BetterBizness' CFL Thoughts Week 10+

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  • BetterBizness
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-20-06
    • 5737

    #36
    Despite everything going our way in pace... This one with 6 min left looks tough to get now...
    Comment
    • BetterBizness
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-20-06
      • 5737

      #37
      Regroup and move on... No reason why that game didn't make us money...

      Alas... Edmonton Under...
      Comment
      • balman
        SBR Sharp
        • 10-29-09
        • 387

        #38
        Hey BB,

        i'm taking a few days off from betting, of the last 4 CFL games i have lost 3 in the 4th qt, going back to Toronto losing to Hamilton in the 4th, Sask losing to Edm with turnovers in the 4th, and then friday night BC and ALs easy under at half then all the turnovers and last sec TD to push it over.

        i also had a tuff week in college footbal, i had nwestern -3 vs Vandy, nwest is up by 23-18 8secs left and vandy coach kicks field goal, WTF!!, i also had tulsa moneyline lost on last second hailmary...

        so need to take a break!! on losing streak!!

        Cheers
        Comment
        • BetterBizness
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-20-06
          • 5737

          #39
          Totally Agree Bal... This was a terrible week.. .

          Eskimos Killed the Total ... FFS... Had they just been shutout we would have won!

          Gonna regroup next week...
          Comment
          • BetterBizness
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-20-06
            • 5737

            #40
            Originally posted by balman
            Hey BB,

            i also had a tuff week in college footbal, i had nwestern -3 vs Vandy, nwest is up by 23-18 8secs left and vandy coach kicks field goal, WTF!!, i also had tulsa moneyline lost on last second hailmary...

            so need to take a break!! on losing streak!!

            Cheers
            Wow.. I didn't read the second half of that... That is absolutely Rediculous... Ya it's time for a break I agree...
            Comment
            • BetterBizness
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-20-06
              • 5737

              #41
              Updated Scorecard

              The So far CFL record as Noted in Various threads... I started in Week 6

              Week 6 - Start
              Sask @ Mon = +3.6 Units
              Win @ Ham = +2 Units
              Cal @ BC = +3 Units
              Tor @ Edm = -1.1 Unit

              Overall Week 6 = +7.5 Units

              Week 7
              BC @ Sask = 0.0 Units
              Ham @ Win = + 1.0 Units
              T.O @ Mon -= + 2.65 Units
              Edm @ Cal = -1 Unit

              Prop Bets 2-1 +.7 Units

              Week 7 Total = +3.35 Units

              Week 8

              Win @ Mon = +1.9 Units
              Ham @ Tor = +1.9 Units

              Week 8 Total = +3.8 Units

              Week 9
              Cal @ BC = +2.7 Units
              Sask @ BC = +3.7 Units

              Week 9 Total = +6.4 Units

              Week 10
              BC @ Mon = -1.5 Units
              Win @ Sas = DNP
              Tor @ Ham = -3 Units
              Edm @ Cal = -2.0 Units

              Week 10 Total = -6.5 Units

              Overall Week 6+7+8+9 Total = +14.55 Units
              Comment
              • BetterBizness
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-20-06
                • 5737

                #42
                I'm not afraid of the truth... Stuff should have gone out way, but it didn't... There is no way the Toronto Game should have stayed under, and they shouldn't have lose... There is NO way the Calgary game should have gone over with one team scoring FIVE points and a total of 54... Montreal Losing at Home... By 20? oh boy...

                Alas... we shake it off... We roll with another week...
                Comment
                • BetterBizness
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 05-20-06
                  • 5737

                  #43
                  Early Leans

                  Friday, Sep 10th

                  Calgary @ Edmonton

                  Wow.. What can you say... Not only do the Esks have no pride.. they have no PLAYERS... 4 days after the last debacle, the stamps SHOULD be MINIMUM 14 point favorites... Esks only 2 wins are at home... I would take them if it hits 17... maybe...

                  Saturday, Sep 11th

                  Montreal @ Hamilton

                  A. Cavillo wants to come back this game... if he does... Good things happen.. If Not... Hamilton will likely light it up... This will clearly be a tight spread after Ham has won 4 in a row....

                  Toronto @ BC

                  Makes for an interesting game with Toronto losing a game that Their QB had Over 300 yards passing... BC will look tempting after beating up a Montreal team without their Starting QB... Toronto may be the play here...

