gl kroy
Kroyrunner's Season Long NFL Thread (55-30-1 ATS in 2009)
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gushmanSBR Wise Guy
- 04-12-10
- 507
#176Comment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#1772011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#178Also, just for anyone who missed it earlier, I'm not playing tonight's Saints/Vikings game! Good luck to everyone who does though! I'll have weekend plays up within the next 48 hours!2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
dodger33SBR MVP
- 08-14-09
- 3962
#179Good luck this season.Comment -
simonk83SBR Sharp
- 07-31-10
- 434
#180Just to clarify, do you play college ball as well or just the NFL?Comment -
simonk83SBR Sharp
- 07-31-10
- 434
#182I realise this is an NFL thread, but some cappers (Sportspicks3434 for example) maintain 2 threads. One for NFL and one for NCAAF. Just curious if I should go looking for one, that's all, no need for the head slapping
Plus I'm from Australia so I don't understand your strange football waysComment -
saints7011SBR Hall of Famer
- 09-21-09
- 5544
#183I realise this is an NFL thread, but some cappers (Sportspicks3434 for example) maintain 2 threads. One for NFL and one for NCAAF. Just curious if I should go looking for one, that's all, no need for the head slapping
Plus I'm from Australia so I don't understand your strange football ways
read post 15 , look I just slapped ya twice...Comment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
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simonk83SBR Sharp
- 07-31-10
- 434
#189HeheComment -
HauntingTheHolySBR MVP
- 04-28-10
- 1397
#190@Kroy
How do you feel about nfl parlays?Comment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#1912011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
RANDAZZOSBR Wise Guy
- 08-21-10
- 758
#192I agree. 2-3 teamers are the only way to really have any chance at winning.Comment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#193I hope my Drew Brees man crush doesn't get in the way of my capping games...2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
NostraDanUSSBR Wise Guy
- 12-02-09
- 665
#194THANKS in advance for a winning season!Comment -
CheckerboardSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-15-06
- 7799
#197go kroy go bol '10-'11 season
Comment -
taxmanSBR High Roller
- 09-11-07
- 182
#198Kroy looking forward to your week 1 picks...lets make some $$$$$$$$Comment -
Full Time HoboSBR MVP
- 05-16-10
- 2778
#199Good Luck hope you have a profitable seasonComment -
daneault23SBR MVP
- 09-08-09
- 3863
#200Hey Kroy not to be a naysayer, but if you play 10% of your roll on one game and you play about 5 games a week, that means that half of your roll is on the line on a given day. You say you play $200 out of your $2,000 on a game or w/e and if you play 5 games in that day, that's $1,000 on the line!! I'm just curious as to why you play so much, I mean I know your good and all..Comment -
HauntingTheHolySBR MVP
- 04-28-10
- 1397
#201Hey Kroy not to be a naysayer, but if you play 10% of your roll on one game and you play about 5 games a week, that means that half of your roll is on the line on a given day. You say you play $200 out of your $2,000 on a game or w/e and if you play 5 games in that day, that's $1,000 on the line!! I'm just curious as to why you play so much, I mean I know your good and all..Comment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#202Haha guilty!
Hey Kroy not to be a naysayer, but if you play 10% of your roll on one game and you play about 5 games a week, that means that half of your roll is on the line on a given day. You say you play $200 out of your $2,000 on a game or w/e and if you play 5 games in that day, that's $1,000 on the line!! I'm just curious as to why you play so much, I mean I know your good and all..
Working on write ups for plays now, will have them up soon!2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
Julian9SBR High Roller
- 10-16-09
- 200
#203Haha guilty!
Well there's two ways I look at it... while I have $2000 in my account at the moment, I have the funds to throw another $2000 in at any time really. Even worst case scenario if I lost that entire $4000 bankroll I'd be okay since it's money I can afford to lose. I don't put it all in my account just because I don't want to unless I have to. Also, I'm basing this off of what I know about myself as a capper. Obviously I've had a couple great years in a row, but even through those rough streaks I can survive them no problem as long as I don't go too crazy. Last year my worst stretch was a 5-7 ATS streak over a three week span, while my bankroll was already inflated at that point even if it hadn't been I still would have had about $1500 in my account, and I would have been fine to come back the next weekend. I'm a risk taker, so hell I'll go ahead and go against the conventional approach!
Working on write ups for plays now, will have them up soon!Comment -
trixSBR Rookie
- 11-04-09
- 15
#204respect for what you do. lets have a winning season kroy! look forward to getting your plays!Comment -
kroyrunner89SBR MVP
- 10-25-08
- 1191
#205Week 1 is finally here, while I don't feel it's quite as easy of a week as last year, there still are a few plays here I think we can take advantage of. Before getting on to plays I'd like to stress one thing, this is the beginning of the season! Win or lose this week, don't overreact. Winning is no reason to up the stakes in Week 2, losing is no reason to chase losses. This is a very small piece of a long season, I just want everyone to remember we're playing for the big picture rather than the small one week to week. Keep that in mind and manage your money well and we should have a great 2010 season ahead of us! Without further ado, here's what I'm liking Week 1:
- San Fransisco 49ers -3 (+104 @ Pinnacle)
Of all the three point road favorites this week, this has to be my favorite. First of all, Seattle is currently in disarray. Their starting Left Tackle is hurt, they just released their #1 WR, and their defensive line is among the worst in the NFL. They're clearly in rebuilding mode, and the best phase of their game, their rushing attack, is matched up with what will be one of the best rush defenses in the NFL in 2010.
