Kroyrunner's Season Long NFL Thread (55-30-1 ATS in 2009)

[kroyrunner89]

My bad Kroy. When I first read it I thought you were talking about their pass rush, not rushing D. Having said that, I still think their pass D is underrated. BOL to you too!

Who knows, you may turn out to be right! Good luck!

I didn't bet the Browns. lol I'm not that courageous in week 1.

Haha yeah no need to force that this early!

How about 100 SBR points, I got the Bucs UNDER 6 wins for the season, for even points. Payment due at end of Week 17. So at the end of week 11 or 12 when the bucs are 0-11, costing you 100 points, you don't have to pay for another six weeks. You're welcome.

That's a generous payment plan you have there! I accept! Good luck!

[bobbyk1133]

How about 100 SBR points, I got the Bucs UNDER 6 wins for the season, for even points. Payment due at end of Week 17. So at the end of week 11 or 12 when the bucs are 0-11, costing you 100 points, you don't have to pay for another six weeks. You're welcome.

I don't really understand the love that TB seems to be getting. Morris has taken over the D and gone back to the Tampa 2, but I don't think they have the pass rush necessary to make a huge leap this year. Teams with good O-lines will be able to exploit them. They are also asking a lot out of Freeman and Cadillac if they want to win 6+ games. It doesn't help to play in a tough division too.

[HauntingTheHoly]

I don't really understand the love that TB seems to be getting. Morris has taken over the D and gone back to the Tampa 2, but I don't think they have the pass rush necessary to make a huge leap this year. Teams with good O-lines will be able to exploit them. They are also asking a lot out of Freeman and Cadillac if they want to win 6+ games. It doesn't help to play in a tough division too.

Not to mention the only argument people have on their behalf (or at least the one you hear most often) is the one you mention "They just gotta get a big year from Freeman, that's all" - O RLY??? Is there any reason at all to expect that kid to do *anything* in the league this year? I mean he could, but all it'll mean is you got lucky in predicting so. I think he's in for a rough year. Around here he's hailed as a "savior" - or some goddamned thing. Weird.

Good luck with our bet, Kroy! Hehe. BOL for the year though, I'll be using you for consulting, I like the way you think/analyze.

[kroyrunner89]

I don't really understand the love that TB seems to be getting. Morris has taken over the D and gone back to the Tampa 2, but I don't think they have the pass rush necessary to make a huge leap this year. Teams with good O-lines will be able to exploit them. They are also asking a lot out of Freeman and Cadillac if they want to win 6+ games. It doesn't help to play in a tough division too.

Not to mention the only argument people have on their behalf (or at least the one you hear most often) is the one you mention "They just gotta get a big year from Freeman, that's all" - O RLY??? Is there any reason at all to expect that kid to do *anything* in the league this year? I mean he could, but all it'll mean is you got lucky in predicting so. I think he's in for a rough year. Around here he's hailed as a "savior" - or some goddamned thing. Weird. Good luck with our bet, Kroy! Hehe. BOL for the year though, I'll be using you for consulting, I like the way you think/analyze.

I'm excited about their young RB Kareem Huggins, this kid is a great talent and a very smart fantasy football pickup if you want a shot at this year's Jamaal Charles. I love their young WRs, especially Mike Williams. They definitely have more talent in this department than they did last year. I like Gerald McCoy to make an immediate impact and help out last year's weak defensive line. Will Freeman suddenly be great? Nope. But from what I saw before his injury this preseason he's looking improved from last year and should definitely put through better numbers when all is said and done. Mostly, I like that their strength of schedule is one of the easier ones in the NFL this year. IMO the floor for this team is 6 wins, the ceiling is around 8. We'll know in 17 weeks I suppose!

[bobbyk1133]

Not to mention the only argument people have on their behalf (or at least the one you hear most often) is the one you mention "They just gotta get a big year from Freeman, that's all" - O RLY??? Is there any reason at all to expect that kid to do *anything* in the league this year? I mean he could, but all it'll mean is you got lucky in predicting so. I think he's in for a rough year. Around here he's hailed as a "savior" - or some goddamned thing. Weird.

From all reports I've seen, Freeman is ready to take the next step. How big that step is remains to be seen. I think given the cast around him, I wouldn't hold my breath for a large improvement in the win column. To me, TB is still a glorified expansion roster.

[HauntingTheHoly]

Neither of you has mentioned ownership and coaching, two aspects of crucial importance to a team. And in this case.....ohhhh....boy. Hehehe. Taking both into account, I think you've got the worst in the league here. You'll see. They're gonna be a disorganized mess, these forgotten step-children of the Glazers.

[DroppinDimes]

Thanks for the picks Kroy, let's make some coin week 1.

[clbonham2]

I like the UNDER for the Panthers/Giants. Easy money.

