Kroyrunner's Season Long NFL Thread (55-30-1 ATS in 2009)

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  • gushman
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 04-12-10
    • 507

    #176
    gl kroy
    Comment
    • kroyrunner89
      SBR MVP
      • 10-25-08
      • 1191

      #177
      Originally posted by simonk83
      Sounds good Kroy, I'm in Emailed your mailing list just before
      Originally posted by bill2266
      good luck looking forward your plays
      Originally posted by mp5070
      Just signed up, kory. Thanks, cant wait for the picks!
      Originally posted by Tr4nc3
      Looking forward to the season. BOL kroyrunner LF to the first email.
      Originally posted by gushman
      gl kroy
      2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
      2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
      2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
      2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

      Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
      Comment
      • kroyrunner89
        SBR MVP
        • 10-25-08
        • 1191

        #178
        Also, just for anyone who missed it earlier, I'm not playing tonight's Saints/Vikings game! Good luck to everyone who does though! I'll have weekend plays up within the next 48 hours!
        2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
        2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
        2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
        2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

        Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
        Comment
        • dodger33
          SBR MVP
          • 08-14-09
          • 3962

          #179
          Good luck this season.
          Comment
          • simonk83
            SBR Sharp
            • 07-31-10
            • 434

            #180
            Just to clarify, do you play college ball as well or just the NFL?
            Comment
            • saints7011
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-21-09
              • 5544

              #181
              Originally posted by simonk83
              Just to clarify, do you play college ball as well or just the NFL?
              Comment
              • simonk83
                SBR Sharp
                • 07-31-10
                • 434

                #182
                Originally posted by saints7011
                I realise this is an NFL thread, but some cappers (Sportspicks3434 for example) maintain 2 threads. One for NFL and one for NCAAF. Just curious if I should go looking for one, that's all, no need for the head slapping

                Plus I'm from Australia so I don't understand your strange football ways
                Comment
                • saints7011
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-21-09
                  • 5544

                  #183
                  Originally posted by simonk83
                  I realise this is an NFL thread, but some cappers (Sportspicks3434 for example) maintain 2 threads. One for NFL and one for NCAAF. Just curious if I should go looking for one, that's all, no need for the head slapping

                  Plus I'm from Australia so I don't understand your strange football ways

                  read post 15 , look I just slapped ya twice...
                  Comment
                  • simonk83
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 07-31-10
                    • 434

                    #184
                    Originally posted by saints7011
                    read post 15 , look I just slapped ya twice...
                    Dammit The sad thing is, I actually remember reading that now. I'm obviously following too many threads

                    Both slaps accepted and deserved
                    Comment
                    • saints7011
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-21-09
                      • 5544

                      #185
                      Originally posted by simonk83
                      Dammit The sad thing is, I actually remember reading that now. I'm obviously following too many threads

                      Both slaps accepted and deserved
                      now lets make some money...
                      Comment
                      • simonk83
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 07-31-10
                        • 434

                        #186
                        Originally posted by saints7011
                        now lets make some money...
                        Comment
                        • kroyrunner89
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-25-08
                          • 1191

                          #187
                          Originally posted by dodger33
                          Good luck this season.


                          Saints and Simon, won't quote your entire string but thanks for the entertainment guys haha.
                          2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
                          2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
                          2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
                          2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

                          Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
                          Comment
                          • saints7011
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-21-09
                            • 5544

                            #188
                            Originally posted by kroyrunner89


                            Saints and Simon, won't quote your entire string but thanks for the entertainment guys haha.
                            yeah , we felt like we needed to contribute somehow...
                            Comment
                            • simonk83
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 07-31-10
                              • 434

                              #189
                              Hehe
                              Comment
                              • HauntingTheHoly
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-28-10
                                • 1397

                                #190
                                @Kroy

                                How do you feel about nfl parlays?
                                Comment
                                • kroyrunner89
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-25-08
                                  • 1191

                                  #191
                                  Originally posted by HauntingTheHoly
                                  @Kroy How do you feel about nfl parlays?
                                  I wouldn't play any more than a 3 teamer, not a huge fan of them myself but if I were to play them I'd probably stick to two teamers. Anything over 3 teams is pretty much money in the wind
                                  2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
                                  2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
                                  2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
                                  2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