Last season, the 49ers lost this game. While that's a slightly discouraging sign, there is no doubt in my mind that the 49ers were the clearly superior team in the game. Their loss can be chalked up to bad decisions and bad breaks, and it's clear the 49ers could have easily put about 17 more points on the board had they just taken advantage of opportunities. This year the 49ers will benefit from the return of one of their best offensive linemen, and Frank Gore should shred a pitiful Seattle defense. Look for the 49ers to win this one in a big way.
- Packers/Eagles OVER 47.5 (-106)
Green Bay's offense has flown high this preseason, with Rodgers and the passing game looking nearly unstoppable. The Packers' biggest weakness last season, their offensive line, has been somewhat addressed this offseason, which should ensure that Rodgers sees more time to throw the ball than last year and doesn't get sacked nearly as much. The Eagles rush defense is clearly superior to their pass defense, meaning that the Packers should focus their attack more through the air, which will certainly be beneficial to the over.
While Philadelphia now has QB Kevin Kolb at the helm, despite a shaky preseason I remain convinced that he's not much of a downgrade if any at all from McNabb. He certainly has some great weapons at his disposal with DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin, and much like the Packers the offense is facing a defense that is great against the run. The Eagles will likely have to turn to the passing game to pick on a suspect Packers' secondary, especially if they want any hope of keeping up with Green Bay on the scoreboard. This game has all the makings of a shootout, and I fully expect a high scoring affair that may come down to who has the ball last.
- Browns/Bucs OVER 37 (-106)
I botched games similar to this last year, but believe me I've learned from it. Last season I took two stabs at Browns unders, against the Lions and against the Chiefs. I figured in both situations that the crummy offenses would make the defenses look good, yet in both cases the games turned into shootouts and I lost the bets. This game looks very similar to me, except I actually am a believer in the Tampa Bay offense. While Freeman is returning from a thumb injury, he's been practicing all week and all signs point to him being good to go come Sunday. I've loved what I've seen out of the Tampa Bay passing game this preseason, and against what I believe to be an unimproved Browns defense the Bucs should have no trouble coming by points. The Browns' offense has also looked surprisingly good this preseason, with Jack Delhomme throwing the ball much more accurately than he did last season as a Panther. The Bucs will be missing their top CB Aqib Talib due to a suspension, so the Browns should have no problem moving the ball down the field on this defense. While I lean towards the Bucs winning this one, I feel more confident in the over coming through so I'll stick with that as my play.
- Ravens/Jets UNDER 35.5 (+100)
I was set to roll with the Ravens in this one, but the return of Revis to the Jets has given me a fresh perspective on this one. Baltimore's offense has been raved about this preseason, but with Revis covering Boldin now there's a good chance that he doesn't make much noise in this game. The Ravens' next best option at WR is Mason, and with Cromartie covering him I've got to think that the Ravens won't get a whole lot done through the passing game. Likely, Baltimore will turn to Ray Rice to win the game for them. The Jets were one of the better teams against the run last year, and playing at home on Sunday night I'd have to believe that while they won't completely contain Rice, they can certainly limit the damage he does.
The Jets offense has been unspectacular all preseason, and will be playing this one without WR Santonio Holmes. For the Jets, it all starts with the run, a problem because they are facing the league's #1 rush defense from last year. Assuming the Jets can't get their running game going, which I don't imagine they will be able to, they're going to have to turn to Mark Sanchez to make plays for them. While Baltimore's secondary is currently a bit shaky, you can bet that they'll turn up the pressure on the young QB and I'd imagine he'd be good for a turnover or two. I can't see either of these teams topping 17 points, in reality I think we may see a 16-10 type of game. It'll certainly be a great defensive battle to watch, and while I'm not sure which team comes out ahead, I'm confident that it stays a low scoring game.
People have also been asking me for advice on their survivor pools. While I don't feel these are a huge strength of mine, I'll throw out a few of my favorite options every week for your consideration anyways. This week, my favorite two are:
San Fransisco 49ers
New York Giants
Good luck to everyone this week, hopefully we can get things off to a fast start!2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS
Overall: 137-97-3 ATSComment -
saints7011SBR Hall of Famer
- 09-21-09
- 5544
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bobbyk1133SBR MVP
- 08-05-10
- 2245
#207Just for the record, PHI's rush defense is not "clearly superior" to their pass defense. Last season PHI had trouble getting to the QB without blitzing. If anything, the pass D is superior to the rush D at the moment.
I think this game could be another "trap" OVER play as both defenses have the ability to shut things down for a quarter or two.
I like the BAL/NYJ UNDER play, but I don't expect Revis to be the shutdown guy he was last year for all four quarters because of all the time he missed. I also expect some turnovers in this game which will create more scoring opportunities.
BOL with your picks though. Only 2 more days!Comment -
Rod1010SBR Hall of Famer
- 09-01-10
- 6208
#208Love the 9ers Play . Jets and brown tooComment -
22dsnyd22SBR Sharp
- 10-26-09
- 386
#209BOL Kroy. Cant Wait until SundayComment -
daneault23SBR MVP
- 09-08-09
- 3863
#210Well there's two ways I look at it... while I have $2000 in my account at the moment, I have the funds to throw another $2000 in at any time really. Even worst case scenario if I lost that entire $4000 bankroll I'd be okay since it's money I can afford to lose. I don't put it all in my account just because I don't want to unless I have to. Also, I'm basing this off of what I know about myself as a capper. Obviously I've had a couple great years in a row, but even through those rough streaks I can survive them no problem as long as I don't go too crazy. Last year my worst stretch was a 5-7 ATS streak over a three week span, while my bankroll was already inflated at that point even if it hadn't been I still would have had about $1500 in my account, and I would have been fine to come back the next weekend. I'm a risk taker, so hell I'll go ahead and go against the conventional approach!
Working on write ups for plays now, will have them up soon!and I love the SF play.
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