                  Sunday, Sep 12th

                  Saskatchewan @ Winnipeg

                  Riders are struggling just a bit, barely winning last game at home, and Losing in Edmonton the week before... I still hope the line is within 6 so we can pound them, because they won't struggle forever...
                  Comment
                  • CLASSIC ROCK
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-23-09
                    • 574

                    #44
                    May just be me but mid-season seems to be always tough to win in the CFL.
                    Comment
                    • BetterBizness
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 05-20-06
                      • 5737

                      #45
                      Originally posted by CLASSIC ROCK
                      May just be me but mid-season seems to be always tough to win in the CFL.
                      Well If you were with my at all on my logic the last 4 weeks, we all made a boatload of money with soft lines... this week 3 lines were in the double digits...

                      Just sayin.... Worst part of this is that within my own thread, I knew this would be a tough that week I SHOULD have left games.. But there are just 4 games a week...

                      Oh well... I still enjoy it, hope the previews help some...
                      Comment
                      • BetterBizness
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 05-20-06
                        • 5737

                        #46
                        Early Lines

                        Cal -10.5 @ Edm - O/U 54.5
                        Mon -3.5 @ Ham - O/U 52
                        Tor @ BC -5 - O/U 48.5
                        Sask -4 @ Win - O/U 56.6
                        Comment
                        • BetterBizness
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-20-06
                          • 5737

                          #47
                          Early Leans

                          Cal -10.5 @ Edm - O/U 54.5

                          Homer or Not... Esks cover this game.. They may as well be playing for the Grey Cup cuz there is NOTHING stopping Calgary right about now.. This is one of the most DOMINATING Teams I've EVER seen... When was the last time Calgary DIDN'T cover a spread?

                          But for once... I believe a bit of a chase is in order... 2 blowouts, this will probably be one as well.. But for once maybe a 30-7 score may keep it low...

                          Mon -3.5 @ Ham - O/U 52

                          Calvillo is still out... Hard to think they will bounce back versus a pretty good Hamilton team... Then again, BC may have been the perfect storm...

                          ***Tor @ BC -5 - O/U 48.5 ***

                          I'm sorry, but this is the botched line of the week.. maybe the year.... Toronto WINS this game... Outright... Jump on Toronto ML +175.... I'm NOT missing this one... BC was the worst team I've seen in years, and had ONE good game...versus a QB playing his first start... Not to mention Toronto SHOULD have won in Hamilton with 3 possessions in the first half that resulted in a TOTAL 3 points... BC loses by 10...

                          Sask -4 @ Win - O/U 56.6

                          I think this is a Rider Bounce back... Winnipeg keeps playing close, but keeps losing.. which takes it's toll.. Eventually the bottom starts falling out... Riders by 10...
                          Comment
                          • BetterBizness
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 05-20-06
                            • 5737

                            #48
                            The Update on the Montreal QB situation is that Adrian McPherson, the FSU QB will start...

                            Last year he was 49 of 72 with 5 TDs and 0 INTs in 3 games at the end of last season...

                            Seems to be a solid rusher that would cause problems for the Ti-Cats...

                            To Be continued...
                            Comment
                            • BetterBizness
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-20-06
                              • 5737

                              #49
                              RB Whitlock is out for the Eskimos... Seriously... is that the easiest 10.5 you'll ever see or what? It may very well be the first time in 19 years I'll bet against the Eskimos... I'm still debating...
                              Comment
                              • AndyCapper
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 08-12-10
                                • 113

                                #50
                                I'm Wit you on TO Bbiz!!!
                                Comment
                                • tension
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 08-11-10
                                  • 192

                                  #51
                                  Ok BB I'm with you on Calgary -10.5, Hopefully the same Esks come out as last week :P
                                  Comment
                                  • BetterBizness
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 05-20-06
                                    • 5737

                                    #52
                                    Calgary -11 @ Edmonton O/U 54.5

                                    Edmonton Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
                                    Edm 5 @ Cal 52 O54.5
                                    Sask 14 @ Edm 17 - U54.5
                                    Edm 15 @ Cal 56 - O54.5
                                    Tor 29 @ Edm 28 - O54.5
                                    BC 25 @ Edm 28 - U54.5
                                    Edm 21 @ Win 47 - O54.5
                                    Edm 20 @ Sask 24 - U54.5
                                    Mon 33 @ Edm 23 - O54.5
                                    BC 25 @ Edm 10 - U54.5

                                    Cal Seasonal Results (Most Recent First)
                                    Edm 5 @ Cal 52 O54.5
                                    Cal 48 @ BC 35 O54.5
                                    Edm 15 @ Cal 56 O54.5
                                    Calgary 27 @ BC 22 - U54.5
                                    Win 20 @ Cal 23 - U54.5
                                    Sask 20 @ Cal 40 - O54.5
                                    Cal 24 @ Tor 27 - O54.5
                                    Cal 23 @ Ham 22 - U54.5
                                    Tor 16 @ Cal 30 - U54.5

                                    I'm not going to preview this game much other than to say.. .If the Esks win (Win here is described as within 21), without their Key Receiver... Key Runningback... A beaten up Quarterback... Good for F'n THEM!!!

