      Comment
                      • Rbyrne
                        Restricted User
                        • 02-10-10
                        • 3054

                        #12
                        Ok nysportsgeek.......you square lil biatch...Packers have played nobody and have proven nothing...Rodgers will struggle tonight against the bears defense who has one of the best front 7s in the NFL this year.You sound like a square who thinks the team that was better last year will win this year.news flash...the bears made great pick ups in the off season and got thier team leader back yea that stud MLB!!Packers are banged up on both sides of the ball. starting safety is out and al harris banged up
                        Comment
                        • ad617
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 01-03-10
                          • 97

                          #13
                          Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                          Cutler isn't in a groove. He was just lucky because Mike Martz was able to adjust to the Dallas blitzes and Dallas didn't counter at all to the "hot route" pass calls Martz was dialing up. If you know anything about football you'd know that the GB defense is that stupid.

                          Packers are the play here. You just sound like you're riding a bandwagon much like 12 year olds think LeBron James is the best basketball player in the NBA.
                          are u saying you don't think lebron is the best player in the nba? that's a weird thing to say in a mnf thread, not to mention silly.
                          Comment
                          • TakeIt
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 04-23-10
                            • 778

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Jakesteen
                            Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
                            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home vs. GB
                            Chicago is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against GB
                            Chicago is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Green Bay

                            how is this in any way meaningful? if it was meaningful we'd all be rich.
                            Comment
                            • Rbyrne
                              Restricted User
                              • 02-10-10
                              • 3054

                              #15
                              I cleaned up on the Jets ml +110 lastnight and ima clean up with the Bears tonight....Bears +3, Bears ml and Bears -3 for me.You gotta think like a bookie fellas....they clean up on monday nights and the home dog will win str8 up tonight against a Packers team that joe public loves to back. But who have the Packers beat so far? they beat an average eagles team that they would have lost to if Vick had started and they beat the Bills...wow im so impressed.
                              Comment
                              • Facepunch
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-17-09
                                • 2090

                                #16
                                Did you watch the Chicago Dallas game?

                                I was less impressed with Chicago's defense than I was with Dallas's Offense (and that is saying something). I think that playing in Chicago is the only reason I would take Chicago in this game, and that would be a stretch. I think Green bay runs away with this one in the second half + if Cutler does not shit the bed the over hits by the end of the 3rd quarter.
                                Comment
                                • Facepunch
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-17-09
                                  • 2090

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Rbyrne
                                  I cleaned up on the Jets ml +110 lastnight and ima clean up with the Bears tonight....Bears +3, Bears ml and Bears -3 for me.You gotta think like a bookie fellas....they clean up on monday nights and the home dog will win str8 up tonight against a Packers team that joe public loves to back. But who have the Packers beat so far? they beat an average eagles team that they would have lost to if Vick had started and they beat the Bills...wow im so impressed.

                                  Bookies try to even their books, they make the line based on what they think they can get action on both sides with. IF I was thinking like a bookie I would have this game at GB -6.5 .
                                  Comment
                                  • alex81
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 07-18-09
                                    • 658

                                    #18
                                    I gotta back the Bears... Keep in mind the Chicago has the best run D in the NFL at the moment... something like 1.4 YPC. Gonna be hard to beat a divisional team on the road without being able to run the ball!
                                    Comment
                                    • gshock1
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-04-09
                                      • 5366

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Rbyrne
                                      I cleaned up on the Jets ml +110 lastnight and ima clean up with the Bears tonight....Bears +3, Bears ml and Bears -3 for me.You gotta think like a bookie fellas....they clean up on monday nights and the home dog will win str8 up tonight against a Packers team that joe public loves to back. But who have the Packers beat so far? they beat an average eagles team that they would have lost to if Vick had started and they beat the Bills...wow im so impressed.
                                      Very intelligent post. I made the same argument regarding the Eagles game
                                      Comment
                                      • CharleyS19
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 09-27-10
                                        • 5

                                        #20
                                        Google 'Jay Cutler night games'. There is a lot of good info. Chicago didn't cover -6.5 against Detroit in Wk 1. Packers -3 does seem like a sucker line similar to the NO/SF line last week so I really like a tease here. I'm gonna tease it to Packers +3.5 with the over. Thoughts?
                                        Comment
                                        • Onenguyen
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 09-06-10
                                          • 173

                                          #21
                                          The bears played Detroit, which they should have lost, and Dallas who doesn't know if they are a running or passing team. Green Bay takes this down easily
                                          Comment
                                          • Facepunch
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-17-09
                                            • 2090