[Parligod]

Regarding the picks this week....

Love the 49ers pick - this is the first game that jumped out at me and the only game I'm playing this week. I wouldn't be surprised to see Seattle get decimated this week against the 49ers, there is just too much talent right now against a Seattle team with way too many questions.

The GB/Philly over - I like the prediction of high points, and I agree with your reasoning about it being geared for passing. But 47.5 is a lot to cover on an over, I don't see much edge here. Too me its a borderline pass.

The Cleveland/TB game - I'm actually leaning the other way if I had to make a pick. I don't have much faith in either offense right now, and I'm tempted to think that the Browns might take the win. Either way I'm passing on this one.

Thanks for your posts and GL this season.

[saints7011]

BOL today kroy...

[jhack704]

looks like we on our way to a 0-1 start today

[belvedere86]

one TD and the over hits

[jhack704]

easier said than done, im not too confident right now

[kroyrunner89]

looks like we on our way to a 0-1 start today

I can only hope this was a reverse jinx attempt!

one TD and the over hits

Delhomme's bad decisions certainly help, if the Browns can somehow tie it up we should get at least a push

easier said than done, im not too confident right now

This has been a very frustrating game, certainly had hoped it wouldn't be this close but keep faith Cleveland has all their timeouts still there's an eternity left in this game

[jhack704]

ha yea i tried tb at the 5, im sure they will **** it up

[jhack704]

3rd and goal at the 2 i dont y imi even wathcing im going to be soo pist in a sec

[jhack704]

What the fukkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk a fumble at the 2!! I told u!!! Fml!

[22dsnyd22]

hahha fumble no.........................

[kroyrunner89]

Wow, it's even worse than I imagined it would be haha. Two redzone turnovers in the second half will certainly kill an over. Maybe the Browns can actually do something right and get us some points though, we can only hope.

[jhack704]

Its over kroy, we got ****** hope we can get the next 2

[22dsnyd22]

has to run this in right here

[kroyrunner89]

I'm puzzled by a lot of things that happened in this game, chalk this one up to a bad beat as about 14-17 points were left on the field. Tough way to start the day but I still love the other three we have left on our card so hopefully this turns out to be a 3-1 week. Good luck rest of the day everyone!

[freeVICK]

packers oline is a joke

[jedikarl]

some strange calls by the 49ers coach has totslly f**ked this bet instead of being 14nil up they are now down 8 points looks like being one of those days

[simonk83]

some strange calls by the 49ers coach has totslly f**ked this bet instead of being 14nil up they are now down 8 points looks like being one of those days

They need to pull their fingers out, big time.

[kroyrunner89]

Not looking like a good day. Sorry to those who tail if these late games don't come through, looks like it's just one of those weeks. Not a good way to start the year. Just remember, it's a long season, I assure you it'll be a whole lot more good than bad the rest of the way. Going to go lick my wounds, haters fill up the thread if you wish but just know I'm not going to engage in any of it. Good luck to everyone the rest of the day, I'll be checking in again soon

[jedikarl]

kroy u dont owe anyone an apology like you have said in past posts there will be ups and downs all season ,this was a low next week may well be a high
good luck mate

[FlaxMartin]

Fumblees at the 2-yardline suck. I really loved ur picks kroy!

[JosephPavs]

Its alright tail and lose fade and lose its all 50/50

[Chugs]

Dont be too hard on yourself yet ... You could still come out of this 2-2.

[MexicanStallion]

I have the Eagles +3 and ML, so will gladly root for your Over to cash.

[simonk83]

Well, at the very least we've got the push. I'll take that.

[rick_213]

Its Only the First Week

Not looking like a good day. Sorry to those who tail if these late games don't come through, looks like it's just one of those weeks. Not a good way to start the year. Just remember, it's a long season, I assure you it'll be a whole lot more good than bad the rest of the way. Going to go lick my wounds, haters fill up the thread if you wish but just know I'm not going to engage in any of it. Good luck to everyone the rest of the day, I'll be checking in again soon

Kroy, don't worry, we still have faith in your picks. I would be curious to know if you have the stats on hand for your record with spread picks vs o/u picks...for me personally i always find it tougher to cap o/u picks. Looking forward to next week!

[simonk83]

Yep, early days yet. I hate over/under bets as well, never seem to do well on them

[jhack704]

Well, at the very least we've got the push. I'll take that.

i got a push too cuz i bought the .5 to 47 but kroy had 47.5 so he did go 0-3 which sucks. lucky for me i pushed that and i had gb-3 and miami-3 but not as big and i also parlayed a small amount on the opposite picks with gb phily under 48 so i got some back there too. the only thing good here it is week one and theres only one way to go and that is up and lets cash that under 2marrow!