                                  Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
                                  Comment
                                  • RANDAZZO
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 08-21-10
                                    • 758

                                    #192
                                    I agree. 2-3 teamers are the only way to really have any chance at winning.
                                    Comment
                                    • kroyrunner89
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-25-08
                                      • 1191

                                      #193
                                      I hope my Drew Brees man crush doesn't get in the way of my capping games...
                                      2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
                                      2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
                                      2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
                                      2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

                                      Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
                                      Comment
                                      • NostraDanUS
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 12-02-09
                                        • 665

                                        #194
                                        THANKS in advance for a winning season!
                                        Comment
                                        • kroyrunner89
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-25-08
                                          • 1191

                                          #195
                                          Originally posted by NostraDanUS
                                          THANKS in advance for a winning season!
                                          No problem!
                                          2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
                                          2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
                                          2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
                                          2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

                                          Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
                                          Comment
                                          • saints7011
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-21-09
                                            • 5544

                                            #196
                                            Originally posted by kroyrunner89
                                            I hope my Drew Brees man crush doesn't get in the way of my capping games...
                                            did you just say that out loud ?
                                            Comment
                                            • Checkerboard
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-15-06
                                              • 7799

                                              #197
                                              go kroy go bol '10-'11 season

                                              Comment
                                              • taxman
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 09-11-07
                                                • 182

                                                #198
                                                Kroy looking forward to your week 1 picks...lets make some $$$$$$$$
                                                Comment
                                                • Full Time Hobo
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-16-10
                                                  • 2778

                                                  #199
                                                  Good Luck hope you have a profitable season
                                                  Comment
                                                  • daneault23
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-08-09
                                                    • 3863

                                                    #200
                                                    Hey Kroy not to be a naysayer, but if you play 10% of your roll on one game and you play about 5 games a week, that means that half of your roll is on the line on a given day. You say you play $200 out of your $2,000 on a game or w/e and if you play 5 games in that day, that's $1,000 on the line!! I'm just curious as to why you play so much, I mean I know your good and all..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HauntingTheHoly
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-28-10
                                                      • 1397

                                                      #201
                                                      Originally posted by daneault23
                                                      Hey Kroy not to be a naysayer, but if you play 10% of your roll on one game and you play about 5 games a week, that means that half of your roll is on the line on a given day. You say you play $200 out of your $2,000 on a game or w/e and if you play 5 games in that day, that's $1,000 on the line!! I'm just curious as to why you play so much, I mean I know your good and all..
                                                      How much should he be playing? What do you consider standard?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kroyrunner89
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-25-08
                                                        • 1191

                                                        #202
                                                        Originally posted by saints7011
                                                        did you just say that out loud ?
                                                        Haha guilty!
                                                        Originally posted by Checkerboard
                                                        go kroy go bol '10-'11 season
                                                        Originally posted by taxman
                                                        Kroy looking forward to your week 1 picks...lets make some $$$$$$$$
                                                        Originally posted by Full Time Hobo
                                                        Good Luck hope you have a profitable season

                                                        Originally posted by daneault23
                                                        Hey Kroy not to be a naysayer, but if you play 10% of your roll on one game and you play about 5 games a week, that means that half of your roll is on the line on a given day. You say you play $200 out of your $2,000 on a game or w/e and if you play 5 games in that day, that's $1,000 on the line!! I'm just curious as to why you play so much, I mean I know your good and all..
                                                        Well there's two ways I look at it... while I have $2000 in my account at the moment, I have the funds to throw another $2000 in at any time really. Even worst case scenario if I lost that entire $4000 bankroll I'd be okay since it's money I can afford to lose. I don't put it all in my account just because I don't want to unless I have to. Also, I'm basing this off of what I know about myself as a capper. Obviously I've had a couple great years in a row, but even through those rough streaks I can survive them no problem as long as I don't go too crazy. Last year my worst stretch was a 5-7 ATS streak over a three week span, while my bankroll was already inflated at that point even if it hadn't been I still would have had about $1500 in my account, and I would have been fine to come back the next weekend. I'm a risk taker, so hell I'll go ahead and go against the conventional approach!


                                                        Working on write ups for plays now, will have them up soon!
                                                        2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
                                                        2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
                                                        2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
                                                        2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

                                                        Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Julian9
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 10-16-09
                                                          • 200

                                                          #203
                                                          Originally posted by kroyrunner89
                                                          Haha guilty!