                                    Not to mention they are playing a team that kicked the f out of them twice this year within the past month... Doesn't look like they are stopping anytime soon, and should get a bye into the Grey Cup based on the first 11 weeks...

                                    This has the EXACT same makings as the last 2 Head to Head meetings... If you're smart bet Calgary... If you're a homer, you leave it alone... The only thing I like here for myself is betting the Under... More of a logical chase than anything... Esks can't score... shouldn't score... proved it over and over... MAYBE.. just MAYBE... they keep Calgary to under 35... In fact.. Even if they keep it to 49 they have proven its very possible to score 3...

                                    3 Units Under 54.5
                                    Comment
                                    • tension
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 08-11-10
                                      • 192

                                      #53
                                      Whats with the massive end zone in the CFL compared to the NFL ? Is that why is higher scoring generally ?
                                      Comment
                                      • BetterBizness
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 05-20-06
                                        • 5737

                                        #54
                                        No, although it helps... It's a passing oriented league that has just 3 downs instead of 4... Thus passing means bigger plays, and when incomplete, it means stopped clock...Whereas the NFL running plays eat alot of clock.... But of course, size of field does help, particularly in the endzone where there are 20 yards instead of 10...
                                        Comment
                                        • BetterBizness
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-20-06
                                          • 5737

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                          Calgary -11 @ Edmonton O/U 54.5

                                          3 Units Under 54.5
                                          Alas.. No excuses... 7-3 after Q1, 4 points in Q4... too bad about that middle that went to sheit...

                                          Regroup... hope those who were on the Stamps to Crush that 11 points hit something good...
                                          Comment
                                          • BetterBizness
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-20-06
                                            • 5737

                                            #56
                                            Montreal @ Hamilton -3.5 - 51.5 Preview

                                            Montreal Season Results (Most recent first)
                                            BC 38 @ Mon 17 O51.5
                                            Win 17 @ Mon 38 O51.5
                                            Mon 22 @ Tor 37 - O51.5
                                            Sask 26 @ Mon 30 - O51.5
                                            Tor 10 @ Mon 41 - U51.5
                                            Ham 14 @ Mon 37 - U51.5
                                            Mon 16 @ BC 12 - U51.5
                                            Mon 33 @ Edm 23 - O51.5
                                            Mon 51 @ Sask 54 - O51.5

                                            Hamilton Seasonal Results (Most Recent first)
                                            Tor 13 @ Ham 28 U51.5
                                            Ham 16 @ Tor 12 U51.5
                                            Ham 39 @ Win 17 - O51.5
                                            Win 22 @ Ham 29 - U51.5
                                            Ham 24 @ Sask 37 - O51.5
                                            Ham 14 @ Mon 37 - U51.5
                                            Win 7 @ Ham 28 - U51.5
                                            Cal 23 @ Ham 22 - U51.5
                                            Ham 29 @ Win 49 - O51.5

                                            I actually had this game listed as MONTREAL -3.5... Oops...

                                            Funny thing is I LIKED Montreal as a favorite... How can I resist them as a dog?

                                            Hamilton is a VERY good team... but 2 games that they really shouldn't have won, don't make them Grey Cup Champs yet...

                                            QB Cavillo is still out, But Backup Former FSU QB McPherson is CFL tested and ready... There may be a little "Possem" going on with Calvillo as well... i'm not listening to the papers on this one telling everyone the Cats are going to Romp... I'm on Montreal ML...

                                            Probably worth fading my record as of Late, but I'm going

                                            2 Units Montreal ML +145 ...

                                            I am getting crushed lately with the CFL totals... for the record, tail or fade... I think if Montreal wins, it would be under the 51.5 with the Al's D stepping up and giving their backup QB a chance to win... With that said, 6 of 9 games of EACH team have been under the number...