                                            #22
                                            Think you are losing money with the tease charley.
                                            Comment
                                            • Rbyrne
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 02-10-10
                                              • 3054

                                              #23
                                              CharleyS19....how did the Bears push agianst the Cowboys in week 2 win they won the game and were +7??? sounds like you dont know what your talking about
                                              Comment
                                              • Ratzz
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 07-07-10
                                                • 8965

                                                #24
                                                BEARS will likely WIN this game....
                                                i took the points for a more relaxed evening...
                                                but the Bears play hard...good SBR game...
                                                they have the BEARS at +5.5

                                                Comment
                                                • jhause13
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 12-27-07
                                                  • 464

                                                  #25
                                                  Like the Pack here. Although the Bears are 2-0 they haven't impressed me. Should have lost the game against the Lions and the Cowboys obviously weren't on the same page until this week. They should win by atleast 10 here.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Rbyrne
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 02-10-10
                                                    • 3054

                                                    #26
                                                    all yall need to know is that DA BEARS have the BEST run defense in the NFL...you think the packers are gonna be able to throw on every down? because every run play they call will get stuffed and go no where
                                                    Comment
                                                    • swagger
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 08-07-10
                                                      • 279

                                                      #27
                                                      gotta go with Bears +3 and the over imo
                                                      Comment
                                                      • CharleyS19
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 09-27-10
                                                        • 5

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Rbyrne;65***83
                                                        CharleyS19....how did the Bears push agianst the Cowboys in week 2 win they won the game and were +7??? sounds like you dont know what your talking about
                                                        Fixed. I do know what I'm talking about but I'm new so it will take me some time to prove that.

                                                        Originally posted by Facepunch;65***67
                                                        Think you are losing money with the tease charley.
                                                        I'll get the over at 40.5. You don't think they can score 6 TDs between them? Chicago is averaging 23 pts/gm and GB 30.5
                                                        Comment
                                                        • FilletMaster
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-21-10
                                                          • 1096

                                                          #29
                                                          Green Bay beats da bears for the 3rd straight time. Big Packers ML play for me -143. GL to all!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TheCommish
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-23-09
                                                            • 1013

                                                            #30
                                                            I couldn't pull the trigger on either one... so I'll play some props instead:


                                                            82797831 MU[16429] YES - 7½ MIN GB/CHI -165
                                                            82797832 MU[19430] NO - 3 UNANSW GB/CHI +150

                                                            This way I get to watch what looks to be a great game, and not care about the final score
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hubie69
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-16-10
                                                              • 7329

                                                              #31
                                                              [COLOR=#000000 !important]
                                                              [COLOR=#000000 !important]all yall need to know is that DA BEARS have the BEST run defense in the NFL...you think the packers are gonna be able to throw on every down? because every run play they call will get stuffed and go no where[/COLOR]
                                                              [/COLOR]
                                                              [COLOR=#000000 !important][/COLOR]
                                                              [COLOR=#000000 !important]The lions had no running game in week one, the bears had no hand in that. Not impressed.(I know best had one monster week, but come on...you're basing this off one week with the lions..?) also, the cowboys aren't a running team. How many rushing did the cowboys even attempt in that game? Not shit. The cowboys are 24th in the league for rushing ATTEMPTS this season. Jesus man, do some research.[/COLOR]
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Cuse0323
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-09-09
                                                                • 30169

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Rbyrne
                                                                all yall need to know is that DA BEARS have the BEST run defense in the NFL...you think the packers are gonna be able to throw on every down? because every run play they call will get stuffed and go no where
                                                                It's two games against the Lions and the Girls and they still could have lost both.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bonduforlife
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 08-21-10
                                                                  • 1222

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Carles Woodson is going to be the difference maker in this one.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ahhlenn
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 04-13-10
                                                                    • 444

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                                                    Cutler isn't in a groove. He was just lucky because Mike Martz was able to adjust to the Dallas blitzes and Dallas didn't counter at all to the "hot route" pass calls Martz was dialing up. If you know anything about football you'd know that the GB defense is that stupid.

                                                                    Packers are the play here. You just sound like you're riding a bandwagon much like 12 year olds think LeBron James is the best basketball player in the NBA.
                                                                    Actually it sounds like YOUR the one riding the bandwagon with 78% of bets on GB...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • infamousbacardi
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-16-08
                                                                      • 4556

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I hope everyone puts their $$ on the Bears...I'll just laugh my money toward my roll as the game goes on...Pack will win this in the realm of 30-20. Good luck fellas.
                                                                      Comment
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