                                                          Well there's two ways I look at it... while I have $2000 in my account at the moment, I have the funds to throw another $2000 in at any time really. Even worst case scenario if I lost that entire $4000 bankroll I'd be okay since it's money I can afford to lose. I don't put it all in my account just because I don't want to unless I have to. Also, I'm basing this off of what I know about myself as a capper. Obviously I've had a couple great years in a row, but even through those rough streaks I can survive them no problem as long as I don't go too crazy. Last year my worst stretch was a 5-7 ATS streak over a three week span, while my bankroll was already inflated at that point even if it hadn't been I still would have had about $1500 in my account, and I would have been fine to come back the next weekend. I'm a risk taker, so hell I'll go ahead and go against the conventional approach!


                                                          Working on write ups for plays now, will have them up soon!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • trix
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 11-04-09
                                                            • 15

                                                            #204
                                                            respect for what you do. lets have a winning season kroy! look forward to getting your plays!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kroyrunner89
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-25-08
                                                              • 1191

                                                              #205
                                                              Week 1 is finally here, while I don't feel it's quite as easy of a week as last year, there still are a few plays here I think we can take advantage of. Before getting on to plays I'd like to stress one thing, this is the beginning of the season! Win or lose this week, don't overreact. Winning is no reason to up the stakes in Week 2, losing is no reason to chase losses. This is a very small piece of a long season, I just want everyone to remember we're playing for the big picture rather than the small one week to week. Keep that in mind and manage your money well and we should have a great 2010 season ahead of us! Without further ado, here's what I'm liking Week 1:
                                                              • San Fransisco 49ers -3 (+104 @ Pinnacle)

                                                              Of all the three point road favorites this week, this has to be my favorite. First of all, Seattle is currently in disarray. Their starting Left Tackle is hurt, they just released their #1 WR, and their defensive line is among the worst in the NFL. They're clearly in rebuilding mode, and the best phase of their game, their rushing attack, is matched up with what will be one of the best rush defenses in the NFL in 2010.
                                                              Last season, the 49ers lost this game. While that's a slightly discouraging sign, there is no doubt in my mind that the 49ers were the clearly superior team in the game. Their loss can be chalked up to bad decisions and bad breaks, and it's clear the 49ers could have easily put about 17 more points on the board had they just taken advantage of opportunities. This year the 49ers will benefit from the return of one of their best offensive linemen, and Frank Gore should shred a pitiful Seattle defense. Look for the 49ers to win this one in a big way.
                                                              • Packers/Eagles OVER 47.5 (-106)

                                                              Green Bay's offense has flown high this preseason, with Rodgers and the passing game looking nearly unstoppable. The Packers' biggest weakness last season, their offensive line, has been somewhat addressed this offseason, which should ensure that Rodgers sees more time to throw the ball than last year and doesn't get sacked nearly as much. The Eagles rush defense is clearly superior to their pass defense, meaning that the Packers should focus their attack more through the air, which will certainly be beneficial to the over.
                                                              While Philadelphia now has QB Kevin Kolb at the helm, despite a shaky preseason I remain convinced that he's not much of a downgrade if any at all from McNabb. He certainly has some great weapons at his disposal with DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin, and much like the Packers the offense is facing a defense that is great against the run. The Eagles will likely have to turn to the passing game to pick on a suspect Packers' secondary, especially if they want any hope of keeping up with Green Bay on the scoreboard. This game has all the makings of a shootout, and I fully expect a high scoring affair that may come down to who has the ball last.
                                                              • Browns/Bucs OVER 37 (-106)

                                                              I botched games similar to this last year, but believe me I've learned from it. Last season I took two stabs at Browns unders, against the Lions and against the Chiefs. I figured in both situations that the crummy offenses would make the defenses look good, yet in both cases the games turned into shootouts and I lost the bets. This game looks very similar to me, except I actually am a believer in the Tampa Bay offense. While Freeman is returning from a thumb injury, he's been practicing all week and all signs point to him being good to go come Sunday. I've loved what I've seen out of the Tampa Bay passing game this preseason, and against what I believe to be an unimproved Browns defense the Bucs should have no trouble coming by points. The Browns' offense has also looked surprisingly good this preseason, with Jack Delhomme throwing the ball much more accurately than he did last season as a Panther. The Bucs will be missing their top CB Aqib Talib due to a suspension, so the Browns should have no problem moving the ball down the field on this defense. While I lean towards the Bucs winning this one, I feel more confident in the over coming through so I'll stick with that as my play.
                                                              • Ravens/Jets UNDER 35.5 (+100)