                                            1 Unit Under 51.5
                                            Comment
                                            • BetterBizness
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-20-06
                                              • 5737

                                              #57
                                              Toronto @ BC -5 O/U 48 Preview

                                              Toronto Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
                                              Tor 13 @ Ham 28 U48
                                              Ham 16 @ Tor 12 U48
                                              Mon 22 @ Tor 37 - O48
                                              Tor 29 @ Edm 28 - O48
                                              Tor 10 @ Mon 41 - O48
                                              BC 20 @ Tor 24 - U48
                                              Cal 24 @ Tor 27 - O48
                                              Tor 36 @ Win 34 - O48
                                              Tor 16 @ Cal 30 - U48

                                              BC Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
                                              BC 38 @ Mon 17 O48
                                              Cal 48 @ BC 35 O48
                                              BC 13 @ Sask 37 O48
                                              Cal 27 @ BC 22 -O48
                                              BC 25 @ Edm 28 - O48
                                              BC 20 @ Tor 24 - U48
                                              Mon 16 @ BC 12 - U48
                                              Sask 37 @ BC 18 - O48
                                              BC 25 @ Edm 10 - U48

                                              I am all over Toronto... Right or Wrong... I'm standing behind Cleo Lemon... Doubt I would have said that in week 4... But after the last few games... This kid is getting BETTER and BETTER ... the reason you're getting a price is because he missed some key plays at key times within the 10 yard line last week IN Hamilton.. (1 FG in 3 attempts)... To me, if I believe in my reasoning that he's getting better... Then why on earth COULDN'T they beat up on BC, who had ONE good game last week...

                                              Small point that I saw, without seeing the entire debacle in Montreal...Even though QB Santos came into the 4th Quarter and Montreal had some good possession there.. Really this didn't seem to be THAT dominating in possession time by BC, who in the end lost the possession battle by a minute... This is with Montreal having Chris Leak in the game... And from the past few games, I can say this much in watching BC.. Particularly with QB Printers... They LIVE by the big play... Toronto Defense LIVES in stopping the BIG PLAY... TO me, if they stop the Big plays, which I think they will... THey win this game outright...

                                              I'm loving the over here as well... BC has played their last 5 over... Toronto has played their last 3 of 5 over taking away the 2 games in Hamilton for unders... 48 is NOT a big number for what these 2 teams could put up...

                                              1 UNITS Toronto ML +175
                                              2 Units Over 48

                                              1 unit Parlay
                                              Mon +149 + Tor +179 = +581
                                              Comment
                                              • tension
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 08-11-10
                                                • 192

                                                #58
                                                I'm on Toronto with you @ $2.65 (Aussie odds) BC havn't won at home this year and I predict that to continue.
                                                Comment
                                                • BetterBizness
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                  • 5737

                                                  #59
                                                  BC is an improved team after last week... But I believe Toronto is the right play nevertheless...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • GoggsViggs
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-05-10
                                                    • 1884

                                                    #60
                                                    agree. let's get that Toronto and Over, bro.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • OTL
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-08-10
                                                      • 2433

                                                      #61
                                                      I want to go big on the Toronto ML but Vegas rarely gives away free money like this... Makes me fear for a rigged game as close to 80% of the public will be pounding the Argo's at these generous odds.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • AndyCapper
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 08-12-10
                                                        • 113

                                                        #62
                                                        Lovin' TO but taking the +5
                                                        Cashed Calgary -11 last night but it wasn't easy!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BetterBizness
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 05-20-06
                                                          • 5737

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by OTL
                                                          I want to go big on the Toronto ML but Vegas rarely gives away free money like this... Makes me fear for a rigged game as close to 80% of the public will be pounding the Argo's at these generous odds.
                                                          Dude you haven't followed my thread if you are saying that... Although You may want to fade since I am OH for 4 in my last 4 games...

                                                          Except for last week, Vegas has ONLY been making soft lines the past 4 weeks before last week..

                                                          OBV this isn't free... But VEGAS is setting the lines to beat the public... Not people on SBR who are trying to beat them.... I've been POUNDING Calgary since week 6.. Telling EVERYONE to pound them the past 2 weeks... Last night they were an 11 point dog to a team they have beaten by 40 the past 2 games? That was one of the weakest lines of the YEAR... But I bet any money they made their money off the public who thought.. Ohh Eskimos at Home on Labour Day... They WONT lose by 11...

                                                          Of course Toronto can lose... They lost 2 in a row... And BC may play like they did last week and we're all f'd... But the Play is clearly Toronto...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BetterBizness
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 05-20-06
                                                            • 5737

                                                            #64
                                                            I can't see the game from my hotel, but I am liking this 13-6 Montreal score so far at half... Lets make it happen Als'

                                                            Big fan of Kevin Glenn 6/19 103 YDS.. .

                                                            Passing: Adrian Mcpherson 11/20 138 YDS
                                                            Rushing: Adrian Mcpherson 6 CAR 34 YDS
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BetterBizness
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 05-20-06
                                                              • 5737

                                                              #65
                                                              For those, like me who need a hand in watching the game and aren't in Canada..