                                                              I was set to roll with the Ravens in this one, but the return of Revis to the Jets has given me a fresh perspective on this one. Baltimore's offense has been raved about this preseason, but with Revis covering Boldin now there's a good chance that he doesn't make much noise in this game. The Ravens' next best option at WR is Mason, and with Cromartie covering him I've got to think that the Ravens won't get a whole lot done through the passing game. Likely, Baltimore will turn to Ray Rice to win the game for them. The Jets were one of the better teams against the run last year, and playing at home on Sunday night I'd have to believe that while they won't completely contain Rice, they can certainly limit the damage he does.
                                                              The Jets offense has been unspectacular all preseason, and will be playing this one without WR Santonio Holmes. For the Jets, it all starts with the run, a problem because they are facing the league's #1 rush defense from last year. Assuming the Jets can't get their running game going, which I don't imagine they will be able to, they're going to have to turn to Mark Sanchez to make plays for them. While Baltimore's secondary is currently a bit shaky, you can bet that they'll turn up the pressure on the young QB and I'd imagine he'd be good for a turnover or two. I can't see either of these teams topping 17 points, in reality I think we may see a 16-10 type of game. It'll certainly be a great defensive battle to watch, and while I'm not sure which team comes out ahead, I'm confident that it stays a low scoring game.


                                                              People have also been asking me for advice on their survivor pools. While I don't feel these are a huge strength of mine, I'll throw out a few of my favorite options every week for your consideration anyways. This week, my favorite two are:
                                                              San Fransisco 49ers
                                                              New York Giants


                                                              Good luck to everyone this week, hopefully we can get things off to a fast start!
                                                              2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
                                                              2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
                                                              2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
                                                              2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

                                                              Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
                                                              Comment
                                                              • saints7011
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-21-09
                                                                • 5544

                                                                #206
                                                                nevermind , disregard , don't ask...
                                                                Last edited by saints7011; 09-10-10, 03:06 PM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bobbyk1133
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-05-10
                                                                  • 2245

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Just for the record, PHI's rush defense is not "clearly superior" to their pass defense. Last season PHI had trouble getting to the QB without blitzing. If anything, the pass D is superior to the rush D at the moment.

                                                                  I think this game could be another "trap" OVER play as both defenses have the ability to shut things down for a quarter or two.

                                                                  I like the BAL/NYJ UNDER play, but I don't expect Revis to be the shutdown guy he was last year for all four quarters because of all the time he missed. I also expect some turnovers in this game which will create more scoring opportunities.

                                                                  BOL with your picks though. Only 2 more days!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Rod1010
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 09-01-10
                                                                    • 6208

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Love the 9ers Play . Jets and brown too
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 22dsnyd22
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 10-26-09
                                                                      • 386

                                                                      #209
                                                                      BOL Kroy. Cant Wait until Sunday
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • daneault23
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-08-09
                                                                        • 3863

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Originally posted by kroyrunner89
                                                                        Well there's two ways I look at it... while I have $2000 in my account at the moment, I have the funds to throw another $2000 in at any time really. Even worst case scenario if I lost that entire $4000 bankroll I'd be okay since it's money I can afford to lose. I don't put it all in my account just because I don't want to unless I have to. Also, I'm basing this off of what I know about myself as a capper. Obviously I've had a couple great years in a row, but even through those rough streaks I can survive them no problem as long as I don't go too crazy. Last year my worst stretch was a 5-7 ATS streak over a three week span, while my bankroll was already inflated at that point even if it hadn't been I still would have had about $1500 in my account, and I would have been fine to come back the next weekend. I'm a risk taker, so hell I'll go ahead and go against the conventional approach!


                                                                        Working on write ups for plays now, will have them up soon!
                                                                        I see where you're coming from, I was just curious. I personally am playing your plays for 5% for each game. Personally I have felt like o/u's are hard to cap but I'm with you on this weekend action and I love the SF play.
                                                                        Comment
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