                                                              Comment
                                                              • BetterBizness
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 05-20-06
                                                                • 5737

                                                                #66
                                                                Wow MacPherson looks good... Drive baybee Drive!!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BetterBizness
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                                  • 5737

                                                                  #67
                                                                  20-6... Lets hold em...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • xraygord
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-18-09
                                                                    • 2599

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Nice work BB.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                                      • 5737

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Saskatchewan -4 @ Winnipeg O/U 56

                                                                      Seasonal Sask Results (most recent first)
                                                                      Win 23 @ Sask 27 - U56
                                                                      Sask 14 @ Edm 17 - U56
                                                                      BC 13 @ Sask 37 - U56
                                                                      Sask 26 @ Mon 30 - P56
                                                                      Ham 24 @ Sask 38 - O56
                                                                      Sask 20 @ Cal 40 - O56
                                                                      Edm 20 @ Sask 24 - U56
                                                                      Sask 38 @ BC 18 - U56
                                                                      Mon 51 @ Sask 54 - O57

                                                                      Winnipeg Seasonal Results (Most Recent First)

                                                                      Win 23 @ Sask 27 - U56
                                                                      Win 17 @ Mon 39 P56
                                                                      Ham 39 @ Win 28 - O56
                                                                      Win 22 @ Ham 29 - U56
                                                                      Win 20 @ Cal 23 - U56
                                                                      Edm 21 @ Win 47 - O56
                                                                      Win 6 @ Ham 28 - U56
                                                                      Tor 36 @ Win 34 - O56
                                                                      Ham 29 @ Win 49 - O56

                                                                      I didn't get to see the game last week, but I know there were long stretches without points and No Starting QB threw a TD, and now Win QB Gyles will be starting.. for a while...

                                                                      Gyles offers alot of consistency to the Bombers, and I think this very well be the spot that he feels good about knowing he is the starter... Riders are playing BAD.. nothing going for them in momentum, and really, this could be the right place for the Bombers to upset at home..

                                                                      Gyles will move this offense, and I think this will be one of those shootouts...

                                                                      They were only 6 points under, without even trying last game..

                                                                      I like

                                                                      2 Units - Over 56
                                                                      1 Unit - Winnipeg +4
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                                        • 5737

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                                                        Montreal @ Hamilton -3.5 - 51.5 Preview

                                                                        Montreal Season Results (Most recent first)
                                                                        BC 38 @ Mon 17 O51.5
                                                                        Win 17 @ Mon 38 O51.5
                                                                        Mon 22 @ Tor 37 - O51.5
                                                                        Sask 26 @ Mon 30 - O51.5
                                                                        Tor 10 @ Mon 41 - U51.5
                                                                        Ham 14 @ Mon 37 - U51.5
                                                                        Mon 16 @ BC 12 - U51.5
                                                                        Mon 33 @ Edm 23 - O51.5
                                                                        Mon 51 @ Sask 54 - O51.5

                                                                        Hamilton Seasonal Results (Most Recent first)
                                                                        Tor 13 @ Ham 28 U51.5
                                                                        Ham 16 @ Tor 12 U51.5
                                                                        Ham 39 @ Win 17 - O51.5
                                                                        Win 22 @ Ham 29 - U51.5
                                                                        Ham 24 @ Sask 37 - O51.5
                                                                        Ham 14 @ Mon 37 - U51.5
                                                                        Win 7 @ Ham 28 - U51.5
                                                                        Cal 23 @ Ham 22 - U51.5
                                                                        Ham 29 @ Win 49 - O51.5

                                                                        I actually had this game listed as MONTREAL -3.5... Oops...

                                                                        Funny thing is I LIKED Montreal as a favorite... How can I resist them as a dog?

                                                                        Hamilton is a VERY good team... but 2 games that they really shouldn't have won, don't make them Grey Cup Champs yet...

                                                                        QB Cavillo is still out, But Backup Former FSU QB McPherson is CFL tested and ready... There may be a little "Possem" going on with Calvillo as well... i'm not listening to the papers on this one telling everyone the Cats are going to Romp... I'm on Montreal ML...

                                                                        Probably worth fading my record as of Late, but I'm going

                                                                        2 Units Montreal ML +145 ...

                                                                        I am getting crushed lately with the CFL totals... for the record, tail or fade... I think if Montreal wins, it would be under the 51.5 with the Al's D stepping up and giving their backup QB a chance to win... With that said, 6 of 9 games of EACH team have been under the number...

                                                                        1 Unit Under 51.5
                                                                        Cash Montreal 2.9 Units...
                                                                        Cash Under .9 Units...

                                                                        We make some back from that horrible Eskimo Game Under last night...
                                                                        Comment
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